The new season, which is likely to be the most important in the years before and after the Premier League, is likely to happen:

1. Changes in the pattern of league champions

Ten years ago, with Abou's arrival at Chelsea and Arsenal in financial trouble, the Premier League title battle changed from a factory and magic double red club to a car demon red and blue fight; five years ago, with the arrival of the chief in Manchester City and Chelsea blood, the title battle became Manchester United's Manchester City red and blue derby; in the 1415 season, Chelsea completed the blood change and won the title again, and the aging Manchester City and the turbulent Manchester United are likely not to pose a substantial threat to Chelsea's title in two or three years, only Arsenal with a stable squad and a reasonable age can fight.

If Arsenal manage to win the title, the battle for the league title will become a battle between the automakers and the race for the league title, and if Arsenal cannot shake the Chelsea throne, then Chelsea will dominate the throne, with a third or even five consecutive titles in a row.

Second, the Premier League championship scoring record was broken

The Premier League champion scoring record is held by Chelsea in the 0405 season with 95 points. In the 1516 season, two teams are likely to match or even surpass this record: Chelsea and Arsenal.

There is no dispute that Chelsea will have the Premier League top of the Premier League. If their fitness and fitness are well maintained – meaning an early exit from the domestic cup competition – a particularly good signing or a particularly bad signing in the Champions League, then only Arsenal and Manchester City will have the ability to cause them problems, in which case they are capable of picking up 95 points or more. Against Arsenal, Manchester City won 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, a total of 5 points, it is not too difficult, against other teams 34 games have the ability to get 90 points or more. His weakness lies in the lack of manpower, and it is very difficult to replenish the household register, and it is difficult to say how useful the calf is.

Arsenal's bench is the best in England, and the professor's long-standing approach to keeping the floor has allowed the Gunners to have a substitute squad that could still be a European one with a stand-alone team. There is a gap between the main squad and Chelsea, but it is not too big, and given the style of play that the two teams are good at, if the Gunners want to draw, Chelsea are likely to lose if they want to win. Manchester City are strong, but the main team is only a match for the Gunners, and given their age and the amount of time the teams have played each other, a 1-1 defeat is already the best they can hope for. Outside of these two teams, Arsenal have the ability to play and win against either team, and given the depth of their squad, they are more likely than Chelsea to pick up 90 points or more in 34 games.

Of course, it may only be possible, far from the reality, but in the case of such expectations, the team aiming for the championship must ensure that they can score more than 90 points, and if they start unfavorably or accidentally drop too many points in the middle of the game, they must seriously consider whether to shift the focus.

Manchester City are also strong contenders for the title, but since they could only pick up 89 points at most in the previous years when the overall strength of the Premier League was weaker, I think this year's title will have to wait for Chelsea and Arsenal to drop the chain.

As for Manchester United, although we can never underestimate the heart of a champion, if we really talk about the championship, why not talk about it in a few years?

Third, the Premier League and European competition have rebounded sharply

In the past few years, the Premier League and European competitions were unfavorable due to many reasons, the most important of which was the lack of strength and the intensification of internal friction.

The lack of strength is obvious. Manchester City almost started from 0, which group and which group died; Manchester United's squad is aging and the substitutions are weak, and the two-line combat ability is not caught; Chelsea's blood replacement strength is unstable, and what results can be played depends largely on luck; Arsenal has done its best to enter the European zone, and the Champions League is basically playing wherever it goes. The top four teams are at this level, and the Champions League results are naturally not much better. In the Europa League, the Premier League teams are very unreasonable. There is nothing wrong with playing fifth in the league, and Tottenham's record of nearly 15 points a year is understandable, the League Cup title is a bit of a trick, Birmingham in '11 and Swansea in '13 will only get two or three points in the coming year, not to mention the FA Cup runners-up, Stoke, Wigan and Hull City, which you also know by name are some mysterious teams in the middle and lower reaches who can only win two or three points.

The internal friction is extremely intense. In the past few years, because of the poverty and weakness of Arsenal, the "wall of the Champions League", Tottenham Liverpool wanted to do the most is to squeeze out Arsenal to enter the Champions League, whether it is European or domestic cup competitions, a large number of substitutes have been sent - this is also an important reason why Birmingham Stoke can get a place in the League Cup through domestic cups. In this case, it is strange to be able to get good results.

Now the situation has changed.

The first is strength. Chelsea is only stronger than the original Manchester United, and most of the main players are in the year of playing, and the multi-front combat ability is a head stronger than that of Manchester United back then; Manchester City is still the same Manchester City, but the European points have been able to enter the second gear, and the results are better; the arsenal has been reborn, the introduction of Ozil Sanchez is one aspect, and the maturity of young players is another, which can completely beat themselves two seasons ago; Manchester United is more powerful than three years ago, but it may not be worse than Chelsea at that time. As a result, Champions League results should be generally stronger than in the past. In terms of the Europa League, the FA Cup runner-up Europa League qualification was canceled, the League Cup was also won by Chelsea, and Tottenham Liverpool Southampton played, and the overall strength was obviously up a notch, and only West Ham, who played in fair play, was a lagging team.

The second is internal friction. Tottenham seem to have resigned themselves to their fate, and Liverpool are still struggling, but in any case, the giants of the trenches are much better than the poor Arsenal of the year.

In the case that the external environment has not changed significantly, the strength of the Premier League team has increased, the internal friction has decreased, and the European results have rebounded sharply.

Fourth, the fate of Manchester United

The 10 to 12 competitive games up to the start of October will determine whether United will collapse across the board or recover gradually.

