In the fifth game, the battle of Tianwang Mountain, Gu Yu came back and led the team to kill the Clippers.

The media across the United States have begun to discuss a question:

Is the Sacramento Kings an immeasurable dark horse, or a pseudo-powerhouse team with extreme ups and downs and a limited ceiling?

"Pseudo-strong team, textbook pseudo-strong team." ESPN's playoff special aired the next morning, and there were a number of guests, among whom data expert Hollinger made no secret of his disapproval of the Kings, and said seriously: "The data tells us everything." ”

With Hollinger's words, a lot of data was marked below.

"That's the point variance data for every game of the eight teams that are still playing the playoffs right now, from the time they entered the playoffs until now." Hollinger explained: "It may be a little confusing to look at it this way, and the audience who is not very good at math may not be able to understand the meaning of this data, so let me explain it briefly. ”

"The scoring power of a team is undoubtedly an important part of the overall strength of the team. In my data model, points scored and points conceded are the largest part of the team's strength grading system. These data, just looking at the average data is certainly not enough. Because as we all know, whether it is a series or a whole season, every team will have ups and downs, and there are factors such as player injuries, suspensions, etc. ”

Pointing to the top row of data, Hollinger said: "First of all, I listed the average points per game of each team in the playoffs, and maybe a team can average 120 points per game in the playoffs and rank first. But what if the average score of 120 points is 150 points in a game, plus 90 points in a game? Or to put it more exaggeratedly, the team scored 170 points after three overtimes in a matchup. And in the next game, because of poor feel or something, only 70 points will be scored, what will happen? Their average points per game will still be 120 points, and they will still rank first. ”

Although he didn't specify which team he was talking about, Hollinger's table was all too clear. Under the Sacramento Kings logo, the conspicuous "115 points per game" allows everyone to see at a glance who Hollinger is commenting on.

Although this scoring statistic may not seem so exaggerated, fans who are familiar with basketball games know that the defensive intensity of the playoffs is far from comparable in the regular season. Most teams enter the playoffs with a significant drop in points per game. This is related to the intensity of the game, but also to the targeted defense made by the same opponent after playing continuously and familiarizing themselves with the routine.

Even in this case, the Kings still averaged 115 points per game in the playoffs, and this kind of offensive firepower is probably only comparable to teams such as the former Suns.

"At the same time, the other team is probably averaging 105 points per game, which looks much weaker than the 120 or 115 team. However, if you look closely at the trend of their scores, almost every game has been between 100 and 110 points, with very little fluctuation. What does this mean? ”

Hollinger continued: "It shows that this team is fully capable of scoring more points, but in order to win the game, they use the safest and most efficient way to score and control the tempo. As long as they want, they can come up with a 105-point offensive performance at any time. This kind of comfortable state is obviously several notches higher than the previous team. ”

"Well, that makes sense." The host nodded frequently.

"So here I'm going to introduce a concept of variance in the change in points per game to calculate the ups and downs of each team's scoring ability." Pointing to the second line of data, Hollinger said: "Here, we can clearly see that the more ups and downs there are, the more questionable their 'strong team' status is. The team with smaller ups and downs, as long as the average points per game is at a relatively high level, it can basically be concluded that it must be a strong team. ”

As Hollinger explained, the order of the tables on the screen changed. The table, which was originally arranged in the order of points per game, was weighted by the score variance and the points per game average, resulting in a row of numbers in the third row. The teams rearranged the order according to the numbers in the third row.

"I will publish the weighting calculation method on my personal homepage, and everyone can calculate it themselves. I promise, though, that my calculations were absolutely not wrong. Huo Linger smiled proudly: "After all, the PER value that everyone is familiar with, that is, the efficiency value data calculation method, was invented by me, and after so many years, everyone agrees that this value is more reliable, right!" ”

"Fart." At the center of the Kings team, who had just completed their first training session and were resting, the Kings generals scoffed at Hollinger's claims.

"The PER value is obviously more friendly to data brushes, but less friendly to 'invisible wings'." McGee was the first to take the lead in retorting: "Weighting to weighting is very lively, and in the end, it is not calculated based on basic data? It seems to be very remarkable, very comprehensive, cut~"

"I think the PER value is pretty good." Of course, Wei Shao supports this standard of data speaking, and the old god is shaking his head.

