40. The true nature of the gambler...... Or are you forced to be helpless?
Genius remembers in a second [Aishang Novel Network biquge.info] to provide you with wonderful novels to read.
Are Yuan Shao and Dong Zhuo enemies of the same sky?
It's an interesting question, because perhaps even these two men themselves can't figure out the answer to it.
Why?
On the surface, Dong Zhuo killed Yuan Kui's family, while Yuan Shao was the culprit who rebelled against Dong Zhuo and caused him to eventually lose Luoyang, and even once used the power of the green dragon to almost turn Dong Zhuo into ashes. The total number of soldiers under the command who fell because of the battle between the two people was tens of thousands, many of which were the troops they relied on, especially for the Xiliang army from the sparsely populated Xiliang region, even if they fought extremely hard, but in fact they cared very much about their robes.
In public and private, it is not surprising that two people regard each other as feuds or rivals.
But in reality?
When Yin Kui proposed that Yuan Shao would use the imperial court, which no longer had much majesty in the eyes of the princes of the world, to pursue his own selfish interests, Yuan Shao agreed without hesitation, and didn't even think about whether Dong Zhuo, who was a sworn enemy over there, would make a move like "what you want is what I don't want" to ruin his good deeds.
No, as if he really had a heart, even if he didn't need anyone else to state more reasons, Yuan Shao believed that Dong Zhuo would definitely make the move he expected.
Cause?
Probably it's a man's intuition.
As a group of heroes, the goal is to take one step and see ten steps, and now it is almost possible to take one step and see three steps, even if sometimes it is absolutely completely different from the eyes of different people. Yuan Benchu. There are times when you rely on intuition, something that sounds like only a woman and is very unreliable.
Sounds funny?
However, Yuan Shao still instructed his subordinates to start preparations for the next period of war based on the strategy that Yin Kui had offered to get along with Xun Rui, and strive to expel Gongsun Zhan from the land of Jizhou with minimal losses.
In fact, Yuan Shao didn't think it was difficult to achieve this goal. After all, war is not a game, as long as you lay down a piece of territory, then the buildings and money and food on the territory will completely become the property of the victor, and then you can divide the base, collect taxes on the soldiers, and then immediately become the advance base to prepare for the next round of war.
Although the people's heart is indeed misleading and can be artificially influenced, it takes a period of time, unless it is like Yuan Shao who has done enough homework before and has his own bug halo. The Four Worlds and Three Princes", which can crush those families who have been flashed with the light of the halo with various dog eyes. The opponent also lost a lot of popularity due to the debuff called "Madness". Only then did Yuan Shao, in just a few months, not only swept the entire Jizhou, but also won the support of the people.
But what about Gongsun Zhan?
Although his background and past achievements are far stronger than Li Shushi, even if he marries a wife a little worse than Li Shushi, who is the son-in-law of the Zhen family, he is also a Taishou of 2,000 stones, and because of his straightforward and rigid character, he also has an appetite for the people in the border areas, plus the family support of the local noble family after becoming famous and his own excellent contributions. Only then was he able to gain a firm foothold in Youzhou.
It's a pity that most of the people who Gongsun Chan relied on to become famous were still real military exploits. It's not the ability to write books and speak in a literary style.
Although the Eastern Han Dynasty was not as heavy on literature and light on military force as it was in the Song Dynasty. However, this country founded on Confucianism is not only good at producing famous generals who are both civil and military, but also regards Confucianism and its related knowledge as the fundamental elements of the country's founding and the best way to select the national bureaucracy. The most terrible thing is from the founding emperor Liu Xiu to the hero of Lingyan Pavilion. Most of them are the masters who can't let go of the scrolls, so they will follow suit if they are good at the top, and a guy who is used to showing the image of a big old man will definitely not be able to integrate into the circle of the upper nobles of the Han Dynasty, and will also be faintly rejected by those families who want to integrate into the circle of the upper nobles.
Dong Zhuo's encounter in Luoyang and Li Shushi's encounter in Hedong will not be unprecedented, nor will there be no one who will come after him, at least Gongsun Zhan, who is also the chief general of the strong army in the border area, also encountered similar problems.
Not to mention that Bohai County is still the place where Yuan Shao started, and now Yuan Shao does not have a good place in Hanoi to replace, so he works harder, and the protégé of the Yuan family, Gongsun Zhan, really dares to slaughter it all?
This is clearly unrealistic.
Therefore, in Yuan Shao's view, Gongsun Chan now has only two ways to face - one is to digest the territory he has obtained with peace of mind and gradually integrate the power in his hands. Wait until the foundation is solid enough before considering further expansion.
