Chapter 395: I'm going to re-examine the logic

[Player 1, please speak]

"Let's talk about why player 8 was ticketed."

"The police on 4 or 6 pairs of jump prophets, unless the player on the 5th plate is a wolf, 8 will come out to jump, otherwise, the gains outweigh the losses, she can't take such a big risk just to catch a little wolf who may not be able to fish, right?"

"Only player 5 is a wolf, so she has to come out and jump, otherwise, player 5 will be speechless."

"Even if the wolf in the outer position blows himself up, the witch can poison 5 at night, and when the time comes, the guards will guard the prophet, and it will be difficult for the wolf to win, so no matter what, 8 has to come out and jump."

"But can player number 5 be a wolf? I don't think so. ”

"First, there is a high probability that the breeding wolf will not stay under the police, although everyone's style and playing style are different, but I can only play the majority."

"Second, player 9 is on the side of 8, but he is not hostile to 6, which is definitely not normal."

"The breeding wolf was killed by the prophet, 8 came out and jumped, and he also chose to stand on the side and charge 8, so how can he be so friendly to player 6?"

"In fact, it can be seen from the statement of player 9 that 5 and 9 do not meet, and since 9 is a 2 kill, then 5 must be a good person."

"In this way, the logic that player No. 2 may be a wolf on the board 5 is completely untenable, and 8 can't be teammates with 5 wolves, because 5 is not a wolf, and 8 has no reason to come out and jump."

"From his point of view, the No. 5 player's hole card is a good person, 4, 6 at the same time to 5 to lose the kill, then there is only one possibility, one of them is a good person who cheats the identity, the probability is the No. 6 player, 4 is probably a hidden wolf."

"Now that the hidden wolves have come out to jump, what is the excitement of player No. 8?"

"I said so much just to tell the good guys that player No. 2 can't afford to hold the prophet card, and there are too many places to stand on his side."

"Only the player on the side of the 8, the logic is smooth, so I believe that 8 is the prophet, unless 2 can round out the logic I just made and convince me, otherwise, go and stay in the viewing area."

No. 1 Zhao Shun got up and made his position and attitude clear, and he stood on the side of No. 8 Li Yunyun.

At present, all the logic shows that Li Yunyun is a prophet, and No. 2 He Lu is a fierce jump, and he is logical and logical, and the problem is too big.

When He Lu said that No. 5 Zhou Naiyi might be a wolf, and hit the first police badge on Zhou Naiyi, he completely walked away.

If he hadn't given Cai Yin a kill, he could have played 5 or 8 wolves, but if he gave Cai Yin a kill, the whole logic would have exploded.

Because it is impossible for Zhou Naiyi to meet Cai Yin is a wolf teammate, don't say that Cai Yin is deliberately misleading the sight and judgment of good people, that is to play hooligan.

"Just now player No. 12 said that we have to think about it more, why player No. 2 is a wolf, and he wants to jump out when he jumps in 6 and 8 pairs, at that time, in his perspective, 6 and 8 are going to be hidden wolves, and he doesn't need to insert such a bar."

"Actually, it's not difficult to explain, but it's a little more complicated to think about."

"From the perspective of player 2, 6 may be a fraudulent identity, 8 is a prophet, and the hidden wolf is the 4th player who has been deceived and retreated."

"If he doesn't jump, I'm afraid that player No. 6 will immediately retreat, and then he will be a unilateral prophet, which is definitely not what the wolf wants to see."

"As for why player 6 is fraudulent, this is easy to understand, the police on 4 to 5 to lose the kill, turn around 6 also to 5 to lose the kill, and the crazy dialogue 4 retreat behavior is too much like a good person to show the operation."

"How can it be so coincidental, player No. 4 jumped to 5 to lose the check, caught up with 6 and was a prophet, and checked 5, which is obviously wrong."

"It's not an afterthought, 6 said that he was a prophet, and after checking 5, he was a kill, and he pretended to say that he forgot that he couldn't test the same person for the first time in a row, so I knew that he was testing the resilience of player 4."

"It depends on whether 4 can withstand the pressure and not recede, as long as 4 can withstand this pressure, I believe he will tend to stand on the side of 4 in the end."

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"It's a pity that the No. 4 player is useless, he can't seize the opportunity given him, and he was really cheated back."

