Gu Yu, what is the probability of winning the Sixth Man of the Season award?

In the last game of the season, the Sacramento Kings, before the start of the home game against the Los Angeles Lakers, the old coach Westphale specifically talked to Gu Yu about this matter. Pen @ fun @ pavilion wWw. ｂｉｑUｇE。 ｉｎｆｏ

"At the moment, the probability is about one in three."

Looking at Gu Yu's eager expression, Lao Shuai said: "Your basic data performance is impeccable, and there is no problem at all in being elected as the best sixth person." But the problem is that there are two other people who are not worse than you, but they are much more famous than you. They are on a much better team than us. ”

Who are these two people?

Needless to say, Gu Yu, who had been paying attention to this competition without gunpowder before, had a rough idea in his heart.

With the San Antonio Spurs, Manuginobili, who clearly has the top three strength in the team, was put on the bench to play the sixth man, and after great success. This practice of "putting a star-level player on the bench" is becoming more and more popular.

These teams with the best sixth man caliber players basically start the game with a "pseudo-starter" in that position - according to the statistics and the rotation of the court lineup, they are starters, but in reality they may not even play half the game, and more time is reserved for the star on the bench.

The benefits of doing so are many, especially for strong teams, because strong teams undoubtedly have a lot of star-level players. Even taking a star off the starting lineup is enough to be on par with most teams in the league.

Pseudo-starters are on the court, do not steal the ball from other star starters, and do a good job of defense, conversion, projection and other work to maintain the best chemistry of the team's starters.

And after the super sixth man on the bench came on the court, he faced the opposite substitute player for a considerable part of the game. The difference in strength makes it easy for these bench bandits to exert their super strength and crush the substitute players on the opposite side. And when the rest of the substitutes on their own side are not strong, these super sixth people can also have more balls and play more comfortably.

In this way, the strength of the starting lineup of the strong teams is good, and the substitutes win against the opposite side, and the chances of winning will naturally increase.

It's a win-win for both the team and the players.

This approach and thinking reached its peak in the 2010-2011 season. Almost half of the teams in the league will adopt this rotation policy to some extent. So this season, the competition for the best sixth man is particularly fierce.

"Magic's Redick averages 10 points in 25 minutes per game. New York's Tony Douglas also contributed 10 points in 24 minutes, along with 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and more than 1 steal. The Grizzlies' OJ Mayo, the Nuggets' Tylawson, J.R. Smith, and Gortat and George Hill all average around 10 to 12 points per game. JR's firepower is slightly stronger, but it is only a sixth man with extremely single functions, and the statistics are not enough to make people look sideways. ”

Lao Shuai and Gu Yu sat down and analyzed carefully, the aforementioned players were not much of a threat to Gu Yu.

"To get the Sixth Man of the Year, you're either going to have a lot of offensive firepower, like you. Either you can do a little bit of a lot of things besides attacking. The former kind of offensive firepower is relatively rare this season, Manu is a starter this year, and there is no other sixth man who averages more than 16 points per game. ”

Gu Yu, of course, is not an all-round player, in terms of offensive firepower, no one on the bench in the whole league is better than him. So what he wants to pay attention to is this second type of player.

"Thunder's Harden, although the data is only 12+3+2, but those who have watched their games know that Harden is not only a bench fireman, but also the Thunder's No. 1 defender on the outside, and his ability to control the rhythm is also very good, which is a plus. But his stats are mediocre and not a big threat. ”

Westphal has a long list of players who have the potential to get some votes in the Sixth Man of the Year selection.

"Louis Williams, averaging 13.7 points per game, 3.4 assists, two-way guard, the key is less than 24 minutes of playing time, the efficiency is amazing. But the data is also not impressive, and so is the threat. Also in a similar situation is Jamal Crawford, who has 14 minutes in 30 minutes. Glen Davis and Thaddeus Young are both players on the front line, and their data are all 12+5, which is also a bit mediocre. It's more appropriate to say that they are super sixth men than to say that they are in an important rotation of the front line. ”

Westphal has been in the league for so many years, and he is very clear about the selection criteria and psychological ideas of the judges, and is basically taking on the role of the judges to analyze the distribution of votes.

"The two people who really threaten you are the top two."

