Chapter 387: Strategic Conflict
It is not unreasonable that Yongzhou can be designated as the capital by the former Han Dynasty.
Yongzhou west of Liangzhou, can effectively deter the Hu barbarians north of Liangzhou, Emperor Wu of the Han Dynasty set off here, the north of the Xiongnu, drink Ma Hanhai, at the same time hollow out the Western Regions, the establishment of the Silk Road.
But as Emperor Guangwu regained the old rivers and mountains and fixed the capital Luoyang, Yongliang's status gradually became less important.
Especially Liangzhou, because of the weakening of the national strength in the later period of the imperial court, was once semi-openly abandoned by the Han court.
If Liu Bei's group only attacks Yongzhou, regardless of Liangzhou, God knows what Liangzhou's reaction will be.
Yes, because of the strategy of the Han Dynasty in the previous hundred years, Liangzhou was in a state of semi-abandonment, which caused the people of Liangzhou and Haoqiang to deviate from the central court, and there is a high probability that they would not help Cao Pi attack Liu Bei's army.
But. What if?!
In the past few years, Guo Huai, the assassin of Liangzhou, has done a really good job in Liangzhou, not only roughly recovering the hearts of the people in Liangzhou, but also beating the Hu people around Liangzhou to worship him as a god. is basically equivalent to Ma Chao's prestige among the Hu people back then.
In case Guo Huai led the army to sneak attack the flank of Liu Bei's army and respond to the defenders of Guanzhong, then Liu Bei would not be able to attack Yongzhou with peace of mind if he did not solve Guo Huai in Tiaoliangzhou.
Again, the north of Yongzhou is Bingzhou, and the east is the Sili region, one of these two places is very close to the current Cao Wei's old nest Yecheng, and the other is the place where Cao Cao started, and Cao Wei's rule over these two places is very stable.
Even if Guan Yu can send troops to attack Nanyang or Xudu, he can contain the Cao army in the eastern Sili region, but what about the Cao army in the northern annexed state?!
On the one hand, Cao's army in Bingzhou could cross the Yellow River and directly support Chang'an, Guanzhong, and on the other hand, it could also make a detour to Liangzhou and raid the rear of Liu Bei's army.
To sum up, a direct attack on Yongzhou is a very risky plan for Liu Bei, and it is even possible to defeat Chang'an, which may not be able to hold it.
Zhuge Liang could not let Liu Bei take this risk, so Zhuge Liang insisted that if he wanted to fight Yongzhou, he must first solve Liangzhou and avoid fighting on two fronts.
And to solve Liangzhou, the most practical way is to take the Qishan Road to send troops and cut off Long.
The main road from Guanzhong to Liangzhou is in the middle of Longshan, and it only needs to occupy the cities near Longyou and control the Longyou region, so you can separate Guanzhong and Liangzhou.
At that time, Liu Bei led the army to attack Longyou, leaving enough manpower to control Longdao, so with the attitude of Liangzhou Haoqiang and the people towards the central court, as long as he could turn around and defeat Guo Huai, the assassin of Liangzhou, it would be possible to decide Liangzhou in a battle.
When Liangzhou is captured, on the one hand, it can rely on Liangzhou to obtain important strategic materials and war horses, and on the other hand, it can also prevent the Cao army of Bingzhou from crossing the Yellow River into Liangzhou, laying a solid foundation for the next attack on Yongzhou.
This set of strategies is actually the strategy of Zhuge Liang's first Northern Expedition in history.
Yes, Zhuge Liang in history, during the first Northern Expedition, did not think about conquering Chang'an, his goal was to break Longlong, first capture Liangzhou, and then Xu Tuyongzhou.
So to a certain extent, Wei Lao Pifu's Meridian Valley conspiracy is actually contrary to Zhuge Liang's strategic purpose.
This is the reason why Zhuge Liang is really unwilling to adopt.
Not to mention that Wei Lao Pifu's Meridian Valley conspiracy only exists in the ideal, and there is no possibility of actual operation at all.
Well, it's a bit far.
In short, Zhuge Liang's strategy is like this, but Liu Bei. He was really a little anxious, and Cao Cao's death was not a small stimulus to him.
