Volume 1 Chapter 127 The Layman's Intuition
Since the crossing, there has always been a lingering sense of crisis in Ye Qiu's heart.
That's the butterfly effect!
Sometimes he would suddenly feel very scared, afraid that everything he knew about the next few years would become rubbish, that the players he knew would be wasted one by one, that the original talent would be wasted for all sorts of reasons.
This sense of crisis makes him work hard, because he always believes that the reason why he has such a sense of crisis is because his own strength is not strong enough, and only if he has enough strength and coaching ability, then he can overcome this sense of crisis.
It's been two years since he crossed over, and he has become more and more integrated into this new world, and he has gradually discovered a lot of things.
The so-called butterfly effect is not so terrible, many things should be how they should be, and many players will still become talents, because in this world, many things are doomed.
Just like Ibrahimovic, he insists on practicing his physical confrontation and flexibility training every day, and he maintains half an hour of basic movement training every day, which is the reason why he has improved his strength rapidly in the past year, and with his talent and talent, coupled with his hard work, can he not succeed?
The same goes for Arjen Robben, Van der Vaart, Sneijder and a bunch of other players, who are now full of desire to succeed, and who have great talent and hard work to do so, and who have a strong sense of discipline, so they have a very good chance of success.
It is precisely because Ye Qiu clearly knows that the butterfly effect is not so terrible, so he dared to invest all his wealth in the stock market before and handed it over to Eliza to run Standard & Poor's.
Just kidding, he's never even been to the United States in his life, and he doesn't know what America looks like, and if the butterfly effect can still float over, it's a bit unbelievable.
And the facts once again proved that he was indeed right this time.
On Tuesday, September 11, in the morning of New York time, the 911 incident occurred.
Not long after, Ye Qiu, who was in Amsterdam, finished his lunch break, got up and sat in the office watching the news, and saw this breaking news, and he felt relieved at that time, because he knew that this time he had escaped again.
As he said, a lot of things are doomed.
Regardless of whether he Ye Qiu is or not, ** is going to launch the 911 incident.
After reading this report, Ye Qiu called Eliza's phone as soon as possible.
"There has been a terrorist attack in New York, USA, and the New York Stock Exchange has just released news that it will suspend today's stock market trading, and the specific resumption time is to be determined!" As soon as the phone was connected, Eliza was over there and told Ye Qiu her latest news.
Ye Qiu had been mentally prepared for this, the World Trade Center in New York was attacked by terrorists, and the closure of the market was expected.
"How's it going?" Ye Qiu asked with concern.
"In the past August and early September, the S&P fell below 1100 points, but yesterday, that is, on the 10th, Monday, the S&P had a great improvement, and even almost rushed back above 1100 points at one point, and finally closed at 1096 points, and the vast majority of people are very optimistic about the S&P returning to above 1100."
When she said this, Eliza couldn't believe it, "But with this terrorist attack, I guess the U.S. stock market is about to plummet, and it may fall very badly!" ”
Almost anyone with even the slightest bit of analytical acumen can come to the conclusion that this is the worst and most tragic terrorist attack ever carried out on American soil.
During the Second World War, Japan attacked Pearl Harbor, which was in Honolulu, that is, Hawaii, which was far away from the mainland of the United States and hung alone in the Pacific Ocean.
In the past few hundred years, the United States has been able to rise rapidly, a very important reason is that there are no strong opponents around it, and the United States located in North America does not need to worry about being attacked from the outside world at all, which has also become a kind of strong confidence in him from investors in the world.
But now, this unbreakable confidence will completely collapse with the occurrence of 911, and after becoming a world policeman, the United States has made many enemies. Where is the day after tomorrow? This unpredictable psychological shadow is bound to hang over the United States for a long time.
This is where Eliza, on the other end of the phone, made the inference that the U.S. stock market plummeted.
The stock market, or finance, can never escape the influence of politics.
"To be honest, why did you swear that the Standard & Poor's must have plummeted?" Eliza suddenly thought of what Ye Qiu had said before, was it really just a coincidence?
Ye Qiu smiled, "Didn't you say I had inside information?" Terrorists told me! ”
The more he said with such a grinning face, the more Eliza didn't believe him, "Believe you are a fool!" ”
"I'm optimistic that the U.S. Standard & Poor's will fall, you see, won't it fall in August?" Ye Qiu asked rhetorically.
