No. 021 If you don't want to listen, I'll shut up

Don't despise Cavalry's poor vision.

This is not a question of personal vision, but the limitations of the times.

There are many similar incidents, for example, Wei Dongsheng was casual last night, bored browsing the Tianya forum, and found two speechless hot posts.

The first hot post,The landlord complained about the leakage of the legend's source code.,Said that the legend has basically been ruined.,Don't live until June 2003.,The followers basically agree with this point of view.。 It can be seen that Cavalry is not the only one who looks at the declining legend and the declining star.

The second hot post is political economy, the landlord analyzes in detail the economic development trend of China and Japan in recent years, saying that Japan's month-on-month growth rate has been negative since June 2001, and the economy lacks vitality, so it is judged that China's gross national product, that is, GDP, is very likely to surpass Japan in 2020. However, almost all of the followers looked down on the future of China's economy, mercilessly mocking the landlords for being as arrogant as the Manchu bureaucrats, saying that China's GDP has no hope of catching up with Japan by 2050, because Japan will also progress. The landlord was scolded miserably, which made Wei Dongsheng, a spectator, feel distressed, and couldn't help but help him share some firepower.

One step fast is a genius, two steps faster is a madman.

Facts have proved that looking to the future, the eyes of the masses will never be bright every time.

Looking at the real future, China's GDP surpassed Japan's GDP in 2010 and doubled in 2014. Of course, there is no need to criticize the collective Chinese people for underestimating China, after all, China's GDP in 2001 was less than one-third of Japan's, and who would have expected that one-third to two times would only be separated by 13 years?

If you dare to play like this through modern history, you will definitely be scolded by readers for being unreasonable.

The real world is the most exaggerated.

Narrowing down to the legendary online game, who would have expected it to survive until 2005 despite the three major mountains of flooded plug-ins, endless private servers, and copyright crises? Specific to the legendary private server industry, its vitality is even more terrifying, and it still has its place in 2016.

If it weren't for the return of 30 years of memory, Wei Dongsheng would not have believed that the legendary private service industry would survive until 2016, nor would he dare to believe that China's GDP would surpass that of Japan in 2010.

Now that you have relevant memories, you can't live up to them.

In previous lives, book friends discussed whether the reborn would be able to reach the pinnacle of life, and opponents often cited the two brothers Chen Xingtianqiao and Chen Xing Danian. The Chen brothers have a very vicious vision, often seeing future trends years ago, and each investment in the early days was surprisingly right. But as a result, the Chen brothers chose the right direction but did not get the fruits of victory, and often became someone else's wedding dress. Free game strategy, literary industry, Shanda Box, investment in Kuliu, Shanda Innovation Institute, etc., each project is a correct historical trend, but the Chen brothers always can't wait for it to blossom.

Wei Dongsheng must learn from it and live up to the memory of the past 30 years.

Wei Dongsheng waited for Cavalry to look down on the legend's private service remarks, and then said leisurely: "You look down on the legend, and you look down on the online game." In my eyes, the annual output value of the legendary private service industry is at least 200 million yuan. ”

Ahem, Cavalry almost didn't choke to death.

Cavalry replied in embarrassment: "Iteam senior, are you sure it's 200 million yuan instead of 20,000 yuan?" ”

Wei Dongsheng: "Sure and sure. ”

Cavalry became more and more speechless.

Cavalry's reaction is expected by Wei Dong's business, which is also a limitation of the times, not Cavalry's incompetence.

Looking at the output value of China's online game market, it was about 38 million yuan in 2000 and about 500 million yuan in 2001. Look, in 2000 the year before last, the total sales of the national online game market were only 38 million, which was pitiful to the extreme, and it was not as good as the monthly turnover of a mobile game in later generations. In 2001, the "Year of Online Games", the online game market suddenly exploded to between four and five billion yuan. Although the legendary online game has played a leading role in it, can the pure legendary private server dare to compare with the entire online game market?

It's strange that Cavalry now has such confidence.

Therefore, Wei Dongsheng did not focus on the absolute value of shabbyness, but talked about the development trend and the expectation of the growth rate: "I am very sure of my vision. From 38 million in 2000 to 450 million in 2001, this is a terrifying 1000% growth rate, and the development potential of the online game industry must not be underestimated. The statistics for 2002 have not yet been released, but it is an indisputable fact that the accumulation in the first nine months exceeded the output value of the whole year of 2001. According to rough predictions, the output value of the online game market in 2002 should reach between 9 and 1 billion yuan, of which the operating income of the legendary operator Shengxing Network should be 3 to 400 million yuan, steadily occupying half of the country. ”

Cavalry didn't believe Wei Dongsheng's description, and politely refused: "I urgently need money to take this business, and I have scraped together enough life-saving money, and I'm going to wash my hands." ”

Wei Dongsheng was not stubborn and reluctant, and asked in his tone: "If you don't have financial difficulties, what do you want to do?" ”

Cavalry: "I want to be a pure cybersecurity technician. ”

Wei Dongsheng understands that the so-called purity is actually not involved in the black industry chain and being a transcendent white hat. The status of white hats in the Internet is very special, as can be seen in the Yuan Wei incident in 2016. Jiayuan violated the unspoken rules of the industry and called the police to arrest Yuan Wei, which immediately caused a chain reaction on the Internet, and the dark cloud platform was upgraded for half a year without results; Jiayuan once again stated that everything was a misunderstanding, and it also became a rat crossing the street.

