Chapter 48: The Prisoner's Dilemma (Subscription Requested, 1/2)
"Why is this happening?" When Bai Ya heard Liu Mengchao's words, her brows were already furrowed, and after a long while, she looked at Liu Mengchao in disbelief and said, "Could it be that Su Quan found out that you are already a substitute?" ”
"What do you say?" Liu Mengchao didn't look surprised at all, but the smile on his face became more and more intense, "If I hadn't been the agent and he told me that the kid with the future diary had been killed by him, what would happen to me?" ”
"I have to meet him to be able to tell if what he said is true or false through micro-expressions?"
"That's it. That's why he deliberately found such an opportunity to separate from me. Liu Mengchao said, and he had already stood up, "In this way, I can't tell the truth in his words through my expression, and I can also say that I can only believe what he says." ”
"Then you know he's lying to you...... If you wait until Su Quan comes back, you will directly expose him......" Bai Ya said, her eyes already lit up, "No reincarnation person will believe his words!" ”
"So what? In this way, Su Quan will only be more fearless. As soon as Liu Mengchao finished speaking, Bai Ya's eyes immediately widened, she didn't know what Liu Mengchao would say like this.
"It's actually a very simple thing. Everyone has their own purpose, and sometimes as long as they can achieve their goal, it is not a bad thing to be a little harsh. Liu Mengchao smiled coldly and said, "If you are a reincarnation person and find that someone in the team has completed the task without telling everyone, what will you think?" ”
"I was betrayed!"
"And then?"
"And then ......"
Bai Ya was stunned, pacing back and forth, as if she wanted to think about this question carefully, and after a while. She looked up. said to Liu Mengchao.
"It's exclusion! If conditions permit. I'm sure I'll look for an opportunity to kill him, and if things don't allow it, we'll hug him up and keep him out!" Even if he can survive this reincarnation realm. But in the future reincarnation realm, there will be no one to team up with him, and no one will help him. It is very difficult to survive in the reincarnation realm by relying on one's own strength alone! ”
Hear Bai Ya's words. Liu Mengchao nodded, the smile on his face became more obvious, and he just heard him say, "That's what Su Quan wants." Different goals lead to different pursuits. Bai Ya, have you ever heard of the prisoner's dilemma? ”
"Prisoner's Dilemma?"
"It's an economic assumption. The two suspects were caught by the police after committing the crime and locked up in separate rooms for interrogation. The police knew that the two were guilty, but lacked sufficient evidence. The police told everyone: if both of them deny, they will be sentenced to one year in prison each; If both confess, they are sentenced to eight years each; If one of the two confesses and the other denies. Frankly let it out, and the sentence of denial is ten years. Thereupon. Every prisoner is faced with two choices: confession or denial. ”
"I think the best way is to ......" Bai Ya was about to open her mouth, but she was suddenly stunned. Because she found it not to be a good choice issue.
"That's the problem with economics. They always make assumptions as simple and idiotic as possible...... But the reality is far from being like this......" Liu Mengchao looked at Bai Ya, who was a little hesitant, but he laughed first, "If there are only these two people in this criminal gang, and there are only two of them in the world who know about this matter." The best way to be a prisoner is to confess to the police immediately. In this way, he will gain the most. ”
"Is there anything else?"
"Absolutely." Liu Mengchao nodded, stretched out a finger and said, "First, being imprisoned for ten years is a long time, but if the prisoner who denies it resolutely does not confess his accomplices, then when he is released from prison, how much resentment will be in his heart, I am afraid that the prisoner who confessed will face a situation where life is worse than death." After all, there is only a thousand days to be a thief, and there is no reason to prevent thieves for a thousand days. ”
"It makes sense, but what does this have to do with Su Quan?" ‘
"The prisoner's dilemma is based on the premise that once you confess it, you will never repeat it, and there will be no consequences. Once the prisoner's dilemma is repeated, confession is not the best strategy. Liu Mengchao said, stretching out another finger, "This is the reason why reincarnations are used to deceiving each other, but at critical moments, there will still be groups and cooperation." ”
"Because they know that they are not prisoners of the Lord God World Realm after experiencing the plot world realm once? Do they still want to meet other reincarnators in the years to come? “
"That's it!"
When Liu Mengchao heard Bai Ya's words, he snapped his fingers, and the smile on his face was mocking and genuine.
"This is Su Quan's current mentality, he knows that as long as he has passed through this reincarnation world, he will not meet other reincarnators, or when they meet again, their identities will not be the same."
Bai Ya listened to Liu Mengchao's analysis and nodded subconsciously. She already roughly understood what Liu Mengchao meant. For reincarnation, it can be said that the benefits gained in a reincarnation realm are fixed. Maximizing benefits will inevitably harm the interests of other samsaric beings.
For the sake of future cooperation and development, the reincarnators will not choose such a short-sighted approach. Like a prisoner caught by the police, his life cannot be limited to going to prison and going home. Nor can time be fixed at this point in time. He has a lot to think about. For example, the accomplice who was not caught, his reputation in the industry, or the outcome of the accomplice's release, there are too many possibilities that will lead to a different outcome of the matter.
But once it can be concluded that these reincarnators will all die, or that this is a game that is carried out under limited conditions, then there is only one outcome, that is, as Liu Mengchao said, directly betraying his accomplices.
"So......" Bai Ya subconsciously looked at Liu Mengchao, her lips squirmed slightly, and a very small and thin voice came out of her mouth, "Is it really him?" ”
"Who else but him? He has made more than one mistake, and since the beginning of the world of the magical girl Madoka, he has already shown his feet. It's just that at that time, I didn't know what he was doing it, but when I returned to the main god space, I saw the scene of another main god being invaded, and all this was soon fully revealed? ”
Liu Mengchao seemed to be saying something extremely ordinary and determined, and the expression on his face did not fluctuate.
"What flaws does he have?" Bai Ya couldn't help but ask.
"You'll know the Tao later. And these flaws will be the key to his defeat. Liu Mengchao smiled and shook his fingers, as if Su Quan was appearing in front of him, and Liu Mengchao was saying to him, this way is not going through.
"The key to defeat?"
"Yes, because in front of a psychologist, the best way for you to do it is to cover yourself from head to toe with a quilt, and don't have any sounds and movements in front of me......" Liu Mengchao said, the smile on his face became more and more weird, "Because the truth is also part of the ......"
"What part?"
"See through a part of the heart. After all, how can there be a lie without truth? ”
Liu Mengchao said, and without waiting for Bai Ya's answer, he had already strode towards the place where the reincarnators gathered. He couldn't wait to meet the conditions now, the conditions that could replace the other party's acting as a representative.
Condition 1: All reincarnators can only live one.
Now the number of survivors, four.
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Ahem...... Regarding the prisoner's dilemma mentioned in the text...... This is a question of economics...... It is generally used to explain pricing in monopolies......
Of course...... It means that according to the inference, no matter how many times it is repeated, the prisoners will choose the option of betrayal...... However, in my opinion, this is due to the fact that there are too many constraints and the model is too idealistic...... Things in reality are much more complicated than that......
Uh-huh...... For what I would say this suddenly...... It's definitely not because I was asked by the teacher to answer this question in class! Definitely not verbal!!!!!!!!!
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