Without waiting for Eliza to answer, Ye Qiu said again, "The reason why I am optimistic about the long-term decline is because I have an intuition that the U.S. stock market has risen too fast, just imagine, since the mid-90s, when Internet technology stocks soared, the U.S. stock market was like building a building in the air, multiplied several times, like riding a rocket!" ”
"After the bubble burst of Internet technology stocks in 2000, I thought that at least we should rest for a while, because we Chinese have a saying that is very right, illness comes like a mountain, illness goes like a thread, the stock market is the same, you need to lay a foundation first, lay a solid foundation, and then slowly rise, but you find no, its rise speed is almost up and down!"
"You mean the foundation is shaky?" Eliza somewhat understood Ye Qiu's judgment.
"Yes, the foundation is not stable, he will have problems sooner or later, and the faster he rises, the more painful it falls, so when the rise hovers around 1200-1300 points, I feel that it should be almost time, and not only that, I even dare to conclude that if this time things are not handled well, there will continue to be problems in the future!"
In order to convince Eliza, Ye Qiu had already begun to prepare such a wording, because he knew very well that Eliza would definitely be surprised by his judgment, and if he wanted to use a reason to convince this woman who was a little scary, the best way to say it was intuition!
Because human intuition is the most inexplicable!
"Hearing you say this, I think that most of the investors in the world should hang themselves, they are not as accurate as your layman's intuition!" Eliza apparently believed him.
As early as 2000, when the bubble of Internet technology stocks burst, some economists had already raised such concerns, but a group of Wall Streeters who were used to making quick money did not pay attention to these at all.
"It's not that they don't have this kind of awareness, but they are too eager for quick success!" Ye Qiu said with a smile.
Some decisions, from a short period of time, may be very stupid, but when you magnify him to a certain extent, you will find that it is beneficial for a thousand years, just like Emperor Yang of the Sui Dynasty opened up the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, when the Sui Dynasty fell, everyone said that he was wrong, and it was ridiculously wrong, but if there was no Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, would there be a later Tang Dynasty?
The same is true of the Qin Dynasty, Qin Shi Huang's great move created the future Han Dynasty, can you say wrong?
Not to mention the distance, to put it closely, Ye Qiu is now investing so much in the academy of Ajax, improving the scouting system, improving the software and hardware facilities of the academy, from a short period of time, it is a loss, it is throwing money, but in another two or three years, the whole system will start to run well, and it will continue to provide Ajax with a steady stream of talent reserves in the future, so is it a loss or a profit?
There are many truths that people don't understand, but they don't have the will to do it.
"And what do you think now?" Eliza asked with concern.
Ye Qiu thought for a while, "I guess that there shouldn't be a sharp plunge in a short period of time, and there may even be a period of gains, because what everyone expected, those who don't want to see the U.S. stock market plummet can also see it, but the overall trend must be down, so we must be prepared for a long-term battle." ”
If he remembers correctly, it seems that it was in 2002 that the US Standard & Poor's fell to its lowest point in more than a decade.
"Well, listen to you!" Eliza no longer doubts his instincts now, but feels that this guy's intuition is really accurate, at least, his layman's judgment is very accurate.
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The New York Stock Exchange did not resume trading until September 17, the first Monday after 911, but it plummeted on the first day of trading, falling by as much as 53 points in a single day.
But Ye Qiu still has a clear priority, the trading on the US stock market is just a part-time job for him, and his main business is coaching Ajax, which is what he should really care about, so he handed over all the buying and selling transactions on the stock market to Eliza to be responsible, and he devoted himself to the Eredivisie.
On September 15, PSV Eindhoven suffered another away upset, losing 0:2 to Breda, which undoubtedly surprised the whole Netherlands, because Gretz's team had a very poor start to the league, only played 5 rounds, but had already lost 2 games, and the departure of Van Nistelrooy did lead to the weakening of Eindhoven's attacking line.
The combination of the twin towers of Heselink and Brookingk seems to be very beautiful, but in fact there are many shortcomings, as long as they are slightly limited and utilized, how much effect this pair of twin towers can have, it is still unknown index, and the departure of Kolka on the left side, Kezman's performance after pulling to the side, these are all tests for Gretz.
In another game at the same time as PSV Eindhoven, Van Marwijk's Feyenoord successfully eliminated Graafschap 2-0, while Ajax's game was a little later, Ye Qiu played Alkmaar with a semi-main squad in order to prepare for the opening group game of the European Champions League in midweek.
