Sakaki lied.

There is no such thing as a winning strategy in gambling.

Any bet has the potential to change somehow before the final outcome is revealed.

The kind of game where the outcome is firmly in the hands of one party cannot be called gambling at all.

For example, "unboxing/packaging of online games" is purely a repetitive event based on data algorithms, and the probability is all set by the operator, and the seemingly random results are just to create the illusion that "luck exists" for players.

Although some slot machine gambling machines also use the same principle, slot machines are common, and different people can sit on the same machine to play, so there are still a very small number of players who can get a piece of the pie from this kind of game that the operator is bound to profit; Online game account ...... But it is private, and the probability events involved in each account are a pseudo-game between the player who owns the account and the operator, which is a one-sided squeeze to put it bluntly.

True gambling should be a two-way game, with either side having the possibility of winning or losing.

Right now, Sakaki's horse betting strategy is no exception, and there is a risk of failure.

Of course, although his method is not "sure to win", the probability of winning is indeed very high.

This method is called the "Double Bet Method".

Take the random event that Ryunosuke has at this moment as an example...... This was a race that took place at the Sakuranomiya's local "Central Racecourse", which was supposed to be in the 20th century, when there were usually 12 races per day at the Central Racecourse.

The method of doubling down is to bet 100 yuan on the "second favourite" in the first match (because the currency unit has been converted to a uniform value, here it is all expressed as "block") on the "second favorite", and if it wins, the bet will not be placed on that day. If you don't win, you will bet on the "second favorite" with double the amount of 200 yuan in the next game (the second game...... Similarly, if you win, you will not bet on the same day, and if you don't, you will bet on the next game for 400 yuan.

Repeat the same process until you win, i.e. "win".

At Central Racecourse, the second-favourites win rate is 18%, and a rough calculation shows that out of 12 races a day, there will be an average of two "second-favourites" to win; In addition, under "normal circumstances", the odds of the "second favorite" will inevitably be more than double, so with this method, no matter which buy is won.

At first glance, this is indeed the "sure to win" method.

But is that really the case?

Apparently not.

There are two problems with this approach: first, funding.

Starting from the first game of 100 yuan, each game will double the amount of bets, so that when you buy the tenth game, the next bet will be 51,200 yuan, and if you buy the last game of the day, the next bet will be 204,800, and the vast majority of people who go to the racecourse can't get so much money.

Second, the winning rate.

Although the odds of a "second favourite" winning are 18%, this also means that the chance of "all favourites losing on the same day" is (1-0.18)^12≈0.0924=9.24%, i.e. once every 11 race days.

Some people may say that if you have enough money, it doesn't hurt to lose all of them in one day, because you can continue to use the "double bet method" on the next day, that is, from the first game of the next day, you bet with a bankroll of 409,600, so that it is still a "sure win".

Pity...... This is still wrong.

When you bet more than $5 million (i.e. the fifth game of the next day), you are creating an "abnormal situation" because the amount of your bet will change the odds so much that the original "second favorite" will become the "big favorite", and the odds of winning will fall to less than twice as much...... At this time, even if you buy it, you will not be able to recover the cost due to the decrease in payouts.

This is gambling.

However, in Virtual Horse Betting, things are different.

First of all, Ryunosuke's initial capital is very sufficient; The six million virtual coins he exchanged for after putting three points cards into the instrument can be bet in the form of double bets until the third game of the next day, and there are still more than two million dollars after this miss.

Secondly, the bet amount of the "virtual betting horse" will not affect the "odds...... Because the games they sit here and watch are "things that have happened in the past", no matter how much money they put here, they are just betting virtual currency with the computer in front of them, and the results and odds of the games that have already happened will not change because of this.

Under such a premise, the feasibility of the "double betting method" has been greatly improved.

In fact, as long as you "read" the rules at the door, you will find that the "double betting method" is very likely to be the "correct solution" to the "virtual betting horse" project identified by the organizers.

For example, "At the end of each round, if the player makes a profit in that round, the next game jumps to another event at another point in time; If the player does not make a profit in that round, the event will continue at the current point in time. "This one is simply designed to cooperate with the double betting method. To put it bluntly...... If you win, you will directly "change the day" and reset the probability, and if you lose, you will continue to play in chronological order.

There is also a way to check various information and odds before the game, which is equivalent to helping players confirm who the "big favorites" and "second favorites" of each game are.

And if nothing else, the last two rules for players to set a "win limit" are probably to prevent someone from seeing through the "cracking method" of this game, and then infinitely swipe points here.

To sum up, it is not difficult to see...... Sakaki had already thought of this when he read the rules at the door; It was only on the premise that he had a great deal of certainty that he used the words "winning strategy" to fool Ryunosuke in.

