In the end, Brescia successfully defeated Modena with a score of 3:0 away from home with substitutes and a Zhang Shu lineup, and took away the three points without blood. Pen, fun, pavilion www. biquge。 With this victory, they have cemented their place in the first group of the league standings.

After 12 rounds of league matches, AC Milan leads the standings with an unbeaten record of 9 wins, 3 draws and 30 points. Roma have also quietly risen to second place, although they lost to Brescia's new team in the second round of the league, but in other competitions Roma still have eight wins and three draws, and they are currently on the same level with Brescia on 27 points.

Brescia, on the other hand, have conceded 10 more goals than Roma defensively, so even though they have scored as many as seven more goals than Roma, they are still in third place on goal difference.

As for Juventus, the Old Lady, who had been on a par with Milan at the beginning of the season, lost 2-0 again in the away conversation with Lazio in this round, and the Bianconeri lost three in a row in a week, including the defeat to Inter Milan in the previous round and the Champions Cup. You must know that Juventus, which is known for its stability, last lost three in a row back 12 years ago.

The back-to-back defeats have also dropped Juventus to fourth place in the rankings. Lippi, who has been in charge of Juventus for eight seasons, had a grim expression after the game, and at the beginning of the season the "Silver Fox" had already announced that this would be his last season at Juventus, and it would also be his last season in Italy - as a sign of respect for Juventus, he would not be coaching any Italian club again.

However, at the moment, it will not be easy for Lippi to leave another trophy for Juventus before leaving.

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Lippi's worries were not felt by Brescia, and after returning to Brescia from Modena, the team immediately threw themselves into the preparations for the next round of the Champions League group stage.

Although they have already qualified from the group ahead of schedule, Brescia's players have not diminished their desire to win the next game.

Because the opponent in the last round of the Champions League group stage is Porto.

Revenge is known as a cool-down delicacy in the Italian proverb, and it's been two months since the first meeting between the two sides, when Brescia were robbed of a win at home to Porto. In those two months, Porto and Mourinho have never been mentioned again, and the defeat, like the countless defeats experienced by these professional players, seems to have been forgotten.

But Mazzoni knew that the seeds of revenge had been buried in the hearts of the players, like a smoldering flame under the cover of ashes, and as soon as the breeze blew, that little spark would burn everything in flames.

Zhang Shu and other young players have been the most obvious, while veterans like Pep Guardiola and Baggio have been more tactful.

"I think we should still aim to win this game."

In the team's conference room, Guardiola stood up and said. "If we can get to the knockout round as Group G winners, we will be able to avoid most of the seeded teams in the round of 16 draw."

"I agree with Pep." Baggio nodded in agreement.

Mazzoni tapped his fingers on the table and did not speak immediately.

Of course he knows what the players really want to do. But as the head coach of the team, he has to think about the upcoming fixtures.

The match with Porto will be on December 10 three days later, the next league round will be on the 14th, three days later on the 17th there will be the second leg of the Coppa Italia against Modena, followed by the 14th round of Serie A on the 21st.

The two league games are against Empoli and Perugia, and Mazzoni's plan is for the two games that should take the three points. The Coppa Italia could continue to feature substitutes, but Brescia had been in a devil's schedule of two or even three games a week almost all the time, and as the winter break approached, the players' fitness was about to reach a critical point. Under such circumstances, is it necessary to send the whole main force to Portugal for a war of revenge of little significance?

With the group already qualified, the only point of going all out to win is to try to top the group to avoid those seeded teams.

However, with Brescia's quality, even those who finished second in the group are still very strong opponents for them.

At the top of each group are Lyon, Arsenal, Juventus, Manchester United, Real Madrid, AC Milan and Monaco.

According to the draw principle of the Champions League round of 16, it is impossible for Brescia to meet AC Milan and Juventus, so in fact, even if Brescia qualifies first in the group, the only seeded teams to avoid are Arsenal, Manchester United and Real Madrid, but there are also Bayern Munich, Deportivo Na, Inter Milan, Ajax, Stuttgart and other strong teams that may qualify for the second place in the group.

Looking at it this way, it may be easier to deal with Lyon and Monaco.

So in Mazzoni's mind, winning the group is not something that must be fought for. On the other hand, it may be more important to give the players an extra rest for the rest of the game.

"But this will inevitably affect the next league with Empoli... Mazzoni muttered.

"Zhang, what do you think?" The old man set his eyes on Zhang Shu, who was sitting in the corner and playing with his fingers.

"Huh?" Zhang Shu, who was named by the head coach, raised his head and looked dazed. This was his first pre-match coaching staff meeting, and in the past, Pep Guardiola was the only player in the squad to attend all the time, and even captain Baggio only came occasionally. When he was called this time, he thought he was just listening casually, but he didn't expect that Mazzoni called his name directly without asking for the opinions of so many assistant coaches, which caught him off guard.

