Text Chapter 152 Match-fixing ?
What can 200 million yuan do? This is a question that raises the imagination.
"If you buy lottery betting shops, you should be able to open thousands of them." Boss Zhang pondered, and said in three sentences.
"Buying the entire football lottery center is enough for a down payment!" Lao Song said, "If I have 200 million, I have to raise the bet first, and I will be cool in 14 games at a time." ”
Chang Struggle snorted and sneered: "You don't want to spend eight million to buy a lottery ticket and win a five-million 'jackpot', right?" ”
"I said you bear kid, can you talk?" Lao Song glared and said, "Winning five million is the highest honor that a football lottery player can receive, no matter how much money he makes, just that sense of accomplishment is something that many people can't experience in their lifetime." ”
Wu Bi said on the side: "If I have 200 million, one ball will become 400 million, two balls will become 800 million, and three balls will become 1.6 billion,...... Sooner or later, one day I will be able to catch up with Wang Jianlin and Ma Yun. ”
At this time, the small odds opened their mouths to wake up everyone: "Although it is not daylight, everyone should not dream here." hours, what do you want to say when you calculate the total amount of bets placed by lottery players across the country? ”
Shi Yuliang smiled slightly, and said: "It's just a rough estimate, in fact, 200 million is just an extremely conservative number, what I want to say is that everyone gathers firewood and the flame is high, and the lottery players more or less the lottery (stepping) gold is gathered together, which is definitely a considerable amount of money, which means a huge temptation." ”
"You want to say that someone will see the uprising?" Small odds asked.
"But bettors also win and lose." Wu You said, "Even if someone wants to interfere with the result of the game, but after all, the choice of betting is in the hands of the lottery players themselves, who they want to buy, and they can't determine the results and color results until the end of the game, which even the dealer can't control?" ”
Suddenly, Yang sneered and said: "You think that you choose the betting object according to the performance of the team and the player, but in fact, on the contrary, it is the bookmaker who decides the outcome of the game according to the betting results of the bettors." ”
"Hey! Old Yang Touer, don't break blindly if you don't understand the ball, don't talk nonsense without evidence. Lao Song shouted, "I have watched a lot of ball games, and I can see that most of the balls are really kicked, just like sometimes a game 'bell bell' kicks the goalpost several times, do you dare to say that it is a match-fixing?" I'm afraid there aren't many people who have such good footwork, right? ”
"Alas! Don't make any noise, okay? The small odds said a little anxiously, "Let's listen to what people say first!" ”
Shi Yuliang continued: "Let's assume that 200 million yuan is the total amount of lottery bets in the country, of course, these 200 million include bets on different color fruits, some people buy 3, some people buy 1, some people buy 0, someone will win the lottery, so Bo (Bo) Cai company on the basis of returning the principal, but also according to the odds to pay bonuses, and some people do not win, then Bo (Bo) Cai company will confiscate the full amount of the lottery (step) gold. In this way, there are wins and losses, Bo (Bo) Cai company from its own interests, of course, hope to be able to share a piece of the cake from 200 million yuan as much as possible for themselves. ”
"But how to divide the cake is not up to Bo (Bo) Cai Company to have the final say." Chang Struggle's point of view is similar to Wu You, firmly believing that the initiative of football lottery is always in the hands of lottery players.
Shi Yuliang said noncommittally: "Under normal circumstances, the odds offered by the football lottery company can represent the probability of various results, the odds of a strong team winning are low, the odds of a weak team winning are high, if the lottery players bet according to the probability corresponding to the odds, then the proportion of the three color fruit returns in a single game will be relatively balanced, simply put, the dealer earns two to one, the net profit is one, which is also the main means of legal profit of those intermediary Bo (Bo) lottery companies. ”
"The analysis is very correct, Bo (Bo) lottery company will not let lottery players win, but they must also make a steady profit, and it is impossible for lottery players not to let people make this money." Boss Zhang said.
"But from an economic point of view, there's no company that doesn't want to make its pie bigger and make more profits." Shi Yuliang said, "Odds are often the key factor that directly affects bettors' betting. ”
"That's right!" Xiao Odds said loudly, "Over the years, I have been analyzing odds betting, and I can say that I have a lot of experience, and it is precisely because of this that others call me 'small odds'." ”
Shi Yuliang nodded with a smile and said: "So, just as Mr. Yang just said, Bo (Bo) Cai Company will not hesitate to hire some elite actuaries in mathematics or economics as actuaries, and formulate odds for them, so as to induce bettors." In other words, a well-developed set of odds will induce bettors to make a non-balanced bet, preferably one-sided, in order to create a high profit margin. ”
"You're saying that when it's profitable, the dealer will intervene in the outcome of the game." The small odds turned a pair of round eyes and said.
