Chapter 500: Crisis Under the Undercurrent of Emotions!
In the evening, the trend of the peripheral market continued last Friday's rebound, and a wave of beautiful counteroffensive market came out.
Thanks to the good trend of the external market, the overall investment sentiment of the domestic financial trading market also continued to climb higher in the pre-market stage of the night and the morning of the second day, and the majority of investors have rehearsed the scene of the Shanghai Index directly gapping high and jumping over the 2300 point mark.
Even, the main line field of 'film and television media', which is directly stimulated by the positives.
Among them, a number of 'Fortune Road' new concept stocks have been discussed fiercely among the majority of retail investor groups, and it has been a grand occasion of collective daily limit in everyone's minds.
"The market sentiment reacts, it feels a little overheated!"
At about 8:50 a.m., inside Yuhang Investment Company, which was preparing for pre-market trading, in the main fund trading room, Wang Can observed the discussion area of the major retail investor gathering platforms in the market, turned his head to Su Yu and asked: "Boss, if the Shanghai Index opens directly above 2,300 points, can it be stabilized according to this market sentiment and expectations?" ”
When Su Yu heard Wang Can's inquiry, he didn't answer directly, but turned his head to look at the other trading team leaders and core traders in the trading room, and asked, "What do you think?" ”
After Liu Yuan, the leader of the second trading group, groaned slightly, he was the first to reply: "Didn't Master say it before?" The index has limited room for adjustment here, but the time for adjustment is still slightly insufficient, the chip structure in the field has not been reconsolidated, and the main funds of all parties in the field are also divergent in the direction of breakthrough...... The Shanghai Composite Index opened directly above 2,300 points, and without sufficient incremental capital support, it should be difficult to stand firm. ”
"As for sufficient incremental funding......"
"This can only slowly accumulate with the continuous money-making effect of the market and the continuous fermentation of bullish sentiment, and cannot achieve the effect of rapid surge."
"So, I think the index is at this point in time and trend."
"It is still quite difficult to fully stand at 2,300 points and achieve an effective breakthrough."
"Moreover, I think that the short-term overheating of the market is not a good thing, but may form a short-term intraday high and a huge divergence point between long and short, increasing and deepening the market's adjustment intensity and adjustment time."
"Hmm!" Su Yu bowed slightly, "There is some truth." ”
"I agree with Team Leader Liu's analysis." Zhao Lijun, who was sitting next to Wang Can, replied secondly, "It is not difficult for the Shanghai Index to temporarily break through 2,300 points, but it is difficult to stand firm completely." ”
"Actually, I don't think we need to care too much about the rise and fall of the index and the gains and losses of key points at this stage." Zhu Tianyang replied thirdly, "No matter what the trend of the Shanghai Index near 2300 points in the short term, at least in the general direction, or the downward adjustment space is limited, and the upward has sufficient expectations and momentum." ”
"As long as this basic expectation and investment logic have not changed, then it will be a matter of time before the index stands firm at 2,300 points and opens up a higher space."
"Since the general direction, the concept of exponential breakout is huge."
"Then, when it comes to our trading operations, we only need to grasp the main line, grasp the key high-quality chips of the main line, and wait for changes."
"Tianyang is right." At this time, Zhang Guobing also responded, "But I think it is too passive to wait for change, according to what Mr. Su said before, we should use the chip advantage in our hands, as well as our capital volume advantage, to guide the market to guide the market at the right time, and only in this way can we always grasp the initiative and not be led by market changes." ”
"Mr. Li, what do you think?" After listening to everyone's opinions, Su Yu finally looked at Li Meng.
Li Meng glanced at him and responded: "Light index, heavy stocks are right, what you said also makes sense, but I'm worried...... Our company's current several funds, in the same direction of the position weight is too high, not balanced position, such a situation, once we expect the main heavy position direction, the market trend is seriously less than expected, and at the same time the market in other directions, made a breakthrough, what should we do? ”
The larger the amount of capital, the greater the trading constraints, and the more difficult it is to adjust positions.
