Platoon shooting

"Bang!"

The sound coming through the pickup device is a few frames slower than the picture, and it feels like someone has dug out a small blank space in it, with a certain eerie sense of unreality. Xiang Nanxing and Chris looked at the picture dumbfounded, as if they could smell the smell of gunpowder wafting over the screen.

There was obvious recoil when the gun was fired, and the sound was also a real gunshot - Liang Jingmo's "danger-clearing" shot really chose the one with bullets!

Xiang Nanxing and Chris glanced at each other and shouted in unison. It's a shout of excitement. Liang Jingmo's success in this rescue is like removing the big stone that originally pressed on their nerves, so that these two people who have been worried can finally breathe. At least in the first game they can relax and develop the situation with a calm mind......

"Don't be too reassured, there's another one." The masked man's words were like a basin of cold water pouring down on their heads, interrupting their overly optimistic thinking, "Don't forget, Xu Wen still retains the right to 'shoot at people' over there." The success of the risk elimination does not mean that the game is completely stable. ”

"Yes, yes." Chris nodded, returning his attention to the game. However, after calming down, Xiang Nanxing's first reaction was to think of what the masked man said just now.

If he had played, he would have died now? That's true. Because what Xiang Nanxing was thinking about just now was to endure this game and consume a chance to shoot at himself first. If that was the case, this real bullet would have entered his head at this time, and fortunately Liang Jingmo didn't do what he thought.

But the problem is that the masked man said this before Liang Jingmo fired, as if he already knew that there was a bullet in this shot at that time. If you think about it, it's not that simple at all.

"I have a question for you." Xiang Nanxing asked respectfully, "Just now you said that if it were me, you would be dead now, as if you knew in advance that there would be bullets in this round." How did you guess that? ”

Chris didn't look back, but he was listening to the other party's answer. He was just as interested in the answers that the Masked Man might have said at this time.

"The reason for speculation is simple." The Masked Man replied, "Because of the idea you just had, it's best to put the bullets in the first three compartments. ”

Xiang Nanxing's face changed. This sentence may sound like a raising or perfunctory, but it makes sense to think about it at a deeper level. According to his theory, you should be more patient in the early stages of the game, not let the so-called "danger factor" open up the gap with the other party, and wait until the second half of the game to think about other things. Regardless of whether the reasoning process of this coefficient is perfect, the idea of keeping the data from falling behind is itself in line with most people's way of thinking.

But on the other hand, if the other party guesses such a calculation, then placing the bullet in the first few nests in a targeted manner will undoubtedly greatly increase the probability of hitting.

"Your reasoning seems seamless at first glance, but it's not really useful, because when you calculate the so-called coefficients, you ignore the essence of the game, which is the factor of mutual guessing." The masked man said lightly, "The bullets are not placed randomly. Even the first game doesn't mean you can act by chance. At this time, neither of them knew each other well enough to develop a targeted strategy, but that didn't prevent them from adopting a strategy that would be used against the average elite in the first game, in other words, a strategy that just restrained the theory you just had. ”

"Once you're at that table, most people start figuring out the wins and losses of each strategy, and calculations like that end up in the theory you've just distilled. Then, in keeping with the traditional human preference for data advantage, they will ask themselves to be patient in the early stage and choose unfavorable strategies so that they can be more relaxed later. Brave enough people will start implementing this idea in the first game. If you had predicted this step, where would you put your bullets? ”

Xiang Nanxing exclaimed: "So, Liang Jingmo's shot ......"

The masked man nodded, "Yes." Liang Jingmo played the most powerful card at the beginning of the game, because he thought that the opponent was likely to load the bullet in the first shot, and he judged that the opponent would handle the first game in the same way that he would deal with ordinary people, and then formulated a method for this. This is by no means cowardice, but after trying the way of thinking of the brave, they stand opposite it and formulate a strategy against it, and finally in turn fight back against the strategy of restraint itself. ”

"I changed roles twice...... Xiang Nanxing muttered. As the mask man said, what Liang Jingmo just did was to think about a relatively reasonable plan from his own side, and then switch to the identity of the opponent to see what response plan could be designed for this plan, and finally return to his own position to design a final plan for the response plan he just designed, and the last one is the strategy he will really implement in the game.

Although he failed to hit the first shot, he was not affected by this and resolutely carried out his judgment to the end. And that perseverance paid off in the end. His judgment of "the first three bullets" was finally confirmed with this shot, and the next step was to avoid his own bullet being guessed by the other party.