"Of course, I can also understand the mood of player No. 4, 6 that wave of commotion, who is not panicking? If player number 5 is really a wolf, won't it collapse? ”

"You can't blame him for the 4 retreat, you can only blame player 6 for being too ghostly."

"Oh yes, I just thought of another point, if 5 and 8 are double wolves, in order to relieve the pressure of player 5, 8 will follow the principle of equal loss and killing, since the wolf teammates want to surface water, to resist the push position, then pull a back that can be backed."

"Therefore, if the No. 8 player is a wolf jumping, he will only lose the check and kill, and will not lose the gold water, which is not in line with the logic of the wolf's behavior."

"It can also be seen from this that 5 and 8 do not meet, so many signs indicate that the logic of player 2 is ridiculously wrong."

"Werewolves that can be determined now are 2 and 4, no matter what player 4 says, no matter what he jumps, in my perspective, he has to be a hidden wolf."

"Because the conversation between player No. 6 and him in the police is already obvious, and it also gives him the opportunity and time to retreat, but he is completely indifferent, then he can't afford to play the good guy card."

"6 must be a good person, this is undoubted, 8 is a prophet, 9 is Jinshui, the speech and mentality of player 7 are all good, I don't think she can be a wolf."

"In this case, there will be at least one wolf among 3, 11, and 12, and player 12 seems to be the only one who wants to stand on the side of 2 and help 2 speak."

"Judging from the speech and standing, player No. 12 is more like a wolf teammate of 2, but his ability to reach 4 and 6 may be a double wolf playing board as an identity, which makes my eyes shine."

"I think a wolf probably can't think of this layer, and there is no need to do this, player No. 12 can talk about this logic generously, I don't think he is a wolf."

"And if 2 is really a prophet, you have to play 4 and 6 wolves to play the board as an identity, and player 8 is a hidden wolf who is unaware, she is jumping."

"As a result, the No. 2 player said on the police that he didn't do this, so there was no way, he talked to himself to death."

"The police either don't open the wolf, the wolf is the No. 10 player, what do I think of him, half and half, half of the good guys, half of the werewolves."

"In all fairness, the logic of the 10 police is quite reasonable, and the hostility towards player 2 is quite great, as if she doesn't know 2, but she beats me as a wolf again, and I feel uncomfortable."

"Maybe I'm too generous, I just can't calmly face the suspicions and attacks of others."

"Player No. 10 clicks into the wolf pit first, the principle of reciprocal retaliation, she points me into the wolf pit, and I also point her into the wolf pit, isn't this even."

"Get up tomorrow and listen to how she talks, if the conversation is good, I will call the four wolves to the police, otherwise, she will still have to stay in the wolf pit."

"Okay, that's all I want to say in this round, it's over, let's see how player 2 fools."

[Player 2, please speak]

"Okay, I'll admit that my logic on the police is wrong, I was sloppy."

"At that time, I was thinking that player 8 would come out to make up for the jump and let 4 retreat, then 5 is probably really a wolf, otherwise, 8 would not have done this."

"That's why I doubted the identity of player No. 5, so I hit the first police badge on 5, but after listening to the speeches in this circle, I knew that I was wrong."

"I only thought about this one point, and I didn't take into account the attitude of player 9 towards 6 and decided that 5 and 9 would not meet, this is my problem, and I am to blame, but I still hope that the good people can forgive, because I am really not a wolf."

No. 2 He Lu is also frank enough, he admitted his mistake when he came up, admitted that the police thought too little, and ignored No. 9 Cai Yin's attitude towards Gu Feng from his perspective.

This is indeed his problem, he blew up the conversation, and he can't blame others for beating him with this, let alone blaming good people for standing on the wrong side.

But no matter what, he is a prophet after all, a good man beats him to death with a stick, and in the end the cheap one is still a wolf, after all, he doesn't lose alone, everyone loses together.

This kind of attitude is still quite good, as the so-called knowing mistakes can improve a lot, if he has to go back, it will be the end.

"Now I'm re-aligning the logic, player 5 is a good person, I mistyped her."

"The No. 12 player on the police said that 4 and 6 might be double wolves playing the board as an identity, but I didn't take it seriously at the time, and I felt that the logic of his plate was too brainy."

"But now that I think about it, 12 is probably right, 4 and 6 double wolves play the board to do identity, 8 is a hidden wolf, she doesn't know that the wolf team is making a fuss, she only knows that she has to come out and jump."

