Chapter 614: The Law of the Dynastic Cycle

This is the law of historical cycles, a matter of dynastic longevity.

Even if it is calculated according to the reconstruction of the Ming Dynasty by Emperor Shizu, the new Ming Dynasty has existed for two hundred years now.

It's already in the middle and late dynasties.

This kind of question is more sensitive, if it is an ordinary prince, even if he dares to answer, most of them will have concerns.

I am worried that I will be considered immature if I say it is good, and I am also worried that I will make my father unhappy if it is bad.

Compared with their biggest advantage, Judy Lanthanum has fewer concerns.

Judy Lanthanum is also more optimistic:

"The world of the Ming Dynasty has entered a stable state, and it will remain stable for a long time in the future, which is an unprecedented prosperity in the true sense.

"Since the end of the World War, the total population of Daming has maintained a rapid growth rate for more than 40 years.

"In the coming decades, it will continue to maintain a rapid growth rate.

"The total population of the world is less than three billion.

"This amount is still far from the upper limit of the carrying capacity of the land in the whole world.

"Even if we evaluate it according to the current level of science and technology and the current living standards of the people, the land under heaven can carry 10 billion people.

"If each woman has five children in the future, it will take 60 years to reach the number of 10 billion.

"And in the next 60 years, our technological development will not stop.

"Our ability to access food and supplies will continue to grow.

"Sixty years from now, when the population really reaches 10 billion, the carrying capacity of the land may already exceed 20 billion.

"So I don't think I need to worry about the population now.

"As for the dynastic cycle law of the classical era, Erchen doesn't think there's any need to care too much about it now.

"Because you, Father, are the de facto Founding King.

"The Ming Dynasty, which truly unifies the world, has just been established in your hands, and now it is in a thriving state......

Zhu Jingyuan glanced at Zhu Di Lan after listening.

From the perspective of unifying the world on a larger scale, it is indeed not wrong to say that he is the de facto founding king.

But the foundation of this new Ming Dynasty was laid by Emperor Shizu two hundred years ago.

Counting from Emperor Shizu, to his father's generation, there are exactly six generations of emperors.

Like Qin Shi Huang, he is the "Yu Lie of Fen VI".

Although this sentence is more imposing, it is not a good word for the "creator".

Cursing the emperor's son is Qin II, and cursing the new dynasty II to die?

Most of the courtiers and literati of the Ming Dynasty can think of this sentence, but no one has ever said it publicly.

Zhu Jingyuan waved his hand lightly and said:

"But counting from Emperor Taizu Gao, the Ming Dynasty has been nearly five hundred years old so far.

"Even since Emperor Shizu Guangwu rebuilt the society, it has been more than two hundred years old.

"The basic framework of this imperial court, after all, was still built back then, and it is still different from the real new dynasty."

Judy Lanan savored the meaning of her father's words, and felt that her father did not mind being regarded as a pioneer.

This is also a matter of course, he is indeed unifying the world on a larger scale.

From the perspective of the world now, the inheritance of his old Zhu family as a monarch was founded by Emperor Taizu Gao.

But after that, all monarchs still ruled only in the mainland and its surroundings.

It wasn't until his father that he really unified the world completely.

Therefore, his father can be regarded as the "first ordained king" in the new level.

So—

The temple number of his old man's family after a hundred years can not only be called an ancestor but not a ancestor.

It can even be Gaozu!

The ancestor of the great ancestor began to establish the foundation, and the ancestor was the first to receive the mandate of heaven.

However, for the statement of the new court, my father gave a negative evaluation.

I don't know if my father is being modest, or if he really thinks that the current Ming Dynasty is not a new dynasty.

Other princes may continue to speculate about what kind of mentality Zhu Jingyuan has.

Zhu Di Lan directly continued to insist on her opinion:

"Father, under your rule, the Ming Dynasty has undergone another comprehensive renovation and reconstruction.

"The scale and magnitude are larger than the original Emperor Guangwu.

"In the classical era, when a new dynasty was established, from the perspective of the central court, of course, there was a new dynasty and a new atmosphere.

"But from the perspective of social assets and middle-level governance groups, this new atmosphere is only partially new.

"A large part of the stuff will be inherited directly from within the old dynasty.

"For example, in the process of being determined by the world, the original group of scholars and doctors who were directly integrated into it.

"The vast majority of the middle and grassroots managers of the new dynasty are probably the same as the original.

"It's just that the monarch has a powerful armed force, which can force the group of scholars to cooperate with the court, give benefits and improve efficiency.

"Therefore, the traditional group of scholars and doctors naturally hates military generals and even soldiers.