"But it's not easy to avoid that from happening." The masked man said, "Although he successfully avoided the bullets in the pistol here, the strategy used in the first three rounds has revealed some of his thinking patterns, and for Xu Wen, Liang Jingmo is no longer a stranger." In addition, the nerves that suddenly relax because they are going well are also a hidden danger. ”

He explained, "I was nervous because I was worried that I would accidentally hit a bullet planted by the other party, and this feeling continued even when it was the opponent's turn to shoot." Instead, this became an emotional cover, and it was difficult for Xu Wen to find a real sense of uneasiness from it. But now that the crisis has been lifted, the source of his uneasiness can only be the fact that his bullet was discovered by the other party, and his mood fluctuations have suddenly become easy to observe. ”

Xiang Nanxing frowned and thought about it, and then continued: "Therefore, the right to counterattack in Xu Wen's hand should be left behind, so as to continue to observe, and oppress Liang Jingmo, waiting for him to make a mistake." But Liang Jingmo's speculation is also true for Xu Wen, and the bullet from the gun in his hand also has a good chance of being placed in the 'first three shots', so he can't shoot at himself in this round. ”

"Yes." The masked man nodded. They all looked up at the picture in front of them, Xu Wen picked up the gun at this moment, and then calmly pointed to the open space next to him.

He pulled the trigger, followed by a "click".

"Hoo ......"

Chris next to him let out a sigh of relief, and then made no secret of his excitement. If Xu Wen's shot just now also went off, it would be equivalent to saying that the game would end immediately, and the two sides would start the next game directly. And this will also mean that Liang Jingmo's hard-won advantage is instantly useless. But in fact the shot missed. Xu Wen used up two opportunities to shoot "out of danger", but failed to find the location of the bullet, so the situation was more favorable to Liang Jingmo.

In the next three rounds, Liang Jingmo's rounds are irrelevant, but Xu Wen's three shots are very important. He had only one chance to choose his bullets, that is, to decide when to use "fire at the enemy". If he chooses the wrong one, he will only be greeted by death. Probability-wise, he has a two-in-three chance of making a mistake and only a third of the time he gets right.

But if he chooses the right one......

"Ahh

Thinking of this, Chris suddenly exclaimed. Xiang Nanxing next to him said coldly: "Did you finally notice it?" ”

He looked at the picture with a grim face, and his mood was obviously far less optimistic than Chris. "Honestly, I'd rather have a bullet in this shot." "But then, the game has just started the first game, and the winner is going to be decided." ”

"However, in terms of opportunities, it is more beneficial to our side!" Chris said.

Xiang Nanxing shook his head. As someone who has fought Xu Wen head-on, his feelings are undoubtedly more real than Chris. Against this opponent, you can't expect him to make mistakes, and you can't expect him to try his luck. Every step he takes is based on the observation of both the enemy and the enemy, and at this moment, it is natural that it cannot be analyzed with simple probability.

"As the guy just said, after three rounds, Liang Jingmo's strategy and the facts shown so far are enough for him to make some inferences." Xiang Nanxing said, "Liang Jingmo used the opportunity to clear the danger in the first three rounds, while his own bullet was placed in the last three bullet nests, indicating that his original plan was to decide the winner in the second half." If it goes well, he has already finished clearing by this time, and has consumed at least one chance of his opponent's clearance. I don't think he's optimistic enough to think that he can use up all of his opponent's two chances, so the current situation is actually a bit beyond his expectations. ”

By the time he said this, Liang had already quickly ended his round. For him, this is just a button on the head of the empty gun, go through the process, and throw all the pressure on Xu Wen's side.

It's just that from his face, there is not much lightness. On the contrary, Xu Wen, who was picking up the gun, looked calm.

Xiang Nanxing looked at them for a while, narrowed his eyes and continued: "So, if it develops according to his plan, what will the opponent who has one chance left to clear the danger do?" ”

Chris thought for a moment. "If it were me, I would use the opportunity to clear the danger here." "Keeping this right will allow you to regain your advantage in the last two rounds while ensuring safety," he said. But the opponent may target the mentality I had when I was behind. So to be on the safe side, I'd rather give up the opportunity to gain an advantage, and I have to make sure I'm safe. ”

"It's just to use the chance to clear the danger, right?" Xiang Nanxing said, "This is the meaning of the fourth shot. Even if he thought that this shot had a good chance of being empty, he still didn't dare to risk this step. Anyway, if you use up the chance to eliminate danger, the next step is only half and half of the chance, but if you don't use it, once you make a mistake in judgment, you will die. People in their right thinking know which side is more advantageous. ”

From the picture, he saw Xu Wen raise the gun and put it on his temple without hesitation, and couldn't help but sigh again.

"In other words, this round was originally meant to consume the opponent's chance to shoot a 'danger', so ...... It was empty, of course. Xu Wen's words with a smile seemed to be connected with Xiang Nanxing's analysis in the air. Before he could finish speaking, he had already pulled the trigger without hesitation.

"Click".

And then nothing happened.

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