With Shen Tujia's low and then powerful exhortation, or 'warning', the faces of Tianzi Qi and Chao Cuo only sank completely.

- Especially Tianziqi, who squatted for a long time in front of the circle with the word 'Wuguan', got up again, and glanced roughly around Wuguan, as well as the route that the rebels might choose to march;

After confirming that Shen Tujia's remarks were definitely not 'alarmist', there was no trace of relief on Tianziqi's face······

"The minister guesses that what Neishi and His Majesty want should be that the rebels will first gather troops in the Kanto region, in their own feudal country, and then set off;"

"On the way to Hangu Pass, when he saw the city, he attacked it; When he saw the army of the court, he attacked the army of the court. ”

"Just marched westward without hurry, and finally gathered in the capital of Liang State: outside Suiyang City, and then with the Liang soldiers under the command of King Liang, kill one and lose both?"

While thinking about it, Shen Tujia's hoarse voice came into his ears, causing Tianzi Qi to quietly turn around;

But seeing the edge of the huge map, Shen Tujia didn't know when, he had already picked up a bowl of warm water offered by the palace people;

While drinking, he continued as if chatting: "The breaking of the Wuguan is the worst possible consequence of this rebellion triggered by the "Cutting Domain"; ”

"And the prediction of Your Majesty and Neishi is the best result of this rebellion."

"As the saying goes: if you don't win, you lose first."

"—Since Your Majesty has made up his mind to force the Kwantung princes to rebel through the "Cutting Domain", then we must not only see the best results, but also the worst results."

"According to the real situation of my Han family now, I will think about it: can you ······afford this worst result, Your Majesty?"

Hearing this, Tianzi Qi finally looked at the huge map for the last time, and then turned around with a gloomy face;

walked up to Shen Tujia's side, sat down slightly annoyed, and also took a bowl of warm honey water;

While taking a small sip, he cast his gloomy gaze on the map, which had taken his place, and was lying on the map, groping left and right, looking at Chao Cuo.

On the side of Tianzi Qi, Shen Tujia also completely opened the conversation box, and did not notice Tianzi Qi's strange gaze;

After adjusting his breath again, he continued to talk about his thoughts on the rebellion triggered by "Cutting the Domain".

"The minister said that the military pass may be broken - this is the worst consequence;"

"Neishi said that the decisive battle will be in Suiyang, the capital of Liang - this is the best result."

"And between those two best and worst outcomes, there are many possibilities."

"These possibilities won't be as bad as the Wuguan break;"

"Naturally, it won't be as ideal as 'Decisive Battle of Suiyang'······"

I saw Shen Tujia take a deep breath, and slowly put the water bowl in his hand back on the table in front of him;

Turning his head sideways, he saw Tianzi Qi's gloomy gaze, Shen Tujia, but he only smiled bitterly.

"Although the minister said so, it may make His Majesty think that the minister is disrespectful to Your Majesty."

"But the minister, I still have to say;"

"-For the things in the battle array, the minister still knows more than His Majesty······"

After tasting and stopping, when Tianzi Qi's face stiffened slightly, Shen Tujia hurriedly changed his head;

Looking not far away, he was still lying on the map 'inspecting the terrain'.

"Or should it be said: In terms of the ability to govern the country and formulate policies, Chen, a pawn born in the ranks, is not at all comparable to Jia Yi in the past and today's internal history."

"But if you talk about the understanding of the battle array, the place of life and death, the minister should still have more experience than Jia Yi and Neishi······

The words full of temptation caused Tianzi Qi to be stunned subconsciously;

When he saw Shen Tujia looking at him, the almost undisguised temptation, Tianzi Qi couldn't help laughing at himself.

Seeing this, Shen Tujia finally put his mind at ease, exhaled a long breath, and continued: "The biggest difference between the things on the battlefield and the things in the court is that the things in the court can be planned in advance; ”

"As long as the plan is perfect enough, when it comes to specific implementation, it can be carried out step by step in full accordance with the original charter."