"That's right, it should be like this, otherwise, player 8 won't come out to jump, only she doesn't know whether 5 is a good guy or a wolf, and mistakenly thinks that 5 may be her wolf teammate."

"Player 1 said that if 8 is a wolf and wants to fish for player 5, he will lose the check, not lose the check, it does not conform to the logic of the werewolf's behavior, which sounds very reasonable at first glance, but in fact this is a pseudo-logic."

"Not everyone likes to throw and kill equally, 5 is killed, and player 8 changes hands and throws it to others, it's easy for people to guess her intentions."

"After all, everyone here is a smart person, and when you pout your butt, you know what shit to pull, so it's better to throw a gold water to canvass for favor, not to mention that she is not throwing gold water to a good person."

"The most important thing is that player No. 8 is a hidden wolf, he doesn't dare to rashly throw the kill, what if she accidentally hits the wolf teammate?"

"In fact, from the perspective of player 8, 4 may be a good person, 6 is a prophet, and 5 is her wolf teammate, in this case, she loses a check, if she is also a wolf, what should I do?"

"Although this possibility is relatively low, luck should not be so back, but if you are not afraid of 10,000, you are afraid of what if, if you seek stability, it will definitely be better to lose gold."

"As a result, player No. 1 used this to stand on the side of player No. 8, saying that 8 is not a wolf, that is, he is taking a good person into the ditch, and the wolf listens to 1's words, I'm afraid that his mouth will be crooked, right, player 9?"

"Are you crazy in your mind calling Player 1 and saying he's doing a good job?"

"Although player No. 1 made a mistake in logic and helped the wolf bring a lot of rhythm, I can't beat him anymore."

He Lu is really awesome, and he directly overturned his police statement completely and rechecked the logic.

And as soon as he opened his mouth, it made people chuckle in their hearts, because he actually agreed with No. 12 Chu Jian's idea, 4 and 6 are double wolves playing boards as identities, and No. 8 Li Yunyun is a hidden wolf.

At the same time, He Lu also replied to the logic of No. 1 Zhao Shun, saying that Li Yunyun's behavior of not losing the investigation and killing and losing the gold water cannot prove that she is a prophet.

In fact, He Lupan is quite reasonable, if Li Yunyun is really a hidden wolf, afraid of losing the check and killing to the wolf teammates, then he will choose to lose Jinshui and seek stability.

And the idea of people is different, Zhao Shun thinks that if Li Yunyun is a wolf, the best way to catch Zhou Naiyi is to lose and kill equally, this idea is no problem.

But some people just don't play according to the routine? Or do you not like to lose the check, afraid of being on the iron plate?

In short, there are too many subjective and objective reasons that affect Li Yunyun's loss of gold and water, so Zhao Shun's logic is untenable.

However.

He Lu's choice of 4 and 6 wolves is equivalent to beating Gu Feng to death, but Gu Feng is a guard, so from his point of view, He Lu still can't hold the prophet card.

In the final analysis, He Lu himself knew that he couldn't fulfill the speech of the police, so he could only play Laipi and start anew.

After a pause, He Lu spoke again: "4, 6, 8, 9, this is what I think of as the four wolves now." ”

"Player 4 I think it's a wolf, he wants to pretend to be a hidden wolf, 6 is to wear clothes with 4, player 9 is my flop check, 8 is a hidden wolf jump."

"The people on the outside are all good people, whether they are on the wrong side or on the right side, they can't beat them after all."

"I know that my speech on the police has made you very dissatisfied, but I am not putting gold on my face under the police, one round of four wolves, 4, 6, 8, 9 are not wrong, if you are wrong, I will hang my own vote."

"Of course, I also know that it's hard for me to get you to stand on the sidelines, after all, I'm a mess of logic, but I'm really a prophet, I really am."

"I hope you'll give me a little more tolerance, who hasn't done it yet, right?"

"It's really not good, after the No. 9 player came out today, the witch poison me at night, and when I get up the next day, you will figure out who is the prophet, and if you feel that you are on the wrong side, then you will get the No. 8 player out."

"If I am pushed out of the game, the witch must poison player 9 at night, and it must be poisoned, otherwise, when I get up the next day, the wolf team will be tied up, because the police badge is in the hands of the wolf."

