Chapter 329: Ridiculous Probability
This time, God finally didn't joke with his classmates anymore, and the god of luck seemed to have returned to the camp of the brave again. The first time the pen and fun pavilion www.biquge.info jumped, the students successfully dodged the shock wave of the Bull-headed Emperor, and made sure that no earth thorns suddenly appeared under their feet, and everyone breathed a sigh of relief in mid-air.
But what about the next three hammers? With a 50% accuracy rate, the probability of guessing 4 times in a row is 6.25%, which is not high at all!
The classmates were very troubled, but Su Xiao couldn't. After the others jumped, they would land before the next swing of the bull-headed emperor's hammer to the ground, but Su Xiao replaced the dagger with a hand crossbow, and used the palace technique jump slash to shoot continuously, and maintained a stay in the air for at least 4 seconds with the insignificant recoil of the hand crossbow, watching the huge black iron hammer plunge into the hillside again!
At the critical moment, there must be many people slandering: We stand on the ground and take risks, you kid can't fly in the sky and can't come down, it's really not a thing! Su Xiao also read their thoughts from the eyes of his classmates, but in the face of such an enemy as the Bull-headed Emperor, that bit of psychological pressure was directly left behind by him, "Jump again!" ”
Jumping again? To be honest, the first jump was lucky, and the second jump will more or less make people beat the drum in their hearts, and Su Xiao is just casually talking nonsense, and the blind cat touches the dead mouse. However, the two sides of the silver coin are either positive or negative, and they don't have a score in their hearts anyway, so even if they grind for half a second, everyone still jumps. As a result, as Su Xiao said, there were no earth thorns on the hillside, and all the brave people dodged the shock wave again.
After the second hammer, Su Xiao returned to the ground with his classmates. The classmates all looked at him nervously, but he seemed to have an insight into the heavens, looked at the bull-headed emperor indifferently, and gave the third order without waiting for the hammer to land: "Jump again!" ”
"What?" Su Xiao opened his mouth and jumped three times in a row, and the distrust of his classmates changed directly from his eyes to words. Although the last time the boss hit four hammers was a stab and three shocks, but this time the probability of three consecutive shocks is too small, even if the person who gave the order is an absolute authority like Su Xiao, many people still secretly made up their minds, this time they won't jump anything, Lao Tzu wants to roll to you!
The emotions were cumulative layer by layer, and Su Xiao could also feel the suspicion of himself that permeated the air. Although he felt that it was not bad to let his classmates suffer a little loss and let them learn to trust each other, in the final analysis, Su Xiao was still soft-hearted, so after the boss's sledgehammer landed, before he jumped, he added another sentence: "Believe me, 100%!" ”
Almost all people have a phobia of choice, but almost no one knows where the root of the phobia lies. Society is so complex, and many things vary from person to person, from place to place, and from time to time, but if you analyze the current situation of Su Xiao and her group, the reason why they hesitate is because different choices will lead to a different result through different probabilities, and this result is likely to determine their life and death.
Don't say anything to those who doubt Su Xiao that there should be more trust between people, everyone knows this kind of truth, but almost no one can do it. Besides, if you really want to investigate it carefully, what they suspect is not Su Xiao at all, what they suspect is just the "jump" in Su Xiao's mouth.
Let's put ourselves in the shoes of the students, what is the choice that students are facing now? If survival is the main premise, then there are only two options in front of them, one is to jump and the other is to roll.
The reason why some students don't believe in the "jump" in Su Xiao's mouth is largely because their subjective intuition judges that "jumping" will put them in crisis. What's more, this subjective judgment is not unfounded, and it is also based on a certain amount of mathematical common sense.
In the four attacks of the Minotaur, the probability of each independent attack being a shockwave or an earth spike is 50%, then the probability of two consecutive shockwaves is 25%, and the probability of three consecutive shockwaves will become 12.5%, on the contrary, the probability of the third appearance of the earth spike will be 87.5%!
With such a huge probability difference, you tell me, what is your choice?
In fact, there are very few people, who are absolutely intimate, who can make such rational probability calculations in the blink of an eye. However, please believe that the experience of living to the age of 18 can definitely tell us what is the most rational way to survive in the first moments of the event. This reflex is powerful enough to control our brains to resist all questionable options.
For example, if the most authoritative doctor in the world gave you a pill and told you that it would be good for you, would you take it? In fact, even if the most authoritative doctor in the world told you that as long as you take that pill, you can live forever, you still won't take it, or you won't take it without frowning in the first place. Because your survival instinct will tell you that it is more reliable than immortality, which is less than 100% probable, or the next second when you are 100% alive.
Therefore, Su Xiao said what should be said most at this moment and did what should be done at this moment. Through his words and actions, he broke the humanity that bound us, thereby reassuring the doubts of his classmates.
First of all, Su Xiao shouted out a "100%" when the students were hesitant, and it was this specific number representing "absolute" that shattered the unclear probability in the students' subconscious; Then, Su Xiao was the first to jump, and he used the method of leading by example to show his example, telling his classmates that he was the leader of this group!
Facts speak louder than words, the third hammer of the Bull Head Emperor is still a shock wave, and the students once again dodged the boss's attack without danger, and Su Xiao's prediction also successfully trampled those humble probabilities under his feet.
But what about the fourth time? Watching the Bull-Headed Emperor lift the hammer above his head for the last time, the action of holding the hammer with both hands made the strength of this hammer seem better than the previous three times! This time, isn't it time to roll over?
As expected, Su Xiao shouted: "Roll over!" ”
"Well......" The students expressed their agreement with Su Xiao's choice in a long nasal voice, and the subtext in their hearts was: If you dare to say another jump, even if you PS 1000%, Lao Tzu will definitely not do it!
Regardless of whether Su Xiao and other classmates had the same thoughts in their hearts, at least Su Xiao finally made a decision that conformed to probability this time.
As mentioned earlier, the probability of four consecutive attacks of the same attack is only 6.25%, and the probability of changing the attack method for the fourth time is 93.75%! Even if it is not 100%, if this number is placed in the rise and fall of the stock market, it can definitely make all the stockholders in the country bankrupt and bet on it! And the result of this rollover did not disappoint anyone, except for a few people who were not sure of the timing and were slightly injured by the earth cone stalagmites, almost everyone escaped this round of attack of the Bull-headed Emperor unharmed. It must be admitted that Su Xiao has made great contributions!
"Su laughs! You're too godly, aren't you? How the hell do you guess? After seeing the so-called "miracle", Huang Yanyan was so excited that she couldn't continue to pretend to be a lady.
Hearing this, everyone turned their eyes to Su Xiao. At this moment, the boss or anything didn't matter to them at all, and everyone was eager to get the answer to this question.
The brave man was on standby, Su Xiao was almost scared, and hurriedly threw a dagger to chase the operation and rushed towards the Bull-headed Emperor, shouting while fighting: "Are you stupid?" Can't you see that what this thing smashes out with a hammer with both hands is a thorn, and what comes out with a hammer with one hand is a shock wave! (To be continued.) )