At present, the company's several main funds, core holdings, are in the two directions of "large infrastructure" and "military industry", and the rest of the "Internet finance", "film and television media", "mobile Internet", "smart phone industry chain" direction, the weight of the position is relatively not high, if the market is driven by the line of "film and television media", to the "mobile Internet", "smart phone industry chain" two directions for diffusion breakthrough.
If the market forms a continuous pattern of weak Shanghai and strong strength, then they are very likely to be short-priced on a large scale.
Although this change in the direction of the market is a small probability event in Su Yu's analysis, he is not afraid of 10,000 in everything, just in case, even if it is a small probability event, Li Meng believes that he has to guard against it.
After all, if you don't anticipate and prepare in advance.
Once this kind of small probability event happens, they will not have time to catch up with the market and make a comprehensive position adjustment action under such a heavy position and huge capital volume.
This is also the main institution of many large domestic funds, in the evolution of the market.
Usually you can only make a disk in one direction, and the reason for stubbornly guarding and carrying it stubbornly.
In the eyes of many retail investors, this is not because the fund managers of the main institutions are really stupid and do not know the benefits of timely position adjustment and stock swapping and chasing the main line hot spots, but because of the huge amount of funds, they simply cannot do it in time.
Su Yu pondered for a moment and responded: "Now our fund position and layout direction are basically a foregone conclusion, and we can't turn around." ”
"If you say this situation, it really happens......"
"The market is in the direction of unanimous cooperation, and it is not in the main line area of our current key layout."
"Then what we can do is only to guide the market as much as possible according to the available funds in our hands and the influence of our trading seats, stimulate market sentiment, so as to compete for market liquidity, and guide the main line of the market step by step to the main line of our main position layout."
"Other than that...... There is no other way! ”
"Of course, this way of making a market to guide the direction of the market."
"The premise must also be the core main line area of our layout, with hype logic and future expectations, and all the fundamental logic has not been reversed, and there are enough hype and investment factors."
"If there are no such big basic conditions, and the core areas of the main line of our layout, there are indeed unpredictable major negatives, or other factors that are enough to change the fundamentals of the main line investment, then even if we are reluctant, we can only stop the loss and exit, and we must not be nostalgic or dead."
"Market investment, financial trading, there is no such thing as 100% accuracy."
"What we can do is only based on our own cognition and judgment, do our best to do the market, be responsible for ourselves, be responsible for the accounts and funds in our hands, and be responsible for the investors who trust us, and it is enough, as for the final profit or loss, the amount of profit, the amount of loss, can only be judged by the market."
"Hmm!" After Su Yu finished speaking, everyone in the trading room nodded in response.
Everyone also thinks deeply of Su Yu's remarks in their hearts, and even has some feelings.
With everyone's analysis and communication of market trends in response to the pre-market sentiment, at this time, the time has slipped to 9:15 a.m.
I saw that the entire market investor group was in the spotlight, and the stagnant disk began to beat in an instant.
Among them, the field of 'film and television media', which has attracted the attention of market investors, especially LeTV, Huayi Brothers, Guangguang Media, Cultural Investment Holdings, Yanjing Culture, Huace Film and Television, and Ciwen Media, which were newly purchased by 'Fortune Road' yesterday...... A group of leading stocks, in just one second, their stock prices from yesterday's closing price, directly changed to the price limit, as expected by the majority of retail groups before the market, there was a collective price limit.
