Chapter 2: Can Water Escape Be Used as Fire Escape?
"What?"
Pillar looked at Madara stupidly.
This guy has already gambled on red eyes, and has reached the point of indifference to the outside world.
[Did you find it?] Xiao Ming glanced at Madara.
"Idiot Pillar!" Looking at the stupid appearance between the Thousand Hand Pillars, Madara Uchiha complained, and then stared at Xiao Ming and said slowly:
"After my observation, although the gambling between you and the pillars is to win more and lose less between the pillars, it will always maintain a rule!"
"Regularity? What is the law? Pillar was still at a loss.
"Although the number of times Xiao Ming wins is very small, but after I remember the total number of times you gamble and the number of times Xiao Ming wins, I found that on average, Xiao Ming will win one out of every six, and you will win five out of every six handfuls between the columns. It seems that you can win a lot of times between the columns, but in fact you can only win five taels each time, and lose fifty taels if you lose once. Follow the law of winning five and losing one between the columns, that is, winning 25 taels between the columns, but losing 50 taels, so you can't win Xiao Ming between the columns. ”
“???” Pillar looked at Madara with a bewildered expression. With his brain size, which wasn't much bigger than a walnut, he didn't know what Madara was talking about, just like Naruto couldn't even remember the code.
"Stupid! Idiot! Looking at the stupid appearance between the pillars, Madara had a feeling of playing the piano to the cow, and after scolding, he crawled to the ears of the pillars and suddenly shouted: "It's ~ you~ this~ idiot ~ never~ can't win ~ Xiao Ming!!"
Never win...
Can't win...
Can't win...
“……”
I wasn't scared by Madara, but I was hit by the words I'll never win.,Squatting aside between the pillars and silently drawing circles.。
"It's just that I don't understand something!" Ignoring the idiocy between the pillars, Madara looked at Xiao Ming seriously, and then wondered, "How did you manage to win one out of every six on average?" Especially if I shake the sieve? ”
[Think I'm cheating?] 】
Madara asked about the bite very hard, and Xiao Ming probably understood what Madara meant.
"I didn't do anything, that's probability! Or the law of large numbers! ”
"Probability? The Law of Large Numbers? What is that? Powerful ninjutsu? Magic? Madara shook his head, indicating that he didn't understand.
What is the Law of Large Numbers? A very simple example is that if a coin is tossed into the sky and falls either heads or tails (ignoring the possibility of standing upright), there may be 10 heads or tails in a row, but the number of times is too much, it will always remain half the times on both sides.
And the law of large numbers has uncertainty (randomness?). and inevitability. Just like giving birth to a child, without the influence of external factors, it is either a boy or a girl, but no one can determine its gender. Some couples just have unsatisfactory children and give birth to daughters or sons for a lifetime, why is this? It's the law of large numbers that's at work.
On average, one out of every sixty-four couples will inevitably have six daughters in a row, and another will have six sons in a row. By analogy, in an average of more than 1,040,000 couples, one couple is destined to have 20 sons in a row, and another couple is destined to have 20 daughters in a row. Considering that no couple can have 20 children in their lifetime, it is not desirable for some couples to have children in terms of gender.
This is the uncertainty and inevitability of the law of large numbers, if there is a possibility, it will inevitably happen, but when it will happen, no one knows!
Just like someone worships the Buddha and asks for a son, some people will succeed, and some people will not succeed. If it doesn't work, the god stick will say that he is not sincere, and if it does, the god stick will say that he is sincere, which is actually nonsense.
If you carefully count them, you will find that half of the people who seek children have become and half of them have not, because the sex of the child is originally half of the same. Whether it succeeds or not, it doesn't matter whether it's honest or not, it all depends on the probability. When probability happens to you, it is useless to ask God.
Of course, the probability of having a child is naturally evolved, and you must not change it artificially, otherwise...
Probability is everywhere in our lives. For example, some people feel that a year is safe, smooth sailing, and it seems that there is no major event, and occasionally a small incident in ten days and half a month has passed. The probability of this kind of person encountering an accident is like a positive and negative face when a coin is tossed, which is very regular and not abrupt.
Some people feel that everything was going well in the first half of the year, but recently they suddenly got blood mold, and it seems that everything is coming to their door. The probability of this kind of person encountering an accident is that he will be positive ten times at once and have a smooth journey, but suddenly ten times he will be negative and everything will be unlucky and beat you to the bottom. This is the centralized state of the probability cloud.
The inevitability of probability indicates that there is a probability that will occur. So if we don't want to be unlucky in life, we don't let this possibility exist, or reduce it to a minimum.
If you don't want to have an accident at the traffic light intersection that day, then everyone doesn't run the red light, there is no such possibility, and naturally there will be no accident.
If there is danger, if you can do it, don't do it, and the danger will not happen. If you have to do it, then minimize the probability of danger in accordance with the regulations, and the danger will naturally be reduced a lot.
The most common law of large numbers is the lottery. With less than 60% of the payouts, it's never possible to actually win. The gambling played by Xiao Ming and the pillar is a return rate of 91 points, which means that every bet between the pillars will lose 8.0 percent of the amount he pressed on average, and he will naturally lose more after a long time.
“……”
Xiao Ming explained the law of large numbers to Madara Uchiha in detail, and Madara listened to the clouds. Sometimes I understand, sometimes I don't understand, and in the end, I just keep nodding my head, and I have a feeling of not knowing it.
"Being able to train Madara like this can be regarded as an achievement!" Looking at the cute Madara, Xiao Ming thought maliciously in his heart: "Shouldn't the Great God of Crossing send me an achievement or something?"
"It's called: Madara Trainer? Madara's first math enlightenment teacher? ”
"No, no! It should be called: My brother's name is Shun Zhi Madara, follow me to learn mathematics? ”
"No, no! It's too long, and it's not domineering enough, it should be called..."
Xiao Ming's thoughts flew wildly, and Madara Uchiha lowered his head and pondered what the law of large numbers was. However, the single-celled creature between the pillars saw that Xiao Ming finished talking at length, and came up and pulled Xiao Ming to catch fish.
That's right, it's catching fish!
Why? Because the pillar and the spot eat Xiao Ming's grilled fish addicted.
"Other traversers are all barbecued to pick up girls, I'm good, I use it to coax two children, I feel like I've become a daddy." Xiao Ming complained helplessly in his heart.
Looking at the few fish that had been brought up by ninjutsu in the columns, Xiao Ming ran to the forest by the river to pick up some dry firewood and came back, put some of the dry firewood on the ground, and Xiao Ming made a seal.
"Water escape. The Art of Small Fireballs. ”
Bang~
A football-sized fireball spat out of Xiao Ming's mouth, and the dry pyre caught fire with a bang.
"Goo~" The pillar next to him swallowed his saliva, looked at Xiao Ming in shock, and said, "You use water to escape???"
"yes!"