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Just when Sun Yuanqi was worried, Yuan Shikai approved Zhao Bingjun's resignation with lightning speed, and then quickly nominated Sun Yuanqi as the prime minister of the cabinet. Congress also changed the pace of procrastination in the past, and passed the bill by a large margin in three or two hours. In this way, Sun Yuanqi became the third cabinet premier of the Republic of China after Tang Shaoyi and Zhao Bingjun, and the first prime minister elected by the formal parliament.

Sun Yuanqi originally thought that he would be nervous and panicked after learning the news of becoming prime minister, but he didn't expect that when the moment really came, he would be calm. Pondering alone in the study for a long time, he then issued his first order after becoming prime minister: ordering Jiang Zhiqing to quickly resign from the post of governor of Sichuan and enter Beijing as soon as possible to take up the post of chief of the navy; The vacant governor of Sichuan was succeeded by Yan Xishan, the governor of Jin; Shaanxi Governor Zhao Xingzhi was transferred to Shanxi, Gan Governor Zhang Yuhe was transferred to Shaanxi, and the post of Gansu Governor was taken over by Cheng Ziyin, commander of the First Division of the Gansu Army. All transferred officials are only allowed to carry five attachés, and they are limited to 10 days to take up their posts, and violators will be severely punished.

After sending the telegram, he sent someone to invite Yang Du.

As soon as they met, Yang Du congratulated him happily: "Bai Xi was elected prime minister today, and Yang is also honored to be an old chicken dog in Huainan!" should have prepared a small gift to congratulate him, but Baixi suddenly ordered someone to summon him, and he didn't have time to prepare in a hurry, and asked for forgiveness. Yang Du is so happy, in addition to the reason why "one person has attained the Tao and the chicken dog ascends to heaven", it is also because he is the first person summoned by Sun Yuanqi after he became prime minister, which shows Sun Yuanqi's trust and respect for him.

Sun Yuanqi hurriedly helped Yang Du up: "When did the mister become so vulgar? ”

The two of them walked into the study with their arms. Sun Yuanqi said with a wry smile, "Sun has not been involved in Song Dunchu's assassination. Now Sun has been put on the prime minister's throne. Yuan Xiangcheng didn't want to lift Sun Mou, he obviously wanted to take Sun Mou to the stove to roast him! At this time, there are Bai Lang's troubles at home, Sun Yat-sen's rebellion, Britain occupying Pianma abroad, Russia promoting Outer Mongolia, and the financial income is beyond his means, is it so easy to be the prime minister? In my opinion, this prime minister is a donkey. The exterior is glamorous, but the inside is a mess of rotten grass! ”

Yang Du shook the folding fan and said: "It doesn't matter if the prime minister's position is a donkey egg, or a gold ingot." Baixi, now that you are the prime minister, you can't complain anymore, because complaining won't solve any problems. If you have that time to complain, you might as well think about how to solve these problems. I heard that Baek Xi was elected prime minister with a high vote. Since congressmen trust you so much. What should you do to repay it? ”

Sun Yuanqi sighed and said, "Why doesn't Sun know this truth? It's just that the situation is so erosive now, even if Sun has the heart to serve the country, I'm afraid he won't be able to return to heaven! ”

Yang Du closed the paper fan with a "bang": "Baixi came to Yang Mou, could it be just to listen to your complaints?" ”

Only then did Sun Yuanqi cheer up his god: "Let the child smile!" Sun Mou invited Huizi to come over mainly to take precautions, and wanted to sort out the recent domestic and foreign events with Huizi, and first come up with a rough handling charter, so as not to be in a hurry. Before that, I would like to inform Huizi of the conclusions reached by the China Policy Research Institute of Jingshi University and the relevant American think tank not long ago. ”

Seeing that Sun Yuanqi had a serious attitude. Yang Du was not only a little curious: "Oh? What did the China Policy Research Institute conclude? Was it researched by Liang Zhuoru? ”

Sun Yuanqi shook his head: "It's not Liang Zhuoru, it's someone else." This conclusion is top secret. In addition to Sun, you are the third Chinese to learn the news. The second person is naturally Lilith who is far away in Shanghai. Then he said: "According to research, in July and August next year, a large-scale war will break out in Europe, and Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Austria and other powers will be involved, and it will gradually spread to the whole world. This world war will last for four to five years and completely change the world pattern! ”

Yang Du was stunned for a moment, and then asked, "Is it a war between the three allies and the three allies?" ”

Although the names of the Central Powers and the Entente are well known because of World War I, their origins are very early. Like the "Central Powers", as early as 1879, the German Empire concluded a secret German-Austrian alliance with Austria-Hungary, and then in 1881 it formed an alliance with the Kingdom of Italy to form the Triple Alliance of Germany, Austria and Italy; The "Entente" can be traced back to the "Franco-Russian Alliance" between France and Russia in 1892 and the "Sincere Agreement" signed between Britain and France in 1904, and in 1907, because of the threat of Germany, France, Britain and Russia formally established the "Triple Entente", and Europe has since been divided into two camps.

The contradictions between the European powers have been around for a long time, and with the establishment of the two camps of the Central Powers and the Entente, the contradictions have intensified and gradually escalated. By 1913, the smell of gunpowder could be heard across the Atlantic, and any disturbance could turn into a world war. There are also reports on the radio and newspapers of various countries, and Yang Du is not surprised to know it, what really surprises him is that Sun Yuanqi has another top strategist, and that person can even guess the specific time when the war broke out!

