"The Russians are really having a hard time." Lin Xiao also deeply agrees with this.

Since the international oil price has been falling all the way, the domestic oil price has fallen thirteen times in a row, and the official has to continuously raise the fuel consumption tax, so as not to cause willful consumption because the oil price is too low, which is also out of consideration for environmental protection needs, and has to be said to be well-intentioned.

The continued low oil prices are obviously a big blow to Russia, an oil-exporting country.

The most desperate thing is that this continued decline in oil prices does not seem to have seen the end of the day, and if it continues to operate below $50 for a long time, Russia's economy may really face collapse.

Therefore, for the deposit that Lin Xiao plans to rent a Russian launch vehicle, it is also a lot of income, no wonder the Russian side has not given much consideration to Lin Xiao's request now, and directly agreed.

Now it's time to wait for a better launch window to send Nia the Clovane into the sky.

"It's a lot of fun." Lin Xiao suddenly smiled and said, "High oil prices can't defeat China, but low oil prices may drag down Russia, it's really a strange thing." ”

"This is the result of a unitary economy." Han Ya said, "As a large exporter of resources, oil output is almost related to Russia's economic lifeline, this problem will naturally have a fatal impact on their economy, but China is different, China is an oil importer, low oil prices for China, will only reduce the consumption in this area." Of course, this is certainly not a good thing for the domestic oil monopoly, which means that they have to pinch their noses and cut prices. ”

"The increase in fuel excise tax is also a lot of revenue, but it is not easy to say how this money will be spent in the end, and if it can really be used for the strategic petroleum reserve, it is really a good thing." Lin Xiao said.

While they were talking about these things, international news was being broadcast on the TV news, and it happened to be seen that the Russian finance minister said that low oil prices in the international market had caused Russia to lose $100 billion, and at the same time, Western sanctions against Russia had also cost Russia $40 billion.

The news quoted the Russian finance minister as saying at a relevant economic forum held in Moscow on the same day that geopolitical tensions have led to a continuous decline in Russia's attraction of foreign investment, and some Russian companies are in a deep debt crisis due to the inability to obtain funds from abroad.

Russia's finance minister expects capital outflows from Russia to reach $130 billion this year.

He said that the capital outflow was mainly caused by the conversion of deposits from the ruble into foreign currency by many residents and financial institutions in the context of large fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

At the same time, he pointed out that the fall in oil prices has adversely affected the Russian economy in many ways.

Since the beginning of this year, oil prices have fallen by 30%, while the ruble has lost 30% of its value.

When asked how the ruble exchange rate will change, the Russian finance said that it depends on the change in oil prices in the international market, and as long as oil prices continue to fall, the ruble will continue to depreciate.

The Central Bank of Russia, the Ministry of Economic Development, and the Ministry of Finance previously said that Russia was ready to have an economic operation plan to deal with the fall in oil prices to $60 per barrel, and the Central Bank of Russia said that the fall in oil prices to $60 per barrel would significantly reduce Russia's gross domestic product, but the Central Bank of Russia also said at the time that oil prices were unlikely to fall below $60 per barrel.

"There is still a relatively large gap between the Russians' estimates of oil prices." Seeing this, Han Shengxian sighed, "Who could have predicted that the international oil price would have dropped below $50 now?" ”

"It looks like the downward momentum is still unabated, and it seems likely that oil prices will fall further as supply still outstrips demand. Judging by the intraday performance, the rebound to above $50 was short-lived, and Iraq's oil production reached a new high, so I expect oil prices to enter a sideways swing before falling further to $40 or lower. Han Ya analyzed.

"What is the central government's view on the predicament facing Russia?" Lin Xiao suddenly asked.

"It's really hard to talk about this kind of thing, at most it's to buy their crude oil to avoid that they don't have money to pay pensions to the workers, right?" Han Shengxian replied, "Of course, it is not excluded to buy some of their military equipment or something, after all, at this time, everyone's money is very tight, and it is already very interesting to be able to support it in this regard." ”

Lin Xiao listened and nodded.

Oil and arms are the two big cakes of Russia's foreign economy, and Huaxia will definitely support it at this time out of consideration for strategic partnership, and besides, the purchase of oil and arms is a good choice for Huaxia, and it is not difficult to be a favor.

