Chapter 473: How difficult it is to prosper the country

"Have you done the math twice? What is the accuracy rate? Chen Weidong was a little surprised, he thought that Zhao Gong was in such a hurry, there were some technical problems that he needed to come forward to coordinate, but he didn't expect it to be about weather prediction.

"It's about 90 percent accurate!" A researcher from the meteorological team said that we used the Tiandao simulator to repeatedly calculate eight times in the virtual world, and also exchanged views with colleagues from the South China Meteorological Bureau, and finally we agreed that this snow disaster is very likely to occur, and its coverage is very wide, and when the time comes, it is likely to affect five or six provinces in central and southern China. ”

Li Gonggong was the leader of the group, and he was afraid that Chen Weidong would not realize the seriousness of the matter, so he made some additional additions.

Among all the research departments of the company, the meteorological team belongs to the kind of fringe departments, and its usual work is to bury itself in collecting data and conducting various meteorological analyses.

Very few commercial tasks are involved.

Because of this, in a private enterprise with a strong business atmosphere such as Infinity, it is difficult for them to have the opportunity to reflect their self-worth.

Therefore, this time, the Tiandao system warned that there was a snow disaster, and they rushed to report to Chen Weidong as soon as possible.

It's just that because they have never been to the general manager's office, and they are afraid that it will affect Chen Weidong's work, they brought Zhao Gong from the mechanical department to report together.

After listening to this, Chen Weidong fell into deep thought.

In his memory, there was indeed a rare heavy snowstorm in the south during the Spring Festival in 2008.

As a result, traffic was paralyzed, widespread power outages, shortages of supplies and houses collapsed in many areas.

Even his hometown of Akalin had a power outage during the Chinese New Year and could only light candles.

So, he immediately got up and dialed the phone number of the municipal office, explaining the situation succinctly.

Director Li was a little skeptical after receiving the call.

Now it is the height of summer in South China, and the outdoor temperature has exceeded 40 degrees Celsius, even if it is the end of the year, the temperature will drop, but Yangcheng, the capital of Guangdong Province, even the coldest time, has an average temperature of 9-16 °C.

The probability of snow is almost zero, which is somewhat alarmist.

However, he still didn't dare to be careless, and immediately asked the secretary to postpone a few meetings and rush to Infinity Company.

On the way here, he thought a lot, and even thought that Chen Weidong might be joking with him, and maybe he wanted to give him the green light for something else.

However, given the scientific rigor of Infinity, they shouldn't joke about it.

Now that he has heard from the researchers of the meteorological team in person, he has a 90% accuracy rate, and he has to pay attention to this matter.

"We certainly hope that this forecast is wrong, but I think the government needs to prepare for the worst."

Chen Weidong poured him a cup of honeysuckle tea to relieve the heat, and said: "Actually, what I'm most worried about is the traffic problem. ”

"How?" Director Li's face became solemn.

"In the Pearl River Delta region, there are tens of millions of foreign populations, and if traffic is interrupted due to snowstorms during the Spring Festival, many returnees will not be able to pass normally and can only gather at the train station to wait."

"When the time comes, there is a good chance that the crowd will gather more and more, and the scene will become uncontrollable"

Chen Weidong did not continue, and some words were just enough.

During this period, people were very homesick, and they worked hard for a year outside to reunite with their families at the end of the year, and take a look at the changes in their parents, wives and children, whether they were fat or thin, and whether they were healthy.

This has become almost the only belief that sustains their wanderings.

Therefore, no one wants to give up the opportunity to go home, and even if they are stranded at the train station, it is difficult to be evacuated.

"It's really likely to happen." After hearing this, Director Li fell into deep thought.

Although he is not from the south, he is very familiar with the traffic situation in the Pearl River Delta, and even in January and February of each year, the railway department is always overstretched.

If something unexpected happens and the traffic is disrupted, the number of people stranded at the train station will definitely explode to a very frightening level.

When the time comes, it will be very difficult to maintain order.

But as a city manager, he also has concerns that acting too early can cause unnecessary panic, and that reacting too slowly may miss the opportunity to respond.