"Once they gradually gained the right to participate in decision-making in the new imperial court, they would instinctively suppress the status of military generals and soldiers, and improve the status of traditional literati.

"At the same time, if the classical dynasty continues to be peaceful for a long time, the overall combat capability of the imperial army will continue to decline.

"Over time, the monarch will not be able to control the group of scholars, and he will not be able to control the place.

"The military system of the Ming Dynasty was basically uninfluenced by the literati.

"Some of the military generals of the Ming Dynasty came from civilian students from the Military Academy, and some of them came from the traditional aristocratic families of the Ming Dynasty.

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"Civilian generals from military academies naturally don't need to be mentioned.

"The titles of the traditional nobles of the Ming Dynasty were originally subject to the assessment of succession, so they received sufficient military training and education since childhood.

"Even if corruption cannot be avoided completely, there is no shortage of military capabilities.

"In the past few decades, the Ming Dynasty has fought two consecutive wars with tens of millions of people, and the combat effectiveness of the army itself is still extremely strong.

"Military concepts and military equipment have also undergone two rounds of comprehensive innovation in the past few decades.

"The traditional army of various branches of the armed forces fighting in isolation has been transformed into a new army of mechanized air-ground cooperation, and has quickly entered the era of guidance.

"Before the outbreak of the Taixi War, the Ming Dynasty doubled its military massively, and after the war, it was disarmed by half on a large scale.

"The Ming army has just completed a round of comprehensive blood reshaping in this process.

"So the military system of the Ming Dynasty can be regarded as new.

"My father created the Jiuqing and Dayu management system, and also greatly adjusted the criminal law, trial, and cultural management systems.

"In the last 40 years or so, the Ming Dynasty's territory has tripled, and the number of officials has more than tripled.

"Under the impact of a large number of new people, the old bureaucratic and network system has naturally broken down and rebuilt.

"So the political and bureaucratic system of the Ming Dynasty can also be considered new.

"Under the direct guidance of my father, the technology of the old industries such as steel, shipbuilding, military, and machinery in the Ming Dynasty was comprehensively updated.

"There has been an order of magnitude increase in scale.

"New technologies and industries such as aviation, petrochemicals, semiconductors, and mobile communications have been developed and expanded rapidly.

"It has reached or even surpassed the scale and status of the previous traditional industries.

"The entry of the same large number of new members has naturally rebuilt the entire economic system in two rounds.

"So the current economic system of the Ming Dynasty can also be regarded as new.

"Under the continuous rule of my father for more than 40 years, at least two rounds of comprehensive transformation and upgrading have been completed.

"Now the proportion of the old elements in the new system of our Ming Dynasty will actually be lower than that of the new dynasty of the classical era.

"The current Ming Dynasty is a de facto nascent imperial court......

Zhu Jingyuan had slightly different thoughts about Zhu Dilan's analysis, but he didn't say it in the end.

Just glanced at Judy Lanthanum again and pulled the topic back to the direction she really wanted:

"Don't talk about him left or right.

"I wonder what you think of the periodic collapse of the classical dynasties.

"Is there a plan for how to prevent this periodic collapse?"

Zhu Di Lan doesn't have to think about this question on the spot, because this is a question that most princes have thought about countless times a long time ago:

"Erchen felt that there were two main factors that led to the periodic collapse of the dynasty.

"One is that the carrying capacity of the land is limited.

"The productivity of the classical era was slow to increase and could not keep up with the natural growth of the population in the heyday.

"But now that the speed of technological development has increased dramatically, the carrying capacity of the land is no longer the most important issue.

"At the very least, it will significantly delay the arrival of the carrying capacity limit.

"Another factor is the declining ability of the imperial court to control resources and population.

"There are two most important aspects to this question.

"The first is the problem of system building, there is no well-planned resource recovery system.

"Since the Zhou Dynasty, the vast majority of classical dynasties, since the founding of the country, have been continuously circulating from top to bottom.

"Without a sustainable recycling mechanism, it is certainly impossible to keep the system running forever.

"This problem has been basically solved by His Majesty Emperor Shizu, his old man and your father, the Emperor.

"The second is the corruption of the management system, which has led to the decline of overall management efficiency and a series of bad problems caused by it.

"No matter how theoretically perfect the system of the imperial court is, it must be implemented by personnel and institutions.

"When the management efficiency of the organization itself declines, a good system may be counterproductive.

"If disaster relief is not effective, people may become refugees.

"When the news spreads that relief supplies have been embezzled, it may even turn refugees into rebellions.

"Erchen feels that corruption cannot be completely avoided objectively.

"People who hold power are naturally inclined to place people they know in important places where they can influence.

"Maybe some people don't want to be corrupt, but they feel that the people they know are more reliable.

