Luo Sheng saw the eyes of the big guys focused, and everyone looked at him silently with a look of wanting to hear the details.

I saw that Luo Sheng opened a folder he had placed on his desktop and found a manuscript from it, which he had rushed out overnight yesterday for today's seminar.

In the past, he basically didn't use manuscripts at some business forums and exchange conferences, but today he must use them here, otherwise it will appear frivolous, but when it comes to national defense strategy, he can't be frivolous, even if he knows it well.

Luo Sheng organized his words in his mind, and then calmly spoke: "Artificial intelligence has entered the field of national defense strategy and national security, and is regarded as a revolutionary technology, comparable to the discovery of fuel, electricity or nuclear weapons. AI technology has had a transformative effect on the world to some extent, for example in science and social media. ”

"The answers to these questions may emerge in the coming years as the understanding of the militarization of AI is a positive, negative, or dual impact on national security strategies and future international stability."

At this time, the old general stared at Luo Sheng and asked several questions one after another that the military wanted to know and was actively exploring at this stage:

"So, what are the possible military applications of AI in the short term? What factors have a potential impact on the stability of strategic deterrence? Related to this is how can AI change the rationale for deterrence? How do AI military systems affect regional stability? What would be the link between regional stability and strategic deterrence? What are the unintended consequences and strategic consequences of AI? ”

These six questions can be said to be the core of this seminar, and the old general did not say much, but they were all deeply important and went straight to the root of the problem.

As a soldier, national defense and security are always the first priority of all considerations.

Luo Sheng was silent for a moment, looked at the content of the manuscript in his hand, and said: "The militarized application of artificial intelligence should be divided into two categories, namely, the application at the operational level of war and the application at the strategic level. ”

Everyone nodded silently, agreeing with this.

Luo Sheng continued: "In terms of applications at the operational level of warfare, one is the ubiquitous and omniscient unmanned system; The second is big data-driven modeling, simulation, and warfare systems; the third is the intelligence collection and analysis simulation system; Fourth, integrated systems to support precision intelligence systems, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR); Fifth, precision strike systems for strategic targets; Sixth, an effective missile defense system; The seventh is the artificial intelligence network. ”

After Luo Sheng pointed out the seven application levels he described, he deconstructed them in detail one by one: "The development of a new generation of unmanned systems is a high priority for the military application of artificial intelligence, and its focus is on the navigation systems of various ground, sea and air unmanned systems, and air and sea platforms will also benefit from the guidance systems of artificial intelligence......"

While listening, everyone at the meeting nodded their heads and heads from time to time, and at the same time they were quite surprised.

The old general looked at Luo Sheng and said with a smile: "It seems that you have done a lot of research on the application of this technology to militarization, not bad." ”

Of course, Luo Sheng studied it, but said modestly: "The chief has won the award, I am a half-military fan at best, and some humble opinions are still expected to be prudent and elegant, and I can't afford this mistake in national defense and security." ”

Regardless of the rest, let's start with a "disclaimer" and then talk about it, at this time, the basic operation, excellent risk control awareness.

Another military technology research scholar who attended the meeting said with a smile: "No, Mr. Luo, your analysis is quite professional, most of them coincide with the military's exploration, and some additions are even more eye-catching, in the end, it is an expert in the field of artificial intelligence, more thorough than us, your opinions and suggestions are very meaningful, do not have to be modest." ”

The seminar was quite relaxed, and Luo Sheng continued to answer the last question asked by the veteran general, saying: "In terms of the unintended consequences and strategic results that AI may bring, I personally believe that the negative impact of this disruptive technology may have the following 11 aspects. ”

Everyone was surprised when they heard this, and the previous attendee was stunned: "There are so many? ”

Luo Sheng said: "It's just some analysis of the potential possibilities. ”

The old general said succinctly: "Which 11 aspects? ”

Luo Sheng organized his words and elaborated one by one:

"AI could weaken the strategic weaknesses of both sides, thereby increasing the risk of war."

"The competition for superiority may bring new uncertainties to the future military balance."

"AI systems are susceptible to incoming consequences from input data."

"Rapid decision-making and combat operations may struggle to serve the objectives of effective crisis management."

"Many of the potentially positive regional deterrence effects that result from the integration of ISR, defense, and complex battle management common sense cannot be realized in the short term."

"Big data and deep machine learning may not solve the challenges of strategic warnings."

"As required by the battlefield, the close operation and integration of multiple AI systems can produce unexpected results."