"But Bo (Bo) Cai company opened a variety of lottery games, various, like what 14 games, any 9, single game wins, pass the win, half time, guess the score, the total number of goals, etc., so many tricks, even if you want to intervene, it is also stretched, not so simple!" Boss Zhang shook his head and said,What he hopes is that the lottery players can be keen on the football lottery,So if everyone believes that the dealer can manipulate the game,It may greatly shake the enthusiasm of the lottery players to buy color,Obviously not conducive to the business of his betting station,So he often speaks on the side of opposing Shi Yuliang.
"The increase in conditions just makes the problem relatively complicated." Yang just picked up the topic and said, "But for a person who is a math or economics major, it only takes a little more time, and for a computer, it takes no more than a second to solve all the problems." ”
"What Mr. Yang said is by no means alarmist." Shi Yuliang said, "Boss Zhang, the time to buy lottery tickets is generally closed how long before the start of the game. ”
"Fifteen minutes."
Shi Yuliang nodded and said, "I believe that in those fifteen minutes, a lot of time was spent on the transmission and aggregation of data." Then, as long as the data is entered into the computer, with the goal of maximizing profits, the computer can quickly write the script of the whole game, especially the ending of the script, that is, the final result of the game, including the score, the number of goals, the half-time result, etc. ”
Lao Song didn't seem to understand very well, and there was a contemptuous expression of disbelief on his face, and he pouted and said, "It's not so exaggerated!" The whole script is here, do you think playing football is making a movie? So where are the actors? ”
Shi Yuliang said: "In everyone's eyes, football matches are completed by more than 20 players and a few referees, but I think there are many people who may affect the outcome of the game. ”
"Can you put it a little more bluntly." Small odds say.
"For example, sometimes some players will inexplicably take the initiative to commit a foul and apply for a red card. Shi Yuliang gave an example, "Some players will deliberately foul in their own penalty area and give the opponent a penalty. ”
"Kid, have you ever played football? Say something inconsequential! Lao Song reprimanded, "Football is a passionate sport, players have a hot mind, too big movements, that is a common thing, you can't generalize and always associate with match-fixing!" ”
Lao Song's rebuttal seemed to be completely expected by Shi Yuliang, he said: "This is also the particularity of football projects, all phenomena on the field have their accidentality, or it is difficult to deny their rationality, unless the parties themselves admit it, it is really difficult for others to determine the real motive of some behaviors." ”
"Then what you said is the same as not saying it!" Chang Zhan didn't seem to like Yu Liang's statement at the same time.
Suddenly, the small odds raised his voice and said: "When I was young, it brought back a lot of memories for me." ”
"Oh, I'll go!" Lao Song shouted, "Don't you want to give you a piece of "The Stars We Chased Together in Those Years", right? ”
"It's not a star, it's a game." The small odds said meaningfully, "There are a few balls, for me, it is a puzzle that I can't figure out." ”
Hearing him say this, the betting shop suddenly fell silent.
Small odds said: "The first game was the final of the 1998 World Cup in France, France played against Brazil, which had the highest call to win the championship at that time, but before the game, Ronaldo, the absolute main force of the Brazilian team, suddenly fell ill, and was once reported to be unable to play, and then although he played with illness, he did nothing on the field, and the Brazilian team finally lost 0:3, and Ronaldo was summoned to court after returning home. ”
"You said the ball?" Lao Song touched his forehead and said, "At that time, gambling (blocking) was not popular in China, but I gambled with my colleagues in private, causing me to lose a hundred yuan." ”
"Then came the 2002 Korea-Japan World Cup." The small odds continued, "The South Korean team unexpectedly eliminated Portugal, Italy and Spain in succession to reach the semi-finals, but no one won the semi-finals and the quarterfinals that year. ”
"But you can't say it's match-fixing!" Wu You interjected, "I watched the game, in fact, the opponent didn't deliberately release water, and after the game, the Italian Football Association was so angry that the Italian Football Association ordered the dismissal of all Korean players in the Serie A club." ”
"The problem is with the referee." The small odds say, "Wipe out the goal with a misjudged offside." ”
"That's not too much to explain with the host's privileges!" Chang struggles to say.
"Consecutive upsets to advance." Shi Yuliang touched his chin and said, "Actually, Koreans may have gained fame and fortune." ”
"Let's go back and forth," added the odds, "at Euro 2004 in Portugal, the super-dark horse Greece was the biggest player, killing and injuring bettors. ”
"That's right! At that time, underground gambling (blocking) was just beginning to be popular in the mainland. Lao Song said in an explanatory tone, "I remember that on the day of the final, after Portugal lost 0:1 to Greece, all the bettors I know are counted as one, and none of them were spared, and they all died." ”