"I don't know if I said so much, how many people can believe me, think about it, the No. 12 player is amazing, he is on the right side of the whole audience, and the logic is right."

"In the last game, he was very stable on the side, and this game is again, on the side of the station, I am serving the No. 12 player, but it's a pity that I talked too badly, and there shouldn't be such a big mistake, but it just came out, and I can only save it as much as possible."

"Whether you stand on my side or not, believe me or not, anyway, my vote is going to be hung on player 9, he is an iron wolf, he must be out of him first, so be it, it's over."

[Player 3, please speak]

"I didn't expect that I said that this board might have a wolf intimidation game and be beaten."

"You all know that the wolf cub and the breeding wolf don't come out to jump, only the hidden wolf can jump, but some people take the hidden wolf and don't jump, he just wants to play the wolf game."

"As long as the one who is pushed on the first day is not a wolf, it is a good person, and the wolf breeds at night and successfully infects one, and when he gets up the next day, there are five wolves on the field."

"What is this concept? It can be said that the wolf can win with his eyes closed, but if he jumps, he will reveal his identity as a hidden wolf, and smart and good people will not waste rounds on the hidden wolf. ”

"Only those who are not very familiar with this board will go out of the hidden wolf, but in fact, good people don't have to go out of the two people who jump against the prophet, and they can't take advantage of the right ones, and they will lose blood if they make mistakes."

"And the hidden wolf also knows that there may be a little wolf out to get dressed, so he deliberately does not jump, so as not to be noticed by the good people that there is a problem."

"Like you said, the hidden wolf jumps, with all due respect, it's still in the initial stage, no wonder I can't understand why I said that there might be a wolf game."

As soon as No. 3 Cheng Xue opened her mouth, she explained why the police said that the wolf team might play the wolf game and not come out to jump, not because she couldn't think of the hidden wolf jumping, but because she was at a higher level.

Because she used to play this board a lot, she had encountered all kinds of sassy routines, and the tricks that the hidden wolf could play were also varied, and she didn't necessarily have to come out to jump.

To tell the truth, the hidden wolves who came out to jump are all honest people, and they are not of great help to the wolf team, as long as the good people do not enter the water, they will not come out of the hidden wolves and prophets.

Because no matter what is right or wrong, it is a good person's loss, and the only difference is a small loss or a blood loss.

"2 and 8 pairs of jump prophets, only player 12 has the idea, and 4 and 6 are double wolves playing boards to make identity and dress."

"If I'm not mistaken, there are a total of four people who danced the Prophet in this game, which is actually abnormal, and there shouldn't be so many people on this board who danced the Prophet."

"There must be a demon when something goes wrong, 4 and 6 wolves have to take a good look, and it's not a small probability event."

"Player No. 11 said that if 4 and 6 are really double wolves, they can send them to win, why? You don't want to play like this if you don't play much, but I've seen a lot of this kind of routine, so why should I send them to win. ”

"You're quite generous, and you sent them to win, why don't you let them send me to win? It's nothing. ”

Cheng Xue scolded No. 11 Hu Tutu, in her opinion, 4 and 6 double wolves playing the board is not a small probability event at all, this is a relatively high-end operation of this board.

It requires very tacit cooperation and a certain amount of luck, but Hu Tutu said with a fluke mentality that if 4 or 6 wolves were sent to win, it was an extremely irresponsible statement.

That is, the wolf pit has been found, otherwise, Hu Tutu must enter the wolf pit.

"Having said so much, you must have heard it, I am the No. 2 player on the side, 4 and 6 must be double wolves playing the board as an identity, and the No. 8 player is an upright hidden wolf, she has to come out to jump, she doesn't care what the situation is in the external position."

"Today, the No. 9 player will come out, in fact, I want to come up with 4, if there is no accident, 4 is likely to be a wolf."

"But I know it's impossible to get out of 4 today, and you still think I'm fooling the good guys to fight against the hidden wolf for the round."

"There's no way, I can only retreat and come out with the No. 9 player, 9 can only be a little wolf, he can't afford to breed a wolf."

"Finally, I want to talk to the good people in the audience, don't rush to the side of the No. 8 player, things are not as simple as you think."

"Don't say anything else, let's just say that player No. 2 is a wolf, there is no reason to come out and jump, even if you play the wolf game, it doesn't matter if there are good people in 6 and 8."