Therefore, Liu Bei was reluctant to adopt Zhuge Liang's strategy, he still wanted to take a risk, learn from Han Xin, the Marquis of Huaiyin in the former Han Dynasty, and directly take the Chencang Road and march into Yongzhou.
But the problem is that Cao Wei is not a fool.
When he first fought Hanzhong, Cao Cao left a large army in Chencang Dao, and now Chencang Dao is defended by Cao Zhen, the general of Cao Wei's relatives.
In the direction of Chang'an, Cao Hong led 50,000 soldiers to defend the town, and the number was not a few.
Let's not talk about how difficult it is to fight Chen Cang Dao, even if Liu Bei can break through Chen Cang Dao and enter the Guanzhong region, he has to face Cao Hong's army of 50,000, and there is no certainty of victory.
Therefore, Liu Bei is not sure whether his strategy will work.
In this case, Zhuge Liang knew that he couldn't persuade Liu Bei to change his mind for a while, so it was better to take advantage of Liu Bei's own hesitation and concerns now to hold a military meeting and listen to everyone's opinions.
Zhuge Liang believes that as long as a military conference is held, everyone should choose to support their plan.
After all, Liu Bei's plan was a bit too risky.
Liu Bei hasn't reached the time when he is old and confused, and no one has stabbed Liu Bei Er in this time and space, Guan Yu and Zhang Fei are alive and well.
Therefore, Liu Bei finally decided to convene a military conference.
This time it was related to the country's future strategy, so Liu Bei sent people everywhere to invite the generals in the army to come to Chengdu to discuss matters.
Not only did he send someone to Xiangyang to invite Guan Yu to come to Chengdu to discuss matters, but he also sent someone to Di Dao to invite Ma Chao, to Bajun to invite Zhang Fei and Chen Dao, to Jiangzhou to invite Zhao Yun, to Wuling to invite Xu Shu, and to Nanzhong to invite Zhang Xi. Everyone gathered in Chengdu in April to discuss important matters.
In Xiangyang, after receiving Liu Bei's invitation, Guan Yu asked Guan Pingtun to guard Fancheng, and Xiangyang City was headed by Ma Liang, supplemented by Fei Yi to deal with major affairs, and rushed to Chengdu by himself.
Generals from other places also suspended their work and went to Chengdu.
Zhang Xi also set off immediately after receiving the summons, and after more than 20 days of hurrying and hurrying, he finally arrived in Chengdu in early April.
This time Zhang Xi returned to Chengdu, so he didn't have to borrow to live in Zhuge Liang's house.
After all, Zhang Xi is now the governor of Yuzhen, and he will basically live in Yizhou in the future, and even Sun Shangxiang has come to Chengdu, and Liu Bei will not be stingy with a mansion.
After Zhang Xi went south to quell the rebellion, Liu Bei arranged a separate mansion for Sun Shangxiang and others, and let Zhang Xi's wife live in it.
When Zhang Xi arrived in Chengdu, he still wanted to go home to see his wife and children first, recognize his new home by the way, and see where the door was opened, but he didn't even see the door, so he was pulled by Pang Tong and went to have a small meeting with Zhuge Liang, Fa Zheng, Xu Shu and others.
It's not like a small group.
The main reason is that these people who returned to Chengdu from other places may not be very clear about the current situation, so the people in Chengdu will be responsible for explaining to these generals and strategists who returned to Chengdu from other places, otherwise when the military discussion, Liu Bei talked about the plan, and the generals who returned to Chengdu from other places had black eyes, how could they make suggestions? !
On the side of the civil officials, Zhuge Liang, Fa Zheng, Pang Tong and others are in charge, and on the side of the military generals, Huang Quan and Wu Yi and others are in charge.
After figuring out the current situation and Liu Bei's own thoughts, both Zhang Xi and Xu Shu fell into deep thought.
To be honest, Zhang Xi and Xu Shu are more biased towards Zhuge Liang's plan, because Zhuge Liang's plan is more feasible, while Liu Bei's plan requires the cooperation of risk and luck.
As a strategist, they don't like to see the uncontrollable side of things, even if they are marching and fighting, strategists want to control the situation more within their control.
When this kind of need depends on the will of God to decide everything, it is better to have as little as possible.
But then again, both Zhang Xi and Xu Shu can understand Liu Bei's anxious mentality.
There are some things that are easy to make people sad, and Liu Bei really doesn't have much time.