"Just tell me what you think," Guardiola encouraged: "Don't be nervous, you'll have more meetings like this in the future." ”

Baggio will retire at the end of the season, so Pep Guardiola also wants Zhang Shu to be more involved in the management of the team.

In the time when Guardiola was speaking, Zhang Shu had also carefully organized the language. He looked at the current real-time score tables of each group displayed on the projection screen, and began to analyze it.

"We meet Bayern Munich in the first group, Laco has a 25% chance, and the second group has a 60% chance of drawing Arsenal, Manchester United and Real Madrid out of the remaining five teams after excluding Milan, Juventus and Porto."

His first sentence made everyone stunned, how did this number come from? Igor quickly pulled a piece of paper from the side and began to count on it.

"Assuming that we have a 30% chance of beating the above five seeded teams, while Celta Vigo and Sparta Prague have a 70% chance and a 50% chance of other teams, plus the schedule advantage of the first group qualifier is estimated to increase the probability of entering the top 8 by 10%, it can be calculated that the probability of entering the top 8 with the first place in the group is 60%, which will increase the probability of entering the top 8 by nearly 58% compared to the 38% of the second place in the group。。。。。"

At this time, Igor had already begun to figure out his phone and open the calculator software.

"If you add the expectation of the next round of the league, you need to calculate the 。。。。。"

"Wait a minute, Zhang." Mazzoni interrupted, "I don't know if you're right," he said, glancing at his assistant coach, who was still nervously calculating, so he continued.

"The outcome of a football game is not calculated by chance. And the win percentage between us and the other teams is also your estimate, which doesn't mean anything. ”

The head coach's words made his calculations useless, but a smile appeared on Zhang Shu's face.

"Ha, that's right, I just said nonsense." He spread out his hand, and the serious book just now disappeared without a trace in an instant, "For me, there are only two probabilities for the game, 50% to win and 50% not to win, so why do you count so much, just win one game at a time, let's kill Porto first, then kill Empoli, and then kill Modena Perugia, how good it is to have a happy Christmas after a wave of consecutive wins, why think so much." ”

Zhang Shu's relaxed words made Mazzoni's eyes round at him, "Hmph, if it weren't for your physical strength not being able to keep up, I wouldn't need to think about this at all!" ”

"Don't worry, Daddy! I'm so energetic right now! Absolutely! Zhang Shu patted his chest and promised.

"Even if you're fine, there are other people besides you," said Mazzoni, "aren't they tired?" ”

Zhang Shu hurriedly shook his head, "Don't be tired!" We've been waiting for Porto for a long time! How could you be tired! ”

'Carlo, we had a week off for our last league game against the Coppa Italia, so even if there is a league game in the future, there should be no problem with the physical strength. Baggio also said.

"Young players can't let them vent their breath."

"yes, I think so too."

"To be honest, I was really unwilling to lose last time."

The rest of the coaching staff also had their opinions.

These words finally made Mazzoni resolve.

"Okay, then let's hold on a little bit more and go all out to finish these four games before Christmas!"

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"Zhang, although you said that you were talking nonsense, but I just used a calculator to calculate, according to your hypothetical data, the numbers you calculated before are all mathematically correct!"

On the way out of the conference room, Igor shook his head while looking at the scratch paper with the dense calculation process written in his hand, "I used the calculator for a long time, and you actually opened your mouth to say the answer, how did you do it?!" ”

"To be honest, I still don't quite understand what you just said." Pep Guardiola also came in from the side.

"It's a very simple probability formula, P(A)=n1/m1+n2/m2+n3/m3, just put the data into mental arithmetic." Zhang Shu said as he walked.

"Mental Arithmetic !!???" Mericini shouted, "Zhang, I remember you didn't say that you didn't even graduate from junior high school?" ”

"That's right, that's what junior high school probability is all about." Zhang Shu said as a matter of course, "I learned from the second year of junior high school." ”

His answer surprised the three people present.

"Oh my God, are all Chinese junior high school students monsters!"

"This kind of mental arithmetic pediatrics~~" Zhang Shu smiled proudly, "Hmph, I can still calculate the prescription!" ”

He crossed his waist with one hand, raised two fingers forward with the other, and shouted out loudly in the posture of Frieza from "Dragon Ball" saying "I can transform twice", "2! Target! Flat! Square! Root! Be!! - One! Dot! Four! One! Four! ”

"It's really 1.414!!"

Igor exclaimed after taking out his phone and turning to a calculator.

"Hum huh," Zhang Shu continued his performance, "The square root of 3 is!" ――1.732！！ ”

"That's right! That's right!! Igor glanced at the calculator and danced with his hands.

"The square root of 4! ――2！ ”

"Oo!!oo

Igor was excited for a long time before he reacted, "I can figure this out!" ”