Chapter 218: Chance and Necessity
Here is a huge void between the ecliptic discrete disk and the presumed Oort cloud. The discovery of such an asteroid with an extremely flat orbit here, and the conclusion through the analysis of the composition of the material that it was most likely formed in the solar system, then the further speculation is obvious: it came from the Oort cloud. For unknown reasons, it may have been a gravitational disturbance of the inner planets, or it could have been due to the collision between objects, which changed its orbit and traveled from the Oort cloud to the inner solar system, where it was eventually discovered by the Xinghai spacecraft.
Again, this is a no-brainer of inference, but the combination of this and the previous one raises an incredible question: "Since it was formed in the solar system, and since it didn't come from anywhere else in the universe, where did this piece of debris on it, apparently from the hands of a technological civilization, come from?" ”
The discovery of this irregular asteroid may directly prove the existence of the Oort cloud, which is undoubtedly a major milestone in the history of astronomy, but at this moment, the existence of this piece of debris has completely dissipated the joy and shock of Wei Feng's astronomical discovery.
Facing Wei Feng's question, Ye Luo said in a somewhat helpless tone: "Who knows? Maybe it's just that the piece of debris came from the outer solar system, and it flew alone for hundreds of millions of years and an unknown number of light-years, and then happened to come to the solar system and embedded itself in this asteroid before we found it. ”
There is an element of "humor" in Ye Luo's character setting, and Wei Feng knows that this sentence is actually Ye Luo's ridicule. To convince Wei Feng of this conclusion, it is better to make Wei Feng believe that a stone thrown by the spaceship will happen to hit a planet in the Andromeda galaxy that happens to have an intelligent civilization, and then hit the head of the intelligent creature in that intelligent civilization.
The probability of such a thing happening is not impossible, according to the principles of quantum mechanics. Even the probability that a person will go straight through a wall exists, but after calculation, the probability of a molecule in the human body passing through a wall when a person hits a wall is equivalent to the probability of a person winning the lottery jackpot every day for six million years. The human body has about 10 molecules to the 27th power, and the probability of letting these molecules pass through the wall at the same time is as small as you can imagine.
The probability that a piece of debris that has been flying for hundreds of millions of years happens to hit an asteroid in an open part of the solar system is about the same as the probability of a person passing through a wall - they are all so small that they don't make sense at all.
But the truth is real. Because Wei Feng did indeed find a piece of debris made between 500 million and 600 million years ago from an irregular asteroid. Since the asteroid was formed in the solar system, and there is another piece of such debris inside it. If we analyze it further, we can only conclude that the debris is also in the solar system.
Between 500 million and 600 million years ago, a piece of extremely high-tech debris appeared in the solar system.
It doesn't take complicated language to explain this, but what it means is extremely complex. Obviously, there must be a reason why a piece of debris appeared in the solar system, and it could not have appeared here for no reason. Its appearance means the emergence of a civilization - at least an alien spacecraft, or an alien probe. And it is really a bit difficult for Wei Feng to accept that the creation of an alien civilization came to the solar system five to six hundred million years ago. It's unbelievable.
"That's right. What are your conclusions? Mr. Captain? Ye Luo continued to ask.
Wei Feng shook his slightly dizzy head, and then said: "I'll summarize the prerequisites that we have mastered, one, this fragment is from the solar system, two, it is torn from the inside, and the cause of the tear is likely to be an explosion, three. Trace oxidation reactions detected indicate that the organisms within the ship also need oxygen to survive, IV. It's five to six hundred million years old, so is there anything else to say? ”
Wei Feng made a "why" gesture and continued: "Five to six hundred million years ago, there was an alien civilization that needed oxygen to survive like our human civilization drove a spaceship to our solar system, and then there was a war in the solar system. The war caused a spaceship to explode, and then the debris embedded in an irregular asteroid was discovered...... What else do we have to say about this inference? ”
This inference, though incredible, is the most probable conclusion under the existing conditions. In addition to this conclusion. Wei Feng really has nothing to say.