As for the second way, then it is natural to have a heart, willing to cut oneself, take advantage of the favorable opportunity of Yuan Shao's forces to disperse, regardless of what problems will arise in the rear, and exert all his strength to annihilate the main force of Yuan Shao's army with a quick knife and chaos, and it is best to destroy Yuan Shao himself humanely, then the remaining Yuan army scattered soldiers are naturally not Gongsun Zhan's opponents, and when the time comes, Gongsun Chan can naturally slowly digest the large amount of territory that has been obtained, maybe five years, maybe ten years, maybe a longer period of time, Then consider the possibility of competing with the heroes of the world.
The first path belongs to the more secure type, and if Gongsun Chan chooses such a path, then ...... Yuan Shao will happily jump three feet high. Because he is now in the most dispersed period of strength, in other words, the weakest time, if Gongsun Chan does not fight him at this time, then it will be several times more difficult to fight him after Chun Yuqiong returns with the troops. How can I say that he Yuan Shao is not one of those stupid birds in Xiliang, and getting together can also make Cao Xiaozi's excitement increase.
At that point, who will attack and who will probably be reversed.
And even if Yuan Shao joins the troops, he doesn't want to attack, with his own more than half of Jizhou's territory to engage in exhibitions and farming, Gongsun Chan is definitely not the opponent of Yuan Shao, who is good at the construction of the bureaucratic system, not to mention that Yuan Shao is not a stupid person like Song Xianggong, and will also make your Gongsun Chan a stable farming riot, and a little action can make Gongsun Chan feel uncomfortable.
Therefore, although the first road seems to be very stable, it is a dead end for Gongsun Zan in Yuan Shao's calculations. The only variable is to look at Yuan Shao's mood to decide whether Gongsun Chan will die or commit suicide slowly.
And what about the second way?
Careful analysis is indeed more transparent than the first way. At least if Gongsun Chan can really win in one battle, then the next situation will indeed become more favorable, and it is even unknown that he will eventually replace Yuan Shao as the overlord of the north.
However, it is said that the avenue is fifty and the sky is forty-nine, leaving only the one who has escaped to give hope to those who work hard, and it can be imagined how difficult it is to fight for this only ray of hope, not only requires great perseverance, but also needs great opportunity to achieve it - of course, this is not Yuan Shao, who has taken advantage of the time, place and people, but Gongsun Zan as his opponent.
Gongsun Chan wants to use a battle to get out of the unfavorable situation he faces, and this idea is good. But the premise is to ask Yuan Shaojun, who is now full of talents.
Although because of Li Shushi, Yuan Shao lost Liyi, the best general in the early stage of Yuan Shao's army. also lost Zhang Jaw, a general who was not too famous in the early stage, but also had the ability to be on a par with Yan Liang, Wen Chou and others, and it can be said that it was greatly affected compared with the strength of the same period in another plane.
However, it cannot be said that because of the appearance of Li Shushi, Yuan Shaojun only lost but did not gain - at least under the pressure of Li Shushi and the group of "bad regiments" who followed him at the beginning, Yan Liang and Wen Chou, the two most powerful and powerful generals under Yuan Shao now, have improved considerably compared with them at the same time in another plane, both in terms of force and experience and skills in leading troops. has experienced the tempering of Lu Bu and others and the tempering of the Northwest Battlefield. They and the Jizhou army under their command were not weaker than the Gongsun Zan army as an opponent in terms of combat effectiveness. Even in terms of the combat effectiveness of the elite troops, the cavalry troops commanded by Yan Liangwen Chou and the halberd soldiers commanded by Jiang Qi may even be a little higher than the white horse Yicong who was crippled and rebuilt for a long time.
In other words, if Gongsun Chan planned to take advantage of this time difference to attack Yuan Shao's army, as long as Yuan Shao's command did not make major mistakes. Then with the existing chips in Yuan Shao's hands, it is enough to support the arrival of reinforcements and turn the situation around.
Even taking a step back, even if Gongsun Chan can defeat Yuan Shao's arrangement on the front line, as long as he fails to make a tactical "big collapse" or capture Yuan Shao, then Yuan Shao can still slowly retreat and gather his forces in order to fight again.
As a result, this brings us to the second troublesome problem that Gongsun Chan has to face - logistical supply.
As I said before, the most fundamental reason why Gongsun Chan finally stopped instead of taking advantage of Yuan Shao's hurried return to have a beautiful sports battle was that the back road was not smooth, and his logistics and supplies were threatened by Yan Zhan.
Gongsun Zhan went to Jizhou to fight, although there was no shortage of heroes like Yan Gang who supported him, and he was able to buy some local people and small families to be the leading party, but in the final analysis, there were not too many forces that could be won. Even if Gongsun Chan was able to defeat Yuan Shao, most families would choose neutrality rather than take the initiative to help Gongsun Chan before the situation became clear. This also means that if Yuan Shao consciously reduced his troops to zero, the threat to Gongsun Zhan's supply line would be almost unimaginable.
