Chapter 325: Hungry World
22, 10/27.
Day 11 of the locust plague in South America.
In the past 11 days, international grain prices have skyrocketed to varying degrees.
Soybeans rose 173% to $1,537 a tonne; Corn rose 133% to $725 per tonne; Wheat rose 131% to $806 per tonne; Rice rose 138 percent to $811 per tonne.
As the four core categories of the international grain market, prices have skyrocketed.
What's even more frightening is that the increase continues.
The world's major grain futures research institutions, after combining the data of all parties, can easily find that in the next 6~12 months, the global food gap will reach an astonishing 180 million tons.
Based on the data of 21 years, it is compared to the same period.
The Far East needs about 160 million tonnes of soybeans and corn, mainly for oil and feed, and this demand gap can be partially managed.
This was followed by 139 million tonnes of imports from Dongying and 115 million tonnes from Mexico. Egypt imported 113 million tons;
Java imported 100 million tons; Italy imported 82.91 million tons; Spain imported 80.59 million tons; South Korea imported 79.3 million tons; Netherlands imported 75.96 million tons; Algeria imported 70.81 million tons.
It was one of the world's top 10 food importers in 21 years.
And this year, due to natural disasters and rice blast, Tianzhu is about to change from a grain exporter to a grain importer.
Brazil and Argentina, which are also core producers of grain exports, will see soybean and maize productions significantly reduced due to locust infestations.
The America and Maple Leaf countries in North America, as well as Lucia and Central Asia, have entered the autumn and winter season at this time, and there is no time to replant and make up for the production capacity gap in South America.
Now only Australia can barely squeeze out some of its capacity.
Of course, in the midst of this flurry of bad news, there is also barely good news, that is, Java does not need to purchase food internationally this year, because Homo sapiens has its own food reserves.
But just because Java doesn't have to import 100 million tonnes of grain doesn't mean it's any better for other regions, because Java is the world's largest producer of palm oil.
To be precise, Homo sapiens is now the world's largest palm oil producer, and is expected to produce 92 million tonnes of crude palm oil this year, accounting for about 94% of the world's total palm oil production.
The regions that import the most palm oil are Tianzhu, the European Union, and America.
Now the price of food is soaring, and the price of edible oil and oilseeds is also soaring.
It can be said that it affects the whole body.
America can be exported, but there is a huge international gap of up to 180 million tons, and even the ABCD controlled by America cannot be taken out at this time.
After all, the South American production area that has been hit hard by the locust plague is ABCD's grain production base.
In order to make up for the losses in South America, ABCD will naturally not release stocks, but will instead contribute to the fire, causing food prices to skyrocket further.
……
Hong kong.
As a free port and financial port, it was hit hard by the North American stock market crash, and the world food crisis that followed began to affect prices here.
Tsim Sha Tsui district of Hong Kong.
In a roast meat restaurant, the owner and chef Niu Dawang is teaching his son Niu Yinghua how to mix various sauces.
At this moment, his wife Li Caiyun scolded and walked into the store with a lot of seasonings and vegetables.
"Mommy, what's so angry?"
Li Caiyun replied helplessly: "The price of things in the wholesale market has risen again, and if it continues like this, our lunch box will also rise, otherwise we won't be able to do it." ”
"Another price increase?"
"Shallots cost 17 pieces a pound, and sand ginger costs 38 pieces a pound."
Niu Dawang frowned, and he hurriedly called a few old friends of the wholesaler.
"Hey, Lao Jiang, it's me Dawang."
"Oh, it's Dawang! Want chilled chicken? Recently, the price should be mentioned a little. ”
Niu Dawang's heart tightened, and he quickly asked, "How much is the price increase?" ”
"15.3 yuan a catty."
"So much?"
The wholesaler on the other side of the phone smiled bitterly: "It's not that I want to raise the price so much, but now the purchase price is too high, and if I don't raise the price, I will lose money." ”
The two chatted a few words, Niu Dawang hung up the phone worriedly, and called the wholesaler who wholesaled white-striped duck, chilled goose, frozen pork and pig offal.
Without exception, wholesale prices have increased by about 40~70%.
"No, we'll raise the price too."
"Old bean, how much is appropriate?" Niu Yinghua hurriedly asked.
Niu Dawang took the pen and calculated an account in the small book, and then determined the price increase: "The three-piece boxed lunch mentioned 65 yuan, the roast duck leg rice is 55 yuan, and the barbecued pork rice is 60 yuan......"
"Isn't that going to go up too little?" Niu Yinghua has also read books and knows that this price increase cannot offset the price increase of raw materials at all.
But Niu Dawang shook his head: "Just make a little less, it will rise too much at once, and the guests might as well buy vegetables and go back to cook by themselves, maybe in a few months, the price will drop again." ”
"Hehe......" Niu Yinghua smiled dryly.
He doesn't think that prices in Xiangjiang will fall in a few months, but these days, he has seen a lot of reports and analyses on the Internet about the stock market crash in North America, the locust plague in South America, and the rice blast in South Asia.
According to the current trend, it will be difficult for prices to return to their previous levels within a year and a half.
But what can he do, as the general public at the bottom, what kind of financial crisis, food crisis, local war, etc., he has no ability to change at all, he can only watch everything happen.
Just as he was thinking about it, he wiped the glass window of the store.
A TVB reporter appeared not far away and was interviewing a passing citizen.
An aunt with a bubble noodle hairstyle carrying various plastic bags was stopped by a female reporter.
"Auntie! Do you want to go home grocery shopping? ”
Aunt nodded: "Yes!" ”
"How are prices in the wet market lately?"
Hearing this, the aunt looked pained: "Alas! Not to mention, the prices of raw fruits and vegetables, eggs and pork have risen recently, and if this continues, everyone can't afford to buy vegetables. ”
The female reporter hurriedly asked: "Compared with before, what is the increase now?" ”
"Before, three baby cabbage cost 15 yuan, but now it is 21 yuan, and pork used to cost 18 yuan a catty, but now it has risen to 27 yuan a catty...... "The more the aunt said, the more excited she became.
After the female reporter interviewed the aunt, she interviewed the surrounding shops.
According to interviews, rising prices have basically become a common phenomenon in various industries.
After all, rising food prices mean that the cost of living will also rise, while it is difficult for ordinary people's wages to rise with it.
What is even more terrifying is that at this time, in the midst of the global economic crisis, a large number of financial institutions and small companies in Xiangjiang cannot withstand the impact of the economic crisis, and there are signs of bankruptcy or layoffs.
This double squeeze is the prevailing situation in the entire Far East.
Xiangjiang is just a microcosm of this.
Of course, although the Far East is a lot more difficult, at least gritting your teeth can endure the past, at most you can eat less meat, eggs and milk, and it is barely possible to fill your stomach.
For example, Dongying and South Goryeo, they also have the support of low-cost grain from America, which barely stabilized the price of staple food.
As for the other large regions of the Far East, they themselves have a large amount of grain production and strategic reserves, and the problem of food is not big, that is, there is a shortage of feed and cooking oil.
And the most difficult area at this time is actually Tianzhu's side.
Compared with last year, the amount of grain produced is about 45 million tons, and even if the Tianzhu people are hungry, they need to import at least 20 million tons to barely ensure that there will be no large-scale famine.
Now in the world, all parts of the world are rushing for grain, and Tianzhu does not have enough American knives, so he can't buy much grain at all.
At this time, in the face of internal and external difficulties, Bodhidharma made a difficult decision.
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(End of chapter)