Chapter 31 The Most Ideal Hypothesis
When the two of us analyzed this, we couldn't help but look at each other, and couldn't find the murderer's motive for killing, even if it was the simplest and most reasonable explanation for the analysis, there was no way, not only was it difficult to solve the case, but there was no way to prevent it.
Da Leizi listened to it for a long time, and he didn't seem to understand, but he also heard us mention that the murderer might be a worker in a cement factory or a hotel, so he couldn't help it, and interjected: "You guys are talking here for a long time, why don't you ask, if there is really a night shift, what time do you go to the night shift, then it will be clear?" ”
I looked at Leng Tong, and Leng Tong also nodded and said, "I want to ask, let's go now, go to the cement factory first, and then come back to the hotel." ”
"Let's eat first, right?" Da Leizi asked, saw that Leng Tong raised his eyes again, didn't say a word, and drove straight to the cement factory.
I couldn't help but laugh secretly, we tossed like this, it was already half past twelve at noon, Da Leizi was already hungry, I don't know how long I endured it before bringing it up, it still didn't work.
Da Leizi drove to the gate of the cement factory and looked at the two of us, as if waiting for the two of us to get out of the car.
Leng Tong immediately said: "You just go and ask, how many people are there, the ratio of men and women, how to work shifts, the specific real time of the shift, just ask clearly and come back." ”
Da Leizi reluctantly got out of the car, swaggered into the factory, and asked directly in the guard duty room.
I saw that there were a lot of people in the duty room, and it should be no problem to ask these questions, so I smiled and didn't say anything.
Leng Tong said to me: "I guess what we analyzed, the Shao City police can also analyze it, and maybe they have also come to investigate, but there is nothing to gain." ”
I can roughly understand Leng Tong's statement, and asked: "The reason is one, I can't find the murderer's motive for killing, and I don't know the direction of suspicion, so it's hard to gain anything, right?" ”
Leng Tong looked at me and nodded, agreeing with me.
Before we didn't analyze so much time, I didn't have much to do about this case, there was no place to start at all, after Leng Tong said it, I also think it makes some sense, the murderer can't come so far to kill people for no reason, and he is always on Jingwei Street, there must be a reason for this.
It's just that we haven't figured out the murderer's motive yet, and now everything is speculation, with some plausibility, but these plausibility is not very certain, and if the shift time is right, it adds some plausibility.
Da Leizi quickly got into the car and said like a bean: "There are a lot of people in the factory, more than 1,300 people, the ratio of men and women is seven to three, in the past, it was a shift from zero o'clock, three shifts, and now in order to take care of female workers, the time has been changed, and it will take over at five o'clock in the morning, and at one o'clock in the afternoon, it will take over until nine o'clock in the evening, and then it will be the last shift." ”
Leng Tong and I glanced at each other, and we both thought that this shift was wrong, and the time did not match the time passed by the murderer.
Leng Tong looked a little happy, told Da Leizi to go to the hotel, and then said to me: "This shift is still very reasonable, I guess it is not a worker in the cement factory." ”
"Why?" I couldn't help but ask, "Is it because there is cement ash on the ground near the cement plant?" There was no trace of cement ash left at the site? ”
"It's not entirely because of that." Leng Tong quickly said: "From the narrative of the Zhang team, as well as before and after the two cases, no one provided the traces and clues of the murderer, I think it is not from the cement factory, otherwise so many people pass by, it is a time period, the murderer still committed the crime randomly, it is impossible that no one has seen the traces of the murderer." ”
I nodded again and again, and I had to admit that Leng Tong's beautiful woman was thoughtful and thought about a lot of questions.
The three of us soon came to the Sanjiang Hotel, Da Leizi parked the car in the hotel compound, and didn't need Leng Tong to say anything, just got out of the car and swaggered in.
Leng Tong also grinned at me, made me laugh, bullied Da Leizi, many things are easy to do, this guy is big, he looks fierce, he can really fight, and if he throws his police officer card there, most people have to take it seriously.
Da Leizi came back in more than ten minutes, got in the car and said: "There are more than 700 people here, the ratio of men and women is the opposite of the cement factory, three to seven, the female waiter works in two shifts, from eight o'clock in the morning to eight o'clock in the evening, and the engineering department works in three shifts, 24 hours a day, starting from eight o'clock in the morning, each shift is eight hours." ”
I was shocked when I heard it, if according to Leng Tong, all the cases happened at 11 o'clock at night, then these three shifts happened to be one shift at 0:00 at night!
Leng Tong was also looking at me, with a happy look on his face, and said to Da Leizi: "Now go all the way back to the location of last night's crime, don't drive too fast, let's go back and take a look." ”
Da Leizi didn't care about that, and when he heard that Leng Tong wanted to go back, he immediately drove back.
This time I know what Leng Tong means, that is, I want to take a look at the time from the hotel to the noodle restaurant, roughly estimate, and verify whether our analysis has some truth.
