Early the next morning, Zhang Yuan had a dark circle under his eyes and started his normal work for the day. 35xs Anyway, the earth civilization is jubilant, and life still has to go on.

"What, I lost sleep yesterday? Stayed up late and finished reading. ”

"Yes, senior brother, you won." Zhang Yuan smiled.

"It has nothing to do with me...... It was the historiography of the new civilization that won. ”

Maybe it's because at this moment, it's too far away from Earth; Or maybe it's because under the baptism of time, the earth's civilization has become very unfamiliar, and everyone's mood is not so low, which is equivalent to watching an unusually jerky movie.

It's just that the click-through rate of related papers on the historiography of the new civilization has increased more than a thousand times in the past few hundred years, including Zhang Yuan's new papers, and there are also many comments!

Whether you can read it or not, people are trying to find a way to crack it from this new discipline.

It is a pity that the historiography of the new civilization is so far nothing more than a complex network model, with all kinds of calculations so abstract that people usually cannot understand them at all, and they are just watching the excitement.

Only people like Zhang Yuan, who are proficient in mathematics, have a certain right to speak.

In particular, converting a historical node into a series of chaotic functions involves a lot of complex calculations. There are some things, after calculating a number, even Zhang Yuan himself can't figure out what this number means.

"Now that we have the historical reference data of the earth's civilization, we can continue to improve this discipline. 35xs is just a sample data that is not enough...... It's only been five or six hundred years. Zhang Yuan carefully read the current research progress.

He suddenly said: "I think that the earth's civilization has not yet reached the worst situation, and there is still a possibility of breaking free from the trough." ”

"yes!" Senior Brother Zhao said: "It's just a cold war, there is a small probability of jumping out of the trough, but a higher probability of getting worse." Calculations aside, from a political point of view, do you think there is any way to get the entire civilization out of its current predicament. ”

According to the old historical experience, such a Cold War will continue forever, similar to the original struggle for hegemony between the United States and the Soviet Union, until one side completely collapses and one side cannibalizes the other.

Of course, it is also possible that before the collapse occurs, one side will make a desperate bet and break out the first interstellar war of human civilization, causing great damage.

“…… Relying on internal factors alone, it is difficult to pick out this trough again. Zhang Yuan pondered for a while and said, "I really need the help of aliens now!" The appearance of aliens is likely to be a key event in reversing the trend. However, the probability of such a thing happening is too low. ”

Senior Brother Zhao couldn't help but laugh: "How do you know that the arrival of aliens is a positive event?" If you encounter a strong enemy that is difficult to resist, as long as there is a chance to live, there is a high probability that the human high-level will surrender directly, and it is better to die than to live. How can an ant challenge an elephant? ”

"Only evenly matched enemies can unite the civilization of the earth. The probability of 35xs is really very small......"

"That's right."

Senior Brother Zhao made a joke that was not very funny: "Perhaps, when we are strong, we can be the aliens back." ”

"It's not funny at all. Is it necessary for us to go back? ”

After discussing this, Zhang Yuan frowned.

Even if there is a lot of history to learn from, can the new civilization do better than the civilization of the earth?

Not necessarily.

Reality is always crueler than imagined.

When all the ambitious interstellar pioneers of their generation are dead, what will happen to the generations that follow?

No one can predict it.

Human beings themselves have their own inferiority, and their descendants are not necessarily better than the earth's civilization.

The wheel of history, the more later, the more not a single great man can change, how easy is it to change?

……

Life in the spaceship is quite boring, nothing more than the three key words of study, entertainment, and rest. The research on the historiography of new civilizations has been ongoing, and how to translate samples into data is a key difficulty.

On this day, Zhang Yuan came to the Xingchen Library alone, looking into the distance through a layer of glass.

He really likes to be in this small place, thinking quietly.

Because of the clouds of war on Earth, the economic recession, and the reduction of expenses, the information sent by the Deep Space Foundation has been reduced from once a month to once a year.

If there is insufficient funding, it will continue to shrink in the future......

This is very bad news.

"Hey, if only I had saved that stock until now."

Zhang Yuan was slightly annoyed, but quickly gave up the idea. Maybe that stock has been left for now, and it has long been worthless, and the company has gone bankrupt.

He began to try to change some key historical points in the model to change the current final outcome.

Assuming that a pivotal history does not happen, will the current outcome change?

Unfortunately, this cannot be assumed.

The key historical nodes are derived from a large amount of history ahead. If you want to modify these key historical nodes, all the previous histories need to be modified so that the entire network can be harmonious and matched.

And a lot of history has been revised, and the history of the front has to be revised even more, all the way to the final origin.

As a result, every point in the entire network system needs to be modified to change the final outcome.

Such a complex deduction of a chaotic system is not something that Zhang Yuan can do at his current level.

"Pull a hair and move the whole body!"

The most important thing is that, according to the mathematical model of the historiography of the new civilization, there is definitely more than one insurmountable trough that a civilization has finally reached.

There are many, more troughs, more insurmountable problems ahead.

That is to say, under the dim starry sky, "mediocrity" is the most eternal truth.

The stars in the sky twinkle and twinkle, how many civilizations are hidden in them? And how many civilizations are facing a mediocre end similar to that of Earth?

Even if the earth's civilization has not yet reached the final end, it is already close to the end......

Of the thousands of roads, only one is the real road, and the remaining 9,999 are all just dead ends.

It's a pity that this broad avenue, hidden in countless dead ends, is not necessarily so easy to find.

It even disguised itself as a rugged trail,

In the process of growing up of a civilization, it will inevitably be accompanied by countless amazing and brilliant heroes, but these great men can still only delay the process of civilization towards mediocrity. Because they have already gone down the wrong path in the first place.

At this moment, Zhang Yuan strengthened his determination to "obey the calculation", relying on human wisdom alone, there are too few things that can be seen. Even if the calculation is just a number, that kind of concise objectivity is far beyond human wisdom.

……