Chapter 132: A True Prophet? (3/3)
"Grass !!"
A loud foul mouth resounded through the empty apartment.
Staring at the computer screen, looking at the pork futures price that was pulling up like an antenna, Gou Qiaozhong's eyes were bloodshot, his whole body was surging with qi and blood, and he almost didn't have a mouthful of old blood sprayed on the screen.
At the dinner about half a month ago, when he received a call from Lin Jun, he heard that this little junior brother had bought 20,000 pigs. At that time, the bigwigs at the wine table laughed and joked that if they operated in reverse, they would make a lot of money.
Although it was just a joke, no one took it to heart at the time, but after the wine woke up, Gou Qiaozhong was moved.
October's import and export data is there, and no matter how you look at the future, pork prices will fall appropriately.
So, smelling the business opportunity from it, he immediately moved his mind, took out all the 200,000 savings he had saved in the past few years, doubled the leverage and began to short pork futures.
Sure enough, the market confirmed his guess!
In just half a month, the market price of pork fell from 10 yuan to 7 yuan, and the price in the futures market dived again after a low sideways, with his futures account full of short orders directly exceeded 100.
The breaking of 100 here is not a hundred, but a hundred points!
400,000 instantly became 800,000, and after removing the leverage and interest of 200,000, his assets tripled directly from the initial deposit of 200,000! And all this in less than a week!
In those days, he felt like he had reached the pinnacle of his life, he couldn't wait to buy two cups of soy milk for breakfast, drink one and throw one away, walk with the wind on the soles of his shoes, and take steps from time to time that his six relatives did not recognize.
Unfortunately, the good times were short-lived.
Since a week ago, the price of pork and hog futures market suddenly changed from a unilateral decline to a sideways movement, and finally pulled up 10 points without warning in the intraday, and then stopped at a high level, and the bears were caught off guard.
lost tens of thousands in an instant, and of course Gou Qiaozhong was unwilling to leave the scene like this.
His rich investment experience tells him that this kind of unannounced bottom volume is mostly a technical rebound caused by an overshoot, and it will soon hit a new low after the increase.
So, he didn't realize that the risk was approaching, and immediately raised tens of thousands of empty orders.
And then......
He was thoroughly taught to be a man by the market.
Three days later, the epidemic on the west coast of North America broke out, which directly doubled the futures prices of pork and live pigs in Xia, and buried hundreds of thousands of short accounts alive.
And Gou Qiaozhong's account is also one of these hundreds of thousands of accounts.
Although he is not the worst, this double leverage is enough for him to drink a pot.
Because the news happened so suddenly, he didn't even have time to close the position and stop loss, and was directly pressed on the ceiling to blow up, and the account balance became negative.
Not to mention the loss of 200,000 yuan in deposits, he also owed nearly 50,000 yuan in leverage to the securities company, forcing him to borrow money from all over the place to fill this hole.
In fact......
He had a chance to leave with the principal.
But human nature is often greedy.
When you make money, you want to make more, and when you lose money, you always feel that you can go back. It wasn't until the price of pork in the vegetable market rose to more than 10 yuan that he completely woke up.
By then, however, it was too late.
When the news was completely announced, the panic sell-off caused by the panic selling, so that he who wanted to close the position could not even find the opponent of the transaction, and saw that the short comrades who were short on the way to the top of the road had liquidated their positions.
Not even a little leek like him, even a big guy he met with his mentor at the dinner last time is said to have suffered heavy losses, and the company's capital chain is almost broken.
The past few days have been like a dream, and Gou Qiaozhong feels as if he has aged more than ten years overnight, and a few strands of white hair can be faintly seen in the mirror.
That's six years of his savings!
Among them, there are some earned from part-time work, there are also money from tutors, and 50,000 yuan earned by junior brothers......
And now, it's all gone.
Staring at the screen in despair, he suddenly remembered the 20,000 pigs that his junior brother bought for Yunmeng Group.
Thinking that he was still talking about this as a joke at the wine table at that time, his heart felt like he had overturned all kinds of mixed tastes, and it was not a taste to mix sweet and sour.
In fact, in terms of conscience, Senior Brother Lin's professional level is actually very strong, and he sent a lot of papers during his undergraduate years, and he was even rushed by his tutors when he was studying for a master's degree.
And his position in the office at that time was just the opposite of what it is now.
Although he is a little more familiar with things than Lin Jun, his academic ability has always been crushed by this junior brother. It is precisely because of this that he has always been very jealous of his junior brother, but he has not shown it particularly obviously in front of others, and it is impossible for Lin Jun, the party, to feel it.
After that, there was the matter of Xiabei Animal Husbandry.
Because of the impact of that incident, Lin Jun's status in the mentor's mind plummeted, and he knew that Gou Qiaozhong had found an opportunity at this time and trampled him into the ground.
