There is an old Chinese saying, "If you walk by the river, you can't get your shoes wet." ”

There is also an old Chinese saying, "Nine out of ten bets lose." ”

Unfortunately, the Japanese emperor is obviously not Chinese, and he has not heard so many colloquialisms, and he believes that his ministers always say to him: "Martial luck is long." ”

Therefore, sometimes it is better for the emperor to change a little more, for example, if it is replaced by the emperor of China, he will not believe the slogan of his subordinates who compliment him, "Long live the emperor Xi à long live, long live, long live".

In any case, the top brass of Japan believed in the auspicious words of mutual encouragement, and felt that they must be an excellent nation favored by the heavens. They confidently believe that if they can win the first bet and win the second bet, they will definitely win the most important bet.

So Japan dispatched all the forces it could find to go to Pearl Harbor in the United States and smashed an unprecedented field, and suddenly felt that it was the leader of the most bully gang in the entire global village. It's a pity that the field they smashed has a bit of a background, and the name is called the police station.

If you watch Hollywood movies, you can know that in most cases, the opening scene of the story when the bandits break into the police station is mostly a big scene full of submachine gun rocket launcher firepower, but after an hour and a half, the police can often successfully fight back. It's similar in real life, the United States was beaten at Pearl Harbor, but it has already begun to think about how to punch back.

Within a month, the United States rushed to repair three battleships, one aircraft carrier, and built seven cruisers and 11 destroyers at the same time. In order to prevent Japan from attacking Australia, the United States even sent 500 tanks to Australia and transferred General MacArthur from the Philippines to Australia to stabilize the situation.

Throughout Australia, there are a total of 14 divisions made up of locals, and there are 5 divisions reinforced by the United States, combined into 2 army groups, and these units are deployed separately in areas where Japan may land to protect the security of the whole of Australia. Although it seems that the number of troops in this force is slightly insufficient, the number of troops that Japan can draw is even smaller, so it is barely satisfactory.

The Americans were also depressed, the warships in their hands were wounded and sunk, and now the remaining forces were a little stretched to deal with Japan. The Germans are ready to move in North Africa and may launch a large-scale attack at any time, and once the oil resources in the Middle East are threatened by the Germans, then the United States will lose a bargaining chip that can be used to make a fuss in the process of competing for hegemony in the future.

If it is just a bargaining chip, it is good, but if it loses its right to speak in the Middle East, then the United States will be completely excluded from the mainstream circle of the world and become a marginal country, which is an unbearable loss for the United States, which is eager to seek world dominance.

Of course, this will have to wait until the United States beats Japan, a guy who has nothing to look for, into ashes, before we can think about it in the long run. If Japan lifts the table, then the United States will not be able to compete with Germany for future world hegemony, and it is estimated that it will be able to get a second place.

So gritting its teeth, the U.S. Navy found Spruance, an accomplished aircraft carrier commander, and ordered him to carry out an effective local counterattack against Japan in the waters near the Philippines.

Spruance lived up to expectations and won an important naval battle that would determine Australia's fate. With the help of British radar technology, the U.S. Navy improved a naval radar that could be mounted on a mast, and this radar helped the U.S. Navy win a major victory in the naval battle off the coast of the Philippines as soon as it entered service.

It was only at this moment that the US Navy and the British Navy knew exactly how much advantage the German Navy with its radar technology had achieved in the Battle of the Atlantic. It was only at this time that they realized that they had lost in the Atlantic.

The Japanese Navy has now lost the help of the German company Siemens, and the development and production of radar systems are even more backward, and they still do not have the radar that can be installed on ships, let alone effective means to counter this terrible electronic weapon.

During the war of aggression against China, Japan embodied the deliberate intention of a small country to challenge a big country, and from a long time before the First Sino-Japanese War, the Japanese began to infiltrate China, and the spy structure can be said to be pervasive, and even the Japanese were mixed into China's military industrial enterprises. These spies are exploring the way, drawing drawings, and even women hooking up with Chinese generals to obtain core secrets such as military deployment drawings. Even most of Accardo's highly effective espionage infiltration after 1920 was influenced by Japanese espionage.

However, in the two important battles of the Battle of Nomenkan and the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor in the United States, Japan's spy agencies only played the level of the scale of the campaign, not the exaggerated strategic level of the past. The Japanese spy agencies did not provide a complete analysis of the American industry and were not able to remind the Japanese Army that the combat effectiveness of the Soviet Far Eastern Wing was not what it used to be.

