Chapter 81: Do you want to?
As the oldest cup competition in England, why the FA Cup has surpassed other competitions to become one of the most important cups for English clubs, in addition to adding a trophy with enough weight to the Hall of Fame, the European qualification attached to the FA Cup is what many small and medium-sized clubs that cannot challenge the traditional giants in the league are looking for.
Of course, even such a small and medium-sized club is not comparable to the current Cambridge United. Therefore, Tang Hua said that the probability of Cambridge United winning the FA Cup is less than one percent, in fact, if this sentence spreads, no one will think that Tang Hua is modest, on the contrary, this is not much different from speaking wild words.
Cambridge United's ability to survive the qualifying rounds and qualify twice in the knockout rounds is a good result, however, as we all know, the third round of the FA Cup is the end for many small and medium-sized clubs like Cambridge United, as it is from this round that Premier League clubs officially enter the competition.
According to the draw that has just passed, Cambridge United's opponent in the third round of the FA Cup is precisely a Premier League team, this Premier League team is no longer a Manchester United award like last year, but a team that once impressed Linson, Everton.
Against Everton, what percentage of a chance do Cambridge United have to keep going? Anyway, no media is optimistic.
"So, what about tournaments?" Lin Sen then asked.
If the FA Cup is the cup with the lowest success rate, then the English League Championship, which is exclusive to the lower leagues, is undoubtedly the most likely honour for Cambridge United at the moment.
As a low-level cup competition. The format of the English League Championship is simple and straightforward, with the tournament divided into two divisions, North and South, with five rounds each. In addition to the home and away two-legged elimination system for the respective championship stations in the north and south divisions, the whole process is decided. Of course, the reason why Cambridge United are more likely to win this competition is not because of the format, but because the competition is limited to teams in League One and League Two.
"Fifty percent." Tang Hua's answer is still very realistic.
Compared with the FA Cup, Tang Hua only has a 50% success rate estimate for the tournament. Obviously more "modest", but also closer to reality. After all, in this one of the few competitions in history where Cambridge United have won the title, Cambridge United can face opponents other than their current opponents in League One. The opponents in the second division are no strangers to them, but just like the current results of Cambridge United in the league, Tang Hua still does not dare to say that he has won.
The number of five or five is the most realistic ratio.
Hearing Tang Hua's answer, Lin Sen also understood why Tang Hua, who had been "silent" for half a season, suddenly broke his silence. How will Cambridge United, which is fighting on four fronts, make trade-offs in the next multi-front operations? This is not a question that can be answered in football textbooks.
Fighting on four fronts, this situation is encountered almost every season in the Manchester City era, and of course, not always to the end. For this condition. Lin Sen once had a figurative metaphor, that is, the lottery. Once you participate, you have the potential to win all the jackpots. But most of the time, all you end up getting is a thank you for participating.
The current situation of Cambridge United, for Tang Hua, to put it in layman's terms, is a few lottery tickets that have opened a few numbers. The FA Cup is a big prize. It's a pity that only two numbers were drawn, and the tournament was not a big prize. But only the last two numbers remained. If you are given a chance to win 10 million in 10 and a chance to win 100 million in 90%, which one will you choose?
Stripped away some of the possibilities of drilling the horns, everyone can become an out-and-out gambler at this time. If one is not careful, the four lines go hand in hand, and it is easy to become empty of the four majors. In this regard, the risks and benefits are always proportional.
After answering Lin Sen's words, Tang Hua had been looking at Lin Sen, and Lin Sen also knew that the other party was waiting for his answer, so he didn't let Tang Hua wait long.
"Do you know what a gambler's mindset is?" Lin Sen said.
“…… Always think you can turn the tables? Tang Hua was silent for a moment, as if he was pondering the deep meaning of Lin Sen's question, and then he said.
"It's just one of them." Lin Sen nodded and said, "Always be lucky, this is the psychology of gamblers." They are always able to make excuses for each of their lives, and then, as you said, always think that they will be able to turn the tables next time, but every time, what awaits them is almost a bloody head. ”
“…… Do you think I should put my focus back on the league? ”
Of course, Tang Hua would not think that Lin Sen's words were just defining what a gambler was for himself, so naturally, he thought that Tang Hua's words were defining him now, or perhaps warning him not to become a gambler. It's just that......