Of course, Sakaki didn't need to explain this to Ryunosuke completely; This is also a rule that "connoisseurs" understand - unless forced to do so, at most say "eight points" to a layman.

…………

Subsequently, the development of events also verified Sakaki's guess.

The "virtual betting horses" that claim to be "randomly selected from different race days around the world over the past 200 years to repeat themselves" are actually all races that are "won by at least one 'second favourite' on that day".

In other words, the "double betting method" is indeed the "correct solution" set by the organizer; As long as you crack the hidden hints in the rules, make a thorough calculation of the probability and odds of betting on horses, and then observe the minimum bet for a period of time, anyone has a chance to crack this secret.

Pity...... There are still people who have lost all their money on this project; It can only be said that the "experts" invited by these people are too watery to even crack a game of this difficulty, and they will undoubtedly lose worse when encountering confrontational projects.

But Ryunosuke is different, he directly used the double betting method from the beginning, and naturally he will not lose.

After a brief period of observation, Sakaki also discovered the rule that "no matter where you go at random, no matter what race day, there will always be one favorite in 12 races". Therefore, he asked Ryunosuke to increase the starting bet amount after each "win and jump time", and no longer look at any pre-match information and the game process except for the odds, just quickly buy the next favorite, and then jump to the result settlement stage to see the result.

This approach greatly increases the efficiency of winning; In just half an hour, their net profit from virtual coins has exceeded 18 million.

At this point, the game is automatically over.

The coin outlet under the coin slot opened, and twelve points plates were spit out, which were neatly stacked there; A man in a black suit also came over at the right time and asked them to vacate their seats.

When he left the game cabin of the "virtual betting horse", Ryunosuke was full of spring breeze, and his last suspicion about Sakaki had also disappeared - the man who thought he could only kill all sides on mahjong turned out to be a good hand at playing this game like the dealer betting; And this also makes Ryunosuke mentality about becoming a "winner...... A subtle change has taken place.

…………

At the same moment, the "ESP Card Induction Game" outside the cabin door.

A muscular Latino man stepped out of it and played with the eight points cards he had just won with a smug look on his face.

"Oh~ baby, you're really amazing, you helped me win so much in a while."

As he spoke, a well-dressed and hotly dressed Latina beauty followed him onto the deck.

"Huh...... Carving insect skills, but Darling's cooperation is really good, so I saved a lot of trouble. This beauty is the man's lover and a "connoisseur" with superb gambling skills; Therefore, she is both a man's female companion and a gaming partner.

Just when the two were flirting, suddenly, another person's voice came from not far away: "'Mandala' is really worthy of its name......

As soon as he spoke, the beauty's expression changed, and it became cold and cruel.

"Who are you?" The woman known as Mandala immediately turned her head and asked angrily.

She did have reason to be angry, because there were rules among "connoisseurs" - some people could be given nicknames, others should never be mentioned...... "mandala" was a name that should not be mentioned in front of "laymen".

Seeing Mandala's reaction, the two bodyguards who had just come out of the game cabin and followed the Latino man also consciously stepped forward to surround the talker.

"Wow~Wow~" The person who accosted him was a rather thin white man, only about one meter in his early sixties, weighing less than a hundred pounds, wearing a tailor-made brown suit, "Don't be nervous, gentlemen......" Seeing the two big men blocking over, he quickly opened his hands and raised them to his shoulders, making a gesture similar to surrender, "I'm just representing my employer...... Let's talk to your boss. ”

"Who is your employer?" The Latino man had walked up to the mandala and wrapped his arms around the beauty's slender waist; He didn't seem to care much about this little man who suddenly appeared, but since the other party made his woman angry, he naturally wouldn't give a good face.

"He doesn't know you, Mr. Gimenez." The little man smiled and said, "But ...... Your father had a close relationship with him during his lifetime, and you must have heard some rumors about him, as well as ...... His name. With that, he slowly reached into the pocket of his jacket and pulled out a small white stone.

Although it is a stone, the surface is shiny and round like jade, and at first glance it may be thought to be an artifact, but it is actually a natural creation.

As soon as Gimenez saw the stone, his expression changed, and his otherwise relaxed demeanor disappeared from his face, replaced by a little nervousness.

"You ......" Gimenez let go of his female companion in his arms, took two steps forward, and looked at the small man again, "...... Is it a 'revered' person? ”

"Don't dare to be." The little man shrugged and smiled, "I'm just an errand boy." ”

"Do you have something to tell me?" Gimenez then asked.

"Well, actually, it's just a ......," the little man said here, a chill in his smile and tone, "while you still have your life, get out of this ship quickly." ”