Chapter 169: Oil to Electricity
Of course, Dongyin Water has no fear, and it is a big deal not to do the business of a big dog.
However, the big dogs have no hole cards to play, and they can still use crude oil as a bargaining chip, but in the past two years, the domestic oil to electricity policy has been very fast.
Now domestic fuel motorcycles and the like have almost been completely eliminated, replaced by electric vehicles and electric motorcycles.
The fuel vehicles are also declining, the policy is constantly tightening, and now the Ministry of Industry in addition to engineering vehicles and trucks, other fuel passenger cars can not pass the review.
Recently, we are engaged in trade-in, using old fuel vehicles to replace electric vehicles, which can subsidize 1~40,000 yuan, and this subsidy and the subsidy for buying electric vehicles can be superimposed.
Therefore, many car owners who are about to be scrapped have chosen to replace electric vehicles.
For example, this year's domestic electric vehicle sales have almost shown explosive growth.
Taking The Paper and Biyadi as examples, in January ~ August this year, The Paper sold a total of 830,000 electric vehicles, and Biyadi, which has a more complete foundation, sold a total of 1.95 million vehicles.
In addition, other automakers have also abandoned fuel vehicles and followed up with electric vehicles.
As of August, the total domestic sales of automobiles were 14.63 million units, of which 6.59 million were gasoline vehicles and 8.04 million electric vehicles.
Obviously, for the first time, the sales volume of electric vehicles surpassed that of fuel vehicles, leading by more than one million units, and this gap is widening rapidly.
In 2018, the top 10 domestic electric vehicle sales volume are: Biadi 1.95 million units, BAIC New Energy 1.77 million units, Geely 1.12 million units, Changan 840,000 units, Surging Power 830,000 taels, Tesla 590,000 units, JAC 440,000 units, Toyota 210,000 units, Shanghai GM 200,000 units, and Lifan 140,000 units.
It can be seen from the ranking of sales volume that domestic cars have risen strongly.
Of course, the real big winners are actually The Paper Group and Raytheon Group.
The surging group's motor business has become the standard in domestic automobiles, such as Lifan, JAC, and Weilai, whose motors are directly customized to The Paper; And Biyadi, BAIC New Energy, Geely, and even Tesla have to buy self-generated coatings from The Paper.
The Raytheon Group is even stronger, because domestic electric vehicles all use Raytheon batteries, although Biyadi, Ningde, and Lishen have obtained technology authorizations.
But this thing is subject to a patent fee, and it is not a one-time payment, it is a patent fee for every kilogram produced.
Anyway, the more they produce, the happier Raytheon Group becomes.
Thanks to the continuous milk of the policy, the proportion of electric vehicles in the country is soaring rapidly, and it is expected that by 2020, the proportion of fuel vehicles will drop to about 70%, and the proportion of electric vehicles will increase to about 30%.
As of 2017, the number of motor vehicles in the country reached 310.1 million, including 220 million cars (including 2.3 million new energy vehicles).
The motor vehicles included in the statistics include automobiles (minibuses, small buses, medium-sized buses, large buses, minivans, light trucks, medium-sized trucks, heavy trucks), low-speed cars, motorcycles, excluding trailers, tractors on the road, etc., totaling 298.36 million.
Among them, there are 208.16 million cars, 8.2 million low-speed cars, and 82 million motorcycles.
By this year, the number of electric vehicles has exceeded 10 million, and more than 83% of motorcycles have been electric.
In 2020, it is expected that the number of cars in the country will reach 240 million, while the number of electric vehicles will reach about 72 million, and the number of fuel vehicles will drop to 168 million.
According to the "2017 Domestic and Foreign Oil and Gas Industry Development Report" released by Dongtang Petroleum Economic and Technical Research Institute, the growth rate of domestic oil consumption rebounded in 2017, and domestic crude oil production declined for two consecutive years, with an estimated annual output of 192 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1%, 4.3 percentage points narrower than the decline of the previous year.
