"In all cases, the 'intention of the adversary' is the most important. "Let's think about why Prince Doran Martell did such a thankless task...... After you led the Northern army out of the battlefield, did Dorne's troops leave as promised?"

"As far as I know, yes. ”

Egger propped his chin and pondered for a moment before looking up again: "I don't know about Doran Martell, but I have a little friendship with his brother...... Judging by Oberon's attitude when he mentions his brother, the de facto ruler of Dorne is not a fool. There must be a reason for him to do this, and it is best to review the situation and try to find out the true intentions of Prince Dolang. ”

"Good. Robb has been wrestling with this issue for the past month, but he has never thought about it from this perspective, and he is now attracted by Egger's way of thinking. Wanting to see what this guy could analyze, he followed what he said: "When King Stannis sent his army south, he sent a summoning order to Dorne, but there was no reply or response at that time. It wasn't until the critical moment when the royal leader and King Qin's army pressed the border and surrounded the Storm's Rest Castle that Dorn suddenly emerged from the south...... Completely ignoring the king's strict orders, he sent troops close to the flank of the king's army without declaring war, leaving Stannis completely unable to concentrate on attacking the castle. At the same time as this series of events was taking place, the northern army was holding back the rushing Riverbend Army to the west of Storm's Rest, and after a stalemate after some fighting, I received a letter from Prince Dolang. ”

Robb paused to take a sip and continued, "There's no doubt that the Dornish don't want King Stannis to defeat the rebels and take back Storm's End...... But puzzlingly, they also didn't follow Aegon Targaryen's directives. After the northern army withdrew from the battlefield and the king also led his troops to evacuate Storm's End, the Golden Regiment and their newly hired or newly formed mercenary regiment attacked in the direction of King's Landing, but the Dorne army returned home at the best time of the attack, and when the Riverbend Army was also heavily damaged and unable to cooperate, the rebels of Little Aegon were thwarted in their attempt to expand their sphere of influence, except for Storm's End and a small part of the castle village to the south were still under their control, the king still controlled most of the Stormlands and the entire royal territory. ”

......

Before he could finish speaking, Robb realized the advantages of Egger's way of thinking, and by looking back at the battle of Storm's End, he quickly discovered the blind spot in his thinking when he was thinking alone: "Although Riverbend still has enough strength to spare, the Tyrells who have been defeated again and again do not have enough prestige to fully exert it, and the Westside is still watching, but because the Kingkiller killed the Mad King, they will never stand under the True Dragon...... Dorne wasn't really in the fight. If you continue like this without assistance, whether that Aegon Targaryen is true or not, there is no chance of victory!"

"It's great you see, so quickly we came to the first consensus: the rebels have no chance of winning. Iger agreed: "But in this case, Dorn is not only involved, but not fully engaged...... What exactly do they want?"

"I'm also curious about this question. ”

"I can't think of it, it's still that way, we don't use our brains...... Let's take a look at what the Dornites got in this war. Iger straightened up and rested his arm on the desk where Eddard Stark had once sit...... It's the master who makes these strategies, but what does Dorn get out of this series of operations?"

"What did you get?" Robb said hesitantly, undisguised in confusion, "I think...... Doesn't seem to get anything?"

"Either it seems, or it doesn't get anything, and even has to bear the cost of military salaries and food and grass...... A fool would do such a detrimental thing to others, but we ruled out the possibility that Prince Doran was a fool at the beginning. Egger dragged on for a few minutes, carefully recalling the original plot that seemed to have been read in his previous life, and he probably had a number in his heart, and he could reveal the answer: "After ruling out a series of possibilities, then there is only one answer left The Martell family does not want to get anything from it, but to prevent themselves from losing something in the form of sending troops." ”

What to lose? Robb became more and more incomprehensible, thought about it, and asked for advice anyway, so he simply put down the northern guardian shelf in front of the people, and played the role of a student who humbly asked for advice: "It's true that Dorne supported the Targaryen family in the war of the retainers, but that was a long way in the past. King Stannis is often questioned for being too selfless, but he is by no means paranoid enough to settle the Martell family by digging over old accounts from many years ago after he sits on the throne. What are they worried about losing?"