It's just that the price of buying oil and arms at this time will certainly not be too high, and a good relationship is one thing, but when doing business, it is still necessary to pay attention to a person who goes with the market, which is a market rule and is not easy to destroy.

"In fact, the situation in the United States and Russia is not very good." Han Shengxian said casually, "This can be seen from their New Year's speeches. ”

Since the global financial crisis plunged the United States into recession seven years ago, voices such as "declining global leadership" and "theory of America's decline" have been gradually increasing.

In particular, developments such as last year's chemical weapons in Syria, the U.S. federal shutdown, and the Ukraine crisis have further strengthened the voice of U.S. decline.

In response, U.S. President O'Hei said in his New Year's speech that by most measures, the overall strength of the United States is actually becoming stronger than the rest of the world, and the United States rarely achieves the current state.

"There are those who disagree, arguing that the United States is in decline and has slipped from its position of dominating global affairs. They have either misinterpreted history or are caught in the maelstrom of partisan politics. O'Black stressed that the United States is an indispensable country, and it still is, "a reality of the last century and a reality of the next."

O'Hei believes that the U.S. military is unparalleled in the world, and the likelihood of any country posing a direct threat to the United States is very small, and it is a far cry from the dangers that the United States faced during the Cold War.

Second, the U.S. economy is dynamic and still the world's leading economy, and the creativity of U.S. industry and commerce is at the top every year. to produce more energy.

Third, the United States is at the heart of the world's consortia, from Europe to Asia, and continues to attract hard-working immigrants, and its founding ideals have inspired congressional leaders and new movements in public squares around the world.

All in all, O'Black does not share the voice of America's decline.

"Hehe......" Lin Xiao said after hearing this, "According to our general ******, the more we lack something, the more we have to emphasize something, so now Ohei said that the United States is not in decline, which also confirms this, the United States is indeed in decline." ”

Compared with the speech of US President O'Hei, the speech of the Russian side is even more colorful.

"Hitler, who hated humanity, tried to destroy Russia, drove us to the Urals, calling on everyone to remember how it turned out. Our army destroyed the enemy and liberated Europe. Do not forget about the fiasco of 1941-1942 so as not to repeat this mistake in the future. We are always ready to take on any challenge and win. "In his annual State of the Union address, the Russian president has made a rather tough voice to the West.

This is the 11th State of the Union address by the powerful Russian president, and this time it is likely to receive the most attention in years.

Because in the past year, the international and domestic situation facing Russia has undergone shocking changes, when the cold joke "the president, oil prices, and rubles will all run to 63 next year" are widely circulated in the global media, and Russia is mired in Western isolation and continuous sanctions, the Western media have predicted that Russia will soon be unable to hold on.

Judging from the current situation, oil prices have taken the lead in breaking through 63, and even fallen below $50, which cannot but be said that the changes of this era are too fast.

"Judging from the Russian president's state of the nation address, Russia's attitude on the issues of Ukraine and Crimea is still very resolute. At present, Russia will take two major measures to reverse the current situation: first, the transformation of the domestic economy and the transition from the pattern of dependence on oil; The second is to accelerate the development of relations with the countries of the East and get rid of the diplomatic situation in which the West isolates Russia. Han Ya analyzed.

"That's hard to say." Lin Xiao said, "This strong president is in charge, mainly using two factors, one is high oil prices, and the other is patriotic enthusiasm. Now that oil prices are plummeting, can the Russian president rely solely on the patriotic fervor of the population? I don't think it's possible, because there are so many problems in Russia that it is impossible for the people to live by listening to his speeches and issuing big and inappropriate slogans as they did before. ”

"However, it should also be noted that the current situation in Russia is tied to oil prices, regardless of the will of the people." Han Shengxian pointed out this point, "Now most of the complaints of the Russian people have been directed to the side of the United States, and they believe that low oil prices are indeed a conspiracy created by the Americans and the West, which is aimed at Russia." ”

"It's not so much a conspiracy created by the Americans, but another feast of wealth looting Russia created by Western conglomerates." Lin Xiao said, "This is similar to the situation when some people joined forces to speculate on the international gold price, which seriously weakened the value of the gold reserves of the former Soviet Union and caused the ruble to collapse!" ”

"Yes, history is always strikingly similar." Han Shengxian listened, pondered for a while, and said, "So, we can't watch Russia collapse again, in that case, the Americans will once again dominate, which is not in the national interests of China." ”