Chapter 210: Go and Cut Their Leeks
Chen Nian's plan was actually very simple, he knew that since something was bound to happen, it was better to intervene himself and let it happen in advance.
This is not without harm, but under the premise that the sanctions have already shown signs of sanctions, Chen Nian believes that this is the only opportunity to create a window period.
It is true that the detonation of the financial crisis, especially when the financial environment in the United States is worse than the previous one, will inevitably lead to more serious global inflation.
However, Chen Nian has an absolute advantage in the world he is in now, that is, he has a hanging in his hands.
As long as there is a connection, we can use the speed that exceeds the law of economic and scientific and technological development to develop science and technology, create scientific and technological achievements, and through such scientific and technological achievements, we can reverse the increase in productivity, expand demand, and digest the negative impact caused by serious inflation.
In this way, even if the government responds to the crisis by "overdrawing potential", as it did in the previous life, the final result will be controllable.
Hot money will not flow into real estate, but into the new technologies and industries that you have created.
In particular, the long-tail effect brought about by the development of the field of construction machinery, the effect of hurricane infrastructure will become more obvious.
At that time, the typical steel industry depression in the 08 financial crisis may not have happened at all
Not to mention the depression, in the environment of Daxing infrastructure, whether there is enough steel is enough or not.
After all, even now, under the influence of increased arms export orders, increased aircraft production, and the influence of Deep Blue 16 and surrounding projects, the domestic steel market has shown a significant growth momentum.
When the time comes, how to make more mines and smelt more iron is probably the real problem to consider.
Thinking of this, Chen Nian breathed a sigh of relief.
The direction is basically clear, then, the next thing to do is to output the technology as soon as possible, and all the key nodes required by the construction machinery are presented in the form of documents.
Chen Nian said goodbye to Chen Guo, and after returning to his residence, he unfolded the blank paper that had been prepared a long time ago, and began to output technical achievements one by one according to the knowledge in his mind.
I have to say, it's a tough job.
There are two paths in front of him.
Or, no matter what's in your head, write it down and put it all on paper.
Either that, you should first refine it yourself, straighten out the logic, figure out the key points, and evaluate the difficulty of each module and each link, and then write out the content of the key positions.
The former requires a lot of highly repetitive work and is purely manual work.
The latter requires your own thinking, and it doesn't actually save much time.
After comprehensive consideration, Chen Nian still chose the second path.
Although this path will not bring knowledge increment and will not have source point benefits, at least, it can exercise his logical thinking ability.
So, for a whole night, Chen Nian was stumbling with the first equipment of the Yishan project.
It wasn't until the sky was bright and the sun was rising that he finally completed the output of all the key technologies of the heavy-duty excavator WK-75.
This is already a simplified version that could not be more simplified.
But he believes that even with this version alone, XCMG should be able to perfectly reproduce this legendary heavy-duty excavator.
After sorting out the thick pile of documents, Chen Nian finally breathed a sigh of relief.
He called Chen Guo and asked him to come and pick up the documents, then threw himself on the bed and fell asleep.
At this moment, the preparatory work for the Yishan project has officially begun
Shanghai.
After confirming the information provided by Chen Nian, Chen Feiyun's mood could not be calmed down for a long time.
From those few pieces of information, he saw a great opportunity, and it can even be said that he saw the legendary "national fortune".
The financial crisis is coming.
Moreover, once this financial crisis breaks out and is properly guided, it will hurt the most the foundation of the entire American economic system, that is, their middle class.
After all, neither speculative real estate nor CDS is something that the bottom people who are struggling on the so-called "average line" can play, and most of the real top 1% of the rich will not get involved in this kind of overly risky investment method.
Only those middle class with a certain amount of economic strength, but a serious lack of investment channels, will participate in such a gamble in order to fight for a chance to get rich overnight.
They didn't think they were going to lose—maybe they did, but they did overestimate their abilities.
Their shallow prediction of the consequences will teach them a painful lesson.
Chen Feiyun stared at the screen in front of him, which was the latest data he had collected from various sources on CDS and U.S. home prices.
