Chapter 386: Strategic Decision
We know where the enemy will come, and we know where and when we will come.
This is a very interesting precondition.
According to Zhou Yafu's opinion, the Huns will definitely knock on the border after the autumn of this year, and the first battle will most likely break out on the Mayi-Wuzhou line in Yanmen County, Daibei, and the time must be after the autumn harvest and before the winter.
From this point of view alone, it seems that the Han dynasty can start to deploy troops from now on, stationing heavy troops on the Mayi-Wuzhou line, in order to prepare for dealing with the Huns, who are 'bound to knock on the border'.
But Zhou Yafu also did not forget to mention: the Huns are also very clear about their intentions, and they will basically not break away from the speculation of the Han family.
Well, here's the fun point.
- I know you're coming, you know I know you're coming, so you're not coming?
Even think a little deeper: I know you're coming, you know I know you're coming, I know you know I know you're coming······
"Hiss~"
"Don't you think that the Huns will be taken by surprise?"
"——Since the Marquis believes that the Huns will definitely knock on Wuzhou, why won't the Huns go the other way, first exclude the Mayi-Wuzhou line, and instead attack places that are not very suitable for attacking?"
After a short period of thought, Liu Sheng forced himself to free himself from the logical thinking of the mille-feuille, and bluntly raised his doubts.
The reason is simple: this spiral-like logical thinking of mille-feuille is simply unable to draw a definite conclusion.
It's like rock-paper-scissors, where the opponent says, 'I'm going to rock' before you start.
This means that if the opponent wants to produce stones, then we should produce cloth;
But this is most likely a trap for the opponent, who will most likely deceive us to make the cloth and then make the scissors himself.
If the opponent comes out with scissors, then we should shoot out the stones;
But if this is also a trap for opponents······
Just keep thinking, keep thinking, this will be an infinite loop of dead ends, simple thinking, it is impossible to tell whether the other party is in the third, fifth, seventh, or directly in the atmosphere.
So Liu Sheng quickly gave up thinking and directly initiated professional consultation with Zhou Yafu.
Because Liu Sheng is very sure: these factors that he can think of, Zhou Yafu is even more unlikely to ignore.
Liu Sheng was very curious about how Zhou Yafu still came to the conclusion that 'the Huns will definitely come to attack Wuzhou Sai' under the premise of 'knowing that the enemy will come', and in that mille-feuille-like thinking logic.
In the face of Liu Sheng's question, Zhou Yafu also showed his 'professional attainments' at the pinnacle······
"Your Majesty may think that the Huns will make a fool of the real and the real, and follow the usual habit to choose the direction that most surprises my Han family to attack."
"But from what direction to attack, it is often not something that the Huns and the Huns can freely choose."
"-There may be several alternative directions, for Shan Yuting to choose one of them, or choose one of them as the main direction of attack, and the other direction as a feint."
"But it will only be a few choices, not from Longyou to Beiping, these thousands of miles of Han and Hungarian border walls, can be chosen by the Huns independently······"
With a light smile, Zhou Yafu lowered his head slightly, and said something with a smile.
After organizing the language, he finally turned a little pale, raised his head, and looked at the huge Kanyu in front of him again.
"At the beginning of spring, the Huns entered the border in a big way, and the vanguard appeared in Ganquan Mountain, which was only a few hundred miles away from Chang'an, and burned Ganquan Palace to the ground."
"But this does not mean that from the north and Longyou knock on the side, Bingfeng only refers to Xiaoguan, which is a decision made by the Xiongnu Shan Yuting based on his preferences."
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"There is actually a reason why the Xiongnu Shan Yuting knocked on the border from the north and attacked Xiaoguan to shake the pass."
"First, Your Majesty's new monarch is about to be established, and according to past practice, the Huns will definitely attack some more important and strategic places at such a time to deter our Han monarchs and ministers."
"Especially the new monarch who has not been established for a long time after shocking the throne."
"So at the beginning of spring, the direction that the Huns could attack had actually been ruled out first, which was located in a remote area and could not pose any threat to Guanzhong."
"And between the remaining counties of Beidi, Longyou, Yanmen and other counties, Beidi County is located between the side wall and Xiaoguan, and if it is broken, it can go directly under Xiaoguan;"
"The defender Chao Cuo is a 'nobody' who has never been famous in the battle array, and it is obviously better to attack than Yanmen County, which is garrisoned by Zhidu."
