0370 Contrarian
If the price of a commodity does not fluctuate dramatically in the international market, it will be difficult for investors who want to make huge gains in a short period of time to make a profit, but this is a good thing for long-term investors.
With the longer and longer time horizons of data collection, it is already possible to roughly analyze the general trend of future prices, and the use of hedging means to avoid conventional risks, which is not unacceptable if the annual rate of return is not forced.
Even some foundations believe that this is the most perfect market, where everything has rules to follow, everything can be predicted, and all risks are under control.
But never forget that the capitalists' thirst for great profit will never be satisfied.
Flat prices may be friendly to some, but some are not.
Lynch took out a newspaper, "This is a report released by the Southern Machinery Research Institute two days ago, and they have overcome a difficult hurdle and can increase the mining volume of copper ore by at least 25% on the basis of the original one!"
The newspaper was in Lynch's hand, and he handed it to the people around him, and soon everyone present read the paper, and there was indeed such a news, and it was published in the federal daily journal.
It's a semi-official federal newspaper with a reputation for rigor and rarely fake news unless it ...... Giving too much.
Of course, Lynch won't tell anyone here how much money he paid for the news.
"Not only has there been a great response within the Federation, but even some other countries have sent delegations to introduce this technology, and as this technology becomes widespread, the price of copper ore will continue to fall. ”
In fact, people are always talking about the market, and the word market also confuses many laymen, but to put it bluntly, it is nothing more than a change in the relationship between supply and demand.
If there are more people buying a commodity, but fewer people are selling, then the price will naturally continue to rise with the bidding mechanism.
If, on the other hand, fewer people buy a commodity, but more and more people sell it, then the price will be lower and lower.
No matter what kind of commodity, after all, it can't escape the essence of supply and demand and bidding, and the reason why people are dizzy is nothing more than artificially adding a lot of interference factors in the relationship between supply and demand.
Political factors, military factors? Geography? Climatic factors and time factors, etc., can make people confused? But it's actually not that complicated.
Lynch's newspaper made it clear to people that there was a point? Once there has been a significant increase in copper ore production in the world as a whole, if not the demand has increased? So the price of copper ore will fall, and the price of finished copper will fall because of the price of raw materials? There will also be a price drop.
Some businessmen suddenly came to their senses? A few people directly said sorry, walked to the phone room next door to contact their traders, and inquired about the world copper price and the price of copper ore - these two are not the same thing, copper is practiced copper? And there are many categories according to the copper content? Copper ore is a raw material, and it is also divided into many categories.
As some people come in and out, in another digital market, one futures account after another futures account begins to appear intensively traded, and their content is very similar? Short Copper Ore!
The emergence of short-selling signals in the Bayler Federation immediately aroused the close attention of more capitalists? When they learned some of this from some grapevine, they also started to short copper ore.
So many people are doing this? That must be the right thing to do, and for the world's futures? The degree of capital participation is also an important consideration for the impact on prices.
Whatever kind of relationship is involved? In fact, it is still inseparable from supply and demand? That is, the relationship between buying and selling.
A large number of short orders appeared in the Federation, which soon affected the movement of world futures.
According to the current regulations of the world's futures trading houses, every 15 minutes, the data will be updated, and the reason why there is such a long interval of 15 minutes is also because of the current backward means of communication.
In fact, it is now much better than before, and before the advent of telephones and radios, data updates ranged from half a day to several days.
At that time, the international futures market was the most magical, as long as it ran fast, some businessmen could rely on "speed" to outperform the price, as long as they arrived at the trading port before the ship announced the updated price, they could make more money steadily with advanced information.
There were even people who pretended to be informants of trading houses to deliver fake news, which was a ridiculous time, but it was also very interesting.
But now, that kind of thing is no longer happening, at least the merchants can't outrun the telephone cable, and they can't outrun the radio.
