Gunners Chapter 5 1415 Season Summary and Future Prospects

It's only mid-March, but I feel like it's ready to be done.

With the Champions League play-offs coming back in a World Cup year, it's not hard to understand that Arsenal, who are still some distance from a strong squad and have been plagued by injuries, have had a bad start.

In the Carabao Cup, the tired Gunners met the biggest dark horse of the season, Southampton, early on, and were knocked out of the competition after only one game, which was both unfortunate and lucky.

In the Champions League, although the round of 8 was unexpectedly missed in the first leg, resulting in the final failure to eliminate Monaco and enter the last 8, it is not something to be too sad about. After all, for this year's Gunners, both Real Madrid Barcelona and old rivals Bayern are still a little too strong, Juventus Paris and Atletico Madrid are also evenly matched opponents, even if they reach the top 8, it will be difficult to continue to move forward. Playing a hearty game like this and not qualifying could have been a more desirable outcome.

In the FA Cup, the elimination of Manchester United in the last four has paved the way for the title, the challenge from Championship side Reading is not a concern, and it remains to be seen whether Liverpool, who still have to fight for Champions League qualification, will be able to reach the final. As long as they play normally, the Gunners' title defense is a foregone conclusion.

In terms of the league, with only 9 rounds left, Chelsea, which has been out of all cup competitions, has 64 points in one less round, with an obvious advantage, and the next Manchester City 58 Arsenal 57 Manchester United 56 Liverpool 54 Southampton Tottenham 50 points, 6 teams bite very tightly.

Although the gap is huge, Arsenal still has the ability to take their destiny into their own hands, at least the fate of the Premier League champions.

I predicted at the start of the season that this year's Gunners would be tasked with taking on defending champions Manchester City with Chelsea, while Manchester United would be tasked with competing with Liverpool, Tottenham and Everton for Champions League or even European qualification. Here's why:

"Manchester United is going to be in Europe.

In the past, Arsenal has always been the most dangerous, but with its own stability and ability, it has always been able to beat Liverpool, Tottenham, Everton and other strong players to enter the European competition. This year, the Gunners' strength has risen steadily, and it can be said that they have been out of the danger zone and have hope to go further.

Liverpool lost Su Shen to come to a number of strong reinforcements, the starting strength is hard to say, but the squad is thick, that is certain; Tottenham Hotspur last year after a season of running-in, the strength has improved significantly; Everton squad remains stable, and the strength should also remain stable.

Although Manchester United threw the pound at the last minute, it is still difficult to predict whether they can suppress the top three, and the possibility of entering the Champions League is as good as not even finishing fifth. ”

Now that 29 rounds have been played, the situation is basically the same as expected at the beginning of the season, with the only difference being that Everton have dropped and have been replaced by dark horses Southampton. As for "title hunting" or "European competition", my opinion is the same as the prediction at the beginning of the season, and the six teams that "bite the ground very tightly" can still be clearly divided into two groups in my opinion: Manchester City Arsenal to challenge Chelsea, and Manchester United to compete with Manchester United Liverpool Southampton Hotspur.

When it comes to Southampton Hotspur's fight for Europe, I don't think anyone will object, the key is why Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, and Liverpool, which are only 1 point apart, will be divided into two waves.

It is not difficult to make this judgment:

Let's look at the strength of the main squad first: Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal are not much different, Manchester United is strong enough on paper but not reassuring, Liverpool is slightly weaker on paper but has momentum, and Southampton and Tottenham are slightly weaker.

Then look at the age of the main squad: Chelsea is 27 years old, very ideal, although Oscar Hazard Courtois is a little younger and occasionally unstable, but it has little impact; Manchester City is 29 years old, looks a little older, but the distribution is very even, it can be said to be extremely ideal; Arsenal is 26 years old, younger, not stable enough, especially the right-back is two 20-year-old youngsters; Liverpool is 25 years old, one year younger than the unstable Arsenal; as for Manchester United, to be honest, I can't tell who the main starters Van Gaal has in mind now......

Look at the thickness of the lineup: Chelsea has 11 shots to beat the world, and the substitute lineup is relatively weak; Manchester City has two sets of lineups that are well known to the world, don't mention it; Arsenal also has two sets of lineups, and they are two sets of lineups with little difference in strength and good run-in, which many people do not realize, but the third central defender Paulista only joined in the winter transfer period is not much of a shortcoming; Manchester United also has two sets of lineups, but there is a significant gap between the run-in degree and Manchester City Arsenal, but it may also be because Carrick is the tactical core, if he can maintain his fitness and condition in the later games, it will be very differentTottenham and Liverpool are in a similar situation, but the king was sold the year before last, and Southampton's substitutes are relatively weak, not much like Chelsea.

