"The problem of time error." Duan Han said, "How do those scientists predict the time window of 'ten years'? How is it possible to be so accurate and control the error within three months? ”

Nie Xing unexpectedly glanced at the girl behind Xu Liang, he thought it was just a beautiful girl, but he didn't expect to have this kind of insight.

"That's right. You're asking a good question, because the scientists, at great expense, scrapped a large number of instruments, finally found that the rate of exudation of these exudates is not only increasing, but exponential......"

"Ah, I see!" Duan Han said immediately.

Hearing the words exponential growth, Duan Han quickly reacted: "If it is a strong oxidizing substance that grows exponentially, then it can explain the problem of time speculation." ”

Xu Liang didn't understand too much: "What's going on?" How do you know for sure? ”

Duan Han quickly explained to him: "Have you heard of the phenomenon of 'water hyacinth in the pond'? ”

"This is the best example of how to explain the timing of exponential growth."

"Water hyacinth is a strongly invasive exotic plant that grows extremely fast, exponentially. After its native Baxi was introduced to Eurasian countries as a flower, due to the lack of natural enemies to inhibit its growth, a large number of vegetative reproduction, crowding out the living space of other aquatic plants, bringing huge ecological disasters. ”

"'Water hyacinth in a pond' is about a small water hyacinth in a wide pond. Inspect the pond once a week and remove the water hyacinth. With such a high frequency of inspection, it is also very likely that the opportunity will be missed, resulting in water hyacinth occupying the entire pond! ”

"Think about it, the growth rate of water hyacinth is increasing exponentially, for example, doubling every day. Well, one week, you find that the water hyacinth only occupies a small corner of the pond because it is so small that you don't eradicate it in time. But a week later, when you come back again, you will find that the whole pond is full of water hyacinths, and you have too late to eradicate them. ”

"One becomes two, two becomes four, four becomes eight, eight becomes sixteen...... That's the terrible thing about exponential growth. It can make a huge difference beyond your expectations when you don't react at all. ”

"Because the human way of thinking is linear, it is intuitively difficult to understand this exponential growth, so it is impossible to imagine that water hyacinth will occupy the entire pond in such a short period of time!"

Lieutenant General Nie Xing looked at Duan Han a few more times unexpectedly, and he didn't expect him to just mention that the exudation rate of exudate increases exponentially, and this beautiful girl gave a suitable example:

"That's right, that's what you mean." He said:

"Most of the underwater instruments of those scientists at that time were destroyed by scattered explosions. Even so, the small amount of data returned gives a precise rate of exudate rate, which is indeed increasing exponentially. ”

"Even ten years ago, the amount of exudate was so small that it couldn't compare to the huge total reserves of methane hydrate. But after a decade of exponential growth, the two are already similar in magnitude! ”

"With just one small spark, the whole sea will churn."

Hearing this, Xu Liang continued along with his words: "Then the question now is: Who is the person who points this Mars? ”

"There is no definitive conclusion." Nie Xing immediately replied, "The possible reason given in the data is the self-polymerization and heating process of reactants under high pressure in the deep sea, but I don't think so. My personal feeling is that whoever released these oozing is the one who lit the fire! ”

"In any case, we are now at this tipping point. No one knows if a tsunami will happen in the next second! ”

When Nie Xing said this, his tone gradually became excited. There is a kind of helplessness and anger that cannot control his own fate.

"After a lot of verification, summarization and discussion, these scientists immediately began preparations for the super tsunami after arriving at a deadline of 10 years."

Obviously, after talking so much about the background of the tsunami, he finally got to the point of responding to the anticipation of a super tsunami. This work, and what will happen next, is undoubtedly more closely related to their current level, and the two of them are listening more carefully.

"The first thing they do is information blockade!" When he said this, Nie Xing showed a faint mockery on his face, "Does this word sound familiar?" ”

Xu Liang and Duan Han remembered what happened in the territory before, glanced at each other, and did not speak. At the same time, they remembered everything that had happened in the imperial capital not long ago.

It's really like that.

Nie Xing also showed a hint of mockery and continued:

"There's nothing new in the world. Information blocking is the first action to be taken by any senior layer after getting the message and determining the message. This information is limited to a small number of scientists, engineers, and a small number of people at the top of the pyramid. More than 99.999% of people don't know anything about it. After that, it's the next big thing - how can these people at the top of the tower ensure their own survival? ”

"You may think they are selfish, but there is nothing surprising about it, whether it is African refugees, white-collar petty bourgeoisie, or high-ranking officials and wealthy people, they all have one thing in common - the survival instinct of living creatures, but the ability of the top to achieve it is just that the top management has the ability to realize it."

"At that time, they came up with a myriad of proposals."

"The plan that was initially recognized and rejected at the beginning was space migration."

"At first glance, this plan sounds very reasonable, because no matter how big a tsunami is, it can't really go beyond the atmosphere, and if we build a shelter in the sky, wait for the tsunami to pass, and then return to land, wouldn't it be foolproof?"

"And this plan also has the advantage that it doesn't take extra energy to orbit the Earth, what you need to worry about is just the energy needed to send them up. And not only that, they can also expect immigration plans to the moon and even Mars! ”

"However, the plan was eventually cancelled."

"The reason is simple: lack of productivity."

"The productivity of the space program is beyond the reach of humanity under the current technology."

"Even if people all over the world do nothing but 'send people to space', all the world's productive forces together can only support immigrants of less than 1,000 people, which is too expensive and the gains outweigh the losses. Similarly, the Apollo program 50 years ago has long been proven to be extremely material-intensive, with a very low input-output ratio. ”

"Perhaps it will only be possible to afford a large-scale space program after another energy revolution."

"After rejecting this plan, countless scientists and engineers have made countless other projects."

"One of the most probable and valuable plans is to build a protective base on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau!"

"Relying on the world's only super plateau with an average altitude of more than 4,000 meters, the solid Cenozoic continental plate impact uplift generated by the hard granite mountain as the base, establish an unbreakable resistance mechanism, and dissipate the huge impact of the super tsunami."

"At one point, this plan was considered the most valuable and most likely to be implemented."

"It is also the most likely plan to withstand a tsunami at a height of the 'kilometer' level!"

(To be continued)