"Can you tell how old this extraterrestrial probe will be?" Yuan Haochen asked. Pen % fun % Pavilion www.biquge.info

"Report leader, although it is impossible to calculate the specific age, but from the operating wear and tear of the internal components, we judge that the operation life of this alien probe will not exceed 20 years." Tesla replied earnestly and rigorously.

"In this way, the 20-year technological gap must also be taken into account." Yuan Haochen said.

"What's the matter, the opponent's strength assessment has increased again!?" Military commander Sergei said with wide eyes.

"Yes, it does." Scientific Commander Don Quixote agrees.

"So what should we do next? The expeditionary fleet was about to catch up. We are only 21 light-years away from the base camp of this civilization in the unknown universe. ”

Sergei looked around at everyone and asked, and then everyone looked at Yuan Haochen together.

"Everyone, imagine how you would react if an unknown cosmic civilization suddenly visited the Sunrise Galaxy?" Yuan Haochen kicked the ball to everyone again in the blink of an eye.

"Be vigilant!! High vigilance!! Sergei replied succinctly and aloud.

"We should first understand the intentions of this unknown civilization to come to the Sunrise Galaxy, and the extent of their kindness. Then take a further step to deal with it. Don Quixote also expressed his opinion.

"How can we understand each other's purpose and whether they are good or evil to human civilization?" Yuan asked, "On the basis of insufficient communication, we cannot judge whether the other party is good or malicious. In the same way, the other party cannot judge whether we think they are good or malicious. ”

Although the dark energy civilization has clearly said that there are certain social rules in this universe, to this day, we still have not fully understood and understood this set of cosmic sociology that describes the big picture of cosmic society. Perhaps, this is because our level of civilization is still sufficient, then, by analogy, the unknown cosmic civilization in the galaxy ahead is also like us, and does not understand the real sociology of the universe. Therefore, the communication between us will inevitably enter into a cycle of mutual suspicion. ”

Sociologists believe that due to distance and significant species and cultural differences, suspicion between different cosmic civilizations is indestructible once formed. The emergence of suspicion has nothing to do with the specific moral orientation within the two civilizations, but it ultimately leads to mutual hostility between different cosmic civilizations because they cannot accurately judge each other's good and evil.

This is similar to the basic concept in game theory. In the final analysis, it is the lack of information, or information asymmetry, that leads to the insurmountable barrier of communication between different cosmic civilizations!

Perhaps there is a clear set of cosmic sociology among the high-level cosmic civilizations, but the backward cosmic civilizations are still in a relatively primitive stage. It's like the natural killing and predation of different animals in the primeval jungle, which does not violate the wildlife protection law established by humans.

"So, how do we break this cycle of suspicion?" At this moment, Sergey felt a little big-headed.

"One thing, we have to be clear about first." Yuan Haochen patted Sergei on the shoulder, and did not directly talk about the question he raised, but changed the conversation, "Our target is the black hole Cygnus X-1, so we must avoid wars along the way." Whether we cross the stellar group ahead or drastically modify the course of the expeditionary fleet regardless of attrition depends on what kind of adversary we face. ”

"If there is a weak cosmic civilization ahead, the expeditionary force can go straight in. On the contrary, if the opponent is too strong, we have no choice but to turn around and walk away honestly, regardless of losses. Yuan Haochen continued, "The opponents in front are on a par with us in terms of technology, but they are a complete civilized world, and in terms of military strength, we are naturally incomparable. So, if the two sides go head-to-head, we're bound to be at the bottom line. ”

"So, to be on the safe side, can we only adjust the route?" Don Quixote asked rhetorically.

"However, it is not cost-effective to significantly adjust the route." Sergey was not in favor of adjusting the route, "After all, the scientific and technological strength of the other side is below us." ”

"Can we be ready to play a sideline?" Sergei suddenly suggested.

"Tell me what you think." Yuan Haochen nodded to him.

"First-hand preparation, there is still a certain distance between the star systems ahead, and we can choose to quickly pass through the edge of the most barren and inconspicuous star system (the stars are relatively weak or have no planets), although this plan may be risky. Second, we can try to communicate with the other party, because communication is the best way to break the cycle of suspicion. However, proactive communication is certainly a risk of exposing our presence. Sergey replied.

"Indeed, we can try to pass by the unknown cosmic civilization in front of us, if we are discovered, we can't beat it, we can still run, as long as it is not a head-on conflict, or caught in an unbreakable encirclement, it should not pose a real threat to the expeditionary force. However, the risk of proactively communicating with the other party is really too great. If there is a miscommunication and the other side is aware of our movements, then they may concentrate their forces on ambushing or chasing us. If this happens, the risks we face will increase exponentially. Yuan Haochen continued to comment, "The reason why I think that communication is more risky is that first of all, it is a cycle of suspicion, although communication is better than closing the country most of the time, but the unknown cosmic civilization in front of us, like us, does not have a unified cosmic sociological basis. Therefore, when communicating, we will inevitably take into account the contradiction between interests and risks. Another thing is that the other side will be jealous, we have discovered their civilized world, but they don't know where we came from. ”

"Do you think the other side will be worried that we will be a real threat to them in the future!?" Sergey asked.

"Wouldn't it?" Yuan Haochen asked rhetorically, "Sergei, you might as well put yourself in their shoes. This is also the reason why human civilization finally chose to stay away from the solar system after the disaster. ”

"In fact, how can the Sunrise Galaxy not be like this, God knows what kind of eyes countless super-cosmic civilizations are watching us in this vast universe?" Yuan Haochen added meaningfully.

"What kind of eyes...... "Sergei muttered softly, "appreciate the eyes of animals?" ”

"Either way, we have to make a decision as soon as possible!" Yuan Haochen concluded, "Don Quixote, you lead the scientific team to analyze all the star systems in front of you, and formulate the most appropriate route forward, so that the expeditionary fleet can pass by this unknown cosmic civilization. ”

"What if I get caught?" Tesla, who had been silent, looked a little apprehensive.

"It doesn't hurt to find out, the other side is not far superior to our opponents. What we want to do is to keep risks to a minimum and try to avoid conflicts. As long as you do your best, you still have to face what you should face! Yuan Haochen replied decisively.

"Oh......" Tesla nodded, silent again.

PS: I'm on a business trip during the day today, so the update is late, and the second one is about 12 o'clock, thank you for your understanding and support. (To be continued.) )