Although Van Gaal has done a lot of things, but basically because of off-field factors, on paper, Manchester United summer window is quite successful: Falcao Van Persie, Djedic Maria, Cleverley, Rafael Valdés and others who have been sold and are ready to be cleaned are outside the main squad last season, and selling them has no impact on the strength of the team, and can also save a lot of salary space; 。

If United can go all the way to the new season, then he will be on the right track immediately, and even if the title is still unlikely, it will be possible to return to the title race next year.

But if the start is unfavorable, then all kinds of contradictions caused by Van Gaal will erupt in a concentrated manner, and it is difficult to say what the situation will become.

In terms of European competition, in the two Champions League qualifying matches, the defeat and the collapse of the season can basically be equated. The two matches in the group stage are less important.

In the domestic arena, the opponents in the first eight games are: Tottenham, Villa, Newcastle, Swansea, Liverpool, Southampton, Sunderland, and Arsenal. Tottenham Liverpool are equal opponents, Swan, Southwestampton and Sunderland are also difficult to entangle, if the first seven games are not good to start and not even get 10 points, then perhaps the professor will be happy to fire all the power to push Manchester United into the abyss.

If one of these two scenarios comes true, then it is likely that Manchester United will be tasked with competing with Liverpool Hotspur for a Champions League place in the next decade.

PS1: The relationship between the run-in of the lineup, optimistic about Manchester United being taught by Tottenham in the first round.

PS2: De Gea incident, at present, Manchester United, Real Madrid, De Gea should be waiting for the results of Manchester United's first two rounds of the league against Tottenham and Villa. With two wins, the initiative is here at Manchester United, and De Gea only has three options: contract extension, sky-high transfer and sitting on the bench for a year; In the worst-case scenario, United lose both games or only take one point, then maybe De Gea will play for a year and leave for free.

5. The fate of Liverpool

If it weren't for Rafael Benitez and Suarez renewing their lives twice, Liverpool would have become a mid-table team that is inferior to Tottenham. But even so, the current Reds are still hanging with their last breath, if they can get into the top four in the 1516 season, then they will continue to fight next year, and if they are out of the Champions League again, then the gap in financial resources and attractiveness will not be bridged, and the future of the Europa League will be difficult to change.

A league can only accommodate a maximum of 4 top teams, which is determined by the Champions League places.

Chelsea, with strong team stability and strong age, reasonable age and normal funds, has firmly locked a place, Arsenal with strong team stability and strength, reasonable age and normal funds have also firmly locked a place, and Manchester City, which has strong team stability and strength, is old and has plenty of funds, but has the worry of changing blood, only Manchester United, which has strong team change strength and abundant funds, has not yet secured a place.

If Liverpool can squeeze out Manchester United, it is likely to plunge the Reds into turmoil again, and in the years to come, normal finances and the appeal of the Champions League will allow them to compete on an equal footing with Manchester City, who have traded for Manchester City, who have been in turmoil. However, if Manchester United fails to squeeze out Manchester United again, then Liverpool, which is at a financial disadvantage and has no Champions League to play, will only widen again in the summer window next year, and the hope of overtaking will be even slimmer.

The affluent Manchester City duo are not the Arsenal who tightened their belts to build the stadium, and there is no way to give Liverpool Tottenham a chance to surpass them year after year.

But this year, Liverpool have plenty of hope.

At the moment, Liverpool should be the team with the biggest harvest in the summer window. Benteke for Bashen, Firmino for Sterling, Milner for Gerrard, the strength of the team has increased significantly, and the introduction of Benteke is crucial. Liverpool's problem last season was actually in the center forward, unable to hold the ball, the best period of attack for the center forward actually relied on Sterling, a small attacker, to make a cameo, and Benteke played the center forward comprehensive ability to throw Sterling Balotelli a few streets, theoretically an excellent candidate to solve the problem.

Playing Manchester United in the fifth round of the league is crucial and will likely determine the course of both teams' seasons and even the next decade.

Summary:

The situation in the Premier League: The chances of winning the championship for the car factory are open in 64, Manchester City is firmly in the European competition and waiting for the car factory to send the championship to the door, Manchester United Liverpool is fighting for the Champions League The chance of winning the Champions League is open in 64, and Tottenham is waiting for Lianlian Lily to send the Champions League place to the door.

Champions League situation: Chelsea rush to the championship, although it is likely that the two fronts can not be taken into account and lead to both defeats, but unless they meet a particularly strong opponent, the defending champions have no way to give up the Champions League to protect the league; Arsenal quarterfinals, can it go further to see luck, the team has the strength and thickness and is extremely eager, 1415 Sixteen Lang out of the game is completely accidental; Manchester City is trying its best to produce results, Pei Gong's life-saving straw should be in the Champions League, the league championship situation is not optimistic, if the Champions League is still Sixteen Lang, I am afraid that it is inevitable to get out of class; Manchester United, the big blood change nerve knife can not be estimated。

Europa League situation: Tottenham Hotspur is going all out to win the stars, it must be how far it can go, and it is optimistic about the quarterfinals according to its past records; Liverpool has too many players and public opinion is under great pressure, and Rodgers has no choice but to give up the Europa League at will, and the group stage is guaranteed, how far can he go to watch the league; Southampton is not easy to say, and the substitute lineup is relatively thin; West Ham's relegation team is limited, and the Premier League started too early, and there is no way to use the qualifiers as a warm-up kick, and if you can't enter the main game.

PS: This fully proves that I am using the code word by heart.