The car drove very slowly, and it took four minutes from the hotel to the noodle shop where the crime occurred, and the speed was about three or four times that of ordinary people, that is, if the murderer was walking, he would definitely be able to reach the hotel within 15 minutes.
Leng Tong looked at me and grinned, but didn't say anything.
I immediately said: "The murderer is walking, passing by here, it is very likely that he went to the hotel to work the night shift, it was the shift at midnight, the first time the crime happened because he went to the hardware store to buy something, the crime occurred at about 11:40, and then he rushed to the hotel to take over, the second time the crime happened, it was around 11:10, he wanted to eat a bowl of noodles, and then he went to take over!" ”
"Exactly!" Leng Tong said with a happy face: "This person must usually have no bad deeds, or he is very good at disguise, and he is not suspected at all." ”
I really can't believe that the scope of the murderer was locked so quickly, but all this is just a possibility, and it can be said that there is not much theoretical basis at all.
Da Leizi heard the two of us say that he was energetic, and immediately said, "Is it really fake?" How about we go to the hotel and investigate? Whose class was it last night, all of them were arrested, and it was over if we figured it out? ”
Leng Tong didn't bully Da Leizi this time, and only looked up at me after thinking about it.
I really couldn't help laughing: "Tongtong, this was nonsense at first, it was one of your simplest and most reasonable ideas, and it could even be said to be the most ideal idea, it was not reliable at all, Brother Lei was right, this is just nonsense, we can't do this, and we can't report it." ”
"yes!" Leng Tong nodded after listening to my words and said: "The murderer should usually be a person with no bad deeds, even if our assumption is reasonable, when facing the murderer, we still don't have the slightest evidence, and we can't help the murderer." ”
Da Leizi was angry when he heard it, and immediately started the car, parked the car next to a small restaurant, and didn't ask for advice, so he got out of the car and walked into the hotel.
Leng Tong's big beauty was also a little helpless, so she immediately got out of the car and waved her hand to signal me to get out of the car to eat.
Da Leizi was so hungry that he had already ordered food, sat there smoking and waited, and when he saw us come in, he pouted and said, "Don't you skip eating?" Xiaoxiao, your brother Lei doesn't work now? You can't even have a meal, and you have to wave your hand to the cold girl before you get out of the car? ”
I really have nothing to say, I really came down just now with Leng Tong waving my hand, in fact, the big thunder is not the same, what do you want to do if you are bullied?
Leng Tong's big beauty also wanted to laugh, and pursed her mouth silently.
During this meal, Leng Tong and I also discussed, this is our assumption, according to the best idea of our best to solve the case, it is really unreliable, the only inference is the time of the crime, and the time of shift work as support, nothing else can be talked about.
The most important point is that we have no evidence, and we can't figure out the motive for the crime, even in the face of the murderer, we are helpless, and we are not sure.
We decided to put these reasoning aside for the first time, go back and listen to what the chapter team has investigated, and most importantly, find some clues about the murderer, and figure out the motive for the crime.
It was not too early to eat, and the three of us returned to the police station at about 4 p.m.
Team Xing and the others were in the office of the Yang Bureau, still discussing the case, waiting for the return of the teams, and it was about half past six in the evening when the teams came back one after another, and we also gathered in the small conference room.
The situation of the investigation is very unsatisfactory, the victim is a foreigner, there is no enemy here at all, and no one has been offended, just a noodle restaurant, and he has not even quarreled with customers in recent times, let alone made enemies.
For the general direction of the two elders, an investigation has also been conducted, and the city will still come up with a plan this year, and as for who will benefit the most after the relocation, it will be further investigated.
The results of the investigation near the scene are not large, because there are no residential houses on both sides of Jingwei Street, they are all small businesses, except for those who live here at night, most of them are closed, and even if they live here, they are also closed.
The only person who provided a clue was also the owner of a small restaurant, and last night after a few rough car drivers collected their cars, they gathered there to drink, and only at about 11:15 did they go out to block the gate of the window, and saw a person passing by the roadside, walking in a normal posture, walking to the south.
I didn't care about it at the time, I didn't look closely, I blocked the ram and went back, I felt that I was not short, and I couldn't provide any other features.
It's not surprising, someone passing by on the street, it's a normal thing, no one will pay attention to what features, if it's a rampant escape, it's different, or the police asked this time period, did they see anyone passing by, and the boss remembered that there seemed to be a person.
Leng Tong and I were shocked when we heard this clue, and we couldn't help but glance at each other.
This afternoon, we went to Jingwei Street and didn't do anything else, except for analysis is reasoning, and found a most suitable for us to solve the case, and it is also the most ideal idea to reason, but this clue points out that the person who is suspected of being the murderer is going south!
Although there are no details, there are no physical features, but the direction is roughly similar to what we speculated, and the time is reasonable, if the murderer had eaten noodles, it might have been around 11:45, killed someone without eating noodles, and went directly to the hotel to take over, isn't it around 11:15!