Therefore, he needs to be thoughtful in order to make the most reasonable decision.

In addition, since the "snow disaster" has such a wide scope, he must report it, and in the end, it depends on the meaning of the above.

The meteorological team on the side got inspiration from the conversation between Chen Weidong and Director Li.

They began to explore how to input variables such as the flow of people and the trajectory of activities into the Tiandao system in order to predict major events that may occur in the future at a more macro level.

After some consideration, Director Li decided to take a compromise approach.

When he was ready to go back, he summoned the heads of relevant departments, made emergency plans in advance, purchased a batch of support materials sufficient to supply millions of people, and kept the news strictly confidential.

At the same time, he also hopes that the researchers of the meteorological team will continue to pay close attention to the weather changes and report to him as soon as there are new predictions.

He decided to brake statically, both to be prepared and not to overreact so as not to cause unnecessary confusion.

Meanwhile.

After Chen Jie was discharged from the hospital, he finally started his bottom-buying plan.

He first commanded his fund traders, and teamed up with Infinity Securities to buy infrastructure-related sectors such as construction, transportation, electricity, and raw materials.

Then, the value of those "high-performing stocks" that were wrongly killed because of the stock market crash was revalued and positions were opened in batches.

The net inflow for 12 consecutive trading days has pulled the Shanghai Composite Index from around 2,700 points to 3,200 points.

Before the National Day, it brought a real wave of "red envelope market" to shareholders.

More importantly, the global financial crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has caused many investors and institutions to withdraw from the U.S. stock market to avoid risks.

After going around in circles in the global capital market, these outflows quickly set their sights on the "safe haven" of A-shares.

The influx of foreign capital has caused the sentiment of the A-share market to heat up again, and it has come out of a small bull market.

Mid-October.

After fierce bargaining.

Lehman finally found a suitable "White Knight" for itself.

Chase Manhattan Bank has successfully repelled a number of international institutional buyers by successfully acquiring Lehman's 1.2% stake in Infinity.

The price they pay, in addition to $2.8 billion in cash, is to take on the task of helping Lehman divest its toxic assets.

After the completion of the transaction, the Rockefeller consortium's stake in Infinity rose to 10.2%, making it the fourth largest shareholder. (Formerly Chen Jie)

After the disclosure of this trading plan, it caused a huge stir on Wall Street.

On the one hand, the news that Lehman escaped ascension and successfully survived his life was beyond everyone's expectations.

On the other hand, the vast majority of people believe that the acquisition of Chase Manhattan Bank is at a premium that is somewhat high.

As an Asian fintech company, Infinity has developed rapidly in recent years, but now has a market value of HK$1.4 trillion, and the subsequent growth space is limited, and it is difficult to make a breakthrough. (A lot of Western technology is still dominant.) )

A 1.2% stake, in the context of today's financial crisis, is simply not worth that much money through large transactions.

Not to mention helping Lehman deal with those toxic assets that are a headache.

This acquisition is likely to bring down Chase Manhattan Bank, which has always had a stable performance.

Goldman Sachs' current CEO Lloyd Bellencfan, when asked by the media about related questions, also jokingly said, "I'm afraid there will be one more bank that the Fed will save this year." ”

However, at a time when many institutions on Wall Street were not optimistic about the acquisition.

John Rockefeller Jr., who was already old, was unmoved, and even laughed at these people, not understanding the true value of the deal.

The discussion did not last long.

Because the end of October is the node for listed companies to release their third quarterly reports.

When Infinity announced its third quarterly report, the eyes of investment institutions around the world had to focus on this young company that had only been established for ten years.

According to the report, Infinity's cumulative total revenue in the third quarter was 125.8 billion yuan, and the net profit was 45.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 226%.

The day after the data was released, Infinity's stock price soared 13%.

The Hang Seng Index surged 4%, the Shenzhen Component Index soared 7.2%, and more than 500 stocks in the two cities rose to the limit.

After the close, a number of leading brokerages have expressed their bullish views.

Some institutions even said: "This is the strongest voice of China's economic recovery after the financial crisis!" ”