Then look at the fixtures: Manchester United have the most dangerous schedule, not only have four tough games to play against the other four teams in the top five, Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool have three games each, although Chelsea have a strategic advantage, but the game is played after all, so the three teams are not much different, and Tottenham Southampton's two games are obviously less difficult.

Finally, let's look at the remaining games: there are nine league games left, and everyone has to play one game a week. In addition, Chelsea have to play one more league match, but it will only be played on April 30, and the main team should already be in full form; Arsenal will play two more FA Cup games, but the Gunners of the two sets of lineups should be able to easily deal with it; Liverpool will play one or three more FA Cup games, which will be difficult for them who are not thick enough, but their main team is very young and the physical recovery is relatively fast.

In this way, the situation is very clear.

Chelsea: The advantage in points ensures that they are almost impossible to fall out of the top four, but it is still too early to talk about winning the title, not to mention injuries, but even if they can ensure that the main team can play at full time, I am afraid that they will not be sure how much they can face the imposing Arsenal and Liverpool.

Manchester City: The strength and experience of the squad means they are almost impossible to fall out of the top four, and their title hopes are almost as good as those of Chelsea, and they are likely to have a better goal difference in the end, so they will need to work harder against the weaker teams.

Arsenal: The ability to take their destiny into their own hands, at least the fate of the Premier League champions. Although it gives the impression that the chain is often dropped, in fact, the arsenal under the professor's rule is stable and terrible, and the so-called collapse is all due to the injury of the main force and the multi-front battle. With a largely complete lineup and a less dense schedule, the professor and his disciples never let down their supporters.

All three teams have hopes of winning the championship, and my personal feeling is almost 5:4:1. Chelsea's host Manchester United on 19 April will be a crucial fixture in deciding the title this season.

If Chelsea win, then in the away game against Arsenal on the 26th, they will probably give up strategically in an attempt to conserve energy to ensure that Lecce will win the replay game and win Crystal Palace at the weekend - this is definitely something Mourinho can do, and the title is basically Chelsea's.

If Chelsea fail to win, and Manchester City win Manchester United in the last game, then Mourinho should not put all the treasure on beating Liverpool at home or waiting for the opponent to make a mistake, then he will need to win or at least a draw in this game, against the Gunners who will give it their all, Chelsea's physical exertion is not optimistic, and it is difficult to say whether the rematch and the weekend game can be won. In that case, if the Gunners lose, then the title is likely to be Chelsea's, if the two teams draw, then Chelsea and Manchester City have roughly the same odds of winning the title, and if the Gunners win the game, then the Chelsea and Manchester City Gunners have roughly the same odds of winning the title.

Therefore, the Gunners have a chance to take their own destiny into their own hands, but first it will be up to the Reds to perform.

As for Manchester United and Liverpool, although we can never underestimate the heart of a champion, but if Chelsea, Manchester City, and Arsenal will collectively drop the chain, hehe......

In the Champions League, with the same quality and manpower in the schedule, you would believe that the team carefully built by the professor will not be able to beat Liverpool? Therefore, Arsenal's entry into the Champions League zone is actually as secure as Manchester City.

In the case of Manchester United, the team with the most dangerous schedule is not superior, and the possibility of falling behind is undoubtedly the greatest, which is nothing to say. What's even more sinister is that Southampton and Tottenham, who are only six points away from the fixture advantage, have one of the two tough games against each other, and it is likely that the two teams will draw and enter the Europa League, and finally squeeze Manchester United into seventh place in the league.

Arsenal season predictions: Win the FA Cup before the league. A top-three finish would allow teams to prepare for the new season in a more rational way without having to go all out for qualifying, and winning the FA Cup would give the media and fans an account and reduce the pressure on some professors and teams.

Outlook for the 1415 season: Championship on all fronts! and continue to compete for the next eight to ten years!

This is not a pipe dream, but a solid basis.

The first is fiscal. As we all know, Arsenal's finances were once extremely precarious due to the Chiefs Stadium and Highbury apartments, and it was only thanks to the professor's skill that they were able to advance to Europe year after year despite constant blood loss. The world also knows that in the summer of '13, the Gunners have survived the crisis and have the ability and determination to spend huge sums of money on the stars. But few people really know how far the Gunners' financial advantage will be.

Deleyun: In the 1314 season, Arsenal recorded 360 million euros, ranking 8 out of 20, with a difference of 190 million from the first real Madrid!

