Chapter 560: War Analysis

War is an extension of politics, an extension of what is adopted when political means cannot achieve results.

War is the last resort for major powers to ensure their own interests, and it is also the last bottom line for major powers.

War is not the last choice for the initiating side, it is the most correct decision based on self-interest.

After Fan Yize published the Twitter message, it was reprinted in large numbers for the first time, and Fan Yize's followers on Twitter have exceeded 200 million people, and the news has spread at an astonishing speed.

In the tweet, Fan Yize made it clear his views and personal opinions on the war in Iraq.

To put it simply, bringing war to a peaceful country, even if it is a just war, will be criticized by the whole world.

In this regard, a large number of media in the United States also reacted quite quickly, and kept carrying out all kinds of propaganda for this frontal war.

As a matter of fact, the American social strata do not have any special ideas about the US military in Iraq, and they cannot say anything about supporting or rejecting it.

Far away in the Middle East, the battlefield does not seem to have brought much change to American society.

And Fan Yize didn't think about changing anything, he was just expressing his own opinions, which can be regarded as responding to the reactions of countries under the global pattern.

Shortly after Fan Yize's tweet, Future Military Resources published an analysis of the U.S. military.

The article states: "

Since the beginning of the new century, there have been marked changes in the operational concept and mode of operation of the United States.

Secretary of Defense Donald of the Bush administration challenged the Pentagon's status quo and built a combat force in the new century, as well as the new concept of war in the new century headed by Field, all of which had a far-reaching impact on the US military.

Immediately afterward, the decision-making level within the US military put forward the idea of building a new US military that is flexible and mobile in the information age, has high-tech equipment, and can be quickly deployed anywhere in the world.

More than 10 years ago, when Bush was giving a speech at the West Point Military Academy, he put forward the theory of preemptive strikes for the sake of "peace." This means that the United States can intervene in self-defense and strike preemptively against hostile countries that it considers to be terrorist organizations and that have ties to terrorists and possess weapons of mass destruction.

The war in Iraq, which has just broken out, was carried out on the basis of this concept.

According to the analysis, it is very likely that the US military will rely on its superiority in the sea and air and information technology to use a division of the Marine Corps to avoid the highway and pass through the most complicated terrain in Iraq, thus breaking the myth that Saddam Hussein is preparing to trap the US troops in the swamps.

I believe that this tactic will surprise many people, and it is naturally a tactic that the Iraqis cannot think of. ”

This is the end of a simple analysis, which seems to have a head but no tail, but for the United States, this analysis is like a slap in the face.

Because the United States is following the tactics of this analysis, when Saddam Hussein in Iraq sees this analysis, it is too late to correct the deployment of troops.

The war was like a historical one, and the Iraqi ground forces, at the very beginning of the war operation, faced a heavy blow.

The appearance of this analysis only illustrates a fact that is about to happen, and it is not a spoiler, and it only makes the Iraqi side realize the tactics of the US military a few minutes in advance, which does not help.

And anyone with a discerning eye can see that under this analysis, there is the next text, but it has not been released.

The next day, the third day of the outbreak of the Iraq war, an analysis from Future Technology Group appeared in front of the world:

"Iraq is calling on Iraqis at home and abroad to resolutely resist the invasion of the British and American coalition forces, and according to what we have learned, hundreds of Iraqi youths are returning to the country every day from neighboring countries to participate in the war.

The military operations of the Anglo-American coalition forces in Iraq have been very smooth so far, but one point that is not to be taken into account is that Iraq is not a small country that can penetrate the territory with one shot, and with the elongation of the front line of the battlefield, the distance of the supply line is too long, which will inevitably affect the rhythm of the war.

However, this impact will not really help the Iraqi army, and the Anglo-American coalition will slow down the efficiency of the attack, but the attack on strategic points around the Iraqi capital Baghdad will not slow down much.

The core cities of Kalbas, Hilla, and Hindiyah in central Iraq will become areas of intense engagement, and at this stage, the resistance of the Iraqi army will eventually lead to further defeat of the Iraqi army with the strong air superiority and mechanized superiority of the US-British coalition forces.

Major cities and strategic points such as Basra in central and southern Iraq will soon fall under the control of the US-British coalition forces, and it will not take more than 15 days from the outbreak of the war to form a situation of encirclement of Baghdad.

When encircling Baghdad, the US-British coalition forces will inevitably choose to advance to Baghdad as soon as possible and seize the surrounding military airfields, and then they will be able to see the picture of US tanks driving into Baghdad.

At this time, for Iraq, there may be only one way to choose the same end, but there will also be a considerable part of the Iraqi people who will welcome the arrival of the British and American coalition forces.

This is the sorrow of a country and the sorrow of a nation. ”

At the end of this analysis, Future Technology Group also wrote in the tone of its own position:

"It's easy to start a war, but if you want to end it, you can't do it overnight.

Perhaps the Americans want a quick victory, but unfortunately, wars are never fought by anyone's will, and the Americans are no different.

On the third day of the war, all that can be analyzed is almost complete, that Saddam's regime will irreversibly fall, but for all the Iraqi people, this war is definitely not as good as you imagined.

Without strong intervention, this war will definitely not end as the United States imagined, and the future will inevitably evolve into a swamp. The legs have stepped into the center of the swamp.

This is a pain for the United States, but the real pain is for the entire Iraqi people, and the naivety and false illusions will eventually turn into a bitter fruit, and every Iraqi will have to swallow this bitter fruit himself.

When the United States takes control of Iraq, this bitter fruit will blossom, and the bitter fruit will be brewed in the endless struggle, perhaps for ten or eight years.

Therefore, if we can, we hope that the United States will fully withdraw from Iraq as soon as it reaches the moment of overthrowing Saddam's regime, and this is our advice, otherwise no one knows what will happen. ”