"But on the battlefield, everything is changing rapidly······"

"Although before the war, both sides will also make plans, but most of the time, the plans made before the war can only anticipate one or two of the more critical ones among the ten things that are about to happen;"

"Therefore, in the course of the war, a general can only always strive to keep his situation in the most ideal position, and at the same time, he can think of as many less ideal situations as possible."

"Then, in response to these less-than-ideal, or even very undesirable situations, we will always respond and change."

As he spoke, Shen Tujia's tone gradually took on a little preaching;

But Shen Tujia didn't notice this at all, just looked not far away, finally got up from the map, lowered his head and walked back to Tianzi Qi's side Chao Cuo smiled faintly.

"And the internal history's "Cutting Domain" is actually the path of Yangmou."

"—by forceful means, by cutting the land of those great powers, to force them to rebel;

"Defeat this rebellion in one fell swoop, so as to solve the disadvantages of the clan princes and princes who are too big to lose and make the Kanto region unstable."

"However, as the minister just said: the breaking of the Wuguan is the worst result; The decisive battle in Suiyang is the best result. ”

"Between the two, there are many bad and bad results, which need to be dealt with by His Majesty one by one before the war."

"- For example: what if the Huns go south and intervene in it?"

"What should Zhao do if he joins forces with the Huns?"

"What should the rebels do if they attack Aocang in the Xingyang area, or even the arsenal in Luoyang?"

"What's more!"

"-If the rebels don't want to break through Suiyang at all, they don't want to attack Guanzhong;"

"And just turn the Kanto region upside down, and then come out with a 'row of rivers and rule', Your Majesty, what should I do?!"

As Shen Tujia woke up one sentence after another, Tianziqi's complexion became more and more gloomy with the naked eye;

Correspondingly, beside Tianzi Qi, his body trembled more and more violently, and he didn't dare to raise his head at all, and he looked at Shen Tujia······

However, Shen Tujia still has an indifferent, slightly grim look;

When he said this, he didn't forget to stop for a while, so that Tianzi Qi could digest and absorb his words.

After Tianzi Qi calmed down from his thoughts, Shen Tu Jia nodded slowly and continued: "Speaking of these, the minister inevitably thought of what Gongzi Sheng had said before. ”

"Gongzi Sheng said: It is easy to establish a society, but it is difficult to defend it;"

"This is not groundless, but because compared to the party that 'builds the community', you can act recklessly and concentrate all your attention on one thing, but as the party that 'defends the community', you have to take into account many aspects at the same time."

"It's like this rebellion that is about to break out;"

"The minister has raised many possibilities, and he has not even said all of them, and it is very likely that there are possibilities that the minister has not expected so far."

"But these possibilities raised by the minister alone require His Majesty to spend countless thoughts and use extremely large forces to guard against them;"

"What about the rebels?"

"Just choose one or a few of these possibilities and do it without hesitation."

"It's like in war, where the enemy attacks and we defend; The enemy had an army of 100,000 troops, probably attacking from one of the five directions; ”

"—and we, on the other hand, want to leave behind enough strength to withstand 100,000 enemy troops in these five directions······"

The words without hesitation finally made Tianzi Qi a little frightened, and subconsciously stretched out his hand and tore open the placket of his clothes;

After thinking about it for a long time, the Son of Heaven Qicai whispered a little distractedly: "Could it be that in such a rebellion, the chances of victory of the court are not as great as the rebels?" ”

But when he saw Shen Tujia hearing this, he only smiled with kindness, as if he heard his children and grandchildren, and asked himself beside him: Grandpa, grandpa, one plus one, why is it equal to two······

"Minister, tell Your Majesty more clearly."

"—Regardless of whether a rebellion breaks out or not, Your Majesty, you need to maintain a defense force of more than 200,000 people on the front line of the Great Wall;"

"And after the rebellion broke out, outside the Hangu Pass, that is, on the front line of Luoyang, Xingyang, and Suiyang, Your Majesty must also maintain at least 100,000 troops."

"Just now, after the minister reminded His Majesty, His Majesty had to send another 100,000 troops to garrison in the direction of Wuguan."

"In addition to the transfer of these troops, Your Majesty also has to use other means to ensure that the Huns will not participate in this rebellion."

