Chapter 11: Ning Wenrui's Theory of Death

"Why am I doing this summoning ritual? Hehe, isn't that obvious, I want to gain power! Xiao Zhen's face showed a hint of determination, "People's fate should be in their own hands, do you think I like to be the rich second generation in the mouth of some people?" That's right, it's cool to be a rich second generation, you don't have to worry about spending money, it's easy to do whatever you want, and you don't have to look for a job. Pen ~ fun ~ pavilion www.biquge.info

But I'm not reconciled, I'm not willing to live in the shadow of my father all my life, I don't want to be a gentleman who only lives on a rich father in the eyes of others, I'm not used to what I've done, how many firsts I've won, in the eyes of others, it's just because I have a good father, they will say, hey, if I also have such a tyrant father, if I have so many resources to train me, then I can do it.

I don't want to go on like this for the rest of my life, I want to get more achievements, I want to surpass my father, but in my current situation, it's obviously unlikely, but now this otherworldly book has given me a chance, think about the benefits that this book can bring, for such benefits, even if it is worth gambling once, no matter what you think, I want to seize it anyway. ”

Xing Tianyu heard the determination in Xiao Zhen's heart, from the bottom of his heart, he himself also very much wanted to obtain such power, who lived in this era, who did not have some illusions about supernatural abilities in their hearts? It wouldn't be too cool to be able to get a spell or something for himself, but what happened in his childhood weighed on his heart like a shadow, making him unable to say anything to agree.

"In fact, we can look at this problem in a dialectical way." Ning Wenrui suddenly said at this time.

Several people looked at him.

Ning Wenrui smiled confidently and talked eloquently: "First of all, there are two possibilities for this matter, real or fake. Let's assume that there is a 50% chance of each of the two possibilities. ”

"If the summoning technique is fake, then the result of our summoning ritual will fail, so we naturally don't have to worry about any danger, just treat it as a special experience."

"On the other hand, if the summoning is real, then there are also two possibilities, the first possibility is that the summoning is working properly and summoning what we want, according to the book, the existing summoning is very safe and reliable, let's count it 90% of the time.

The second possibility is that the summoning technique is abnormal, and according to the book, the probability is extremely low, so let's count it as a 10% chance.

In other words, when we summon, there is only a 1/10 chance of an abnormality in 50%, which is 5%.

And even if the summoning technique is really abnormal, there will be two results.

The first possibility is that the summoned creatures aren't what we want to summon, but they're just as good to deal with. 50% chance.

The second possibility is that what is summoned is not what we want to summon, and it is dangerous. 50% chance.

With this calculation, we run a summoning ritual and end up with an anomaly and a very dangerous otherworldly creature only 2.5% of the time.

And what happens if you do summon a dangerous otherworldly creature? Then there are two possible outcomes.

The first possibility: we can't kill that thing, and then we destroy it all.

Second possibility: Even though it was dangerous, we killed the otherworldly creature.

In this way, the chance of dying for a summoning ritual is only 1.25%, doesn't that sound so terrifying? ”

Xing Tianyu really didn't know what to say when he heard it, what he said made sense, he was speechless, and listening to Ning Wenrui's analysis, he felt that the danger had indeed decreased a lot, but he always felt that there was something wrong.

Before he could say anything to refute, Xiao Zhen had already patted Ning Wenrui on the shoulder and said, "Haha, Wenrui still understands the matter, and besides, we don't summon those powerful things, just pick up the weakest summon." ”

Xiao Zhen had just said two words, but Ning Wenrui immediately interrupted him.

"Wait a minute, I haven't finished yet, although theoretically the chance of death for the first summoning ritual is only 1.25%, which seems to be very low, but from the second time, it has increased to 2.5%, because it is very simple, if the summoning technique is real, then there is no 50% chance that the summoning ritual will fail.

And let's say that the chance of death each time we perform the summoning ritual is 2.5%, theoretically as long as we make forty summons, we will be 100% certain to die, in fact, by the time the summon is tenth, our chance of death has already reached 25%, considering that there are four of us, then according to the probability and proportion, we will probably die one out of four. ”

Xiao Zhen's face suddenly became ugly, and Ning Wenrui didn't seem to support him much.

Ning Wenrui didn't care about Xiao Zhen's ugly face, and continued: "As the saying goes, how can you walk by the river without getting your shoes wet, if we are obsessed with the benefits brought by the summoning technique and continue to summon, sooner or later we will encounter dangers that are difficult to deal with, and then we will be wiped out, or one or two people will die."

In this way, it is no wonder that summoners are a dangerous profession, if my guess is correct, Qin Ming's uncle is likely to die because of this. ”

Having said this, Qin Ming's face also became ugly, but what Ning Wenrui said was indeed reasonable, and he really couldn't refute it.

Ning Wenrui is still saying: "I personally am not against taking risks, as long as there are enough benefits, it is nothing to fight, but if the danger is too big or the probability is too high, or even inevitable death, it is not cost-effective, so my personal suggestion is that we summon, but only summon four times, once per person, so that we only have a 20% chance of encountering fatal danger, and a 10% chance of dying, as long as our luck is not very bad, no one will die, At the same time, we can also gain some benefits from these four callings, so it is not a waste of this opportunity.

It's like a casino, if you win a handful and leave, you will never fall in love with war, and if you keep gambling, you are likely to lose everything. ”

The three of them listened, but Qin Ming was the first to nod, "This is a good idea, each of us can gain something, and we don't have to take too much risk." Xiao Zhen thought about it with a hesitant expression, and suddenly smiled slightly, "I also agree." ”

"So what do you think, Lao Xing?" Ning Wenrui said, and the eyes of the three of them all looked at him.

Xing Tianyu listened, but nodded hesitantly, although he didn't want to engage in this summoning technique, but he knew that if he blindly objected, it might end up being Xiao Zhen alone, maybe Ning Wenrui and Qin Ming would join him, in that case, God knows what the result would be in the end, on the other hand, if only four summoning rituals were carried out, and only those otherworldly creatures with relatively low risk were selected to summon, such a risk was still acceptable.

Thinking of this, Xing Tianyu finally nodded. "Yes, but it's all right, each person will only summon once, no matter what the outcome, we will never do this thing again, and if we really want to do the summoning ceremony, then we must be fully prepared, calculate all the possible risks, and try to avoid them."

"That's natural." Ning Wenrui said.

"So who's going first?" Xing Tianyu glanced at a few people and asked.

Xiao Zhen took a step forward, "Since it was my proposal, of course I came first." ”

As he spoke, Xiao Zhen turned the book to the second section of the fourth chapter, [About the Existing Summoning Spell].

There is a lot of content in this section, there are more than a dozen pages, and there are a lot of ready-made summoning spells, according to the book, these summoning spells are the most reliable summoning spells that those summoners have tried repeatedly in the past, and it also records the otherworldly creatures that these otherworldly creatures can summon, the benefits and risks that these otherworldly creatures can provide, and even the pictures of these otherworldly creatures, which can be called exhaustive.

After turning a few pages, Xiao Zhen suddenly stopped.

"Hey, this looks pretty good."

Several people looked together towards the illustration of the book, which depicted something like a skeleton with a flaming eye.