August 1, 1990.

A live broadcast room of KBC TV in South Korea.

The moderator is conducting interviews with three experts on the negotiations between Iraq and Kuwait and what may happen later.

Moderator: [Three teachers, what is your view on the negotiations between Iraq and Kuwait, and do you think there is a high probability that the talks will be successful or will they collapse?] 】

The first guest: "I think peace talks are very likely, because Iraq has just gone through a few years of Iran-Iraq war, and it should be impossible to continue fighting."

The second guest: "I also think that there is a high possibility of negotiations, the simplest is that whether it is Kuwait or Iraq, there is the support of the United States behind them, even if they want to go to war, the United States will not agree to it in the first place."

Third guest: "I agree with the two teachers."

Moderator: [Then if, I mean, if the negotiations between the two sides break down, will it eventually develop to the point of war?] 】

The first guest: "If the talk collapses, there is a high probability that it will happen."

Second guest: "Yes, if the talks really break down, I'm afraid the war will not be far away."

Third guest: "I agree with the two teachers."

Moderator: [Okay, then let's go further, if there is a war, how do you think the oil price will change, and can it become the point of tripling as Chen Daojun said?] 】

First speaker: "First of all, the increase in oil prices is certain, but not to the point of tripling."

The second guest: "Yes, it may rise by 890 percent, or even double, but it will definitely not triple."

Third guest: "I agree with the two teachers."

Moderator: [So, do the three teachers think that Chen Daojun's prediction is unreliable? 】

The first guest: "Well, I feel that it is a little deviated from common sense, but it is also normal, Chen Daojun's major is to study mathematics after all, not crude oil."

The second guest: "Chen Daojun's prediction is probably quite different from the reality, and my suggestion is that if he wants to devote himself to the financial field, he can read more relevant books."

Third guest: "I agree with the two teachers."

As soon as the three guests finished speaking, they saw the host suddenly holding the headset, his expression changed slightly, and his eyes were a little strange when he looked at the three guests.

Seeing this, the three guests inexplicably had an ominous premonition in their hearts.

Sure enough, they listened to the moderator say, "Three teachers, we have received the latest news from the front - just now, the negotiations between Iraq and Kuwait collapsed."

Brush!

The faces of the three guests were all pale.

Thinking that just now they had sworn that it was unlikely that the talks would collapse, and gave their respective reasons, they felt a hot pang on their faces.

Even if a face slap is a daily routine for experts, the speed of this face slap is inevitably a little too fast, like a tornado, and there is no time to escape.

Moderator: "Those three teachers, since the assumption has come true, do you still insist that the price of oil will not rise threefold?"

The three guests glanced at each other and launched the skill 'hard mouth,:....

"Absolutely not!"

……

The day after the three guests assured that the price of oil would not triple, the Iraqi army officially invaded Kuwait and directly occupied Kuwait's capital, Kuwait City, just ten hours later.

Affected by this, the rise in international oil prices is simply like Wang Ba's move - he can't hold back (turtle) anymore.

In just one night, the price of oil rose from $13.2 a barrel to $19.8 a barrel, an increase of 50%!

It's still the same live broadcast room.

Or three guests.

Moderator: "Three teachers, what do you three think about the current oil price?"

Speaker 1: "The increase in oil prices is indeed a bit of a concession

It's surprising, but from the overall trend, the increase is still slowing down, and in the long run, it is still controllable."

The second guest: "After all, the war has just started, and the people will inevitably panic, and it is not the norm for people to rise in a short period of time."

Third guest: "I agree with the two teachers."

As soon as they finished speaking, they saw the host's face change again and hold on to the earbuds.

Isn't it, still coming?

The faces of the three guests all changed.

Without disappointing them, the host said again: "Three teachers, after the opening of today's market, the price of crude oil has risen again, and now it has reached $26 a barrel, which is double the previous price - what do the three teachers think about this?"

Hearing this, the three guests looked at each other in silence, and they all saw the name of a plant in each other's eyes.

……

"Hahaha! You saw the faces of the three guests, and you almost laughed at me!"

"That's right, these three people shouldn't be guests, they should be funny artists."

"As soon as the front foot said that there would be no collapse, the host on the back foot told them that the talk had collapsed;"

"As soon as the front foot said that the rise in oil prices was controllable, the back foot oil prices directly doubled......

"The three teachers know TV and choose the way to speak with the most laughter."

"Do you still think that Chen Daojun's prediction is inaccurate?"

With the broadcast of these two episodes of KBC, the performance of the three guests immediately attracted countless cynicism.

The people who support Lu Qing these days are suffocating.

Because Lu Qing never appeared on TV shows, these experts on TV were almost riveting to attack Lu Qing.

This one said he didn't know anything about investing, the other said he couldn't figure out finance, and some said that his knowledge of mathematics was only the knowledge of middle school students and was not enough to deal with the more complex crude oil market......

For a while, it seemed that attacking Lu Qing had become politically correct.

It seems that people who support experts have become mainstream.

Until the broadcast of these two episodes, the experts who originally criticized Lu Qing instantly withered.

Those who support the experts are also wilted.

Actions speak louder than words.

In the face of soaring crude oil prices, especially those that are in line with Lu Qing's predictions, it is useless for these experts to say more.

Especially after the next few days, when crude oil prices have been rising slowly but steadily, there are more and more people who support Lu Qing.

$27...

$28...

$29...

Eventually, when the price of oil reached $30, it seemed to have broken through a certain threshold, and countless South Koreans couldn't help it.

"Contestant Chen Daojun, can we get it now?"

"It's not too late to get in, is it?"

"Are you sure your math model is error-free?"

"I want stud, can I?"

They wanted to ask Lu Qing if he could buy crude oil now.

After all, according to Lu Qing's calculation that the price of crude oil will rise to $42, this is a naked opportunity to make money!

At this moment, for them, Lu Qing is like the god of wealth who turns stones into gold.

Taihang Skinny Tiger