"In addition, the grain, grass, and ordnance consumed by the soldiers and horses of all walks of life eating and chewing horses, rushing and mobilizing, as well as the national strength consumed by mobilizing soldiers and people;"

"Every extra day of this war is an incomparably huge consumption and burden for Your Majesty and the court."

"But compared with the court, the rebels don't have these doubts at all."

"—rebels, there is no need to guard against the Huns in the north;"

"-There is no need to guard against Zhao Tuo in the south;"

"On the contrary, whether it is the Huns in the north or Zhao Tuo in the south, it is likely to help the rebels and contain the court."

"Moreover, in terms of military rations and weapons, the rebels don't have to be too particular, they can fight wherever they want, and they can eat wherever they want;"

In the final analysis, it is still like what Gongzi Sheng said: the reason why it is easy to establish a community is because the establishment of a community is a process of destruction."

"The reason why it is difficult to protect the community is because it is a process of construction and maintenance."

"In such a rebellion, the court is like a bowl of water - to ensure that there are no loopholes that will allow the water to flow out at all times;"

"The rebels, on the other hand, are like a sword stab - you don't need to break the whole bowl at all, you just need to use all your strength to drill a hole in the bowl, and it's done······"

As Shen Tujia's low, gentle, and always stressful tone fell, the side hall of the Xuanshu Hall fell into a long silence.

What Chao Cuo was thinking in his heart was naturally what kind of change in the thinking of Shen Tujia's words would make the Son of Heaven Qisheng, and how he would explain this matter.

At this moment, the Son of Heaven is sweeping away the previous confidence that he had high hopes for "Cutting Domains" and was confident that the riots that were about to break out would be victorious;

Almost every time Shen Tujia said a word, Tianziqi's self-confidence was crushed by a point;

In the end, it was the Son of Heaven, and he couldn't help but be a little shaken······

forced himself to come back from his thoughts, and subconsciously swallowed his saliva, barely maintaining the dignity of the Son of Heaven;

Involuntarily opened his dry lips, and Tianzi Qi's determined gaze finally fell back on Shen Tujia's body.

"Since that's the case······"

"Then in the prime minister's opinion, in such a rebellion, what are the chances of the court winning?"

"-Seventy?"

"Or sixty percent?"

The apprehensive words made Shen Tujia shake his head and smile, raised his head full of embarrassment, and looked at Tianziqi's gaze, which couldn't help but be full of pain.

"Your Majesty may not know that there is such a saying among our warriors;"

"—If there is no more than seventy percent chance of winning a war, it should not take the initiative to start this war;"

"And if there is no more than 40 percent chance of winning a war waged by others, we should not fight for it, but strive for peace."

"As for this rebellion, in the minister's opinion, if the court still didn't pay attention to the problem of Wuguan until the rebellion broke out, then the odds of victory would probably be less than forty percent, or even less than thirty percent!"

"Even now, the minister reminded him that His Majesty will inevitably be on the premise that Wuguan is on guard, and the chance of victory between the enemy and us is only five or five;"

"The number of five or five, the victory or defeat, is also the reason why the minister feels frightened, and in the past few years, he has never dared to agree with His Majesty, and through the "Cutting Domain Policy", to force the anti-clan princes."

"—because of this war, there are too many variables, too big!"

"And the odds of winning in the court are really unrelenting······"

With Shen Tujia's last concluding speech, the faces of Tianzi Qi and Chao Cuo finally became dazed.

Especially in Shen Tujia's mouth, the eight words of 'five or five, two wins and two words' made the monarch and minister, the teacher and student, fall into a long stunned······

In the middle of the court, which is rich all over the world, in the face of the rebellion of the forces of the princes, the victory or defeat is five or five?

- Don't say that it is fifty, even if it is eighty percent, the Son of Heaven has to reflect and reflect: how can the princes of the clan have a two-percent chance of winning!

In the past, the reason why Tianziqi was so determined, and even did not hesitate to use the Taimiao incident to attack Shentu Jia in order to promote the "Cutting Domain" is precisely because: In the eyes of Tianziqi and Chao Cuo, if the rebellion breaks out, the chances of victory between the enemy and me must be ninety-one!

