How can I know the enemy's battle plan?

It's unrealistic to send war spies in the first place, and since Eskar is an extremely confident commander, he will definitely not choose to make the battle plan public too early, and even if someone asks, he will only say half and leave half.

Vega knows this very well.

Because he himself did the same, he would never tell it all in front of everyone, but would only tell his subordinates what to do and what not to do.

Eskar is the same as Vega.

They don't need officers who are overly self-judgmental, and such officers tend to take the war to the other extreme, and they need puppets who only carry out orders.

Therefore, it is unrealistic to choose to steal the battle plan, after all, you can't get information directly from Eskar's mouth, so there is only one way left-

The entire plan is derived using conventional means.

What are conventional means?

The good point is called empathy, relying on the existing situation to reasonably deduce the whole plan, and the bad point is called blind guessing.

But this speculation is not unthinkable.

Vega, as an officer with extremely rich command experience, was able to guess the enemy's general plan to a certain extent.

It's not just Vega.

But all some famous generals have such ability, and the difference is who can see through the enemy's heart better.

Vega returned to the sandbox again.

To derive the enemy's battle plan, we must first understand the enemy's ultimate goal.

For the Imperial Army, the ultimate goal of this war is already obvious - to hold the city of black gold.

Of course, this is only the minimum goal.

There is a saying that a soldier who does not want to be a general is not a good soldier, and for a general, a general who does not want to maximize the results of the battle is obviously not a good general either, so if there is a minimum goal, there is a maximum goal.

This supreme goal is also easy to guess.

Defeat his army of 300,000 and sound the clarion call for a counteroffensive in the middle and lower reaches.

These two goals are relatively realistic at present, and they are also the general goals that can be selected according to the subsequent state of war.

War is like doing math.

With the final answer, it is not too difficult to come up with the process of solving the problem, which is why to fight a war and first understand the motives and objectives of the enemy.

You don't even know the purpose and motives of others, so what can you do to win this war?

Passive defense, meaningless active attack, that is the behavior of headless flies, no high-ranking general is conceited to think that he has a large number of generals, and he can win by dealing with it casually.

As a result, once the end goal is determined, it is relatively easy to get through the rollout.

In the end, Vega spent a day and a night, and probably came up with two fairly clear plans.

According to Vega's speculation, Eskar must have had a conservative plan, and a radical plan.

The conservative plan is to hold on to the Black Gold City, even if Vega's morale is greatly damaged in the next attack and defeat is assured, Eskar will not take a step out of the city gate and let Vega retreat safely.

Another radical plan is different.

If Vega can't attack for a long time, the army will be discouraged, and they will have no choice but to withdraw to the middle reach.

Then it is very likely that Eskar, who is waiting for work, will lead his army out of the city of black gold to pursue Vega when he thinks that the overall situation has been decided, striving to expand the results of the battle, blowing the first horn for the middle and lower reaches of the counteroffensive, and indirectly washing away his shame.

Which plan will Eskar choose?

This matter cannot be generalized, but must refer to Vega's next performance.

If Vega had retained the ability to fight a battle when he had failed to attack the city again and again, and was preparing to retreat, then Eskar would not dare to take a radical plan and take a risk.

If Vega were in a war with no morale and would collapse at the slightest touch, Eskar might have adopted a radical plan and went out of the city to pursue Vega, after all, there is no general who doesn't like to maximize the results of the battle.

In light of this.

This brings us to the principle of 'going up to the house' that Vega is about to use.

In Vega's opinion, as long as he can follow Eskar's goal and gradually show that defeat is certain, then when Eskar successfully climbs to the roof, he will have something to do.

Easier said than done.

Although it seems that he only needs to deceive Eskar, it is precisely this deception method that is the most difficult to grasp, and if he doesn't get it right, he will reveal flaws, causing Eskar not to step out of the Black Gold City.

So next, it's time to test your strength.

In the next week, Vega launched about 5 siege battles, each of which basically cost the lives of more than 3,000 soldiers before returning in vain, and in these five battles, a division was directly defeated.

And what about the Imperial Army?

Relying on the complete fortifications of the city, coupled with the ease of waiting for work, the death toll did not exceed 3,000.

Therefore, these five siege battles are called siege battles at best, and the ugly thing is that the soldiers were ordered to jump into the fire pit, and they also indirectly lost morale, and now the entire army is calling for retreat.

Keep fighting like this.

I'm afraid that before the Imperial Army makes a move, the Vega side will not be able to control public opinion, causing the entire army to be on the verge of collapse.

Don't underestimate morale.

An army of 100,000 people, as long as their morale is high enough, can even defeat an army of 300,000 without morale, because without morale, these 300,000 troops are likely to scatter and flee without a single round.

As the commander-in-chief, doesn't Vega know the seriousness of the matter?

Of course he does.

But in Vega's opinion, if you want to deceive Eskar's eyes, ordinary means must be useless, and only fake tricks can convince Eskar.

It is no exaggeration to say.

Vega is breaking the wrist of a strong man, sending the lives of soldiers to the other side, making Eskar feel that everything is going according to his plan, he is stepping on the ladder and steadily ascending, as long as he continues to follow this plan, he can go from conservative to aggressive.

Of course, there is a contingency for everything.

If Eskar had finally adopted a conservative plan, Vega would not only have lost tens of thousands of soldiers, but would also have dealt a fatal blow to the prestige of his commander and the morale of the entire army.

Therefore, this can indeed be described as a strong man's broken wrist.

If you succeed, you will take the city of black gold, and if you fail, you will lose a lot.

This is a means of warfare that ordinary commanders will not use even if they think of it, because the risks they take are too great and the variables of war are within the uncontrollable range.

But Vega did it anyway.

He was convinced that Eskar was a commander who, like him, was extremely proud and confident in the war.