010.Time (I)
"What do you mean by that?" Dozru raised an eyebrow and said.
"I'm sure you've heard enough of the battleship victory theory or the MS victory theory, I don't evaluate which theory is correct, after all, it's too late for us to change our tactical thinking, except for expecting MS to play the expected effect, we can only find a god to pray or something."
"So I'm not going to discuss tactical matters with you this time," Lear took a sip of his teacup: "In terms of tactical cultivation, although I think I have a little experience, it is not to the point of being able to show off in front of the commander of the Space Force." β
"So I'll talk to you about other things."
Dozru raised his hand to gesture for lightness, he still had a considerable understanding of Lear's talents, and he had full trust in him.
"My reasoning for coming to the conclusion that Zeon would win at the beginning of the war was simple," Lear said, "had nothing to do with tactics, nothing to do with politics or diplomacy." β
"Simply because, in the first three months of the war, Zeon was able to mobilize four to six times more than the Federation."
"If Zeon wins, it's a victory for mathematics, and nothing else."
Dozru frowned, but didn't interrupt Lear.
"It is true that the comprehensive national strength of the Federation is almost thirty times that of ours, and such a big gap is frightening to look at, but not to mention later, in the early days of the war, the absolute national strength that the Federation could use was below Zeon."
"Although we have not openly entered a state of mobilization until now (at this time Lear did not know that the general mobilization order had been signed), in fact, the mobilization work began as early as the beginning of the year when the Jupiter resource ship returned home (Note 1), and we could enter a state of full mobilization almost immediately at the beginning of the war, and it would take at least two years for the Federation to complete its full mobilization."
"Of course, the Confederation does not need full mobilization to have a total amount of more than Zeon, but that is not possible in the first three months, our country is a colonial satellite state, and it was built for heavy industry from the beginning, and it is far more convenient to organize than the relatively scattered Confederation, and this difference in the speed of mobilization of forces is the guarantee of our victory in the early stages of the war."
"Moreover, the gap in national strength between the Federation and our country is not the gap between the earth and SIDE3, but the gap between SIDE3 and all the gathering places of humanity except SIDE3, if our diplomatic work is good enough, we can make those wavering SIDES, such as SIDE6, which has almost broken relations with the Federation, and SIDE4 remain neutral or even join us, and under the influence of one another, it is not impossible to have the power to crush the Federation even if both sides complete full mobilization."
"This needs to be guided according to the situation, and it requires the efforts of diplomats, and it is not something that I, a soldier, can discuss, so we will skip it."
"This is the case with our country and the Federation in terms of volume, we are overwhelmingly disadvantaged in absolute quantity, but in the early stages of the war we can use much more than the Federation, and this advantage will change with diplomatic changes and time, but on the whole, the longer it is, the more unfavorable it will be for us."
"And then the gap between the Federation and us in terms of military strength is still the same, I don't have an opinion on tactical issues," Lear took a sip of tea and moistened his dry throat and continued: "What I want to say is that it is still a mathematical problem, and presumably the battle plan proposed by the Military Command Department is to prepare for a battle, attack the enemy's salvation, and force the Federation to have a decisive battle with our army without being fully prepared, right?" β
"Let me guess, is the target SIDE5 Lum in the center of the Earth's circle or the Moon?"
"That's right, the goal is γγγγγγ I probably shouldn't have told you, but forget it, just remember to keep quiet," Dozru said, "The primary target is Rum, and if the Federation forces are not fooled, attack the Luna 2 asteroid, the garrison of the Federation Space Forces near the moon." β
"Well, it seems that I'm right, Dozru, can you tell me how many combat-ready fleets the Federation Space Force has now?"
"Are you testing me? Lear? Dozru said sullenly: "I am also the commander of the Space Force, how can I not even know the strength of the enemy's fleet." β
"The Federation fleets stationed in various SIDES need not worry, not only are they poorly equipped, but their officers are corrupt and incompetent, the soldiers have no fighting spirit, and they are distributed throughout the universe, it is impossible for them to gather together for a decisive battle."