That's right;

In Tianziqi's view, the forces of the clan and princes can achieve a 10% chance of victory in the rebellion, which is already considered 'ill-intentioned', and there is a huge threat to the central part of Chang'an.

But today, when the two of them heard the sentence from Shen Tujia's mouth, 'Even if Wuguan is considered in advance, the victory or defeat is still five or five', the hearts of the two of them sank completely.

"Five-Five······

"Even back then, after Emperor Taizu Gao suffered the defeat of Pengcheng, the odds of winning in the face of Xiang Ji were by no means more than five or five······"

Wushen let out a murmur, and Tianzi Qi's gaze involuntarily fell on the side of him, trying to pierce his chin through the chest of Chao Cuo.

staring at the teacher's mistakes, I saw ten breaths;

Looking at the head of the inverted Chao, it is almost so low that it holds a ninety-degree angle to the front of the chest;

The gaze of Tianziqi who looked at it finally changed from the initial confusion to the gradual focus, with a hint of sharpness······

"Hiss~~~"

"Hoo ~~~~~~······"

Take a deep breath, force yourself to calm down, and slowly exhale that breath out again;

stood up and meticulously sorted out the clothes and clothes;

Seeing the Son of Heaven, he made a move that in the past, he always thought that 'I would never do this'.

"Prime Minister, teach me ······"

Looking at the eyes, he finally lost his blind self-confidence, and even disregarded the difference between the monarch and the minister, and said this sentence of 'teach me' from the Son of Heaven, Shen Tujia's face couldn't help but feel a little emotional.

sighed slightly, stretched out his hand again, and got up with the support of the palace people beside him, and saw that Shen Tujia was also like the genius of Tianzi Qi, tidying up his clothes, tidying up his face, and bowing to Tianzi Qi······

"Say something about the old and sell the old;"

"——Your Majesty, it can be said that the old minister has watched it grow up in this Weiyang Palace and in this Sanfu Land."

"Old minister, I never wanted to stop Your Majesty from doing what I wanted; I never felt that His Majesty's ability was worse than that of Emperor Taizong Xiaowen. ”

"The only thing that the minister is worried about is that His Majesty is young and vigorous, and he is in a hurry, and he will waste all the business and layout obtained by Emperor Taizong Xiaowen for more than 20 years······"

The words full of vicissitudes finally made the Son of Heaven enlighten his heart and give birth to the long-overdue respect for the founding father and the old minister of the Five Dynasties.

And when Shen Tujia said the next sentence, Tianzi Qi's senses for Shen Tujia finally changed drastically for the first time.

"Your Majesty, though, don't worry."

"Since the minister has promised that he will not prevent His Majesty from implementing the "Cutting Domain" policy, he will definitely keep his promise."

"From today onwards, to the day the rebellion breaks out, the minister will definitely use all his strength to increase the court's chances of victory to seventy percent of 'can take the initiative to start a war'."

"And right now, what Your Majesty needs to consider is probably the Hun envoy who arrived in Chang'an in about a month······"

"—For Your Majesty, this may be an opportunity to appease the Huns and ensure that in the course of the rebellion, the Huns will not go south and knock on the border, further complicating the situation··········"

Hearing Shen Tujia's statement, the Son of Heaven only had mixed tastes on his face for a while, and in the end, he still pursed his lips and nodded to Shen Tujia again.

After Shen Tujia returned the salute, the Son of Heaven Qicai stepped forward, naturally helped Shen Tujia's arm, and did not forget to ask: "······ the Hun Mission"

"Prime Minister, aren't you going to help me deal with it?"

A slightly suspicious remark, but Shen Tujia shook his head with a wry smile, and let out a long sigh full of sorrow.

"The doctor said that the minister's body can no longer be angry;"

"And the Hun envoy came to blackmail, and His Majesty wants to concentrate on cutting the domain, so he must swallow his anger."

"——If Your Majesty takes pity on the old minister, and doesn't want the old minister's blood to spill the Xuan's room, and die alive in front of the ministers and officials, as well as the Hun thieves, then don't be embarrassed and see such an outrageous thing······"

(End of chapter)