It may be that the spy agencies did provide reliable intelligence and a thorough analysis of the other side's national strength, but the terminally ill Japanese top brass turned a blind eye -- this is not clear to anyone, but one thing is certain, that is, Japan miscalculated the war potential of the United States and wrongly ignored the determination of the United States to go to war.

The Japanese thought that the United States would be emboldened by Japan's onslaught, and then after losing a few times in the Pacific, they would make hasty peace talks and make some of the concessions that capitalist countries would normally make. And if Japan concedes some more places to appease the United States, then the entire coast of China will be eaten by the Japanese.

But what they didn't expect was that in the most hidden corner, the United States was already doing everything possible to provoke a war to deal with the continuous expansion of its rival Germany: the top level of the United States naturally knew that there was no quick way to make money, so watching Germany rob and get rich all the way, the Americans also wanted to do the same...... Originally, the place chosen by the Americans was in the Middle East, but Japan couldn't wait to jump out, crying and shouting and begging the United States to pump itself first.

Japan's intelligence services were completely paralyzed by the US quarantine policy, and less than a month after the Pearl Harbor incident, Japan's expatriates in the United States were controlled by the United States and monitored within a certain range to prevent Japanese spies from providing any kind of intelligence to the country. The trick really worked, and the Japanese intelligence agencies were completely blind and blind in a matter of days.

Because of their race, it was difficult for the Japanese to find spies of European descent in the United States to help, and they had to rely on Japanese expatriates to obtain information about the United States. This problem eventually led them to lose all sources of intelligence on the American mainland by the end of May 1939, and not even a single decent piece of information.

However, Japan still got the news of the US Navy's radar equipment from some places, and this news was unfortunately forgotten by a German embassy military attaché in the conference table, and then coincidentally sent to the mayor's office full of Japanese spies as an ordinary document, and the Japanese spy network in China was still very efficient, and the Japanese quickly got this important information, which was undoubtedly sent by Germany to Japan.

"Nagumo-kun, what do you think of the intelligence that the United States is equipped with ship-borne radar?" Sitting on a chair in the bridge of the aircraft carrier Akagi, Yamamoto Isoroku asked Nagumo Tadaichi, who was sitting on the side, while drinking carefully prepared tea.

Obviously, the commander of the Japanese Navy's aircraft carrier fleet is not optimistic about Japan's scientific research capabilities: "With all due respect, Your Excellency, our ships are equipped with similar equipment to compete with US warships, and this kind of thing will not occur in the short term." We can only rely on numbers to complete a decisive battle with the enemy during the day, crushing the remnants of the US Navy in one fell swoop. ”

"In the coastal waters of the Philippines, we were careless and let the Americans pick up a bargain, and the base camp asked us to do our best to achieve a victory to stabilize the morale of the army. Yamamoto fifty-six narrowed his eyes and said gloomily: "We must choose a surprise location to force the US Navy to enter the war, and then dispatch our superior naval aviation units to annihilate the US Navy, seize the American islands, and force the United States to surrender and sue for peace." ”

Yamamoto never had the intention of defeating the United States to dominate the Pacific Ocean, and he always pinned Japan's victory on the exchange of hurting the United States and forcing the United States to compromise, and then Japan exchanging Pacific interests for China's interests in the Far East. In order to achieve this goal, he must inflict the most terrible damage on the United States as quickly as possible, so as to create an illusion in the United States that he cannot defeat Japan.

Once this time is delayed by the Americans for a long time, the Americans will see more clearly in themselves and in Japan's bluff -- at that time, Japan will never be able to win the war.

"My subordinates felt that if we had to choose a location, we could force a landing on Wake Island in the United States, so that the American fleet would have to be forced to meet it. Nagumo Zhongyi pointed to an inconspicuous island on the chart and said: "If the United States ignores it, then we will continue to advance eastward, occupy Midway, and enter Hawaii." ”

"It's a solution, I'm afraid that the Americans will give up these islands and continue to play hide and seek with us. "What Yamamoto is most afraid of now is that the United States does not care how many islands and territories it loses, and it is bent on accumulating enough 10 aircraft carriers at home to kill them -- this turtle style really makes Japan have no choice.

"Then, let our people speak to His Majesty and urge the army to enter Australia?"

"No, we don't have the confidence that the Army will win in Australia. In case of another Nomangaku, we're all done. Yamamoto Fifty-six seemed to have made up his mind: "That's it! Order the fleet to turn, merge the main battleship fleet and the landing fleet, and seize Wake Island!"