"But over time, the network of relationships will become thicker and thicker.

"Favoring people and relationships over practice is corruption.

"As the dynastic system grows, so does the breadth and depth of corruption.

"It's like a complex machine, if it runs for a long time, it will naturally accumulate all kinds of wear and dirt.

"So it should be like maintaining control over the population and resources through the production resource recovery system.

"Establish a system similar to the daily monitoring, regular maintenance, and regular overhaul of machine management, and strive to curb and clean up the corruption that continues to breed."

When Zhu Jingyuan heard this, he asked directly:

"Don't just talk about empty words, talk about the details of the method, how to monitor, how to overhaul, how to overhaul."

Judy Lanthanum continued to speak:

"Starting from the examination method, the system of inspection of the daily functions of officials has been extended, and the Internet office system is now fully rolled out.

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"All daily affairs must be recorded in the system, and they can be queried.

"These systems can be seen as day-to-day monitoring.

"But daily monitoring can't directly solve the problem of exposure, just chasing

Trace the basis for when the problem occurred and the cause of the problem.

"So we need to have a regular maintenance system.

"Including the full implementation of the system of liuguan, the system of liuguan once every three years, a maximum of two terms in one place, and a system that must be transferred to other places.

"In addition, there are regular inspections by supervision agencies such as the Imperial History, and the system of restricting the promotion of meritorious ranks.

"There is also the practical training of princes, grandchildren, princes, and nobles, which is also an additional supervision system that staggers the inspection period.

"These systems can be regarded as regular maintenance systems.

"But this kind of routine routine maintenance does not solve the deep-seated problems that have accumulated over a long period of time.

"As the organization grows for more time, the laziness of personnel and the system of human relations will continue to grow slowly.

"Corruption in institutions and personnel will spread, the efficiency of the institutions themselves will decline, and supervision will gradually become a formality.

"So we need to have a system that really overhauls it on a regular basis.

"When the descendants inherited the unification, the officials of the central court synchronized the practice of large-scale generational change.

"It led to a comprehensive replacement of the top ruling group of the imperial court, and incidentally produced a large-scale replacement of middle-level officials.

"Erchen thinks that this tradition can be regarded as the beginning of an overhaul.

"But it's still just the beginning, and it's far from a truly complete and thorough overhaul.

"For machines, overhaul usually means a massive dismantling and that the machine itself has to come to a complete shutdown.

"But of course, the imperial court can't be completely shut down.

"Like many machines that can't be stopped, we can only replace them with spare machines and overhaul them on a rotational basis.

"At least two management systems can be established to maintain relative isolation between the personnel of the two systems, or even form a certain degree of hostility.

"Let the two systems supervise each other, change them regularly and take turns to govern, and completely disrupt the comprehensive verification after they step down.

"However, this is still only comprehensive, not complete.

"Even if all the officials have changed, the specific implementers of the policy at the most basic level are still there.

"According to what the sons learned during the training, the number of officials far exceeds that of officials.

"The vast majority of officials do not have the opportunity to become officials, and most of them work in several positions until retirement.

"At the same time, the vast majority of grassroots officials are locals.

"These grassroots people are often the ones who are corrupt in government affairs.

"Therefore, the system of officials should also be completely reformed.

"First, local non-grassroots officials, as well as all overseas officials, are in the same place as officials.

"Grassroots clerks need to consider the accent of the people, and the officials from other places may not understand the local people.

"I am not familiar with the various customs and taboos of the local people, and it takes a long time to get used to it.

"Non-grassroots officials do not need to have direct contact with the people, and the people of overseas immigrants can generally speak the official language, so there is no need to consider the language issue.

"Second, for local grassroots officials, the first thing to do is to implement a regular proportional compulsory elimination system.

"Regardless of the evaluation, they must be directly dismissed after a certain period of service, because their evaluation is not necessarily true.

"Those with good evaluations can choose to be transferred to a different yamen, or they can step down at the same time as the poor evaluation.

"Officials with good evaluations can apply for reappointment after a certain number of years of resignation.

"This will make it impossible for the staff of grassroots organizations to be stable for a long time, and the staff of grassroots organizations will always be replaced.

"It will also make people who have no intention of serving in other places choose to become officials in the first place.

"Daming has enough readers, and after eliminating those who are unwilling to go to other places, we should still be able to recruit enough clerks.

"The third is to gradually implement the system of non-local appointment of local grassroots officials.

"The primary school education in Daming is free, and the people who can't speak official are basically the elderly

The number will continue to decrease.

"In fact, more and more people who come to the yamen to do things will be able to speak official language, and with this process, grassroots officials can gradually serve in different places."