In the second half, seeing that the situation was unfavorable to his side, Ye Qiu decisively replaced Van der Vaart and Sneijder, and the result was the latter's pass, assisting Van der Vaart to cut inside with the ball on the right side and then enter the penalty area, shaking two players in a row and then scoring the only goal of the game for Ajax.
After this game, Ajax continues to lead the Eredivisie standings!
On September 18, Ajax welcomed the opponent of the first match of the group stage of the UEFA Champions League at the Arena Stadium, Barcelona!
The two teams in the final of the UEFA Cup last season met in the first game of the Champions League group stage, which undoubtedly attracted a lot of media attention, especially this season's Ajax's European start was quite amazing, and they directly overturned Bayern Munich at the Louis II Stadium in Monaco.
Barcelona, on the other hand, in the third round of the Champions League qualification, they met Poland's Krakow, but the La Liga giants' performance could not be said to be outstanding, with a narrow 4-3 away win and a 1-0 win at home.
Similarly, in La Liga, unlike Ajax's winning streak in the Eredivisie, Barcelona suffered an embarrassing record of 1 win and 2 draws in the first three rounds of La Liga.
But it is precisely because of this that after Lexach arrived in Amsterdam with the team, he vowed to beat Ajax and make a good start for this season's Champions League.
First of all, in order to improve the team's backline, Barcelona brought in Swedish central defender Patrick from Bayern Munich? Anderson, the central defender who missed the championship with a goal in the last round of the Bundesliga, made Schalke 04 miss the championship, and is also Ibrahimovic's teammate in the national team.
They also brought in Cristanval from Monaco in France, and the two centre-backs are both tall and confrontational players.
Because many people were not satisfied with the two full-backs combination of Sergi and Petit last season, the 30-year-old Sergi was left cold by Rexage and replaced by second-team youngster Puyol, Petit left for Chelsea in the Premier League, and on the left, Barcelona brought in Italian international Koco from AC Milan.
In order to strengthen the depth and strength of the midfield, Barcelona brought in midfielder Roshenbach from Internacional Brasil, while in the forward line it brought in Saviola, ready to use Saviola plus Kluivert Garivaldo to restructure the team's attacking trident.
In order to highlight the importance of this game, Barcelona president Gaspart personally led the team to Amsterdam, hoping to boost the team's fighting spirit and morale and help Barcelona get out of the current predicament.
Santa Cruyff, who is very respected by Ajax and Barcelona fans, also returned to Amsterdam to be able to watch the game in person, and he also commented on the upcoming game in his column, believing that the chances of both sides winning are evenly matched.
"The overall tactical framework of Ajax has stabilized, Ye Qiu spent a year to create the overall tactical situation of Ajax, and proved the advanced and feasible of his set of tactics with results, I believe that the next Ajax will continue to move forward along this road, and the overall combat effectiveness will become stronger and stronger."
'Relatively speaking, Barcelona have a better player, almost all of the world's biggest stars, but after a summer regroup, Rexach's team are in trouble and it is unknown how much they can play at the Arena Stadium.
"But Barcelona has an advantage, they have played two rounds of Champions League qualifiers, but Ye Qiu and most of the players in his team are appearing on the stage of the Champions League for the first time, which will undoubtedly have some adverse effects on the game, the key depends on how the managers of both sides resolve it!"
"It's clear that both sides are well aware of the importance of this game, so it's not going to be a good game because there's a lot of pressure on both sides, and the most important thing for Barcelona is how to avoid relying too much on one star and how to better integrate individual ability into the whole so that they have a chance to beat Ajax, who are very collective."
"And for Ajax, Ye Qiu and his team have become better and better, impeccable, the key is their experience, as well as their performance in the game and their tolerance to withstand pressure, these are their weaknesses!"
"All in all, Barcelona are playing away from home, there are many disadvantages, and many people are less optimistic about them, but it will not be easy for Ajax to win, they need to work harder!"
Cruyff's pre-match comments are more like left and right, and it's no wonder that because he is both a symbol of Ajax and a national treasure of Barcelona, such comments happen to be offended on both sides, and what he analyses is not without reason.
Ye Qiu said at the press conference before the game that the first time he led the team to participate in the European Champions Cup, he and his team came more with a learning mentality, but he will not give up his football belief, that is, to win every game.
'There is no doubt that this game will be difficult because we are playing against Barcelona, but I am still confident that I can lead the team to beat the opponents!'
Barcelona coach Alex Sacchi vowed that "we will regain the rhythm of the team at the Arena because there is no better opponent than Ajax, we want to beat the team that made us suffer last season and say goodbye to the shame of our past!" ”