International Politics Seesaw, China Has Attitude (China Chapter)_1.International Politics Seesaw, We Have Attitude
Judging from the overall international background, the big and powerful countries with modern combat forces all regard preemptive strikes as their means. And China is one of the few countries in the world that has declared that it does not use pre-emptive strikes as a military ideology.
At present, China's security posture has undergone very big changes, and the forces to invade and dismember China basically do not exist.
Every year, more than 9,000 satellites, including military reconnaissance satellites and remote sensing satellites, pass through China's skies, which presents us with an even more complex and arduous national security task.
Until the mid-20th century, China claimed sovereignty over the South China Sea without any dispute by other countries.
The Diaoyu Islands are only 3.6 square kilometers, and if Japan occupies them, it can take away 200 nautical miles of its exclusive economic zone from China.
1. International politics seesaw, we have attitudes
International politics is like a seesaw. In 2005, the United States had a very high seesaw in Europe, including its military operations in Iraq, Afghanistan, and a series of color revolutions in Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine, and Georgia. Especially when the so-called Orange Revolution in Ukraine was at its peak, the Rose Revolution in Georgia and the revolution in Kyrgyzstan all succeeded. The squeeze on Russia formed a very large situation, and at that time US-Russian relations fell to the bottom.
At that time, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that we must pay attention to this Mr. Wolf - he called the United States Mr. Wolf, "We must pay attention to the movements of this Mr. Wolf, and its squeeze on Russia's living space must be concerned."
So then the seesaw collapsed, the United States withdrew its troops from Iraq, kept its profile as low as possible in Afghanistan, and signed a treaty with Russia on the third phase of the reduction and limitation of strategic offensive weapons. The purpose of lowering this seesaw is to make this seesaw of the East warped, which is the so-called return to Asia.
This is a kind of so-called global balance that the United States is doing, and it can be seen from this global balance that the power of the United States is limited. It is no longer able to strike at the same time in the East and the West, so it is clear that when it is focused in the East, it can only ease relations with Russia in the West and in Europe.
The Russian side is also very relieved by these actions of the United States, including some comments from Russia that Obama has taken a series of major measures to cater to Moscow after taking office. Including the withdrawal of troops from Iraq, including the warming of NATO-Russian relations, including the reduction of strategic weapons. The Russian side sees this as a series of major strategic moves to cater to Moscow after Obama took office.
There is no doubt that there has been some progress in the U.S.-Russia relationship, but this progress has been made in the context of previous deterioration in relations. It is more about progress than about the seesaw of international politics, which is always changing.
The United States and Russia signed the third phase of the treaty on the reduction and limitation of strategic offensive weapons, and relations between NATO and Russia were relaxed. When I say falsely, I don't mean Russia, Russia sincerely asks to join NATO, but NATO pretends to welcome Russia to join.
At that time, many people were worried that after Russia joined NATO, NATO would expand eastward to China's borders. Actually, I don't have any worries about this, I think it's better for Russia to join NATO, and then NATO will become a hodgepodge, and internal friction will be able to exhaust NATO itself.
Like we often talk about how dinosaurs were destroyed? Just because the body is too big, the climate changes, the earth's surface can't supply so much food, and in the end it has to die. NATO is the same, eastward expansion is very good, expand, expand Russia, and NATO will become the only dinosaur in the world. In the end, due to its own expansion, the dinosaur had too small a head, too big a body, and needed too many things, and the final road was extinction.
From these aspects, the so-called "Russia has switched to NATO and switched from confrontation to cooperation" should at least add a "superficial" to such arguments -- Russia and NATO have ostensibly shifted from confrontation to cooperation. We must not regard the superficial as the substance, and do not regard one or two good words or one or two nice treaties as the merger of the two strategic blocs.
Yeltsin conceived about this, but it turned out to be a big problem. After Yeltsin became president of Russia in 1991, he continued along this path until the outbreak of the Kosovo war in 1999, when he realized that I was doing things completely according to your Western standards and norms, and that you were still my enemy. In the end, the West was also disappointed, believing that Yeltsin was intimidating the West with nuclear weapons, and Yeltsin adjusted all of Russia's strategic weapons to aim at Europe and the United States. Europe and the United States are also very disappointed in Yeltsin, the democratic vanguard they have cultivated.
Through these, the so-called détente between the United States and Russia, the détente between Russia and NATO, from a historical level, we prefer to add a "on the surface".
Conflicts between major powers and between large geopolitical blocs are unavoidable from the root causes.
Of course, the two sides have been fighting for a long time, they are tired, both sides are covered with bruises, and they need to be healed, of course, there is relief. But détente is only the beginning of the next round of contention.
From this point of view, including the so-called strategic focus of the United States to fully deploy to the East, with the development of the future, as India's power becomes stronger, India's interference in the Indian Ocean will become more and more; As Russia recovers, it becomes stronger and stronger; As the power of Brazil grew in South America, so-called anti-American blocs emerged in South America – Brazil, Guatemala, Peru, Bolivia, including Argentina and Chile, which were formerly the most pro-American; With these major changes in international geopolitics, there will be more and more things that make the United States scratch its head.
As these situations change, you will find that the seesaw is going to fall, and after a while you will find that the United States is suddenly very enthusiastic with China, very hot, and then there is a great vigilance against other forces.
This is the seesaw in international politics. And between this seesaw, we must not be affected by this ups and downs - the United States and we are hot, how good we feel; When the United States came to contain it, we immediately felt like we were facing a great enemy.
During this period, we should take a calm look at the international situation, adhere to our strategic goal of development, and adhere to our goal of building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way and completing national rejuvenation by 2050 and reaching the level of a moderately developed country in the world. Under the premise of such a grand strategic goal, it is our most fundamental interest to safeguard our interests and advance toward the goal.