"In fact, the only ones that the Federation can immediately go into battle are those main fleets directly under the jurisdiction of the Space Army, or Rybier."
"That's right," Lear said with a smile, "Actually, it's the 1st to 6th fleets of the Federation Army, but even so, the total combat power is five times that of our army, especially the first, second, and third fleets are the main forces that are each on par with the total combat power of our army." β
"It's scary to look at, but if you look closely, just as the Federation can't mobilize enough material in the event of a war, it can't be all of its fleet at the beginning of the war."
"The Fifth Fleet and the Sixth Fleet are the resident fleets of the Moon and SIDE7 respectively, and if the Federation Force wants to send the main First Fleet, which is stationed on Luna 2 and is responsible for the defense of the Earth's low orbit, to participate in the war, the relatively weak Fifth and Sixth Fleets will not be able to act rashly, lest Luna 2 and SIDE7 be taken advantage of by our army."
"So there are only four fleets that will definitely participate in the war, the First Fleet responsible for the defense of the Earth's low orbit, the Second Fleet directly under Chabro and Rebier, the Third Fleet located in Rum and Tiam, and the Fourth Fleet, a mobile fleet that was originally designed to combat piracy and anti-smuggling."
"And these four fleets are not together now," Lear's eyes showed a gleam: "First of all, SIDE5's Thiam Third Fleet, this fleet is currently the strongest force of the Federation Army in the universe, but if the war starts, Thiam will not let SIDE5 fight with us regardless of it, because in that case, once the SIDE5 anti-Federalist has the upper hand, the situation cannot be controlled, and politically it will be a huge loss of points for the entire Space Army, because SIDE5 is the economic center of the Earth's circle, Even if it is an hour or two that is not in the hands of the Federation, it will cause huge losses to the Earth Foundation. β
"So the Third Fleet is the equivalent of being crucified in Rum."
"Then there is Rebil's Second Fleet stationed in Chabro, and once the war starts, it is impossible for the Second Fleet, which is located under the gravity well, to run out of the earth without half a month."
"Luna 2 First Fleet again, this fleet is free to move, but its single fleet is useless, and I judge that Rebir should make the First Fleet wait until his fleet arrives, and then go to SIDE5 to rendezvous with Tyam."
"At that time, even if we fail, these three fleets alone will have more than 3 times the combat power of our army, and this level of superiority, even if MS plays an unexpected effect, as long as Rebir can still maintain the battle line, it will not be considered a failure."
"Finally, it is the Fourth Fleet, which is a guerrilla force, and it is very coincidental that because of the problem of patrol cycles, it happens to be within the control of our army."
"But as soon as the fight starts, it's sure to run away quickly, and we must take it out before it escapes!"
ββββ Dividing Lineββββ
Note 1: The Jupiter Resource Ship Group, as the name suggests, is a state-owned enterprise dedicated to the exploitation of Jupiter's resources (helium-3), and although the development of the Jupiter route is exclusive to the Federation, Zeon itself has a unique franchise of the Jupiter route between each SIDE because it is a heavy industrial area.
Because the distance between the Earth's sphere and Jupiter is too far, it takes three years for the Jupiter resource group itself to work in just one round trip, perhaps because of this, the Federation does not pay much attention to Jupiter's route, and now the main development of Jupiter is in charge of Zeon.
In order to meet the needs of Jupiter's resource exploitation, the standard configuration of the ship group is the largest ship that can be built by mankind, the 2,000-meter-long Jupitrice-class interstellar resource carrier, which has held a record for more than 100 years, and its length is equivalent to 3.5 Gvarkin-class battleships, which is almost a moving city.
In 0078, there happened to be a return of the Jupiter resource ship group, so Zeon got a lot of resources that could be used for the war, and the next return time will be moved to 0081, and the next time 0084, a young man of the Jupiter resource ship group witnessed the tragedy of the star chip operation and had the idea of saving the world, which directly led to the Gripps War that broke out in 0087, when the Jupiter resource ship group returned for the fourth time.