The gap is huge, but it's not insurmountable - in three years, Arsenal will be on an equal footing with Barcelona Bayern, even if they can't reach the heights of Real Madrid financially!

The three most important revenue components are the three parts of commercial development on the day of the game. We can compare the imaginary toughest opponents on the road to the title, the Galaxy battleship Real Madrid, and Premier League giants Chelsea.

Matchday revenue is the most stable, depending on the size, the team's appeal and the affluence of local fans, as well as the number of home games. In the foreseeable future, neither the financially weak Spain, nor the low-ticket Germany nor the small-scale France Italy will be able to surpass the thriving England. In this piece, Arsenal ranks second with 120 million euros, second only to the 129 million of Manchester United, which is also a Premier League giant, surpassing Real Madrid's 114 million, and significantly exceeding Chelsea's 85 million.

In terms of broadcast fees, it is divided into two major categories: the league and the Champions League. Because of the Premier League's broadcast distribution system, the league broadcast gap between the Premier League giants can be ignored and only needs to be compared with other leagues. In the 1415 season, there are still some gaps between the Premier League giants and the Western Super League because of the distribution system, about 130 million VS 170 million, and the gap of 40 million euros is not small, however, the Premier League broadcast fees in the 1617 season will skyrocket again, and La Liga will stand still, and the gap between the two will be smoothed out, or more likely, the Premier League giants will overtake. In terms of Champions League broadcasting, everyone's influence is limited, and it depends mainly on the final ranking.

Finally, there is commercial development. Real Madrid's $231 million is staggering, Chelsea's $136 million is much less in comparison, and Arsenal's $92 million is dwarfed. But let's not forget that Arsenal's long-term contract for the construction of the Emirates Stadium expired in 2014, and according to the new sponsorship contract, the sum of the two main sponsors of Emirates and Puma alone has reached 84 million, which is equal to Real Madrid, but it is not a dream to catch up with Chelsea.

In other words, from the beginning of the 1415 season, Arsenal's revenue has been able to surpass the Premier League powerhouses other than Manchester United, and the gap with Real Madrid will also be narrowed to about 100 million - still very large, but it is not insurmountable for 450 million VS 550 million.

In terms of salary expenditure, Arsenal's weekly salary is "only" 3.9 million pounds, which is basically the same as Manchester United's 4.32 million and Chelsea's 3.98 million, and significantly behind Manchester City's 5.33 million and Real Madrid Barcelona's 4.9 million. That's a good thing, it means there's plenty of salary space left to expand if needed.

On the way to the league title, our old rivals Manchester United were very unfortunate and very lucky to be lost. While this is not the case with us before, the more financially strong Manchester United have been able to rebuild by bringing in reinforcements rather than developing new players, and the pain period can be cut to two to three years. Unfortunately, Manchester United was too confident and impatient, starting a year slowly and taking a detour for half a year, which means that it may take two more seasons. It is even more unfortunate that the current level of competition in the Premier League is not as "easy" as it was when we fell behind because of the rise of Manchester City. Just to secure a Champions League spot, United will have to compete fiercely with the resurgent Liverpool and the rising Tottenham Hotspur, especially now that the Premier League's broadcast fees have increased dramatically and United's financial advantage has become less apparent.

That's all the gossip of the other teams, and the conversation comes back to ourselves.

The current team has a very strong lineup and is very young, as long as it is tempered, it has enough strength to attack the championship on multiple fronts. The injury problem that has been plaguing us for many years is not actually a problem, the root cause is nothing more than a weak squad that cannot rotate and excessive fatigue causes injuries, and now that the squad continues to strengthen and the number of personnel continues to increase, injuries will be farther and farther away from the arsenal.

In other aspects, the Gunners do not need and should not make a big move, even the big Giroud, who has been hacked, has now become an indispensable offensive fulcrum for the arsenal.

In terms of retention, although there are some problems with Walcott's contract extension at the moment, the Gunners' revival has arrived, and there is hope that a decade-long dynasty will be established from it, and no reasonable person will choose to leave. So I think he's going to end up renewing his contract, and no one is going to leave unless the professor is determined to purge – unlike a few years ago when he had to make up his mind to keep people in order to keep them.

After Xiaofa defected a few years ago, the professor should have been betting on the prince and pulling the god, but unfortunately neither of them could grow to a high enough height, and then Lafayette smashed Bale and let us get the core of the midfield, Ozil. In this way, the influence of the puller who can play as a midfielder is not very great, but the position of the prince who can only play central defender and central midfielder is more awkward, and after the arrival of Sanchez, Walcott's future has become uncertain.