This troubled era has lasted too long.
And Liu Bei, since he started fighting against the Yellow Turban Army at the age of twenty-four, he has been stumbling all the way, and now he is sixty years old, and the world is still three points, and he can't see any chance of change in the short term.
Now there is finally such an opportunity, although it is not the best time, but Liu Bei still wants to seize it and fight hard.
After all, Liu Bei doesn't know what the next historical trend will be, whether God will give him a better chance, and his desire to fight is completely understandable.
Zhang Xi didn't know how to evaluate Liu Bei's idea, sometimes it was really Zhang Xi who felt that Liu Bei took too long.
As far as Zhang Xi knows, the founding monarchs of all dynasties, from the official start of the army to the unification of the whole country, the longest is Zhu Yuanzhang, a full thirty-five years. But Zhu Yuanzhang's foundation is even worse than Liu Bei, he really started a bowl, and Liu Bei is sponsored by big businessmen.
So Liu Bei is in a hurry now, Zhang Xi can really understand.
Therefore, Zhang Xi first asked Zhuge Liang if there was a way to take care of both.
It is to try to avoid possible risks in Liu Bei's strategic planning, and try to amplify the possibility of Liu Bei's strategic success.
In this regard, Zhuge Liang thought about it for a long time, shook his head slightly, and still couldn't think of a good way.
Liu Bei's strategy, first of all, is to get out of Chen Cangdao, which is already a bit whimsical.
At that time, Han Xin was able to achieve miraculous results when he came out of Chen Cangdao, because everyone did not realize the role of Chen Cangdao at that time, and Han Xin, who was the first to discover and use Chen Cangdao, thus established an immortal miracle.
But now, everyone knows that Shu can take the Chencang Road when entering Guanzhong, how could Cao Wei not defend this place?!
In addition, when Cao Cao withdrew from Hanzhong before, he had already let Cao Zhen lead his troops to guard Chencang Road, which shows that Cao Wei has long been aware of the risks of Chen Cangdao.
And even if it can be easily broken through, in fact, it is not a good idea to go to the Chen Cang Road now.
Zhuge Liang, who has been thinking about the Northern Expedition for many years, has actually already found someone to survey the terrain on the spot, and the current Chencang Road is no longer the Chencang Road in the former Han Dynasty.
Han Xin was able to take Chencang Road because at the end of the Qin Dynasty, from Hanzhong to Chencang Road, he could use the Hanshui waterway to transport grain and grass. Four hundred years ago, Chencang Road was near the water, and there was a big lake behind it, called Tianchi Daze.
This Tianchi Daze connects the Western Han River and the Jialing River, because this lake plays the role of storing water and buffering the water flow, and the Han River and the Jialing River flowing through Tianchi Daze flow slowly, Han Xin can use the Han River to transport grain and grass upstream.
However, the Wudu earthquake two hundred years ago caused the topography of Chencang Road to change, and the flow direction of the water veins changed.
Now from Hanzhong to Chencang Road, if you want to transport grain by water, you have to transport it upstream, from the turbulent Jialing River, and it is impossible to transport grain by water under such conditions.
Therefore, to transport grain from Hanzhong to Chencang Road, you can only take a narrow plank road to transport grain, if you wait another year or two, the cement factory in Qiqi County is completed, and it may be better to use cement to build roads to transport grain, but now send troops to attack Chencang Road, the transportation volume is a very big problem.
In other words, even if Liu Bei can lead his troops to break through Cao Zhen's defense and walk out of Chencang Road and enter Guanzhong, the supply of grain and grass will become very difficult, and it will be difficult to supply the needs of the army in the first time.
And what's even more terrifying is that as long as Cao Zhen can hold on to Chencang Road for more than two months, that is, Liu Bei will lead the army to defeat Cao Zhen and enter the Guanzhong Plain out of Chencang Road, and it is very likely that he will immediately face the siege of Guo Huai in Liangzhou and Cao Hong in Chang'an.
At that time, it will not be so easy to return to Chen Cangdao.
Unless Liu Bei can quickly break through Chen Cangdao in less than a month, he will directly attack Chang'an before Guo Huai and Cao Hong can react. Otherwise, this time out of Chen Cangdao, it is very likely to be a fiasco.
(End of chapter)