"The most important thing is: Chao Cuo is not famous all over the world because of the talent of the military formation, and at the same time has enough fame - so the imperial doctor."
"This makes it so that once the Huns are killed in the process of attacking the north, or even captured by mistake, then for our Han family, the loss of this battle is really unacceptable."
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"Second: In addition to shocking the new monarch of my Han family, the Huns chose to kowtow at the beginning of spring, which is also affected by practical factors."
"In the winter before the beginning of spring, there was a white plague in the grassland, and the Huns urgently needed to loot the border walls of my Han family to fill the shortage of materials for the tribes."
"Since it is looting, it is natural to choose those directions where materials are relatively abundant and the garrison is relatively weak."
"Similarly: the northern land where Chao Cuo is stationed is the most suitable target for attack among Longyou, Beidi, Yanmen and other counties."
"In particular, attacking the northern land may give the Huns the opportunity to cross the Xiao Pass and gallop through the pass, which makes the Xiongnu Shan Yuting even more determined to take the northern land as the main direction of attack."
···
"Third, on top of the military formation, attacking the Northland is also the best choice."
"——Because when the Huns knocked on the border, our Han family would always mobilize on a large scale, and then send a large army to the north."
"But after the Huns attacked the northern land and broke the Xiao Pass, my Han family couldn't do it at all."
"Because the Xiaoguan is broken, it means that Jingzhao is in an emergency, and my Han family first needs to ensure the stability of Chang'an, and there is no need to care about transferring troops to the north;"
"In addition, the Xiao Pass is broken, which means that the Xiao Pass temporarily falls under the control of the Huns, and even if my Han family wants to send a large army north, it will not be able to pass the Xiao Pass in a short time."
"If you can't go north to Xiaoguan, then you can only go east to Hangu."
"In this way, when the army leaves the Hangu in the east and then turns north, the Huns will already flee back to the grassland with the looted things······
Hearing Zhou Yafu's description, Liu Sheng first raised his head, looked left and right at the Kanyu in front of him, then lowered his head and thought for a moment, and finally nodded slowly with approval on his face.
Zhou Yafu was right.
For the Huns, although the attack on the Han border was theoretically 'a border line of thousands of miles, you can choose one of them at will', but if you take into account factors such as strategic objectives, marching routes, and the size of the battlefield, there are actually not many options left.
As Zhou Yafu said: The Huns attacked the Han family for a purpose, not for idle fun.
It may be the looting of materials and population, or it may be a strategic strike and deterrence;
In most cases, all of the above are the case, but strategic strikes, deterrence, and diplomatic blackmail are the mainstay, and the plundering of materials and population is incidental.
This made the Huns choose the direction of attack, which must meet the following conditions.
- First, it is important enough for the Han dynasty to inflict a major blow on the Han dynasty in different aspects, including but not limited to practical significance, political significance, and strategic significance;
- Second, the garrison force was not too strong, so as not to cause excessive casualties to the Xiongnu army in the course of the attack;
- Third, the materials and population are not too barren, so that the Huns will not be busy for a long time, and as a result, they will not be able to take the fart away.
Of these three conditions, the first two are clearly somewhat contradictory—they are important enough, but they are not too defensive, and such a strange situation is not common in itself;
And the third one, that is, the population is not too barren and impoverished, and the generation of the border wall that has been in constant war for many years is also quite extravagant.
Combined with all these things, it is no exaggeration to say that on the Han-Hungarian border, which is thousands of miles long from east to west, the attack targets that can meet the requirements of the Huns are definitely not more than five fingers.
In this way, the situation is really as Zhou Yafu said: even though the Han-Hungarian border stretches from Longyou in the west to Youbeiping County near the Korean Peninsula in the east, spanning thousands of miles, there are only a few attack points for the Huns to choose······
"I understand what the Marquis means."
"The Huns conquered Hanbian like a merchant traveling abroad: it was necessary to consider whether the transportation was convenient, whether the market was lively, whether the locals had money, whether they had acquaintances in the local area, and so on."
"Considering these, Yanbei, which occupies nearly half of the border of the border wall, is actually unlikely to be noticed by the Huns."