At present, the Gunners' staffing, 4231 should be the main formation, so that there will be four attackers in the midfield. Giroud's position as a lone arrow will only be challenged by Welbeck, with Mesut Ozil and leading scorer Alexis Sanchez supposed to occupy two of the three. The last one remaining spot will be between Cazorla, Walcott, Wilshire and Chamberlain.

At present, Cazorla, who is in stable form and plays well and can play multiple positions, has a clear advantage.

But it's not that simple, and the biggest question for Cazorla is not how to play himself, but how to coexist with Mesut Ozil.

Both men have excellent playmaking skills and can be the heart of the attack to help the team win. As it stands, it was Mesut Ozil who took the initiative to adjust his style of play, relying more on running off the ball to play his anticipation and speed advantage as a countermeasure, giving up the position of the playmaker to Cazorla, who was also very capable. However, Mesut Ozil is only 26 years old this year, which is the year of fighting, while Cazorla is already over 30 years old. There is no doubt that the former is the real choice for our future.

As a result, Mesut Ozil will be in the middle for a long time, perhaps on both flanks, but that will be just a bit of a hands-on exercise to help him get more comprehensive.

That is, the four-man contested position was actually on the wings. In this position, Walcott, who is faster and more capable of scoring goals, has a clear advantage in his playing years, and will win if there are no surprises.

Fortunately, the current Gunners have established their strength, and it is imperative to fight on multiple fronts, so there is a need for another main player up front to achieve a reasonable rotation with Ozil Sanchez Walcott. This time, Cazorla will emerge victorious, and neither the young prince nor the equally young Chamberlain will be able to play his role.

However, Prince and Oxlade-Chamberlain, one 23 and the other 22, are the team's future hopes, and they need more opportunities to play before they can grow. Therefore, even if Cazorla clearly wins, he still has to give up his place to Prince or Chamberlain in less strong games.

Therefore, without injuries, I think Cazorla can only share the playing time of the main rotation position with the prince and Chamberlain.

Under the 4231 formation, the main force and (substitutes) in my personal mind are probably like this:

Forward: Olivier Giroud (Welbeck)

Strikers/Strikers: Alexis Sanchez (Cazorla), Mesut Ozil (Wilshere), Theo Walcott (Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain)

Defenders: Coquelin (Flamini), Ramsay (Arteta)

Centre-backs: Koscielny, Mertesacker (Paulista, also Gabriel)

Full-backs: Gibbs (Monreal), Chambers (Bellerin)

Goalkeeper: Ospina (Szczesny)

In addition, we have a number of players who are unable to fit into two squads but can be rotated in the event of injury or multi-front, and some of them are likely to retire, or be sold or remain on loan by the club:

Martinez (GK), Debusch (DR), Jenkins (DR), Rosicky (AMC/R/L), Podolski (FC), Sanogo (SC), Akpohm (SC), Gong Shiliang (AM), Campbell (SC), Diaby (DM), Gnabry (M).

In terms of goalkeepers, the performance of the eldest brother is very good, and CCC is also very potential, there is no need to bring in reinforcements, and it is impossible to buy more suitable ones.

In central defence, Koscielny and Mertesacker can be trusted, and 29/30 is also in the prime of central defence. Paulista, who was bought in the winter, hasn't played much yet, and his strength can't be seen at the moment.

I think left-back Gibbs + Monreal is reliable, and the age of 25 and 29 is also very reasonable, and there is no need to bring in reinforcements.

Right-back Chambers + Bellerin are a bit of a concern, and while both are actually doing well, a 20 and a 19 are always not very reassuring.

In the midfield position, Coquelin is a surprise and if he can continue his current performances, then we don't need to buy anyone in this position at all. Ramsey needless to say, he is an active runner and has a good ability to score, so he is an important member of the team. The only thing to watch out for is to control your performance wisely**, with Mesut Ozil and Cazorla being better at sharing the ball. The captain has not played much this year, mainly because he is old and has been plagued by injuries, and it is time to find a successor. Flamini's words will still be a qualified substitute for a year or two, but that's about it.

In the shadow striker/midfield position, Mesut Ozil has superb ball skills, broad vision, reasonable ball, active running, and even more commendable is to be able to change the style of play he relied on to become famous to match the team, rather than just waiting for the team to change for himself, and will definitely be a figure in the history of Arsenal. Alexis Sanchez is also very good, which has greatly improved our scoring ability, but sometimes there is still a bit of sticky ball at his feet, and he needs to continue to fine-tune his style of play. Theo Walcott has not returned from injury and has not yet adapted well to the changes in the team since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez, and needs to fine-tune his style of play to become the team's top scorer again as soon as possible. Cazorla has the ability to compete with those three for the main position, and can decide who to send depending on the opponent's situation. Prince actually has a lot of potential, but he needs to realize that Ozil and Cazorla are better at controlling the ball, Sanchez and Cazorla are more proficient in dribbling and breaking, and in the case of geniuses such as Mesut Ozil who have changed their playing style to strengthen their off-ball running in order to better integrate into the team, strengthening their running and being willing to be green leaves is the greatest contribution to the team. Chamberlain's words are fast and good footwork, and the professor has vigorously cultivated and has cultivated talents.