"Regardless of whether there is human involvement in every aspect of decision-making, the cycle is becoming more and more crowded."

"Everyone's views and positions on AI are different."

"Public-private partnerships will determine the future of AI, but war remains the right of states."

"Finally, war and peace cannot and will not be determined by predictive analysis."

Luo Sheng stopped speaking on the 11 risks he listed in artificial intelligence, and then everyone at the meeting had a big discussion on the potential risks of these 11 aspects.

Obviously, everyone attaches great importance to this, and at the same time, it is also recognized.

After about ten minutes of exchange and discussion, the old general also ended his silence and said: "The problems faced by the early internal combustion engine can be compared with reliability, cost, lack of machine standards, lack of consistency in production, and the complexity of the internal combustion engine to drive the car led to frequent failures. ”

While speaking, the old general glanced at Luo Sheng, then looked around at everyone and continued: "Whenever new technology appears, this familiar story seems to be repeated. At the time, they were able to give people greater capabilities, but they also had great risks in terms of safety and reliability. ”

"Sometimes, like an internal combustion engine or an airplane, these kinds of problems can be solved. There are also times, like a military spaceship or airship, where the security concerns are so great that technology can never be as reliable and effective as an alternative. ”

After the old general's speech, Luo Sheng immediately said: "The future of artificial intelligence and warfare. The impact of this technology on the world will be far greater than the impact of military power and war. The role of automation in the future of work will have unprecedented economic and social effects. ”

A military expert at the meeting immediately looked at Luo Sheng and said: "Whether or not to develop military-specific AI applications, AI will be an inevitable choice for the military." The defense and security strategy is appealing to academia, business, and the military, and perhaps Americans know better than the British a century ago that widespread technological change will affect its military superiority, but not enough to guarantee its victory. ”

After a moment, he added: "This is especially true when people think that the core of all technology is how people and organizations use it." From the defeat of knights with bows and arrows to the end of the era of battleship dominance, the great powers believed that they were still in a leading position, until a defeat at home turned history upside down. ”

"We don't know if the results of the use of artificial intelligence for military purposes will be the same, even now this seminar on the development prospects of artificial intelligence and the safety and reliability is not very certain to some extent, maybe in the next 20 years, as a national strategic security analyst, given the breadth of technology and the very possibility of specific technologies, the emergence of the era of artificial intelligence will reshape the future of the global military to some extent."

Luo Sheng was noncommittal about this, and after the other party finished speaking, Luo Sheng continued to express his opinion, saying: "The advantage of artificial intelligence is that although there are security and reliability problems, it can also foresee the risk of sitting back and waiting to die when leading the global military field. From data processing to swarm concepts to battlefield management, AI can help militaries move quickly and accurately, while putting fewer people at risk. ”

"Or not, the security and reliability issues that are unique to current machine deep learning and neural network methods, which also mean issues such as adversarial data, are challenges for many military AI technologies. But I can't deny that the application of artificial intelligence in the field of national defense is the trend of the times, but the country needs it, and I will do my best to make a small contribution. ”

Hearing Luo Sheng's final statement, the military bigwigs present all nodded secretly, and they were all quite happy.

Everyone in the meeting participated in the discussion, expressed their opinions and spoke freely, and the debate during the seminar was extremely intense.

The core of the discussion is continuous discussion and debate, and only by debating will the potential hidden dangers become clearer and clearer.

In fact, the military began to debate the application of artificial intelligence technology in the military field as early as five years ago, and it is becoming clearer and clearer.

At the end, the veteran general at the meeting said again: "The military is highly concerned about the need for rapid expansion of the militarization of artificial intelligence to ensure that the country gains the maximum advantage, minimizes the negative impact on strategic stability, and prevents strategic surprises." ”

As soon as this statement came out, it was determined that the military wanted to apply artificial intelligence in the military field, just like nuclear weapons, if you want to get rid of nuclear blackmail, the best means and the best solution to the nuclear threat is to have nuclear weapons.

The principle is the same.

In the next three days, Luo Sheng and the people of the Academy of National Defense and Military Strategy carried out intensive discussions and exchanges for three consecutive days, and the results became clearer and clearer.

On the afternoon of the third day, Yang Hongyi found Luo Sheng again.

"Mr. Luo, after the military's research and decision, I was assigned to communicate with you, I am directly responsible to the military, and at the same time, the military has also decided to hand over three secret projects on artificial intelligence to you."

In the room, there were only Major Yang Hongyi and Luo Sheng at the moment, and the latter immediately asked, "What are the three aspects of the project?" ”

……