After all, investing in this thing is about the winning rate, looking at the results, let you blow the theory to the sky, the data is clear, and it is empty talk if you can't get a real record.
And this is also the reason why many experienced old leeks look down on fund managers.
Many fund managers who graduated from prestigious schools can't write beautiful research reports, but when it comes to real trading, they are as fierce as a tiger, and even the index funds invested in fools can't win, and in the end, they still lose money with customers.
In the end, his junior brother Lin may also be a little stunned, as if he went crazy, the paper was never sent again, and the research report was not written, completely overturning his theory, and constantly paralyzing himself by looking for a job, so that in the end, even the mentor gave up on him.
For his ending, Gou Qiao Center was naturally extremely happy, plus he happened to make several successful investments during that time, and his status in the mentor's mind skyrocketed, directly replacing Lin Jun's position.
But fate is the thing......
Sure enough, it never gets boring.
The nails pierced deep into the flesh, and the pain made Gou Qiaozhong's facial expression gradually change from numbness to distortion.
With a tremor in his shoulders, he slammed his fist into the table.
"Why!"
"Why the hell is this!!"
Anger swept through every cell in his body.
At this moment, Gou Qiaozhong suddenly remembered something, and hurriedly held the mouse to open the folder, and turned out the research report written by his junior brother before.
Xiabei Animal Husbandry!
The leading enterprise of domestic pork farming!
Swallowing his saliva, he opened the research report that he had once scoffed at, and read it line by line, trying to find the answer to all this.
Finally, his gaze stopped on the last page of the research report-
【…… Under the condition that the domestic pork demand remains stable, the surge in imports will further reduce the gross profit margin of small and medium-sized breeding enterprises, force the domestic animal husbandry industry to shift from decentralization to concentration, and finally form a large-scale effect, so that social resources can be effectively integrated and asset risks can be reduced......
As a leading enterprise in the domestic animal husbandry industry, Xiabei animal husbandry has a unique advantage in operating costs, low sensitivity to market price fluctuations, and is most likely to absorb the means of production of small and medium-sized breeding enterprises, becoming the ultimate beneficiary of this industrial structure change.
In the short term, the impact of imported pork may have a certain impact on the net profit and gross profit margin of Xiabei animal husbandry, but in the long run, the impact of imports will weaken the gross profit margin of the aquaculture industry, and the long-term development of leading enterprises in the domestic aquaculture industry will be good.
Therefore, according to the evaluation of the data of the last four periods, the target price is given a rating of 100 yuan, corresponding to a market value of 300 billion ......]
This is the research report that once made people laugh off their front teeth!
At that time, the share price of Xiabei Animal Husbandry was only 45 yuan, and the entire pork market was in a downturn. And gave a target price of 100 yuan?
What is this not a dream?
However, looking back now......
The outcome predicted in this research report seems to be becoming a reality, and Xiabei Animal Husbandry is indeed taking the initiative to accept the breeding pigs of bankrupt pastures, assuming the social obligations of being a state-owned enterprise, and doing the least favored thing by investors.
And swine fever ......
It just speeds up the process.
Even without this plague, this enterprise is destined to become the last hope of the animal husbandry industry in Xia Kingdom after completing the slow integration of resources.
Gou Qiaozhong swallowed his saliva and entered the stock code of Xiabei Animal Husbandry on the webpage.
Soon, the candlestick chart appeared on the screen.
Compared with the stock price of 45 yuan when the research report was published, the stock price has risen by 15%, and the closing price is 51.75 yuan. Compared with the end of last month, this number has doubled directly from the bottom, and the pattern has walked out of the trend of long bulls......
A trace of remorse flashed in his eyes, and it was only then that Gou Qiaozhong realized how good his junior brother's research report was, and there were so many mysteries hidden in those unimportant data.
If it is really as predicted in this research report, pork prices have bottomed out, and will stand at the threshold of 15 or even 20 yuan this year......
According to the operating data of Xiabei Animal Husbandry's first and second quarter statements to recalculate the valuation, it is really possible for the stock price to break 100!?
His face gradually lost his blood, and Gou Qiaozhong leaned back in his chair as if he had lost his soul.
Now for that......
The shame of the teacher in the eyes of everyone may be the real prophet!
And accepting this cruel reality is even more difficult for him to accept than the loss of money......
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(Friendly reminder, although the inspiration of the story comes from reality, don't take the research report in reality too seriously, that thing sometimes even has to be read in reverse.) Don't even sit in the right seat, after all, they are two different worlds entirely. )
(In addition, for the sake of our birthday, we haven't been lazy to leave the update, and even added a chapter, can we weakly ask for a ticket?) Please! You've called me the second watch beast for a few years, and I've worked hard this time! )