"Nope." Lin Sen shook his head, "It's not my style to give up, and I don't want that to be your style." Now the team is in a moment full of chances, and there is no reason to give up. As for the trade-off, I can't give you a standard answer, all I can tell you is that you are already sitting at that table, you can have that identity, but you must not have that mentality. ”
That table is the gambling table, and that identity is the gambler. That mentality is naturally a fluke mentality.
After all, there are not many luck things in this world, Cambridge United certainly have the possibility of winning the FA Cup, and it is not even impossible to become a quadruple winner, but if before that, you think that this possibility can become a reality, it is a fluke, and people with this kind of mentality are generally not far from re-acquainting themselves with how cruel reality is.
Becoming a gambler is unavoidable, because the gambling game is there, but whether you want to become a gambler or not depends on the individual.
Every season, whenever a team is faced with a multi-front battle, there is always the media who like to analyze how to choose for them for free, and it is the way, but sometimes this problem is not so complicated, although Lin Sen has not experienced such confusion as Tang Hua now, but for Lin Sen in the later period, this problem has never been a problem.
Because he is not lucky, he will not deliberately give up a certain front, nor will he deliberately focus on a certain front, and change the fool's approach, that is, only focus on the next game.
Tang Hua is not stupid, he has begun to appear in the mouth of the outside media, he has begun to appear in the mouth of the outside media, he quickly understood the meaning of Lin Sen's words, the doubts in his heart were solved, and his application seemed to be a lot easier, and then, he shifted the topic from himself to Lin Sen.
"I saw word that you might go to Germany?"
"It seems that the German side has not done a very good job of secrecy." Hearing Tang Hua's question, Lin Sen said with a smile.
"Really?" Tang Hua was a little surprised.
There is no shortage of markets for good coaches, just as good players are never afraid that no one wants them. Whenever a team is in trouble and a manager is in trouble, there are always some replacements whose names are mentioned. And what can remind the media of Linsen will naturally not be an ordinary team, like Real Madrid last summer, and now, this club has been replaced by Bayern Munich in Germany.
Frankly speaking, Bayern Munich's current results are not bad, and Guardiola's situation in Bayern Munich is not to the extent of getting out of class, except for the Bundesliga, Bayern Munich has never lost its competitiveness in Europe, and is a strong contender for the Champions League almost every season, and the changes that Guardiola has brought to Bayern Munich are indeed obvious to all.
It's a pity that Pep Guardiola has never been able to bring Bayern Munich to the top of Europe, except, of course, this season. For Guardiola, Bayern Munich has given great trust, whether it is Bayern's celebrities or their management, they have publicly supported Guardiola, and Guardiola has also insisted that he will not leave Bayern Munich.
However, tens of millions of words still can't match the fact that Guardiola's three-year contract with Bayern Munich is about to expire, and in the face of this expiring contract that is now only a few months away, both sides are silent about renewing the contract. is like a celebrity couple who are extremely loving in front of the media, but in private they have come to the verge of divorce.
Linson doesn't know what the exact state of Bayern Munich and Pep Guardiola is, but the fact is that Bayern Munich are already looking for a replacement for Pep Guardiola, although so far it has only been informal contacts, placed in the player transfer market, that is, at this stage where they are only showing their affection for each other for the time being.
Bayern Munich did not give Linsen any "token of love", and Linsen did not give Bayern Munich any promises.
Therefore, in the face of Tang Hua's question, Lin Sen only answered half-jokingly.
"Half-truths."
"It doesn't matter who you are?" Hearing Lin Sen's words, Tang Hua was somewhat envious in his heart, not that he was disloyal to Cambridge United, but how many managers could get an invitation from Real Madrid last summer and coach Bayern Munich this summer? Tang Hua really couldn't imagine how long he would need to coach Cambridge United to get such a "courtesy".
"What does it matter?" Lin Sen said lightly.
Tang Hua's identity in Lin Sen's mouth naturally refers to Lin Sen's identity in Cambridge United, although there is no explicit provision that a football investor cannot engage in a career directly related to football, but with such an identity, it is inevitable to lead people to reverie. It's just, as Lin Sen said, what does it matter?
Not to mention that English League One and Bundesliga were originally two leagues that were not related, even if you take a step back, these two leagues have a certain connection, and Lin Sen does not hold any position at all in Cambridge United, if he wants to avoid this suspicion, it is actually very simple, just transfer the shares to Boya's name.
At that time, who will be able to point fingers at him? Therefore, the question is whether Lin Sen wants to, not whether he can or not. (To be continued)
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