From this data, he tried to analyze a key node that could be exploited.
Now, the entire financial market is like a wall, it seems to be extremely strong, but as long as the "stress concentration point" is found, the entire wall can be torn down at a very small cost.
What exactly is the direction to start.
Chen Feiyun's brain was running rapidly, ruling out one possibility after another.
First of all, it is absolutely impossible to try to directly impact the CDS market, as of September this year, the nominal holdings of CDS in the United States have reached a staggering 49.2 trillion.
In this volume, it is undoubtedly a fool's dream to rely on one's own funds to control the entire market.
According to this logic, all the purely financial means that I am good at should be said to be ineffective.
Then, we can only start from the real economy.
The direction is clear, which is to reduce the overall price expectations of the U.S. real estate market.
As long as the price of "real estate futures" decreases, the price of spot will also collapse.
The collapse of existing home prices will immediately lead to an increase in the default rate, and then trigger an avalanche effect, resulting in large-scale defaults.
But how?
Reduced demand?
No way.
Due to the particularity of subprime loans, the needs of most home buyers are the so-called "rigid needs", and it is impossible to persuade them not to buy a house again, but it is almost impossible to say that it is almost impossible.
And speculators are even more impossible, they originally saw the trend of rising housing prices to participate in this market, and now you go and tell him, don't buy it, lest housing prices rise too fast, isn't this trying to cover up?
Policy?
Don't make a fuss, now that the U.S. government is eager to raise housing prices a little higher to make up for the current fiscal shortfall, how can they cut themselves off at such a time?
Demand is unlikely to fall, and policies will not change, so what about reducing the cost of real estate developers?
No, the real estate industry is a special industry, and cost is not the main factor that determines the selling price, even if the cost really drops, the only impact is only to make real estate developers earn more
For a moment, Chen Feiyun fell into confusion.
It's like seeing a gold mine on the top of a mountain, but you can't find the way up the mountain anyway.
The only way he could see that was to expand the supply of housing.
But the question is, who will do this action?
Chen Feiyun suddenly had a flash of inspiration, and he thought of a possibility.
Perhaps, the time for domestic real estate developers to go overseas has indeed arrived
Two days later, inside the R&F Properties headquarters building.
Zhang Lilun sat behind the boss's chair behind the desk, leisurely drinking tea worth tens of thousands of yuan in a cheap enamel teacup, and said to Chen Feiyun in front of him:
"Professor Chen, it's not that I won't help you in this matter, but the problem is that we really can't do anything about it."
"As you know, the domestic real estate market is developing rapidly, and our company has made a lot of money every year by relying on domestic investment."
"Aren't you embarrassed that you're asking us to withdraw our money and abandon our domestic projects and invest in a market that is riskier, less environmentally friendly, and more unfamiliar to us?"
"Besides, taking a step back, we did think about the Americas strategy, but the problem was that we didn't have a suitable opportunity to enter the U.S. market."
"Again, we're missing one. Tongs. ”
"If you want to serve a bowl to eat, at least the bowl must have a hand, otherwise, it will be easy to be burned."
Chen Feiyun had long expected that the other party would say such a thing, he smiled, and did not answer directly, but asked rhetorically:
"In your opinion, what is the development path of R&F Group?"
"Constantly expanding in China, from residential to commercial real estate, constantly speculating in real estate prices, like Li Ka-shing at the beginning, making all kinds of shared area, all kinds of property fees, all kinds of spending money, used to cut the leeks of the people?"
"Do you think this road can be followed?"
"Maybe in a short period of time, you can really make money."
"But I want to remind you that some people will not only be nailed to the pillar of shame, but will also be reckoned with by the Queen."
"If you're really a visionary businessman, you should think about how to make your company survive healthily."
Hearing Chen Feiyun's words, Zhang Lilun couldn't help frowning.
"Professor Chen, are you threatening me?"
"That's a bit too much, isn't it? I'm just a businessman, and all I do is make some money, so you can't wait? ”
Chen Feiyun didn't care about the provocation in his words at all, but replied bluntly:
"Threats can't be talked about, I'm just showing you a clear path."