The empty disk of the Bayler Federation has brought some pressure and shadow to the copper ore of the whole world, and it is just more than an hour that Lynch and others are holding a salon that the price of copper ore in the world has once again dropped slightly.
Once the Southern Machinery Research Institute's invention proves to be true, the 25 percent increase in production will be enough to make the current copper ore price jump again, but until then, the impact is not huge. (Degree and speed of message proliferation)
Capital is always profitable, and in order to avoid risk, some hedge funds have also begun to reassess the future trend of copper ore and establish new hedges.
Just when many people were bearish on copper ore, an account that had not been active before started to go long copper ore, and it was not small.
People don't care much about this anomaly, and for many people, whether it's futures, stocks, or other investments, they don't know much, and they play this financial game as a gambling game.
There will always be a few speculators who will be unwilling to bet their chips on the point with the highest rate of return, just like when the federal industrial index crashes, there are still people who eat and there will always be people who gamble.
If you lose the bet, you may have nothing, but if you win, you will have the whole world.
People don't care about this account, it's from Lynch, in fact, it's not just the futures market that has his figure, but also the international foreign exchange market, he has also established an account.
This time he was also playing in a different direction from the others, and he began to play as a short-fla.
With the consolidation of the Anmelia region and the performance of Gavra in the war, they are also actively expanding their international influence, and the price of the vla has been climbing since the end of the war, and it has become one of the most powerful currencies in the world today.
Many people believe that Fra may become the main settlement currency in the future international currency delivery, and now it is a sure thing to make a profit by taking advantage of its price not high enough.
It's just that Lynch has a different opinion, and there are not a few people who think the same way as him.
Just after finishing a salon about international futures, Lynch rushed to a salon for international foreign exchange trading, and as soon as he pushed the door in, he saw Mr. Herbert sitting on the side.
The two nodded to each other and didn't say much, and Lynch stepped aside and sat down, and the waiter brought him some drinks.
The person who is voicing his opinion is an economist, and there are always more fools than smart people in this industry, and there aren't many people who can really figure out these things, but that doesn't stop these rich people from getting involved.
They don't need to have their own opinions, they just need to follow those who understand, which is also the easiest.
The economist is talking about a room full of idiots sorting out the relationship between international monetary relations and the international political landscape, which he has used as a classroom, and unfortunately he is not destined to receive undue attention.
Rather than these complex knowledge, people want to know where they bet their chips next in order to bring them profits.
Of course, they didn't drive the economist down, just thinking that one day they needed someone to help them.
When the economist was dry and somewhat comfortable, Lynch had the waiter bring him some drinks.
The scholar was a little surprised, but politely responded to Lynch's gesture of having a drink for him, which was a courtesy.
But just as he was about to take a few sips of his drink and continue talking about his stuff, Lynch stood up.
He walked over to the scholar, "This gentleman looks a little tired, so let me talk about my thoughts." Without waiting for the scholar to say anything, Lynch just glanced at him.
Just a glance, the scholar's stomach shrank back, he hesitated, and finally sat down on the sofa, he said it long enough.
"Does anyone not know me?", Lynch asked casually, as if he were joking.
People were chuckling as if it were a joke, and some were chanting, "Is there anyone who doesn't know Mr. Lynch?"
This sentence seems to be recognized by many people, it is inevitable to know Mr. Lynch, and it is only problematic if you don't know him.
Lynch bowed slightly, and when everyone's laughter had almost stopped, his first words made people frown.
"I just listened to what the expert next to me said, and some of the things he said are very consistent with the development of the situation, but there is one thing I think he said wrong......", the corners of his mouth √ slightly, "Fra is facing a huge test, if it can't get through, then Gevre's idea of pushing it to become an international settlement currency will be blocked!"
This is a very counter-mainstream idea, considering that Gavra has just established that they are the "core" of the world through politics and military from the Great World War, and the solid rule of the Anmelia region also gives people a high view of Gevrela's future potential.
No one thinks that Fra will be held back, that it will inevitably rise, but Lynch gives a very different view.