If Gongsun Chan had been able to achieve victory until Yuan Shao had no chance of a comeback, then he would still be able to see the day of victory. But as long as Gongsun Chan's victory is curbed, even a small defeat could turn into a massive collapse.
Don't forget that even Cao Cao, who has a lot of talents under his command and also has a hundred elite soldiers, won the battle of Guandu and the battle of Liyang, and the three Yuan brothers who faced the same brother had to temporarily retreat to Xu Du to wait and see what happened. Gongsun Zhan's talents are not as prosperous as Cao Cao's, and the land of Youbeiping and Liaoxi counties can never be compared with the prosperity of the hinterland of the Central Plains, even at this time, Yuan Shao's strength cannot be compared with the strength of the land that commanded the four states during the battle of Guandu, but Gongsun Chan does not have the Buddha of the Son of Heaven in his hand.
Therefore, it is not impossible for Gongsun Chan to make a difference on his own, but it requires the cooperation of too many factors.
It was precisely because of such considerations that Yuan Shao dared to finally agree to temporarily cede Wei County, and wait until he solved the big trouble of Gongsun Zhan, and then consider when and how to take back the big fat he threw out before.
Of course, if Yuan Shao knew that Liu Yu, who had been hiding behind this war, would not allow Gongsun Zhan to defeat Yuan Shao and become the new overlord of Hebei so easily, he might be even happier.
But. At the same time, Liu Yu must not allow Gongsun Zhan to lose to Yuan Shao so easily, otherwise Yuan Shao would easily become the overlord of Hebei after this battle, and then use his political and economic advantages to sweep the country, and even push Liu Yu to the position that made him feel like roasting on a stove, which was obviously not in line with Liu Yu's political concept as a loyal minister of the Han family.
Therefore, the complicated process of this war, which is destined to be doomed, will not be much simpler because Yuan Shao threw the bait of Wei County.
And while Yuan Shao was analyzing the situation he was facing, Gongsun Zan on the other side was also distressed by the situation in front of him.
"How much military food and civilian food are left, the harvest in Youbeiping and Liaoxi is estimated to be unexpected, if we can collect more from Hejian and Bohai, at least we can make the fathers and children in our hometown suffer a little crime, and follow our brothers to have a good year at home."
"But my lord. If we levy too much in the rivers and in the Bohai Sea. I'm afraid it will provoke a popular uprising. After all, these two areas are just newly annexed lands, and the people's will is uncertain, if there are any more enemy troops to spread rumors and make trouble, I am afraid. I'm just afraid ......"
"What Lord Yan Shuji said is true. But the issue of grain and grass is also urgent. After all, the grain and grass we have in our hands now, even if there is no war, can only last less than a year at most. We've wasted too much time before. If we can't decide in a battle, if we let Yuan Benchu stabilize his position and adjust it, I'm afraid that the situation will be very disadvantageous to us. ”
"You can't ask Xuande Gong to help you with one or two. In addition, let him storm An Xi and really set the front line to share the pressure for our army? ”
"If it's a short period of time, with the relationship between me and Xuande, it's okay to pull down my face, but this year's year in Youzhou is generally not good, and Xuande's grain and grass are not much more generous than ours, even if we have the heart, it is a drop in the bucket for us."
Gongsun Zhan, Gongsun Fan, Yan Gang, as well as Tian Kai, Shan Jing, Guan Jing, Wang Men, and Zou Dan, who were trusted by Gongsun Zhan, were the main teams that determined the battle strategy of Gongsun Zhan's army. Although there are still favored ministers such as Liu Weitai, Le Hedang, and Li Yizi who are trusted by Gongsun Zhan, the influence of these people is mainly reflected in the internal and foreign affairs of Gongsun Zhan's forces, and they have not yet been able to gain Gongsun Zhan's trust in military affairs.
Look at the names of these people around Gongsun Zhan, and then look at Yuan Shao's side, it's unbearable to look at.
Of course, Gongsun Chan can't feel this gap, because these people, especially his own excellent military literacy, have been enough to deal with most situations in foreign wars in the past, even if there is a failure like Guan Zicheng, at most it will make Gongsun Chan more cautious in the face of certain situations in the future, after all, as the saying goes: victory and defeat are common things in soldiers.
And just now, who was arguing about the next strategy was Gongsun Zhan and his most trusted kinship general, Gongsun Fan, and Yan Gang, the representative of the local forces in Jizhou who had made great contributions in the raid on Jizhou and showed great excellence. Several of the other subordinates trusted by Gongsun Chan were not too familiar with the situation in Jizhou, so they did not find a good opportunity to intervene for the time being.
The main point of contention among several was the attitude towards the two newly occupied areas of Hejian and Bohai.
And the reason for such a controversy is related to the timing of Gongsun Zhan's choice of sending troops.