"We know what you real estate developers want to do."
"Go back a few years, maybe we really can't do anything about you, but now, what I can tell you is: the wind has changed."
"In this wind, you have only two choices."
"Or, you do what we say."
"Or, you can jump for a few more years, but I promise, you'll hang your name on me."
"You?"
Zhang Lilun looked at Chen Feiyun suspiciously, his eyes a little contemptuous.
In his view, no matter how famous Chen Feiyun is in China, he is just a "consultant" in the field of economics.
He may be able to influence the decision-making of the upper echelons to a certain extent, but how much influence is there
In fact, everyone knows it.
So, what if you put your name on it?
What's the matter, do you still want to go to the leader to join me?
Thinking of this, he opened his mouth and said:
"Professor Chen, if you want to talk like that, then I don't have anything to say."
"I can't accept such a threat, if nothing else, then I'll send it off."
As he spoke, Zhang Lilun stood up and made a "please" gesture.
Chen Feiyun didn't say much, but walked straight out of the office.
In fact, before he came, he had already made mental preparations in advance.
It is certainly not so easy to convince these real estate developers who are too comfortable in China.
Just like Zhang Lilun said, the domestic market alone is enough for them to make a lot of money, so why bother to go to foreign countries to develop thanklessly?
Not only R&F, but several real estate developers, including Greenland and New World, actually gave him the same reply.
Such a reply did not disappoint him, but made him a little excited.
The truth has been explained, and the pros and cons have been conveyed to you.
If you have to go all the way to the dark, if you have to plant leeks and cut leeks, then don't blame us for cutting you when the leeks grow well
Thinking so, Chen Feiyun walked out of the building of R&F Group, but what he didn't expect was that before he could walk down the steps, Zhang Lilun behind him had already caught up.
"Professor Chen! Professor Chen! ”
Zhang Lilun panted and ran forward and grabbed Chen Feiyun's arm.
"Professor Chen, I thought it was wrong, I'm sorry!"
"Give me a chance, give me another chance"
His expression was extremely humble, even a little frightened.
That kind of style, like a child who has made a mistake, before the parents have time to react, he has already prepared the whip and stick, and he can't wait for the parents to beat him up immediately, so that he can rest assured.
Chen Feiyun looked at Zhang Lilun in surprise and asked:
"Who did you call?"
Zhang Lilun hesitated for a moment and replied:
"Mr. Liu of Poly."
"Guess it. So what are you coming to me for? ”
"You all know that Poly is involved, and you know that they are our guarantee, do you think you still have hope?"
"Seriously, I was quite optimistic about you at first, but now, I can only say that I have no regrets."
As he spoke, Chen Feiyun was about to shake off Zhang Lilun's hand, and Zhang Lilun's reaction was also quick, he grabbed Chen Feiyun's sleeve and pleaded:
"Professor Chen, give me another chance!"
"What happened just now, as if it hadn't happened!"
"It's my dog's brain that's broken, it's my rat's eye!"
"Give us this opportunity, what Poly can do, we can do too!"
"Also, I know why you are looking for us, we have a connection with 555 Fulton, as long as you give us this opportunity, I guarantee that R&F Group will fund and acquire 555 Fulton as Poly's grasp!"
Hearing Zhang Lilun's words, Chen Feiyun's expression finally eased a little.
It seems that this man is not stupid yet.
That's right, the reason why I found R&F Group is because of their relationship.
If they can take down the American real estate company 555 Fulton, then the follow-up action will be much simpler.
Pretending to hesitate for a moment, Chen Feiyun replied:
"There's a meeting next week, so come too. address, notice separately. ”
"Thanks! Thank! ”
Zhang Lilun kept shaking Chen Feiyun's hand, until the latter was a little impatient, he called his driver and sent Chen Feiyun away.
Sitting in the car, Chen Feiyun took a prominent breath, and finally put a smile on his face.
Don't you want to cut leeks?
It's not interesting to cut more in the country.
Now, I'll give you the opportunity to go to America and cut their leeks.
(End of chapter)