"Boss, the new stocks we bought yesterday, especially the stocks that showed their seats on the Dragon and Tiger list, have collectively increased the limit." At 9:15, seeing the scene after the change of the entire market, Wang Can said with a smile, "The line of 'film and television media', it seems that today is another rising tide, this main line, the strength of the impact, it is estimated that there will be no three or five trading days, it will not be slowed down." ”
"The line of 'film and television media' is strong." While Wang Can was speaking, Zhao Lijun also answered, "It's just that 'infrastructure', 'military industry', and 'Internet finance' are the popular main lines in the early stage of our core layout, and the call bidding scene shown by this is weaker than we expected before the market, and it has not been able to continue the trend of yesterday's late stage. ”
"This should be caused by the siphoning of funds from the popular main line of 'film and television media', right?" Zhu Tianyang stared at the disk with his eyes, and said along with Zhao Lijun's words, "The current market incremental funds and active funds are limited, and it is impossible to cover all the main lines of the entire market with investment expectations and hype expectations. After all, the current entire market, in addition to the line of "film and television media", is still the "infrastructure", "military industry", "Internet finance" These lines of hype and investment expectations are the strongest. ”
"Oh, that's not right!" At 9:16 a.m., Zhang Guobing's sharp eyes flickered as he stared at the changes in the disk, and hurriedly responded, "If it is the capital siphon effect caused by the line of 'film and television media', then the current entire market, other industry sectors and main line areas will more or less show a similar situation to the lines of 'infrastructure', 'military industry', and 'Internet finance', that is, active buying is sluggish, and selling orders have increased sharply." ”
"And yet ......"
Zhang Guobing paused and continued: "The two main areas of 'mobile Internet' and 'smart phone industry chain' with the small and medium-sized board and gem as the core, as well as a number of low-level small and medium-sized 'growth stocks', have not produced this situation, and not only not, but with the extremely hot following sentiment inspired by the line of 'film and television media', the active buying of related concept stocks in these fields is still in the same sharp trend. ”
"In addition, the overall market value of the 'film and television media' line is not large, even if we want to maintain the price limit of the main business stocks related to 'film and television', it will not consume the active funds and incremental follow-up funds of the entire market."
"So, I think ......"
"Judging from the market situation at the beginning of the market collective bidding, the active funds and main funds of all parties in the market are obviously biased towards the 'growth stocks' route in the direction of the small and medium-sized board and the gem for speculation and layout."
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"Hmm!" Hearing Zhang Guobing's words, Liu Yuan carefully observed the development of the main line of the market and responded, "I agree, Master...... The trend of the initial stage of the collective auction of the whole market does have obvious signs of bias towards the small and medium-sized board and the gem, but I don't know whether this sign is intentional by the main funds in the market, or the natural combination of funds from all walks of life in the market. ”
"In addition to the 'film and television media' sector that has been directly stimulated by the blockbuster benefits, the 'growth stocks' of the small and medium-sized board and the gem board are also such as 'mobile games', 'mobile Internet', and 'smart phone industry chain'...... and other conceptual main directions, there should not be a strong hype logic and investment logic at present, right? At this time, Li Meng also found the abnormal situation of the changes in the two markets, pondered for a moment, and said, "Moreover, the line of 'growth stocks', the current interim results of many growth stocks have not been realized, and the overall adjustment has not been contacted in terms of technical trends. ”
Su Yu saw that the time had not yet reached 9:20, that is, the two cities had not yet entered the real market collective bidding link, pondered for a moment, and responded with a smile: "Don't rush to make a conclusion first, and then take a look, whether it is the natural joint force of the market, or the intentional guidance of a major fund in the field, let's ...... at this time There are ways to deal with it! ”
After speaking, Su Yu once again turned his attention to the first-line areas of the small and medium-sized board and the 'growth stocks' of the gem.
Then, in the passage of trading time, it quickly compared with the main trends of 'infrastructure', 'military industry' and 'Internet finance' that the company's main funds focused on.
I saw that with the passage of time, the amount of active buying and active selling between the two changed, and it really showed the opposite direction, that is, the flow of funds in the market on the surface has been smashing the main lines of 'infrastructure', 'military industry' and 'Internet finance', and it has rapidly poured into many popular growth stocks on the small and medium-sized board and the growth stock of the gem.
Just when Su Yu thought that most of these were false pending orders and disk illusions.
When the market trading time jumped past 9:20 and entered the real call auction trading session, the overall style of this market situation has not weakened, but has become more and more obvious.
At the same time, Su Yu faced the market at this time, and the obvious 'Shanghai is weak, deep and strong' shape.
For no reason, I suddenly felt a hint of crisis!