Chapter 198: Hook and hook will become a cushion and fly
[Player 2, please speak]
"Don't you dare to throw me a kill, I can't recognize you as a prophet, Player 1."
"As soon as 9 opened his mouth, he threw a kill to the 8 under the police, and the strength is really great, whether he is a wolf fighter, or a prophet is a wolf, always from the perspective of our good people, his strength is much better than you give 12 gold water."
"Of course, just because he's strong doesn't mean he's a prophet, but we can't go to the side of the catcher to stand with little strength, right?"
"Judging from the statements so far, you 1 and 9 are against the jump prophets, and I still prefer to believe 9."
After listening to 1's speech, player 2 did not want to go to side with 1.
Compared with the speeches of 1 and 9, although the logical output of player 1 is more, it is all because he speaks in the back position, and 9 is naturally incomparable.
But judging from the information reported by the two people, player No. 1 is far worse than player 9.
Player 12 said that his intuition told him that 9 was a fierce wolf who fought hard, but he felt that 1 threw gold to 12 to canvass for favor.
"Player 9 on the side, 1 and 8 are double wolves."
"The three people of 4, 8, and 10 are policed, and the possibility of two wolves is very small, almost negligible, so although the speeches of 4 and 10 have not been heard, if there is no accident, they should all be good people."
"And judging from the attitude of player 1 towards 4 and 10 just now, it doesn't look like they met each other."
"For player 12, how to say, although he instinctively questioned the identity of player 9, I feel that he is most likely not a wolf."
"And the reason why 1 threw him gold water is probably because he is hostile to player 9, and 1 wants to take the opportunity to completely pull him into the water, so he throws gold water to him to further his favor."
"This kind of routine is commonly used by wolves, seeing that a good person is going to drill the wolf team, he hurriedly uses some means to push him again, and losing gold and water is undoubtedly the easiest and most effective way."
Player 2 thinks that 1 and 12 should not be three wolves, and if 1 and 12 are two wolves, 1 has no reason to throw gold water on the wolf teammates who have already spoken.
Originally, player 12's speech had already attracted the attention and hostility of the soothsayer, and now he threw gold water at 12, didn't this force the soothsayer to test the wolf teammates? Inexcusable.
Similarly, 12 as a wolf, if he wants to charge, he should think about logic and find the breaking point in 9's speech, if the police don't have it, then wait until he listens to the speech of 9 police.
However, he said that his intuition told him that 9 might not be a prophet, but more like a fierce wolf, a wolf who eats the heart of a bear and a leopard dares to talk about this kind of thing to fight a prophet, it is impossible to say it.
Therefore, there is a 12th probability that he is a self-righteous good person who wants to make a conspicuous bag.
"The identity of player 11 is a bit difficult to define, let's say that he is a good person, and he is a bit of a rhythmic disc 9 is a fierce wolf with strength."
"But it's not appropriate to say that he is a wolf, after all, he tends to stand on the side of 9, and it is more difficult to say that 9 is to 8."
"I suggest that I go to 11 at 9 in the evening, and I really can't tell if this card is a good guy or a wolf just by listening to the speech."
"Of course, it's only limited to his police statements, if there are recognizable highlights in his police conversation, that's another matter."
"Oh yes, player 1 also hit the second badge stream to 6, according to him, the Jumping Wolf prefers to hit the second badge stream to the wolf teammates."
"So as a fierce wolf, he shouldn't sell this kind of perspective and flaws, right? In other words, there is a high probability that player 1's second police badge is a good person, and players 1 and 6 don't know each other, so won't player 6 be able to recognize it? ”
"The police will follow the three wolves, 6 and 12 will be selected for the time being, and the remaining 1, 3, 5, 7, and 11 will be out of the three wolves."
"It can be said that this wolf pit is already quite crowded, except that player No. 1 is a fixed wolf, as long as it is checked in 3, 5, 7, and 11, when the time comes, they will pat their identities again, and the wolf pit will basically be settled."
"That's why I suggested that player No. 9 go to test 11 at night, if it's Jinshui, there are two wolves among the three people of 3, 5, and 7, and the identity is a shot, and the wolf can't help it, if it's a check and kill, only one wolf will be opened in 3, 5, and 7."
"But there is one thing I still have to say, although the possibility of opening a double wolf under the police is very small, but if the wolf pit is not enough, the plate still has to be plated, and the small probability does not mean that it does not exist."
Player No. 2 recognized Ren Fan, which made Ren Fan very happy, and before he could speak, someone would treat him as a good person, in this way, as long as he chatted without any problems, a good person basically couldn't deal with him.
At least his rounds will be after 3, 5, 7, and 11, unless several of them can shoot their identities, otherwise, it is inevitable to eat anti-push.
Although player No. 3 is his wolf teammate, there is a saying that a dead friend is not a poor one, not to mention that he is still a big brother.
"The police will see how player No. 8 shows the water, to be precise, to see if he can shoot his identity."
"If I could, it might be that I was on the wrong side, and if I couldn't, I would be out of him."
"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, the hole cards are good, temporarily stand on the side of the No. 9 player, that's it, it's over."
[Player 3, please speak]
"What are you talking about, Player 2, the charge is so obvious, I feel like you're flying Player 9."
"According to your logic, 1 and 8 are double wolves, player 1 knows that his wolf teammates have been checked and killed, he wants to fish his teammates, is it useful to rely on gold water? Can you catch it? ”
"In this case, if he wants to fish the No. 8 player, he can only wait to lose the kill, so that 8 has a target that can resist pushing and moving, otherwise, he wants to vote out 9, can he move? Obviously unrealistic. ”
"As a result, he threw a gold water to player 12, and according to 2, he also sold a good guy, is this in line with the Wolves' income?"
