0151 Soybean Market
"China's soybean market is very closely linked to the international market."
Wu Bin said: "Because most of my country's soybeans rely on imports. ”
Seeing that Chen Cheng didn't understand very well, Wu Bin continued: "From the perspective of soybean consumption structure, China's soybean import dependence is serious, and in 210 years, China's soybean consumption accounted for 73.7%, and domestic soybeans accounted for only 26.3%. And it is also in the midst of rapid import growth. ”
"We buy so many soybeans, what are the main consumptions?" Chen Cheng asked.
Wu Bin said: "The main thing is oil extraction and soybean meal. ”
"With the improvement of China's social and economic level, the quality of life of the people has also been steadily improved. The chickens, ducks, pigs, cattle and sheep we eat every day have to eat feed.
Sugar-rich corn and protein-rich soybeans are the main ingredients of feed, so China's current choice is to try to ensure the planting of corn and import a large number of soybeans. ”
"So why import soybeans and not corn?" Chen Cheng asked.
"Because foreign soybeans are genetically modified soybeans, most of my country's imports are also genetically modified soybeans. Genetically modified soybeans with high yield, excellent quality and low price have a very competitive advantage, and the vast majority of the international soybean trade market is genetically modified soybeans. ”
"Oh." Chen Cheng nodded.
This involves not only the growing demand for food in our country, but also the barriers of agricultural technology.
"Why don't we grow genetically modified soybeans on a large scale? Such a high import ratio is equivalent to being pinched by the throat. Zhao Feng on the side asked.
Wu Bin smiled bitterly: "You're right. Although soybeans are not the main food crops in our country, they are a commodity that can affect our food safety. If the soybean market is disrupted by foreign countries, China's animal husbandry industry will bear the brunt. ”
Then, he added: "But this can't be helped." The red line of 1.8 billion mu of cultivated land must be guarded!
Although China has a large land and abundant resources, the arable land area is small, and the current cultivated land area is about 2 billion mu.
Taking this year as an example, China imported 90 million tons of soybeans, if the current yield of soybean varieties in China is 110 kilograms per mu, to plant 90 million tons of imported soybeans needs to increase the planting area of 810 million mu of soybeans.
Soybeans are "land-intensive" crops, which are harvested once a year and have a low annual yield per mu. If our country produces these soybeans ourselves, it will crowd out the same planting area of high-yield crops.
Coupled with environmental resources such as agricultural water, this is definitely beyond our reach. With the current soybean varieties and technical level in China, and at the same time, labor costs are also rising, and domestic production is difficult to meet demand, so soybeans can only be imported in large quantities.
Secondly, the imported genetically modified soybeans are of good quality and have a high oil yield. The total cost of GM soybeans processed into soybean oil is 300 yuan per ton lower than that of non-GMO domestic soybeans. ”
"Are genetically modified products safe?" Chen Cheng couldn't help but ask.
Wu Bin laughed and said: "With so many imported genetically modified soybeans, like you, many people are also worried about whether the safety of these soybeans is guaranteed.
You can rest assured that we attach great importance to the safety management of GMOs. We have conducted a strict safety evaluation of imported genetically modified soybeans, including basic information, nutritional evaluation, toxicological evaluation and allergy evaluation, and the soybeans and their products that have obtained the import safety certificate are safe.
In addition, the use of genetically modified soybeans imported by us is limited to processing raw materials. In addition, we have enacted a law that the import of agricultural genetically modified organisms (GMOs) used as raw materials for processing cannot be repurposed, and it is strictly forbidden to grow them in the country.
So far, China has not approved the import of any kind of genetically modified grain crop seeds into China for planting. ”
Chen Cheng nodded reassuringly.
After saying these introductions, Wu Bin frowned slightly and said to Chen Cheng: "So we think that this change in the international soybean market is likely to have a huge impact on the domestic soybean market next year, and I want to come to you to think of a way." ”
He looked at Chen Cheng.
Chen Cheng did not avoid his eyes, but fell into his own thoughts.
Since the Ministry of Agricultural Development has come to him, the situation must be more urgent. But he was still not sure if this was the ghost behind the four major grain merchants.
Romance
"Have you determined that there is a shadow of Big Grains behind the abnormal international soybean prices?" Chen Cheng asked.
Wu Bin nodded slightly.
"Only they have the ability to manipulate the price of a certain food commodity on such a global scale."
"All four major grain merchants are involved?" Chen Cheng asked.
"I don't know this yet, but I believe the Ministry of Commerce will find out soon."
Chen Cheng thought about it and told him about the process of meeting ABM Howard that day.
Wu Bin thought for a while and said, "There is still such a thing." It seems that their quick move may have something to do with your conversation that day. ”
"Am I doing something wrong?" Chen Cheng asked tentatively.
Wu Bin laughed directly.
"You're overthinking. The four major grain merchants will not have any contract spirit, they are mercenary, even the farmers and consumers in the ugly country themselves are also exploited by ABM and cannot survive.
Your failure to accede to their invitation is wise and in the best interest of all the people of China. Because at least you have kept the foundation of the development of agricultural technology in China.
You must know that going to an ugly country to be a scientist is not such a beautiful thing.
Life is free, life is not free. ”
Chen Cheng nodded and said, "Their faces, I can see them clearly from the last SSE paper incident. ”
Wu Bin sighed: "It's easy to see their faces, but it's too difficult to surpass them in technology!" ”
"It is precisely because they have enough technical reserves that they dare to do whatever they want with impunity.
Take genetically modified soybeans, for example. If it is only used for by-product processing after planting, can we plant it in Huaxia? Of course I can plant.
But we can't plant.
Because once the domestic market finds that the cultivation of genetically modified soybeans is very profitable, then in the future, genetically modified soybeans will occupy a large area of arable land for other food crops. As a result, our country's food security has become uncontrollable.
On the other hand, according to the consistent style of the ugly people, once a country uses their seed varieties on a large scale, then it is not far from being controlled by them with prices.
In order to force some countries to admit defeat, they directly cut off the seeds of the second crop, causing farmers in that country to miss the best planting time in a large area, and the grain was not harvested. ”
Chen Cheng understood what Wu Bin meant.
Genetically modified soybeans, like hybrid rice, use new seeds every year, and the cultivation and supply of seeds are controlled by the four major grain merchants.
This is really someone pinching their necks, and the four major grain merchants can kill them anytime and anywhere.
At that point, food security will be an empty word.