If tactically speaking, this time Gongsun Chan's timing of the dispatch can be said to be just right, and the whole combat process can also be said to be seamless, in a vulgar phrase, Gongsun Chan fought a "classic textbook" like an ancient blitzkrieg, from the process to the result is worthy of Gongsun Chan's title of "famous general in the late Han Dynasty".
However, the strategic hidden dangers of this battle are huge.
As mentioned earlier, there has been a severe drought in the summer and autumn of this year in Youbeiping and western Liaoning in the two places under the jurisdiction of Gongsun Zhan, and although it cannot be said that there has been no grain harvest, a large-scale reduction in output is predictable.
Although he relied on the stock of grain in previous years and spent high prices to obtain a part of the old grain from Liu Yu and even the caravans in Bingzhou, with the progress of military operations, especially in order to speed up the offensive and strengthen the intensity of the attack, higher requirements were put forward for the supply of grain and grass, and the consumption degree was somewhat more than the budget before Gongsun Zhan sent out the army.
The most important thing is that because Gongsun Zhan sent troops this time to finally turn the land he gained into his own territory, so he basically maintained relatively high military discipline requirements all the way, whether it was a quick attack or an internal purge, except for the limited massacre in Nanpi City in order to allow the troops with considerable losses to vent a few cities, although the rest of the area could not be said to be as innocent as the Eighth Route Army, but it also absolutely did not take a destructive sweep of the occupied areas.
However, under Yuan Shao's propaganda offensive, Nanpi Yitu was extremely exaggerated, such as "killing people and wailing everywhere, the Qing River outside Nanpi City was dyed bright red, and the river was cut off by corpses" and other remarks were very uproar in the river and the Bohai Sea, which not only made Gongsun Chan annoyed, but more importantly, made the people who were already nervous about the invaders more timid, and made those who had originally maintained a cold and neutral attitude towards the arrival of Gongsun Chan become cold and uncooperative.
So much so that now that it is time for the autumn harvest, Gongsun Zhan's old nest Youbeiping and Liaoxi have a very poor harvest, and if they want the people to survive the cold winter, they must reduce their tax burden. Although the newly occupied two counties seemed to be a bumper harvest, Gongsun Chan had no way to increase the tax burden collected, and even popular in the area demanded that Gongsun Chan reduce the tax burden as compensation for the damage caused by Gongsun Chan's invasion.
Yes, Gongsun Zhan, as the ruler of this region and the master of violence, can certainly not care about these so-called "public opinions", even if he really adopts violent conscription and those powerful people who really dare to resist, there will not be too many, but this also means that his dominance in this place is weakened, if he loses to Yuan Shao in the subsequent battle, then the situation he will face will most likely become a terrible situation of "there are local powerful private troops blocking the way, and Yuan Shao's pursuers are chasing after him".
Moreover, according to the various voices coming out of the two counties during this time, Gongsun Chan also experienced the various feelings of powerlessness that Dong Zhuo and Li Shushi felt in front of those families.
Perhaps, this is what makes Gongsun Chan feel most discouraged.
The controversy lasted for half an hour, but still no conclusion could be reached, of course, Yan Gang, as a local force in Jizhou, was unwilling to Gongsun Chan to kill the intricate Jizhou family, so he tried his best to obstruct Gongsun Zhan's tough methods, but in the final analysis, it was because of Gongsun Zhan's inner hesitation that this general who had always been vigorous and resolute had some gains and losses at this time.
At this time, a voice that made Gongsun Zhan, who was a mess of paste in his mind at this time, feel familiar:
"What's so difficult about this matter, I can't make up my mind after discussing it for so long. In a certain opinion, although the large-scale expropriation is not good for the people, it is even more weak to agree to the demands of those powerful families. Since the left and right are not the best choice, then the lesser of two evils, if our army is defeated, then it is better to levy grain and grass to give priority to our army officers and soldiers. It's just that we still need to use a little means, such as imposing heavy penalties on those leaders who refuse to cooperate, and rewarding those who cooperate, as long as we can defeat Yuan Benchu, even if those people are dissatisfied, they will never dare to jump out and make waves again! ”
Hearing this, Gongsun Zhan's eyes suddenly lit up. (To be continued......)
ps: ps: I worked six days this week, so I can only change one shift. And depending on the situation, it will be busy for a while in the next period, and I need to learn a lot of things that are originally very unfamiliar, which feels a little difficult, and I hope to be able to sort it out quickly.
ps2: Kunming is so troublesome, it seems that the privileges of many ethnic minorities are only afraid to be canceled, and this kind of terrorist attack is only afraid that it will become a common phenomenon in China in the next few years, so build yì when you go out with a long mind, if you don't feel tired, bring a short wooden stick or something, at least you can prevent yourself in a similar situation, after all, this kind of thing basically don't expect po1ice such a thing......