Chapter 122: Psychological Profile
The elder brother felt that he was surprised, but the four Paladin did not seem to be surprised at all.
Lao Zhou smoked a cigarette and said, "Let's talk about it in detail." ”
Guan Tong nodded and said, "If I say my reasons, you can interrupt and refute or add them at any time." ”
Seeing that everyone nodded, Guan Tong took out a piece of paper and said, "Let's talk about the target of the infringement first." In these cases, the amount of robbery was less than 10 yuan, a total of five, and the clothes of these victims were not rich people according to the case files.
For example, this one was wearing the uniform of the No. 3 Seasoning Factory when he was killed. But at the time of the incident, it had been five months since the bankruptcy of the No. 3 Seasoning Factory, and the whole city knew about it. How can such a person be a victim of a robbery?
There is also last night's case, the victim was holding a small purse made by herself, and at first glance she had no money, no pager or mobile phone on her body, not even jewelry, who would rob her? As a result, there were only four yuan in the bag, and it was still the change that I called to find. Therefore, the murderer did not choose the target of the assault based on money as the basic criterion.
There are also places where the crimes occurred, almost all of them are shantytowns and slums. Of course, there may be reasons such as no monitoring, lack of street lights, and chaotic public security, but he doesn't want to think that in some newly built garden communities, his hand's income may be equivalent to a hundred times in this kind of place.
In contrast, the few imitation perpetrators who have been cracked, they are basically near the garden community or high-end hotels, shopping malls, I look at it, the highest robbery amount is nearly 60,000 yuan at a time, which is already several times the amount involved in the case of this real criminal. Therefore, this person is not running for money, but for people. ”
No one spoke, and even the senior brother, who disagreed very much in his heart at the beginning, nodded again and again.
Seeing that everyone agreed with his statement, Guan Tong continued: "If we look at this case according to the serial murder case, it is very clear.
The location of the crime is mainly shantytown.
The target of the crime is a middle-aged woman in her thirties to 50s with average economic conditions.
The modus operandi hit the back of the head with a hammer.
The time of the crime, the weather is sunny, there is no record of the crime on rainy and snowy days, and there will be no two crimes a day. ”
Lao Zhou thought for a while and said, "You mean, we use the serial murder case to reconstruct this case?" ”
Guan Tong said: "Zhou Touer, it's not that I want to reconstruct this case, but that this case should have been a serial injury case." If there is a problem with the qualitative characterization, it is impossible to correct the direction and thinking of the investigation in the future. ”
Lao Zhou thought for a while and asked Ah Chai: "What do you mean?" ”
Achai said: "I agree with what Guan Tong said, it is impossible to rob a pregnant woman who has no money. This can only happen to a psychopathic killer. ”
Lao Zhou looked at Liu Pengcheng again, and Liu Pengcheng said: "The so-called qualitative is only our own detection ideas, and it does not affect the work of others. ”
What Liu Pengcheng meant was that this qualitative and qualitative change in the detection thinking caused by the qualitative was their group's own business, and there was no need to communicate with the Shencheng City Bureau. Even if they make a mistake, the detection of the city bureau will not have an impact.
Lao Zhou thought about it and said that tomorrow everyone will reformulate the detection plan.
The elder brother's heart was struggling, and his intuition and professionalism told him that Guan Tong's idea was correct, and this was indeed not a robbery, but a perverted serial wounding case. However, years of practice made him feel that the city bureau's practice of sending more police officers to squat was correct, because many cases were solved in this way.
The next day, the Paladine group did not move, but continued to meet.
At the beginning, Lao Zhou agreed with Guan Tong's point of view, thinking that this was a serial perverted and wounded case. Use this as a qualitative character to solve the case. Lao Zhou was just about to assign the task of solving the crime, but Guan Tong spoke again: "Brother Zhou, Xiaoliu, Ah Chai, I made a psychological profile of the criminal last night. Listen? ”
Lao Zhou frowned: "Guan Tong, although we do have a senior FBI consultant in the United States who told us about the mental profile, but what he said was covered by clouds and mountains, Lao Mei didn't teach us real skills." ”
Guan Tong smiled: "You don't think that mental profiling was invented by the FBI, in fact, to put it bluntly, mental profiling is just a kind of psychological analysis, not even one, it can be regarded as a practical means of psychoanalysis." I didn't learn psychology for nothing, and I can see what psychological profiling is all about when I look at their cases. ”
Achai said: "You talk about it first, let's discuss it later, it's not you who learned it alone." ”
Guan Tong glanced at Lao Zhou and didn't object, so he smiled and said, "Then I'll try." ”
As he spoke, Guan Tong picked up a piece of white paper full of words and said, "Suspect A, gender, male." Age, 32-45 years old. ”
Lao Zhou said: "Wait a minute, the surviving victims all said that the criminal was about 35 years old." ”
Guan Tong said: "This is normal, the victim is in a vulnerable state, and subconsciously feels that the criminal is brave, strong and young. Therefore, there is generally a bias in age perception. ”
Achai said: "That Smith in the United States seems to have talked about this, about the problem of the victim subconsciously making the age of the offender younger. ”
Lao Zhou nodded: "I also remembered, you continue." ”
Guan Tong said: "This person should be between 35 and 45 years old, with the experience of living and working at the bottom, but then there was a leap in life and work, and then he received setbacks, hating women in their thirties and fifties. So his frustration should be related to women in their thirties, as well as in their fifties. Life is more embarrassing now, but I still like to wear suits and hate blue and dark blue. Have a certain level of cultural literacy, and often go in and out of large office buildings. ”
Senior brother is almost going to listen straight, what is this? Fortune teller? But how did she know the criminal's eight characters?
Lao Zhou said: "Guan Tong, Di Tingge shouldn't be too busy now, you can tell the judge about your thoughts and let her help you review them." ”
Guan Tong said with a smile: "I think so too, after all, it is the first time to use the mental profile for actual combat, and I am still a little unsure." ”
As he spoke, Guan Tong picked up a few pieces of his blank paper and went back to his room to call.
Lao Zhou asked Ah Chai again: "Do you know where he is?" ”
Guess: "I probably know that I can lock the vicinity of the three bus stops, and I can't get any closer." ”
At this time, the senior brother had almost decided that these people were fortune tellers.
What does it mean to know and not know where he is?
Now that you know where he is, what are our squatting brothers? Fools?
Lao Zhou said: "Let's talk about it." ”
Achai said: "At first, I used the location of the first case as the initial origin to locate it, but later I found out that it was wrong. The location of the later crime is not correct. So I redid the dynamic positioning. The final positioning result is the three-station range from Tiexi Street North Station to Xiaolingqiao Station. ”
Lao Zhou asked again: "Do you think that the criminal's means of transportation is a bus?" ”
Achai said: "Yes, there are three main reasons. First, all the crime scenes were in the vicinity of the public station. Second, if it is a night crime, there must be a night bus passing by at the bus stop near the crime scene. Third, all crime scenes can be reached by reversing once at these three stations, and more than half of them do not have to reverse. ”
Ah Chai said, handed the open "Shencheng Bus Tourism Map" to Lao Zhou, which was densely filled with arrows in the direction of the route and various marks and annotations.
For the first time, the elder brother felt that they really didn't seem to be telling fortunes.