"Don't argue about the PER value, just look at the team value he said." George, who had entered the final stage of recovery, stopped the two of them from scolding in the air.

"The actual situation also proves that my data model is still relatively reliable." Hollinger continued: "Based on my weighted offensive power rankings, the team with the strongest offense in the league — and the strongest here — is still the Philadelphia 76ers. The second is the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the third is the Miami Heat. ”

These three teams are in the first echelon, and it is really not a big problem.

The guests and hosts at the scene all looked at the data table carefully and thought it was true.

The Kings, who were still in first place before, were greatly affected by the huge fluctuations in scoring in each game, and finally only ranked fifth.

Even the offense that they are best at is ranked fifth, and with the addition of defense, how far does the Kings have to go?

Hollinger, the answer will be revealed in a moment.

"And then there's the defensive rankings." With a wave of his hand, the table data on the screen changed, and Hollinger said: "I won't explain the specific calculation method, and it is basically the same as the offensive end, I made a rather complex mathematical model before finally coming to this conclusion." The results of the defensive end rankings show that Philadelphia is first, Miami is second, and the Thunder is third, and it is basically these three teams, with no change. ”

The host nodded: "Then the Kings ......"

"Seventh in defense." Huo Linger pointed to the end of the table and said with a vague smile: "That is, the penultimate one, it should also be more in line with everyone's impression haha." ”

MMP。

The Kings players were far apart, cursing Hollinger for having a son without a PY.

"From what I know of you, your data model can't just go so far, right?" The host arched the fire and said: "Is there an overall model after the combination of the two?" What kind of comprehensive strength can be seen in a team? ”

"Absolutely." Hollinger was obviously very satisfied with the host's arch fire, and nodded proudly: "I call this data 'Hollinger Playoff Power List', and the specific ranking is like this......"

"Wait a minute, you nerd!" Suddenly, at the recording site, a rough voice sounded in a joke, and everyone looked back, a black fat man almost occupied half of the screen, and said with an expression of wanting to find fault: "Your data is not comprehensive??" Every team faces different opponents in the playoffs, and the strength of the opponents is different, and the scoring and conceding statistics will definitely be affected. ”

The person who spoke, of course, was Gu Yu's brainless fan, and his huge finger pointed at Huo Linger, and the big shark frowned: "You let a team play the Spurs, and play the Wizards, can that be the same?" Can the player play against Duncan, and against Gortat, can it be the same? You must not have considered this! ”

"Considered." Who knows, Huo Linger was prepared, and said with a sneer: "My model contains weighted items about the strength of the opponent, if you are interested, you can look at it." But I doubt you can read it. ”

"MMP ......" Ao Fat scolded in a very low voice, and was instantly silenced by the director: "That, that, that still has a problem!" Although everyone is playing in the playoffs, the number of games in each round is different! Some teams play four games to advance, while others play seven games to advance. The physical exertion and tactical game in this must be very different. You don't even think about this kind of detail......"

"Sorry, I thought about it." Hollinger directly waved his hand and interrupted the big fat man's words: "My data is flawless, all details have been taken into account. Including the situation between the players you mentioned, the offensive and defensive pressure brought by the opponents of different strengths, etc., I have taken into account all the factors. Don't struggle any more, big fat man, and all the Kings fans around the world, please recognize this reality......"

As he spoke, Huo Linger's body pressed forward, with a cruel smile on the corner of his mouth: "The Kings have indeed entered the second round, and they have indeed just won Tianwang Mountain, and they finally took a breather." But my stats tell you an irrefutable answer – the Sacramento Kings are a pseudo-powerhouse. ”

In the final data table, the Kings are ranked eighth among the eight playoff teams.

First to last.

"Cut! Alarmist! Wei Shao was immediately unhappy, and raised his middle finger and said: "Then how can he explain his broken data, why can our eighth-ranked team sweep away the Spurs, who are ranked third in the playoffs in his data?" Yes?! ”

"Because of instability, there are continuous outbreaks, although the probability is very low, but the probability still exists." Gu Yu was extremely rare, and said calmly: "Although this guy doesn't speak well, but ...... That's right, we're really at the bottom of the playoff rankings. However, this guy overlooked one thing......"

Gu Yu turned his head slightly and looked in the direction of the training ground.

Ignore the fact that someone is about to make a comeback.