"Environment. Egg spat out a word, "To be precise, it's a chaotic environment: Dorne's overall strength is at the bottom of the Seven Kingdoms, and he doesn't have the ability to shake the whole of Westeros on a daily basis." If they don't send an army this time, King Stannis will break through Storm's End, expel or even wipe out the Golden Order, and then force Riverbend to submit or even change the world, and restore Westeros to the unity of King Robert's time...... Once the king sits on the Iron Throne, Dorn will have no other way out but to bend his knees and submit, they must have a plan, and they do not want to see the situation of the Seven Kingdoms return to the 'normal state', so they will muddy the waters at a critical moment. ”

"Aegon Targaryen is the nephew of Prince Dolang, and in order to prove that his identity is true, as long as Dorne supports him, he will inevitably give Dorne preferential treatment after ascending the Iron Throne...... What could be more profitable than to put your own nephew on the throne?"

"It's more profitable than pushing your own nephew to the throne. Iger asked, "What do you say?"

......

"Martell's own king?" After a few seconds of silence, Robb hesitated to guess. "But the Targaryen blood of this generation of Martell family members is so thin that it can almost be ignored, and the succession line does not know where to go...... No matter which country's inheritance laws are followed, it will not be the turn of the Dornites to sit on the Iron Throne. ”

"The Martell family itself is not qualified to touch the Iron Throne, but what if the Martell family marries the last Targaryen?"

"The Last Targaryen?" Robb was shocked, there were two Targaryens in the world's sight, and only one of them could be married, and she happened to be the one who was recognized as "undoubtedly identified", and he immediately understood what Iger meant: "I see, they want to keep Westeros in chaos and weaken the power of potential war opponents...... When Daenerys Targaryen returns from across the Narrow Sea to marry her, she will gain the right to the Iron Throne as a husband!"

As soon as this speculation came out, all the previous troubles were solved, and Roberton suddenly felt enlightened: "No wonder! Dorne has always refused to really participate in the war, and he has not even publicly announced that Aegon Targaryen's identity is unwilling." But not only did they send troops to prevent Stannis from retaking Storm's End, but they also wrote to me asking for an agreement, they wanted to make Stannis sit on the throne unstable without losing their own strength! As long as the Martell family marries Daenerys Targaryen, and then openly denies the authenticity of Aegon Targaryen's identity, the most qualified to claim the Iron Throne will become the Dorn!"

"That's right, that's the easiest way I can explain everything. "Deducing conclusions from a single clue requires the ability to think outside the box from a terrifying leap...... Even Iger doesn't think he has the brain, but if he has an impression and understanding of the plot and characters, knows the result, and then pretends to make up a deduction, it is much easier.

The doubt on Robb's face had faded, and only shock remained: "I have to inform King Stannis of this suspicion, I must not let Dorne sit back and reap the benefits so easily!"

"Don't let Dorne sit back and reap the benefits...... This instinctive reaction is understandable, but what are you going to do?Besides, how are you going to explain to the king the basis for your guess of Martell's intentions?And even if he knew, how would he respond, and would it be possible to declare war on Dorne?"

"This" Robb was speechless, and his shocked expression changed back to tangled. He had only heard of Egger's cleverness before, but now he had experienced it firsthand, and when he had no doubts, he looked at him again, his eyes inquiring: "Could it be that even if I know the true intentions of the Dorn, I still can't do anything?"

"I can't jump to conclusions, it's up to you. Iger shrugged his shoulders and pretended to be forced, and had to steer the situation in his favor: "Prince Martell has shown his attitude with practical actions, and I have no doubt that if the northern army goes south again, Dorn will also send troops north, it is true that they want to preserve their strength, but if necessary, most of them will not hesitate to join the battle." How to do this, then, will depend on the answers to the following series of questions. ”

The speaker swallowed, and Robb picked up the kettle on the table and poured a glass for the night watchman. Egger thanked him and took a sip unceremoniously: "The North and Dorne joined the war together, and both the king and the rebels were joined by fresh troops, did the advantage on the king's side expand or shrink? In other words: are you confident that you can regroup forces stronger than Dorne's army? If so, how can you ensure that the north is no longer threatened by outside forces during your departure? Neither the new Lord of the Iron Islands nor the Stranger outside the Fortress are easy characters to deal with. ”

2 is twice as much as 1, but 3 is only 1.5 times as much as 2...... It's a simple math: when both sides get new reinforcements, the advantage of the stronger side doesn't necessarily increase.