"As for why player 1 gets 2 and jumps at the end, it's pure malicious speculation and strong logic, and if you don't jump 2, it may be a wolf game, what's wrong with the wolf game? The Wolves are scared, it's funny. ”

"Forget it, don't talk about it, now I just hope that the good guy can hang the ticket on player 9, and after 9, let 2 and 8 continue to argue tomorrow, so be it, it's over."

[Player 4, please speak]

"Don't mess with my clothes, I'm not a hidden wolf, I'm a good person."

"The police threw the kill to the No. 5 player, just to show off the operation and see how the people in the outside position reacted to me to the 5 drop kill."

"The most important thing is that when I jumped, the wolf didn't know who was the hidden wolf and who was the good person who wore the hidden wolf clothes."

"If the Hidden Wolf mistakenly thinks I'm a little wolf wearing clothes, and the little wolf thinks I'm a hidden wolf jumping, then won't I achieve the effect I want."

"As a result, I really didn't expect the No. 6 player to be more sassy than me, so I threw another check kill to the No. 5 player, which made everyone crack."

"I originally wanted to retreat immediately, after all, he has been talking to me all the time, which made my heart furious, but I thought about it, let's wait for the person who jumped with 6 pairs to come out, if I don't retreat, maybe the wolf will have to send someone out to make up for the jump."

"At that time, I thought that 6 was a prophet, 5 is really a wolf, after all, plate 6 is a wolf, and it doesn't work at all."

No. 4 Sun Cheng explained to the good people very sincerely, why he jumped to the prophet on the police and threw the No. 5 Zhou Nai to kill him.

He is showing the operation, he wants the hidden wolf not to jump, if there are three prophets on the field, then the good guy will inevitably have the clothes of the hidden wolf being worn by the little wolf.

"I can't shoot the identity yet, when someone is infected by the breeding wolf, I can shoot the identity, because after that, I don't have to worry about being forcibly pulled into the wolf team."

"I'm definitely standing on the side of the 8th player, the reason won't be much, after all, the people in the front position have talked many times, and what they said is almost exactly the same logic as my side 8."

"Of course, there is a different point, that is, player 2 beat me to death, he did not have a plate of 4 or 6 wolves to play the board as an identity, and the police said that I was a wolf teammate with 6, and also said that I was a wolf, which was simply off the charts."

"I'm a hidden wolf, I'll put up with it, after all, I do have a jumping action on the police, but how can I get 4 or 6 wolves? Do you force the two of us to be a couple? ”

"Player 3 and player 12 are all playing rhythm disc 4 and 6 double wolves, especially 12, the police are talking about this logic, and their behavior and mentality are extremely poor."

"In my opinion, 3 and 12 are most likely wolves, unless they can shoot their identities, otherwise, they will honestly stay in the wolf pit and wait for the surface water to eat and resist the push."

"Player 6 I think he is a good person, and he can't make sense of a wolf, and the reasons you have all talked about have already been discussed, so I won't repeat it."

"11 and 12 don't look like they met, since I ordered 12 to enter the wolf pit, I have to recognize the 11th player, as far as the current situation is concerned, I can't match the 11 and 12 wolves."

"In fact, according to the pattern of the three wolves on the police, it is 2, 3, 12 three wolves, and the police open a wolf, and it feels like the No. 1 player, well, it's just a feeling."

"Actually, 1 and 10, I didn't hear which of them was a wolf and who was a good person, they all voted for the right side of the station, and they talked okay, I don't know how to beat them."

"I just follow my feelings, and now I feel that player No. 1 is a bit bigger, but when I get up tomorrow, maybe my mind has changed again."

"It's better not to play player No. 2 today, he's a wolf, I'm afraid it's just a hidden wolf, I want to come up with player No. 3, listening to her speak doesn't look like a good person, or out of 12, it's better to come out of a poison."

"Wait a minute, let's see how player No. 8 returns the ticket, I emphasize again, lest you don't understand, I'm not a wolf, I must be a good person, but I can't shoot my identity yet, so as not to be infected by the wolf."

"Speaking of which, I also explained why I gave the No. 5 player the operation of the check and kill show on the police, if you still don't believe me, and think that I must be a hidden wolf, all my logic now is quibbling, then I really have nothing to say, so be it, pass."