Chapter 010: USD/JPY
Monday, October 1.
When Lin Zuhui was waiting for the elevator, he saw that Guan Jiahui was also about to go out, so he took the initiative to greet him: "Miss Guan, morning!" ”
Guan Jiahui was stunned for a moment, and then said, "Do you know me?" ”
"Of course I know, big star! The clouds of "The Frog Prince" are fluttering, right? ”
Of course, this is flattery, and Guan Jiahui at this time is only a small role.
Guan Jiahui saw Lin Zuhui flattering herself, and asked curiously, "What do you do?" ”
This is the character of liking rich people in her bones, Lin Zuhui can imagine that if she says that she is a salaryman, she may not even want to say hello to herself in the future.
"Doing investment business!"
Guan Jiahui was a little suspicious, she saw that Lin Zuhui was in his early 20s, and he didn't look like a boss.
"That's amazing!"
After coping with one sentence, there was no follow-up.
She felt that Lin Zuhui was not particularly rich, and he was a little rich boy when he died;
But that kind of rich boy can have a few dollars in his hands, and he can't rely on them to help.
The second generation of bubbles is not as good as the first generation of bubbles of wealth!
Lin Zuhui didn't continue to speak, after all, he just wanted to soak others, and he had to weigh his own money, which was enough to ask others a few times.
......
27 Queen's Road, China Walk Building.
This building was the key to Li Chaoren's rise, when HSBC bought the old Chinese Bank building and chose Li Ka-shing's Cheung Kong as a partner to demolish and rebuild it. Li Chaoren also lived up to expectations, and in just two years, he spent 250 million yuan to build a modern first-class building for HSBC.
Shen Bi, the head of HSBC, was very optimistic about Li Chaoren's ability, which laid a good foundation for the later transfer of Hutchison Whampoa shares. Otherwise, just based on the good words of the charter king, how could HSBC easily give that kind of good thing to Li Chaoren.
The Chinese Bank was important to HSBC because the HSBC building needed to be rebuilt, and a replacement headquarters building had to be found. Today, HSBC's headquarters are still in the Chinese Bank, and the rebuilt HSBC Building will not be ready for use until next year.
Lin Zuhui walked into the building and came to the foreign exchange department of HSBC to explain his intentions.
Li Jie, a Chinese clerk, received him and said, "Mr. Lin, because the delivery locations of foreign exchange transactions are overseas, our bank stipulates that we only accept transactions with a transaction amount of more than 500,000 Hong Kong dollars. ”
Lin Zuhui nodded, and took out a deposit receipt of 700,000 Hong Kong dollars from HSBC from his bag, which suddenly surprised Li Jie, it turned out to be a rich second generation!
It was only after the mid-80s that foreign exchange trading entered the era of computer trading, and the daily trading volume rose sharply from $70 billion to $6 trillion.
Today's foreign exchange transactions are required through banks and foreign exchange dealers around the world; Then it has a foreign exchange transaction settlement system, and everyone makes deliveries by telex, telephone, etc.
Putting the deposit slip back in his bag, Lin Zuhui said, "Can your bank provide me with 20 times leverage?" ”
Speculating on foreign exchange is not as high leverage, as it is better to speculate on stocks, so this is particularly important.
When Li Jie heard this, he reminded: "Mr. Lin, if it is 20 times leverage, as long as it fluctuates by 5%, you may go bankrupt...... We need to inform you of the risks involved! ”
Lin Zuhui listened carefully to Li Jie's advice, without the slightest impatience, and after listening, he said: "It's okay, I'm just playing, this money is trivial to me!" ”
Li Jie said helplessly: "Okay, I'll call our manager, I need a simple interview, mainly to sign the risk notice." ”
These are normal procedures, just like when the GEM first came out in the previous life, I had to go to the securities company to sign some risk notices.
The manager is also Chinese, named Li Hongming.
When Lin Zuhui passed and signed various agreements, Li Hongming handed him a business card with both hands and said: "Mr. Lin, I will be your account manager in the future, if you have any questions, you can contact me at any time!" ”
After all, foreign exchange trading is still the preserve of a few people in Hong Kong, and every customer is an important customer of HSBC's foreign exchange department.
As far as Lin Zuhui knows, since her husband's death, Mrs. Li seems to have sold the soda factory and some properties, and then went to speculate in foreign exchange; As a result, the soda industry was sluggish, and she made a lot of money by speculating in foreign exchange, so she was very famous in the circle of Xiangjiang.
"No problem! I've been keeping an eye on the USD/JPY exchange rate lately, but I haven't made up my mind when to enter the market yet. ”
Li Hongming nodded and said, "You can often come here to pay attention to the real-time price, and then make a careful decision." After all, basically no one dares to use 20 times leverage, maybe that money is just pocket money for you, I still advise you to decide carefully. ”
"Don't worry! My money didn't come down the drain either. ”
Historically, since the beginning of 1985, the yen began to appreciate sharply, and the people of Japan have since started the journey of buying and buying overseas; Purchased 14 office buildings at Rockefeller Center and 70% of LV...... In the end, he almost bought the whole of the United States and Canada.
Because of this history, Lin Zuhui has studied the foreign exchange chart of USD/JPY in those years, and knows that the highest point was 262 points at the beginning of 1985, and then fell to about 160 points in less than two years; Later, of course, it continued to fall, and in the early 90s it was only about 80 points.
If he had shorted USD/JPY from 262 in early 1985, he would have to leverage 50 times, because it was a sure thing.
But before that, he wanted to go long again, not only to increase the principal, but also to show his strength with the foreign exchange department of HSBC, so as to get 50 times leverage.
At present, the USDJPY is 246 points, that is, 1 US dollar is 246 yen, and there is still 16 points to go long from 262 points; But because he is ready to leverage 20 times, if he buys now, then this period falls below 234 points, and he may liquidate his position.
He thinks the best place to buy is 241 points, which is more secure.
Of course, there are risks, but if you analyze them based on time, space (points), etc., you have a greater chance of success.
After all, the buy point is 241 points, and the liquidation needs to be below 229 points, which is a full 33 points away from 262 points. If you add in the fact that the buy-in time is at the end of October or the beginning of November, reaching the 241-point level, the hope of victory will be as high as 70%, because it is impossible to fluctuate so much in time.
He even vaguely remembered the chart before 262 points, and there were no big fluctuations, which increased the hope of success by two percent. With such a big win, he decided to take a gamble!
In short, Lin Zuhui is not in a hurry to start, he is just waiting for an opportunity.
If you don't have a chance, you'd rather not start and wait to short USD/JPY later, which will be 100% successful. According to the expected investment, it should be possible to achieve 30 times the profit in a year and a half, and 16 times the profit in a year.
And the 150,000 stock speculation funds are a last protective barrier for themselves, and it will not be a problem to turn to 200,000 by the end of the year; If something happens to the long USD/JPY, the money will be used to short USD/JPY so that you don't lose your bottoms.
The lesson of the previous life is profound, the poor can make a last stand, and the rich will always have to leave a way out for themselves.
If the USD/JPY long is successful, he will not only have a large amount of short capital, but also be able to take out some of the funds to step into the real industry.
That's what he wants!
After all, just speculating in stocks and foreign exchange, he has completely space in time, and he is almost like an unemployed vagrant, which is simply wasting his time.