In the showdown over this incident, Chen Nian actually considered the consequences.

In fact, he also thought of other options, such as mass evacuation under the pretext of "exercises", such as "earthquake prediction technology" and so on.

But the former is intimidatingly difficult to operate, while the latter. It is almost impossible to achieve.

Yes, the system gives the source point requirements of the earthquake predictor, but the volume of this demand is at the five-digit level.

The reason is very simple, if you want to predict earthquakes, you must first achieve a 100% grasp of the global geological environment, which can be said to be hundreds of years ahead of the requirements of human detection technology.

In addition, even with geological data, it is impossible to complete a reference analysis with the computing power currently available to humans – at least until the advent of quantum computers.

Generally speaking, earthquake prediction seems ordinary, but in terms of difficulty in implementation, it is even more difficult than starships

Therefore, he can only open his mouth frankly.

Yes, there are some things that he will face as soon as he says them, and he will face a great logical challenge.

Why do you know there is an earthquake? Why do you have this information? Where does the information come from? What else do you know?

Or. Is you a prophet of the unknown? Is it from the future?

Either question, he had a hard time answering.

However, he was also mentally prepared.

This is an inescapable thing.

Objectively, recovering the losses caused by this disaster is extremely important to the country's development, and it is even many times more important than an aircraft carrier or a strategic bomber.

Subjectively, he simply couldn't sit idly by and watch his fellow citizens suffer.

It's not a tram problem, it's tens of thousands of lives.

After all, in his opinion, if he can do it but not do it, it is a great waste of his ability.

Taking a step back and saying that, even if you consider your own interests, there is actually no great harm to this option.

Anyway, my current situation is almost no different from the showdown, but everyone tacitly doesn't mention it.

Being able to foresee the future is indeed a huge "plug-in" for ordinary people, but is it really that important for a country?

Chen Nian doesn't think so.

At the macro level, the "unpredictable prophet" feature is actually really limited.

You know that the other side is going to do something to Iraq, and then what?

Hoarding oil in advance? Laying out the energy market ahead of time?

Not to mention what kind of chain reaction such a big action will cause, the resources required to make these actions alone are not something that can be easily afforded.

In a word, the struggle between major powers is all a conspiracy.

Since the end of World War II, no country has been under the influence of conspiracy.

Even in the last life, our rout in the soybean, steel, and chip markets, doesn't the official know what the other party is going to do? Is there really no official prediction ahead of the curve?

No way.

Or, it can't be stopped.

Or, it is impossible to calculate the cost of dealing with the other party's plan, and the benefits that may be generated.

This is something that cannot be done even if we can predict the future.

After all, Chen Nian only knows the "event", not the overall "state of affairs", and he doesn't know what kind of plan is the "optimal solution".

Therefore, in the final analysis, the development of science and technology is the only main line, and if you want to rely on the unpredictable prophet to take advantage of opportunism, it is better to give up the idea of competing for hegemony as soon as possible.

Of course, having said that, if he really faced the key events that "information can change the result" and Chen Nian could remember, he would still not hesitate to take action.

For example, this time, then 14 years, 20 years.

Thinking of this, Chen Nian's brows stretched slightly.

He raised his head again and looked at Chen Guo, his mind had been completely cleared.

He opened his mouth and said:

"In terms of funds, we should not have too many difficulties, including emergency disaster funds and post-disaster reconstruction funds, and the total amount will not exceed 200 billion."

"Our focus should still be on 'how to minimize losses', especially on reducing casualties."

"As long as people live, everything is easy to say."

"Understood."

Chen Guo nodded slightly, and then said:

"I'm not a scholar, but as far as I know, there is no good way for the world to deal with large-scale, high-intensity geological disasters, especially earthquakes."

"The best choice is nothing more than to strengthen the building, improve the seismic level, and evacuate people in time."

"As for wanting to stop the earthquake from happening at the source. I've never heard of it. ”

"I've heard that."

Chen Nian said.

"There is a design called the 'seismic shield' structure, which refers to the formation of a layer of void structure around the periphery of the key area that needs to be protected by drilling holes in areas with frequent earthquakes."