For example, a black hat like Cavalry is good, whitewashes himself, and goes ashore as a white hat, similar incidents are never new in the Internet rivers and lakes.

Wei Dongsheng didn't know the details of Cavalry, so he gave up the prospect-based persuasion and proposed a compromise plan in preparation: "Money is capital, capital is not money, and the black money put in the bank is as much as one trillion yuan, and you are not a capitalist." I understand that you want to clear your name, because I also don't want to live in darkness for the rest of my life. Sooner or later, I will also wash away the imprint of the black industrial chain and go ashore to the sun. In this way, you have already taken the order and promised the other party to carefully develop the legendary private service industry in the next two months. Let's not go together until the end of the world, let's try to cooperate for two months first, how about it? ”

Wei Dong's first business in his previous life was to develop mobile games, and then he transformed into an angel investment. Wei Dongsheng's investment philosophy has similarities and differences with Lei Jun, the head of Xiaomi, and he pays attention to: "I will put forward my opinion, if you don't want to listen, I will shut up." The future proves that you are right and I am wrong, and I apologize to you; The future proves you wrong and I'm right, and you need to pay for your mistakes. ”

Since Cavalry had other ideas, Wei Dongsheng simply shut up, and quickly tapped the keyboard to propose a new way of cooperation: "You are bullish on the legendary private server industry, and I am bullish on the legendary private server industry, since this is the case, let's sign a gambling agreement." You are in charge of the operation, and I am in charge of the technical support at all necessary times, and the profits are distributed in this way...... Well, please move your commission is 1 million, 2 million after double, considering that you only have 60% of the dividend ratio, let's add another 1 million, we agree to the bottom line of the bet is 3 million. Our legendary private service industry chain, if the overall revenue is below 3 million yuan, you take it all, I don't want a dime; If the overall revenue is above 3 million, I will take 60% of the excess, and you will take 40%. How? ”

Cavalry did not hesitate, and immediately agreed: "Okay." ”

Cavalry's parents' life-saving money is not much, only about 3.5 million yuan; In 2002, where did ordinary working-class small citizen families get 3.5 million yuan in life-saving money? Cavalry has raised 1 million yuan in orders, and it must fulfill the contract step by step to promote the spread of legendary private services, not cooperating with Wei Dongsheng is this process, and cooperating with Wei Dongsheng is also this process. However, if you can deepen your friendship with Wei Dongsheng during your cooperation and ask for new technologies that can quietly break through the firewall, why not?

As for the 60% dividend on top of the $3 million profit, Cavalry didn't take it seriously at all.

It's just a joke.

Makes a profit of 3 million yuan in two months, doesn't it mean that he can make a profit of 30 million yuan a year, there is really such a good thing in the world, how can it be his turn to open up the market.

Cavalry is bearish on future earnings and is not interested in the private service industry; Wei Dongsheng is optimistic about the future earnings and cares about the planning of the legendary private service industry, y feels that the gambling plan owes Wei Dongsheng, in order to avoid Wei Dongsheng's future particles, he is annoyed and ashamed to scold him for dragging his feet, Cavalry deliberately lowered his posture to cooperate with Wei Dongsheng: "Undernet proposed an agency contracting plan, that is, dividing the plate into the provincial capital administrative regions at the regional level, and ordering the members to contract one by one, giving full play to their advantages and subjective initiative. ”

The region layer is the Chinese network topology term. For example, the CHINANET backbone network is divided into the core layer and the regional layer. The core layer is composed of the core nodes of eight cities, including Yanjing, Shenhai, Guangyang, Shenyang, Nanjing, Wuhan, Chengdu and Xi'an, and these eight regional networks constitute the regional layer. Among them, Yanjing, Shenhai and Guangyang are the three most important centers. For example, if Harbin sends a message to Changchun City, it must pass through the Shenyang node to reach Changchun City; Harbin City sends a message to Hefei City, and it must pass through Shenyang City node, Yanjing City node, and Shenhai City node in turn, and then it can reach Hefei City.

Cavalry has no intention of working in the legendary industry, and has decided to only provide private technical support in the future. The specific operation and distribution of private servers is based on the network topology, and the Huaguo network is divided into several sections, which are contracted to members of the Cavalry organization.

Wei Dongsheng, of course, does not agree with this agency contracting system.

However, as mentioned earlier, Wei Dongsheng's investment philosophy is "I will put forward my opinion, if you don't want to listen, I will shut up." Cavalry has his own ideas and does not agree with Wei Dongsheng's vision for the future, twisting his head will bring the opposite effect, it is better to let him go first. Of course, Wei Dongsheng will not deliberately play with the wisdom of "I am right", give up persuading Cavalry, and still send a copy of the legendary private server operation preparation plan B that he prepared privately to Cavalry: "This is my idea for the legendary private server industry, you can flip through it when you have time, and it can be regarded as brainstorming." ”