Seeing that Liu Sheng easily understood what he wanted to express, Zhou Yafu only bowed slightly, expressing his approval of Liu Sheng.
Then, he raised his head to look at Kanyu in front of him, and then shook his head to himself.
"It's not all."
"-In addition to attacking this place, whether it can cause enough losses to our Han family, whether it can win more blackmail chips for itself, whether it can recover enough things, and whether it can avoid casualties as much as possible, there is another question that the Huns have to consider."
"Battlefield."
"The Huns, after serious consideration, need to choose a battlefield that suits them."
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"Your Majesty should know about the combat methods of the cavalry, even if he has not been there."
"Unlike during the Warring States Period, when the nations rushed forward step by step and car to vehicle, there was one of the biggest differences in the way the cavalry fought was the pursuit."
"—Infantry and infantry fighting, mostly in opposite formations, advancing slowly, and finally passing through the front through the spear and spear thrust;
"Even if there is a chariot joining, it is only the role of disrupting the enemy's infantry formation, and the one who is really responsible for defeating the opponent in the front is still a foot soldier with a spear and halberd."
"But the cavalry, especially the Huns, will not engage the enemy at all unless it is necessary."
"Especially in the face of my Han family's infantry array, the Huns' combat methods will become very annoying, but helpless······"
As he said this, Zhou Yafu seemed to be already on the battlefield, commanding the heavy infantry phalanx, facing the nimble Hun cavalry, revealing a distorted face with chest tightness and shortness of breath.
After a long while, Zhou Yafu, who had repeatedly taken deep breaths to adjust his mood, pulled his attention back to Kanyu in front of him again.
"Your Majesty, have you ever seen a pack of wolves hunting?"
"- Most people in the world think that jackals, tigers and leopards are all murderers, and hunting will come to their faces and never retreat."
"But the way the wolves hunted, even a person like Chen, who has been familiar with military affairs since childhood, can't help but be amazed."
"Just like the commander who issues orders, the wolf king of the wolf pack will give orders to every wolf in the wolf pack, and the wolf pack will also prohibit it according to the wolf king's orders, such as arm commands."
"And when hunting, whether it is a powerful elephant, or a weak deer or cow, the wolves will never rush forward and bite easily."
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"In the beginning, the wolves will follow the prey step by step, observe the prey from afar, and probe the prey for other companions nearby."
"If the prey is determined to be alone, the wolves will not relax their vigilance, but will arrange a part of the 'troops' to guard the periphery, and most of the 'troops' will continue to follow the prey."
"The prey goes, and the wolves follow; When the prey stops, the wolves cry out and threaten, forcing the prey to move on. ”
"If possible, push the prey to the end of the road as much as possible, and if not, force the prey to keep going."
"During this time, the prey will always be terrified, unable to sleep and eat for several days."
"The wolves, on the other hand, are closing in, intruding when the prey wants to rest, intimidating when the prey is feeding, and urging when the prey is staying."
"Even until the prey is exhausted and emaciated, the wolves will still cautiously reach forward and catch and bite the prey in the safest way possible, so that the prey will be injured."
"Until the prey can no longer support its body and collapses from exhaustion, the wolves will rush up and end the suffering of the prey."
Listening to Zhou Yafu's description of such a picture, Rao is classified as the son of the Han Dynasty, Liu Sheng inevitably frowned with empathy.
And when Liu Sheng came back to his senses and looked up at his side again, he found that Zhou Yafu's gaze towards him had been unprecedentedly severe.
"The Huns are wolves."
"When fighting against my Han family's army, the Huns are the wolves in a hunting state."
"-They will not charge on horseback, let alone easily approach the military formation of my Han family, but will patiently consume the hearts and strength of our Han soldiers like wolves."
"Like maggots on tarsal bones, they follow and intrude, until the morale of the army is weakened and the faith of the soldiers collapses, and they will rush up and tear the soldiers of my Han family to ······"
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"And this is also the reason why the minister said that the Huns would 'choose the battlefield'."
"- Because of the combat method of the Hun cavalry, the battlefield must be wide enough."
"At least wide enough to drive the enemy away until exhaustion;"
"At the same time, it must be so flat that it is impossible to hide the enemy's ambush, and it can also allow the Hun cavalry to move freely, and in the final charge, gallop without scruples······"
(End of chapter)