Chapter 64: Jiang Yunhao's Analysis

"Mayor, during the Chinese New Year, I went back home, I mentioned this to you, right?"

In the room, Jiang Yunhao looked at Zhou Jingfang and said.

"Hmm~"

Zhou Jingfang didn't know what he meant by this, but she nodded anyway.

"I am a native of Nanzhou, and although it is rare to go back once a year in the army over the years, I have always paid attention to the development of my hometown."

Listening to Jiang Yunhao's sigh, Zhou Jingfang looked at him deeply and didn't say anything.

Because she knew that Jiang Yunhao must have something to do.

"In the past two or three years, the total GDP of Ludong Province has grown rapidly. Since surpassing Jiangnan Province in 05, it has occupied the second position in the country for three consecutive years...... Whether it is private or official, this achievement is highly appreciated. ”

Jiang Yunhao seemed to be thinking about the wording, and his speech rarely slowed down.

"In the past two years, the economic growth of our Ludong Province has been very fast, and it can overwhelm the old economic powerhouse - Jiangnan Province, and it is normal for everyone to cheer for such achievements. But there are some hidden dangers that many people ignore. ”

When Zhou Jingfang heard this, she immediately cheered up: "You mean, our Ludong Province has hidden dangers in economic development?" ”

Jiang Yunhao looked directly at Zhou Jingfang's gaze: "That's right, that's what I meant!" ”

Without waiting for Mayor Zhou to ask in detail, Jiang Yunhao told his thoughts one by one.

"Our Ludong Province is a large province in terms of population, economy and industry. At the same time, Ludong Province is also the only province in the country with all 41 industrial categories. ”

"We have the second largest population in the country, which guarantees our total GDP."

Jiang Yunhao explained: "Huanghai City and Ningtai City are the first batch of 14 coastal cities approved by the state to open to the outside world. Whether it is the economic foundation or the economic policy, we have no shortage of them. ”

Hearing this, Zhou Jingfang nodded silently.

Indeed, Ludong Province has a good economic foundation and a complete range of industries.

Especially in the late nineties, the province played a leading role in strengthening the government, selected a number of large enterprises, and introduced a series of support policies such as production, credit, technological improvement, and working capital to carry out fertilizer-promoting cultivation.

This development model is also known as the "elephant economy", that is, to stimulate economic growth by focusing on the development of "big enterprises, big brands, and big industries".

It should be said that the "elephant economy" has brought very good results to the economic development of Ludong Province.

It is not an exaggeration to even describe it as "immediate".

After entering the new century, the construction of heavy chemical industry has opened a period of soaring, and Ludong Province has also seized such a development opportunity.

The provincial government has taken investment-driven development to expand and strengthen the heavy industry represented by petrochemicals and oil refining, and pushed the "elephant economy" model to the extreme.

What Jiang Yunhao said, Zhou Jingfang knows.

But she didn't realize that there was anything wrong with it.

"Relying on fixed investment to drive the development of large enterprises is not a problem in itself. However, the current international financial crisis has shown certain signs, and the world's economy has cast a shadow. ”

Jiang Yunhao's statement continues, "These days, I have studied the early warning articles of several well-known financial institutions, and everyone generally believes that a more serious economic crisis will break out in the second half of the year. ”

"In the face of this impending economic crisis, our Ludong province is lagging behind our brother provinces in terms of early warning. The reaction after encountering difficulties is also a little sluggish......"

Hearing this, Zhou Jingfang couldn't help but be curious: "Could it be that Jiangnan Province has already made corresponding moves at the beginning of this year?" ”

The beginning of this year's world financial crisis began in January.

And it started from the developed countries in the West, and gradually spread to other countries.

It was hard for Zhou Jingfang to imagine that Jiangnan Province could respond so quickly.

"The overall situation in Jiangnan Province, I don't dare to draw conclusions easily. But at least in Nanzhou City, they have prevention. Like my hometown of Jiangling District, they are now focusing on high-end industries, informatization, and technological transformation and upgrading. This allows them to avoid vicious competition with their opponents in low-end manufacturing to a certain extent. ”

After a pause, Jiang Yunhao said matter-of-factly: "Of course, in the face of the financial crisis, our province is not without measures. Not long ago, the province introduced a new investment plan, with a total investment of more than 1 trillion yuan. However, this investment plan has gone all the way to a black ...... on the road of re-engineering and investment-driven."

When Jiang Yunhao said this, Zhou Jingfang basically understood what he meant.

There is no doubt that Jiang Yunhao is not optimistic about the province's economic policy and feels that the province's measures to stimulate the economy by relying on investment and additional investment are problematic.

This view is not the words of Jiang Yunhao's family.

There are financial experts in China who have also pointed out the drawbacks of the "elephant model" in Ludong Province.

Experts believe that Ludong province is too dependent on big business.

The fixed investment in the province has been invested in some excess capacity that should have been eliminated.

In the short term, it can indeed boost economic growth.

But once the hidden danger breaks out, it is very dangerous.

Relatively speaking, Jiangnan Province and Eastern Zhejiang Province do not have such pressure.

Their economies are more diversified and their mindsets change quickly.

The vitality of the enterprise is far above Ludong Province.

Even if you fall behind for a while, you can rebound in a short period of time.

Zhou Jingfang's gaze fell on Jiang Yunhao, and her heart was mixed.

In college, I studied economics.

But on this issue, no Jiang Yunhao can see clearly.

What is the reason for this?

Soon, Jiang Yunhao's words made Zhou Jingfang come to his senses.

"Mayor Zhou, say something unpleasant. It is estimated that half of the government's fixed investment in large state-owned enterprises will not be implemented. How much money can be left in the end that can really be used on the blade? ”

Jiang Yunhao spread his hands and said, "But the same amount of investment is given to private enterprises, and the effect is completely different......

Jiang Yunhao didn't break it directly, but the meaning was already very clear.

Indeed, there are many state-owned enterprises in Ludong Province, and GDP is driven by these enterprises.

When it was smooth sailing before, of course there was no problem.

But once you encounter such a predicament this year, and the operation of the enterprise has problems, it will be a big trouble.

Most likely, like dominoes, they all fall at the touch of a button.

The reason why Jiang Yunhao is not optimistic about the development of the province's economy is this reason.

When Zhou Jingfang was silent, Jiang Yunhao added a little more.

"The impact of a slight deviation in the province's economic policy is far-reaching. Perhaps it won't be long before our economy falls into a low ebb. Being overtaken by Jiangnan Province is unavoidable. ”

"And in the entire Ludong Province, the only one who can keep up with the rhythm of the times is Huanghai City......"