"I agree with your speculation." Ye Luo said, "So what should we do next?" Do you just report to the earth? ”
"Report it." Wei Feng said, "You only need to tell the earth side of this matter in its entirety, so that our inferences need not be said, so as not to mislead the earth side." ”
"Okay, I'll send a message now. By the way, Captain, do you need a break now? ”
"No, Ye Luo, I have another question in mind." Wei Feng said quietly, "I want to ask you...... Do you think we found this fragment by accident or necessity? ”
Ye Luo paused a few times, as if thinking about something: "Captain, I don't think your question about chance or necessity has any meaning. What about chance? What about the necessarily? In fact, we found it eventually, didn't we? ”
Wei Feng shook his head: "No, I don't think so. I think...... An asteroid was encountered in a huge hollow area between the ecliptic discrete disk and the Oort cloud, and a high-tech fragment from 500 to 600 million years ago was found on it...... Don't you think it's too much of a coincidence? ”
"Are you suggesting that this is being manipulated?" Ye Luo said.
"Are you scared?" Wei Feng said.
"I have to admit that the inference that there is an unknown super civilization that is secretly manipulating our destiny is really creepy. But Captain, I'm just an intelligent program, and there's no such thing as fear in my database. Ye Luo said and asked rhetorically, "Are you scared?" ”
Wei Feng continued to shake his head: "I didn't feel scared. I'm thinking about this such a coincidence. I think we have three ways to explain this coincidence. What you said is one of the possibilities that we have encountered such a coincidence because of the manipulation of super civilizations. Possibility 2...... That is, this matter was originally a coincidental event, there was no conspiracy, no manipulation, no super alien civilization, only coincidence. ”
Ye Luo said: "I don't think your two statements have any meaning. ”
Wei Feng asked rhetorically: "Then have you ever thought that this incident may not be a coincidence at all, it is not an accidental event, but an inevitable event?" ”
"I don't understand what you're talking about." Ye Luo replied.
"Let's take an analogy." "Let's say we can observe a total of 100 asteroids while we're navigating through the Oort Cloud—you don't have any doubt about that, right?" ”
"I have no doubts." Ye Luo said, "Even in such a dark environment, my four telescopes can detect similar asteroid reflections from 500 million kilometers away, and now that the existence of the Oort cloud has basically been confirmed, it is not difficult for me to observe a hundred asteroids during this voyage." ”
"Let's Assume Again...... On average, evidence of the existence of this super-alien civilization can be found on every 200 asteroids, so ...... We have encountered a total of 100 asteroids, and what is the probability of discovering a fragment made by a super-technological civilization on any of these 100 asteroids? ”
Ye Luo quickly replied: "This is a very simple question of probability, and the final probability is fifty percent. ”
Wei Feng said slowly: "Fifty percent probability...... Could this be considered an accident? ”
"The 50 percent probability is not an accident, it's quite high. Oh, I see what you mean. Captain, are you saying that the existence of alien civilizations on asteroids here is a common phenomenon, and it is likely that there is such evidence on many asteroids, so the presence of such a piece of debris on the asteroid we encountered this time is not an extremely coincidental event? ”
"I'm not sure about that." Wei Feng shook his head and said, "This is also a guess of mine. After all, what we're experiencing now is too coincidental, unbelievably coincidental. And if this is not an accident, but a high-probability event, then there is a reasonable explanation for this matter. ”
"So what are you going to do?"
"What do I want to do...... Very simple. "We estimate that it will take another 80 to 100 years to sail out of the Oort Cloud, and if in the interim, you can find some evidence of the existence of super-alien civilizations from asteroids, or similar debris directly in space...... This basically proves that this is a high probability event. ”
"But do you know what that means?" Ye Luo said quietly, "Although I don't have emotions, I still think it's a very terrible thing. ”
"Of course I do." Wei Feng sighed: "If it's a high-probability event...... That means that the war that took place in the solar system five to six hundred million years ago must have had a large impact. It must have been a big war. (To be continued......)