Of course, war is not simply addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division.

Robb didn't answer immediately, but lowered his head and pondered.

......

The more people who live in harsh environments, the more resilient they tend to be, which is one of the important reasons why the soldiers of the North are the most powerful in the Seven Kingdoms, but Dorne is not a good place either. Robb had never been there, but he could tell a rough idea of what kind of land it was by hearing about it: rocky, mountainous, arid and barren, none of which was a good word, and the Targaryen family had dragons that could still be conquered by marriage, and even the people of the north did not dare to take it lightly.

The first question Iger asked, Robb's answer was no.

No one can say what the overall strength of the North and Dorne will be, and they can only be known if they fight next to each other. But the main battlefield of this war is on Dorne's doorstep, thousands of miles from the north...... Counting the north, it has already fought with the west and the riverbend......

The size of the riverbend is really staggering, and the other half of Westeros is not without the power to fight back, and the confrontation between the two behemoths for the national honor cannot be divided in a short time. Going back to the war and launching Radorne at the dawn of winter will only make the balance of power between the two sides more balanced, and will not make much practical sense other than adding more capital to each other.

What's more, the taste of being thousands of miles away from home and almost being served in the old nest is enough to experience it once, and Robb really doesn't want to come again.

The answer is obvious, but Robb really hates the feeling of having to do what the enemy wants: "Is there no way to break the situation?"

"There is a decisive victory for one of the two sides, such as King Stannis taking Alive or killing Aegon Targaryen...... Or conversely, the war will end quickly. Other than that, the only thing left is to get the Westside back on its feet. Iger replied quickly without hesitation: "As for the plan to break the Dorn Martell family's plan to sit on the mountain and watch the tiger fight, it is difficult! Even if Prince Dorant openly announced his plans to King Stannis and Aegon Targaryen, the two sides would have no choice but to continue to fight each other. ”

Stannis is cautious and sophisticated in his approach and demeanor, and is highly knowledgeable, and is unlikely to fall into crisis even if he loses...... And the so-called Aegon Targaryen, who is under the impenetrable protection of the Golden Regiment, has not even appeared in public a few times since landing in Westeros, and it is a bit difficult to let these two key people have an accident and end the war...... I don't even dare to think about it.

The situation and the stakes, Iger had analyzed it clearly enough in an inducing way, and in the final decision, Robb did not ask the other party for ideas.

He gritted his teeth and hammered the table with a reluctant face: "Then I can only continue to declare my support for King Stannis to pacify the rivers and valleys, but at the same time do not send troops to the war, recuperate in the north, and wait for the best time to enter the war." ”

"Good idea, and you have a good reason in front of you. Egg nodded and smiled: "After you returned to the north, you immediately went north to the Great Wall to inspect the situation, and then found that the threat of the dead army to the north was too great to ignore, so you decided to stay in the north and not send troops south on a large scale until the threat of the ghouls was solved." ”

Robb raised his eyebrows: "That's a good idea......"

"More than that, I guess, in the secret letter from Prince Daolang to you, it only said that your army was required to withdraw from the battlefield, and did not mention that the northern border must withdraw from the war, right?"

"Not really. ”

"Then things will be much simpler, we will use the Yang plot against the Yang Scheme: hide at home for the winter, recuperate your spirits, and prepare for the return of Daenerys Targaryen, and at the same time, in order to appease the valley and the river, and to show your loyalty to the king, you must make the whole north work and unabashedly provide all the support you can for your allies, such as war supplies. It is conceivable: Dorne and Riverbend will support the rebels represented by the Golden Regiment in a similar way...... But the three parties on the opposite side, each with their own thoughts, will never be able to cooperate as smoothly as long-term allies like the four northern regions. 2k reading network