Chapter 501: Sima Yi's Comments
Hearing the emperor's question, Sima Yi cleared his throat as if he had been prepared, and said: "Your Majesty, the strategy formulated by the General Staff is mainly to block the inlets of each tributary with mines, and then let the fleet quickly pass through this section of the river where the Dongwu people set up ambushes. Although this method has some merits and is likely to be successful, it will have consequences. ”
"Oh? What do you mean by that? Liu Hou asked.
"Your Majesty, the General Staff's method is only to temporarily block the Dongwu Navy in the tributaries, so that they cannot come out to make trouble when our fleet passes, not to completely defeat the Dongwu Navy Army. This leaves a legacy for the aftermath.
If the fleet can quickly reach Jianye City after passing this road, and quickly break through Jianye and destroy the Wu State, then everything is easy to say, as long as the little emperor of Dongwu is captured, let him issue an edict, and order the Dongwu naval army to surrender.
However, war is the most unpredictable thing, and no one can predict what will happen after the war. If the battle against Wu is slightly unfavorable, as soon as the time drags on, then the troops in front will be very dangerous.
And as long as the Soochow Navy is given a little time, it will not be difficult for them to clear the mines we have laid, as long as the mines are cleared, hundreds of thousands of Soochow Navy troops will swarm out, and they can attack and harass our fleet from the rear.
Even if they don't attack the fleet in front of us, as long as they block the shipping lanes so that the fleet in front of them is not resupplied, the fleet in front will have problems. Therefore, the plan formulated by the General Staff Headquarters is based on the premise that after our naval army passes through this section of the river where there is an ambush, it can quickly fight and resolve the situation in the subsequent journey.
It's a bit risky. Although with the firepower of the Jingzhou naval army, the possibility of a quick battle is very high, but there are exceptions to everything, for example, this time we were unexpectedly blocked and stranded here for a few days, so even if the possibility of an accident is very small, we have to take it into consideration.
There is a saying in the art of war: 'more wins, less wins', so we need to think more about the various possible situations. Also, we have to prepare for the worst, and if the worst happens, we have to think of ways to deal with it in advance, so that we don't rush to the end. ”
This is the so-called formulation of emergency plans, after SARS in 2003, there was a boom in the development of emergency plans in the land of China, almost all walks of life should formulate emergency plans for various possible crises, and prepare for possible emergencies ~ situations.
Therefore, in some respects, SARS has promoted the progress of Shenzhou society, and since when did Shenzhou people begin to have a sense of crisis management, and only then began to establish various crisis management systems.
Sima Yi is worthy of being a top military advisor, and he already has a sense of crisis and the concept of formulating a plan when formulating a combat plan. After listening to his analysis, everyone nodded secretly, agreeing with his statement.
Even Zhuge Wang and the members of the staff department turned red when they brushed the ground, but they had to admit that what Sima Yi said was very reasonable, and they were speechless.
But that's not all, Sima Yi didn't intend to let them go, and continued to say things that made them blush even more: "In addition to the unpredictable consequences of implementing this plan, the process of implementing it may also be difficult.
First of all, the mine-laying process, if we send mine-laying ships deep into the enemy's territory to lay mines, the enemy will certainly send manpower to obstruct and sabotage the mine-laying process. Therefore, we must send warships to escort the escort.
However, if there are fewer people sent out, the purpose of security will not be achieved, and if there are many people sent, they will also get into a melee, so it is no different from entering that area with a large army to fight.
Then there is the problem of mines, it turns out that our mines all use timed fuses, and the fuses will explode when they burn to a certain time. However, it is now used to block the shipping lane, and it is obvious that the delay fuse cannot be used, so the collision trigger fuze that has just been developed must be used.
However, as far as Weichen knows, this trigger fuse is something that has just been developed by the academy, and it is not technically mature at present. If they are adjusted too sensitively, they are likely to be triggered by mistake due to the erosion of wind and waves, and if they are adjusted slowly, they may not be triggered even if they are hit by a boat when the speed of the boat is not fast.
In particular, there are a large number of small boats in the Soochow naval army, and the gentle collision of these small boats may not be much greater than the force of the wind and waves, and these trigger fuses may not be able to distinguish the difference between the two. ”
Listening to Sima Yi's words, Liu Hou also secretly felt helpless, he had been relying on technical advantages to conquer the world before, but now the technical level of Dahan is still too poor, and a simple trigger fuse can't be made.
In fact, the trigger fuse of the mine is fine, but now it is a water war, and the mine is useless. However, mines are completely different from mines, and the main thing is that there is interference from wind and waves in the water. If it is a ship made of steel, it can also develop a magnetically triggered fuse, but Soochow is still in a primitive society, all ships are wooden ships, and magnetic mines are useless.
Sima Yi continued: "There is another thing, for mines, because we use them a lot, the people of Dongwu are already very familiar with them, and they also have some ways to deal with mines. For example, the fishing net method used before was almost the nemesis of mines. Therefore, Weichen believes that it will not take long for the people of Soochow to clear the mines blocking the river.
If they are clever enough, they can easily collect a large number of mines together and then detonate them in a concentrated manner by dragging them through the river with a large fishing net. It's a simple and short-lived method, and if we do, we won't be able to block them for long. ”
Different from Liu Hou's helplessness, Zhuge Wang and the people in the staff department listened to Sima Yi's words, and changed from the original cold sweat to waterfall sweat, feeling that the battle plan that these people worked so hard to formulate had so many loopholes in the eyes of others?
It is no wonder that Sima Yi's level is not at the same level as theirs at all, so the requirements for the battle plan must also be at a higher level. The plan formulated by the General Staff still has a very high probability of success, at least a ninety percent chance of success, but there is no guarantee of 100 percent success.
However, Sima Yi refused to give up this 10 percent failure rate, for him, he had to have at least a 99 percent success rate plan to be qualified. That's why he approved this plan for nothing.
Although Zhuge Wang felt aggrieved, he had to admit that Sima Yi's analysis was very correct, plus he also knew that Sima Yi was once the top adviser of the Wei State, and he was the governor of the Duzhen side who had commanded hundreds of thousands of troops, and his status and ability were very outstanding, so he humbly hugged his fists and saluted him and asked:
"I also ask Master Sima to give us a lot of advice and help us make a better plan."