In the forward position, Giroud's superb pinball skills complement the team's passing and control play, and the role of the offensive fulcrum is very obvious. Welbeck is good, but there is still a very clear gap with Girubibe.

Analysing our squad, I think anyone would come to a conclusion: we need centre-backs. If Paulista can perform well in the upcoming games, he only needs a fourth centre-back under the age of 25 or over 32, otherwise it would be better to bring in a first-choice centre-back of the year to rotate with Koscielny and Mertesacker.

However, it is very difficult to play the main central defenders, and we are not short of money now, the problem is that the current central defenders are extremely scarce and cannot be bought in the transfer market. Therefore, the final result may only be a fourth central defender, in this case, perhaps you can consider the park's local player Colcole?23 years old, 191cm76Kg, young, tall, the main force of the Premier League team, with a household register, both the strength of the fourth central defender and the space to look forward to, the only drawback is that the price may not be cheap.

On top of that, we have to prepare for the ageing of captain Mikel Arteta. This is much easier than the main central defender, and there is more than one suitable choice.

The first option is to move Cazorla back, as the professor is already doing this season. In that case we need a midfielder or a striker, more on that later.

The second option is to bring in a regular midfielder, which is more open to choice given that the team does not lack organizational skills. Personally, I feel that the ideal candidate is Universe Song, who has the strength, the right age, and there is no run-in problem, and it is easy to be rented out by Grand Barcelona. In case Coquelin is unstable, Fuchengli is fine.

As for the striker, to be honest, if Giroud is not injured at the beginning of the season, there is no need to urgently buy Welbeck, who is somewhat strong but not strong enough, but fortunately, he has a large range of activities and is not a center forward in the traditional sense, and can be transformed or continued to be cultivated according to the situation. The reinforcement of this position should be considered as a whole with the back waist and look at the opportunity.

If a top striker can be brought in, Cazorla will drop back to replace Mikel Arteta, and Welbeck will play as a shadow striker or wing-back, which is Sanchez's replacement. However, the requirements for a top-class striker are relatively high, and it is not easy to find a striker from the market who is better than Giroud and suitable for our style of play, and it may be self-defeating. The only thing I can think of at the moment is to buy back - the loyal and righteous General Fan.

Although he is 32 years old, Pesigo is still one of the top strikers in the world, and there is no run-in problem, and there is no problem at all in terms of technique. In terms of feasibility, Persigo is in the contract year, Manchester United has the possibility of releasing people; salary is not a problem, just from the year when Pesigo waved the check in Manchester City, he was willing to renew the contract of 80,000 pounds to renew our factory for 5 years, I know that he does not value money, besides, Pesigo has not given up for so many years again and again to rescue our factory that is about to slide into the abyss, and now he has the ability to repay him is also deserved; perhaps the biggest obstacle lies in the willingness of both parties. In complete contrast to Cesc Fabregas, there are no problems on the Gunners' side, the key lies with Robin van Persie. Although the media frantically hyped Persicco to skeele and celebrate after scoring a goal, whether it was exchanging jerseys from midfield, going from Van Persie to the Gunners' dressing room, or later the professor's intervention to defend Pesigo, it shows that the current Gunners, whether it is a player or a coach, have a deep relationship with him. However, Persico is so proud and so loyal, after two consecutive seasons in which he has underperformed and Manchester United have a sluggish record, will he be willing to return to his old club, which has risen in full swing?

If you can only buy second-rate strikers, then it is better not to buy them at all. Although it is necessary for the French teenager Sanogo to continue to practice, it is not a problem to come back and make a spare tire, or Podolski.

So, in my estimation, the team will either buy back Persigo this year or there won't be any big moves. Try to buy back the Universe Song, buy a young Zhonghou Wen from a small and medium-sized team, and then invest money to buy a few little demons and release them.

That's enough. The endogenous power of Arsenal is strong enough to support us to rebuild our glory, but I think what the professor and the Gunners want is not just to recreate it, but to build a dynasty, a dynasty that will surpass Manchester United's golden generation and Barça's dream three. As for whether it can be realized, only time will tell.