Pointing to the two names at the top of the list, Westphal looked at Gu Yu and said, "So far, you have averaged 27 minutes per game, 17.1 points, a shooting rate of 43+30+66, and no more than 3 rebounds and assists." In terms of the basic three statistics, it is very beautiful, almost perfect, and it is the best choice for the sixth man in any year. But you have four weaknesses that happen to be the strengths of these two opponents. Do you yourself know what your weaknesses are? ”

"Uh...... The hit rate is a little worse, maybe it makes people feel that it is not efficient, right? ”

Gu Yu thought for a moment and replied.

"That's right, that's the first weakness."

Westphaal nodded: "It just so happens that the hit rate data of these two guys is very beautiful. ”

Gu Yu took a closer look and nodded.

Dallas Mavericks sixth man, Jason Terry, averaged 31 minutes per game, 15.8 points, 1.7 rebounds and 4.2 assists.

In fact, this statistic, compared to Terry's real peak season, has dropped to a certain extent. But Terry's shot selection this season is exquisite, with a three-point shooting percentage of 45+36+85, and as a small two-way guard of the bias pitcher type, Terry's shooting percentage is quite appalling.

'It's not easy to get it with so many balls.

Gu Yu nodded and said, "He and Dirk's blocking and dismantling is the most threatening offensive tactic in Dallas, right?" ”

"yes, that's a plus for him, too."

The old coach nodded: "He is the one who can run the team's most threatening tactics on the field." ”

Another name, Los Angeles Lakers, Lamar Odom.

With an average of 32 minutes per game, Odom said that he was a substitute, but in terms of playing time, it was an absolute starter-level treatment.

In terms of statistics, Odom this season is extremely terrifying.

"14.4 points, 8.7 rebounds, including 2.1 frontcourt rebounds, 3 assists, and only 1.7 turnovers ......"

Reading Odom's data, Gu Yu became more and more chilled the more he thought about it.

This data, placed in any team, is the data of the inner quasi-core level. can attack, rebound master, frontcourt rebounding is a must, can also pass assists, and can even dribble directly to advance, as a tactical initiation point cameo point guard.

Odom, who is so versatile, is definitely one of the Lakers' most valuable assets. He can be both inside and out, no matter what situation the Lakers encounter on the court, no matter whether it is the outside or the inside that is in trouble, Odom can immediately top up, unequivocally. The average level of defense also gave him a lot of points. It can be said that it has given the Lakers a "double insurance".

Not to mention, Odom still has a terrifying shooting rate of 53+38, and the free throws are a little worse, only 67 percent, but Gu Yu himself is not much better......

'John Terry can play the attack, he can be a threat and Odom can also control the ball and instigate the attack, which is your second weakness and they happen to have both.

Westphaal continued: "Also, the two of them are average in defense, and sometimes they are above the level against certain opponents, which is your third weakness. ”

"What about the fourth?"

Gu Yu asked, "My functionality is too simple?" ”

"No, each sixth person has his own style, whether it is singular or all-powerful, it is only relevant if the data is very different. The stats of all three of you are already at the bench star level, and this gap is negligible. The fourth weakness is actually not your weakness alone, if you want to blame it, you can only blame me......"

The list in his hand fell, and the old man sighed and said with a wry smile: "Our record is really bad." ”

There is still one game left in the season, and the Kings have a 33-48 record in 81 games that have ended, and they have long been out of the playoffs.

The Lakers and Mavericks have both won 56 games, second only to the Spurs who have won 60 in the West.

Although the strength of the sixth man cannot be said to have any decisive impact on the team's record. But the record is so poor that people will more or less doubt the true quality of this sixth man:

My data is so beautiful, but the team can't win the ball, can I doubt that you are brushing the data? ?

"Now it seems that if you don't lose in terms of data, the key is that you are lagging behind in terms of results. If you start judging now, it is estimated that it will be difficult to win against the two of them. ”

Westfal cleaned up his mood and said, "However, there are still opportunities." ”

"What chance?"

Of course, Gu Yu wants to win this award, this is not just an honor, it can also bring skill points!

"The last game, home game against the Lakers."

Westphaal said: "In the direct dialogue with Odom, if you can not lose to him in statistics and win, then your chance is ......!" ”

Back in the field.

"Last Attack! The Sacramento Kings last offense! Who exactly will it be given to? Was it Marcus Thornton, who came to the team in the second half of the season and exploded today? Or is it a strong contender for the Best Sixth Man award, hairstyle brother Gu Yu?? Let's wait and see!! ”