Sun Yuanqi said: "Exactly! The results of the study show that the Allies had a certain advantage in the early stages of the war, but then a stalemate ensued, which could last for one to two years, before the United States joined the Entente and completely defeated the Allies. In this process, there are two points that deserve our attention: first, Russia will be attacked fiercely by Russia, and although the situation may improve in the later period, the probability of a revolution breaking out in the country is very high; The second is that Rì would have joined the Entente and declared war on Germany, but the goal of the battle was most likely to capture German-controlled Qingdao and then threaten the entire territory of Shandong. ”

In order to allow Yang Du to make correct decisions in future domestic and foreign events, instead of simply talking about things and being satisfied with deceitful power and opportunities, Sun Yuanqi did not hesitate to break more fierce news.

Yang Du immediately asked, "It was precisely because you expected that Rì might attack Qingdao that you sent Chiang Kai-shek to be the chief of the navy?" ”

Sun Yuanqi said: "There are also considerations in this regard!" ”

Yang Du asked again: "In addition to the reason why the United States joined the Entente, Baixi, where do you think the main reason why the Allies won first and then lost?" ”

"There are many reasons! For example, the Allies themselves had a relatively weak industrial base and relatively small overseas colonies, and their navy was difficult to compete with the Entente, resulting in a shortage of resources in the later stages of the war and weakening the war potential. The strength of the Allied countries was also uneven, and Germany, the strongest, had less room to maneuver and faced the crisis of fighting on two fronts; Italy, the weakest, is two-sided and stabbed, and it is easy to lag behind. Of course, the most important external factor is probably the entry of the United States into the war. Sun Yuanqi doesn't know much about this, and can only look for reasons based on the results.

Yang Du pondered for a moment and said: "According to the conclusion of the research just now, since the Allied Powers had the advantage in the early stage of the war, and then they could stalemate for a year or two, it is enough to show that the Allied Powers have the hope of victory. As Baixi said, the most important external reason is probably the entry of the United States into the war. However, the United States did not support the Entente from the beginning, it first had to sit on the mountain and watch the tiger fight, and reap the benefits of the fisherman. It was only at the last critical moment that a kick was inserted and the final word was made.

"But it can be seen that our Chinese factor was not taken into account in the whole speculation process. Would we have turned the tide of war if we had foreseen the intervention and active support of the Allies at the outset of the war? You said that the reason for the defeat of the Allies was the shortage of resources in the later stage of the war, and it just so happened that we in China were rich in resources! You said that Germany is facing the crisis of fighting on two fronts, and we can attack Russia from the east to deal with it, anyway, Russia has been China's great enemy of life and death since Kangxi! If we join hands with Germany to defeat Rìben in Qingdao, we can also forgive the debts of the Treaty of Xincho and recover the reparations from the Treaty of Shimonoseki, which will greatly alleviate the financial pressure on the Treaty! ”

Sun Yuanqi was taken aback: "We support the Allies? What if the Allies were defeated in the end? You must know that as early as 20 years ago, the United States ranked first in the world in terms of gross industrial output, and its advanced technology, complete categories, abundant resources, strong production strength, and high labor productivity are far beyond the reach of poor and backward China! With the present strength of our country, it is fundamentally insignificant in a war on a world scale; Only the strength of the United States is the weight that determines the outcome of the war!

"In Sun's view, our best strategy is to follow the example of the United States, maintain neutrality in the early stage of the war, sell war materials to the two camps of the Entente and the Central Powers, and make war profits; By the way, when the Western powers had no time to look eastward, they flattened the local divisions and completed the reunification of the whole country. Wait until the end of the war to announce that you will join the Entente and become one of the victorious powers, and see what benefits you can gain. With no rebellion at home and no fearless enemies outside, the country will definitely be rich and prosperous in the next 20 years of development. ”

Yang Du cross-examined: "What if you attack Qingdao and then threaten the entire territory of Shandong?" What if Russia supports foreign independence? What should the British army do if they forcibly occupy Pianma in Yunnan? ”

Sun Yuanqi was speechless.

Yang Du didn't think much of himself, and then said: "Of course, this question is not in a hurry to answer, after all, there is still a year before the expected outbreak of war, and we can think about it carefully." However, the outbreak of the war in Europe, which will last for four or five years, offers us a new way to solve many of our current problems. For example, Yuan Xiangcheng signed the "Aftermath Big Loan", which used to feel that the money was too huge and it would be very difficult to repay it in the future, so he tended to reduce the loan; Now you can safely and boldly borrow a large amount of money, and when the war breaks out, you can repay it in kind, or you can deliberately default on it, or even use it as the victorious country after the war and directly use it as war reparations.

"Another example is the issue of Russia's support for foreign affairs and the British army's forcible occupation of Pianma in Yunnan, which can be solved without hurry, and can be discussed with a 'drag' trick until Britain and Russia are mired in war, and at that time it is guaranteed to get twice the result with half the effort. We can use this year or two to expand our army as much as possible and concentrate on solving domestic problems while war breaks out in Europe. The so-called 'outside must first be inside'! ”。 )

ps: Gray often thanks everyone for their votes, so that this book actually ranked 20th in the "Historical Military" category!

Although I was tired from a lot of things today, I still stayed up late to update and thank my book friends.