In 2017, domestic crude oil consumption continued to grow at a moderate rate, with the annual apparent consumption of crude oil reaching 610 million tons, an increase of 6.0% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 0.5 percentage points over the previous year.
Among them, the annual consumption of refined oil was 322 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2%, an increase of 3 percentage points over 2016, but the growth rate showed a rare increase in steam and diesel.
Among them, gasoline consumption was 122 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.03%, falling to the lowest point since 2006, while diesel consumption was 167 million tons, a growth rate of 1.24%, an increase of 6 percentage points year-on-year.
From the above data, it can be known that by 2020, the annual fuel consumption of motor vehicles in the country will drop to 220 million tons.
By 2025, the proportion of electric vehicles will increase to 90%, fuel vehicles will drop to 10%, and fuel consumption will drop to about 35 million tons.
With the technological innovation of Galaxy Technology, the above is also advancing with the times, the original plan of 2035 to completely ban fuel vehicles, is really a plan to catch up with the changes, has to repeatedly adjust the elimination of fuel vehicles plan, according to the latest blueprint, is intended to eliminate fuel vehicles in 2027.
In fact, this plan is already quite conservative, because with the rapid development of Galaxy technology and the continuous benefit of policies, this trend has been unstoppably accelerating.
The Social Research Institute of Galaxy Technology, through the newly established 50 billion times per second supercomputing center, has made a comprehensive forecast of these situations, and it is expected that the proportion of electric vehicles may increase to 92~94% by 2024.
Judging from this trend, the total domestic crude oil consumption will drop to about 500 million tons by 2020, and to about 330 million tons by 2024~2025.
That is, the energy positioning of crude oil will be stripped away, and chemical raw materials will become the main use of crude oil.
In particular, with the increasing tension in the international situation, although the number of crude oil imports in Dongtang has not declined, a large part of these crude oil is reserve crude oil, not consumption crude oil.
Domestic crude oil reserves have surged to 112 million tonnes in 2018 and could reach around 400 million tonnes by 2020.
Domestic oil-to-electricity, coal-to-electricity, and gas-to-electricity are all on the move, and where electricity can be replaced anyway, electricity will be used instead.
Even two barrels of oil went to wind power stations and storage stations.
As of August 2018, the total installed capacity of new wind power generation equipment in the country is 700 million kilowatts, and the annual power generation is expected to increase by about 2 trillion kilowatt hours.
As a result, the importance of crude oil for sand camels has decreased, and it is difficult to use crude oil to jam rabbits' necks.
Root?? Salman is now a big two, and after discussing with the think tank for several days, he couldn't come up with a condition that could impress Dongyin Water Company.
This strategically important technology is unlikely to be sold unless the rabbit's head gets water, or it is possessed by a map.
Even sand camels want to buy desalination films, those conditions are quite harsh.
Zhu Jianguo participated in the negotiations on behalf of Galaxy Technology, and the condition proposed was to pay 50 billion Chinese yuan in advance, and if the sand camel tore up the contract, then the 50 billion Chinese yuan would not be returned to them.
In addition, all the construction costs are also borne by the sand camels, and the desalination film is 50,000 yuan per square meter, and the patent fee per cubic meter of fresh water is 0.5 yuan.
And Ben?? Salman's plan is to build a 10 billion cubic meter of freshwater desalination plant on each coast of the country.
In this way, if Ben?? Salman agreed to Zhu Jianguo's condition that he would have to pay 4.5 billion yuan in film procurement fees and 10 billion yuan in patent fees to the water company every year.
Although the big dog has money, it will hurt to have so much money every year.
If we want to increase production in the future, we will have to pay tens of billions of dollars a year.
Of course, the annual production of 20 billion cubic meters of fresh water costs 14.5 billion Chinese yuan. Salman can grudgingly accept it.
But this film is definitely a big hidden danger, this ?? Salman had to consider the risks.