"Artificial experimental data show that this structure can reduce the energy of Rayleigh waves generated by earthquakes by more than 80%."

"The only problem is that this structure is too much to work and too costly."

"There is also the so-called 'seismic cloak', which is to plant wedge-shaped forests on the land, and through the arrangement of the trees, the Rayleigh waves are converted into shear waves."

"Of course, although this design is a little less difficult to implement, the effect is also much worse."

Hearing Chen Nian's words, Chen Guo frowned slightly.

"What if multiple methods are combined? Can you achieve the maximum effect? ”

"Theoretically, it should be possible – but the specific implementation needs to be discussed by relevant geological experts."

Chen Guo nodded silently and continued to ask:

"How accurate can you be with the range of hypocenters?"

"Within 10 km."

Chen Nian did not remember the exact latitude and longitude coordinates of this earthquake, but he knew that the epicenter was near Yingxiu, and the deviation would not exceed 10 kilometers.

"That's not a big deal."

Chen Guo's expression relaxed again, and then, while calculating on the paper, he explained:

"You see, if the role of the seismic shield is reliable, we calculate it according to the diameter of 30 kilometers, and the circumference of the epicenter control area is about 100 kilometers."

"Within this 100-kilometre length, we need to drill in depth, based on the diameter of a single hole of 1 meter, the depth of 100 meters, and the spacing of the holes is calculated as 1 meter."

"The amount of earthwork in one hole is only 120 square meters, and I am not a civil engineering professional with a total of 6 million square meters of earthwork, but if you only look at the amount of earthwork, this data can't even touch the edge of a large project."

After listening to Chen Guo's calculations, Chen Nian was also taken aback.

At first, he did think that this would be a big project, but when he thought about it, the exact location was delineated, and it really didn't seem to be that big

Of course, this "not much" is the size of the national project.

If he doesn't rely on the official, he relies on himself, even if he relies on the Spark team, if he wants to get this kind of project done, it is still a fantasy.

After all, the biggest problem of the project is not the difficulty of the project, but the various social problems caused by the construction process

After thinking for a moment, he spoke:

"Less than 6 million square meters."

"There is a fixed standard for the calculation of seismic shields, for seismic waves of magnitude 8.0 and 50Hz, the size of the hole should be about 60 centimeters, and the depth does not need to be 100 meters, 30 meters, it is enough to block surface waves."

"That's easier!"

Chen Guo clapped his hands lightly, and a smile appeared on his face.

"It's not a big deal, it's within the scope of processing."

"However, your news is really a top priority."

"Otherwise, the problems that can be solved by tens of billions, or even billions, may cause trillions of losses."

Chen Guo's inference is not an exaggeration, in fact, according to the official statistics of the previous life, the direct economic losses caused by this earthquake reached nearly one trillion yuan, and the overall economic losses caused by the indirect ones are even more immeasurable.

"Do you really believe me?"

Chen Nian suddenly asked.

"There is nothing unbelieving, even if you say you dreamed about it, we have to deal with it according to the standard of 'nightmares come true'."

"Don't dwell too much, even if it's wrong, we'll treat it as a rehearsal."

Chen Nian nodded solemnly, and then continued:

"The role of the seismic shield is not certain, so on top of this immediate measure, we need to prepare other means of response."

"Including rescue and disaster relief equipment, rescue plans, evacuation plans, resettlement plans and so on."

"If you plan it, you will stand up, and if you don't plan it, you can't do it at the end, let's grasp the brain."

"Don't worry, leave it to a professional."

Chen Guo closed the notebook in his hand, glanced at his watch, and said:

"It's going to be open, let's come along."

A few minutes later, with the permission of their superiors, more than a dozen members of the core group of the Spark team convened this emergency meeting by phone.

Chen Guo reported the situation on behalf of Chen Nian, and after listening, everyone on the line fell silent.

The impact of this news is too great, even if all the people present have had direct contact with Chen Nian, and can already be said to be people who have "seen the world", but when they heard Chen Guo's description at first glance, they couldn't help but be a little confused.

After being quiet for half a minute, Chen Feiyun from the economic group was the first to speak.

Like Chen Guo, he didn't think about the issue of "credibility" at all, but asked directly:

"If that's true, what do we need to do in a year's time?"

"A lot."

Chen Nian replied:

"From finance to the real sector, all economic and social sectors will be impacted, and for the economic group, the first thing to do is to respond to the impact."

"If our mitigation efforts fail and the situation inevitably erupts, we will have to mobilize a lot of money and manpower to help the disaster."

"In this situation, we will face unprecedented levels of economic pressure, and in order to avoid a collapse of the socio-economic system, we must develop a series of economic strategies."

"I'm going to leave this to your group."

"Understood."

Chen Feiyun replied decisively, and then continued:

"After the notice from the superiors comes down, I will organize the group to discuss and output the plan as soon as possible."

His words fell, and He Wenmao, the current person in charge of the Democratic Development Office, immediately spoke:

"If that's the case, then all industrial sectors should also prepare disaster preparedness."

"Judging from the current situation, our control of industrial capacity is tight, which is mainly due to the continuation of policies caused by the impact of the previous financial crisis."

"This strategy is good for us to deal with international economic shocks, but not for organizing large-scale production in a short period of time."

"I suggest that we still have to make some reserves in the area of industrial capacity, otherwise, the cost of temporary transfer is too high and the timeliness is not enough."

"Agreed."

Chen Nian nodded subconsciously, and then said:

"This issue can be discussed with the industrial mouth as a preliminary proposal."

"What about other than that? Does anyone else have anything else in mind? ”

"Yes, there is a problem with disaster relief equipment."

It was Lin Yongming of AVIC Group who spoke, his voice calm, but he could still hear a deep sense of worry in it.

"The basin has complex topography, especially near Yingxiu, where we expect disasters to occur."

"The mountains are high and the roads are long, the water network is dense, and even though the road and bridge infrastructure work has been rolled out on a large scale in the past two years, in general, the transportation convenience and disaster resistance level there are not high."

"What's more, we can't expect to rely on a 'never-ending highway' to help the disaster."

"Based on international experience, we needed a heavy-duty transport equipment to take on the core disaster relief transport mission."

"My suggestion is to start purchasing heavy transport helicopters, such as the Mi-26, as soon as possible."

"At the same time, the development of heavy helicopters should also be on the agenda."

"This 'impending disaster' is a warning to us that we really lack the basic capacity to deal with disasters, especially the basic equipment."

Hearing Lin Yongming's words, Chen Nian couldn't help but feel a little emotional.

These older generation of technical leaders, they can indeed be said to be impeccable in their vision and vision.

Even according to the extremely limited information provided by Chen Nian, he immediately saw through the biggest difficulty, and even proposed the same solution as the official in the previous life.

Chen Nian still remembers that at that time, the Mi-26 could even be called a savior in the disaster area.

It not only transported a large number of scarce daily necessities and transferred a large number of trapped and injured people to the disaster area in the early stage, but also lifted and transported dozens of heavy equipment into the site by itself, which largely solved the problem of the core of the serious disaster but the lack of rescue capabilities.

At the beginning, several of the most dangerous dammed lakes in the disaster area were solved by the construction machinery and equipment transported by this behemoth.

Its effect is huge, but the number is pitiful-—— there is only one!

Therefore, Lin Yongming's proposal undoubtedly hit the most painful point directly.

"That's a good suggestion, I agree."

"The problem of procuring heavy transport helicopters can be solved with the funds of Xinghuo."

"At the same time, I will also try to solve the technical difficulties of heavy transport helicopters, and strive to build our own heavy helicopters within a year or two."

"At that point, we won't be so passive"

After a series of discussions, there was a general consensus on the future catastrophe.

At the same time, higher-level departments also began to study and judge, and many experts were urgently summoned.

In the corners invisible to ordinary people, the gears of this state apparatus have quietly begun to operate.

There's one more chapter later