"I think 1 is the prophet, and I am more inclined to take sides with 1."
Player 3 is obviously going to take a barb when he talks like this.
Although 9 to the police 8 to lose the investigation and killing is quite strong, maybe good people tend to stand aside 9, but this is only temporary, once the police 8 shoots out the identity?
At that time, those who stand on the side of 9 will have to enter the wolf pit, and the police 10 may not be able to hide, after all, the pit under the police is very crowded.
He didn't know whether Ren Fan was hooking or rushing in the rear position, so he simply hooked it first, so that the wolf team would not be wiped out.
And standing on the side, it's a matter of mouth, if the No. 8 player can't shoot his identity, and the surface water is not very good, he should rush the ticket.
Now it's a smart move.
"I think the logic of player 1 is quite like a prophet, especially when he hits the second police badge to 6, and suspects that 6 and 9 may be double wolves, this perspective and mentality I don't think a jumping wolf can have."
"In addition, player No. 1 did not lose the kill equally, but instead threw a gold water to 12, who may not be a prophet by his intuition, which is obviously not in line with the Wolves' income."
"Even if he wants to lose gold and canvass for votes, he can't afford to lose 12, because 12 relies on intuition to play 9, and it is estimated that the good people in the external position will not have a particularly good sense and impression of him."
"In this case, player 1 throws gold water to 12 again, it is easy for people to misunderstand 1 and 12 wolves, if 1 is really a wolf, it is impossible not to think of this."
"But he still threw the gold water on 12, which shows that he didn't consider the question of whether he will return or not, he is just a prophet, who he tested last night, he will report who is the gold water."
"Of course, I'm not going to die standing on the side of Player 1, it's just that as far as the current situation is concerned, I prefer to believe who the prophet is."
"Player 2's speech sounds like a charging wolf, his bandit face is so big, it's so big that he goes to stand on the side of player 9, and it smells like a cushion."
"His speculation that player No. 1 threw gold to 12 is completely his personal imagination, in fact, judging from the income of the Wolves, 1 throwing gold to 12 is not like a tiggant wolf."
"I admit the No. 11 player, the reason, in fact, 1 and 12 have already been discussed, so I won't repeat it, anyway, his statement and 9 can't be a wolf teammate."
"The police open the wolf in the 4 and 10, it's hard to say, the 12th player said that the police can't open the wolf, I think this possibility is too small, or according to a wolf."
Player 3 sold his teammate, not only player 9, but also 10.
Both the prophet and Jin Shui said that the police might not open the wolf, but as a result, he had to say that the police would most likely open the wolf, and as soon as such a statement came out, it was obviously for the sake of identity.
If his identity is exposed, it will prove that the police really don't open the wolf, otherwise, he follows the words of the prophet and Jin Shui to say how good it is to not open the wolf under the police, why should he take the rhythm of the police to open a wolf, isn't this a pit teammate?
According to this line of thinking, player number 10 will be recognized.
On the contrary, if 10's identity is exposed, he can be a higher one, because he is now under the high probability of opening a wolf, which means that he does not meet with 4 and 10 and cannot be a wolf teammate.
To put it simply, no matter whose identity he and player 10 are exposed, they can make identities for each other.
"2 and 9 are double wolves, and there is still one wolf left in the 5, 6, and 7 behind."
"Player No. 9 hits the second police badge to 6, and it really does not rule out 6 and 9 double wolves, so player 6 should pay attention to it."
"If 6 doesn't talk well, I suggest that he be put directly into the first police badge stream, and it will be good to check it at night."
"There is no one more worthy of eating the cards in the outer position."
"There is a high probability that my vote will be hung on player 9 today, unless the surface water of 8 is relatively poor, which makes me feel that he is a wolf."
"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, the hole card is a good person, temporarily stand on the side of the No. 1 player, so be it, pass."
[Player 5, please speak]
"It's really interesting, the No. 2 and No. 3 players in the front position, the side is different, but they both like to ignore the speech blind spot wolf pit, I wonder, you didn't even listen to our speech, why do you have to point us, it seems that you are better than people?"
"2 and 3 listen to the speech is an opposite, there should be a wolf among the two of them, 2 station side 9 player, he feels that 9 to 8 lose the strength of the kill, compared to 1, the prophet is bigger."
"It's no problem to do this, judging from the inspection information reported by 1 and 9, there is no doubt that in this piece, 1 can't fight the No. 9 player."
"And player 2 can recognize 12, and he doesn't lose gold to 12 because of 2, or 12 intuitively says that 9 is not like a prophet and points 12 to 12 is a wolf, which in my opinion is a better mentality."
"So, I think player 2 has a bigger good face than player 3, and if 2 is a wolf, I don't think he will easily recognize player 12."
"And player No. 3, he thinks about the problem from a completely different angle than 2, the same is to throw gold water to 12, 3 thinks that 1 has no reciprocal loss of killing, this behavior is not in line with the benefits of the Wolves, so 1 is most likely not a titan."
"This idea is right, but this is not positive logic after all, it must be more powerful than Jin Shui, just looking at the information of the person, the prophet of 9 is much better than 1."
"I now think that what player 2 said is more reasonable, and it is more in line with the mentality of a good person, 3 is a bit strong and logical, and the identity is not as good as player 2."
Player 5 thinks that there is a wolf in 2 and 3, and it is unlikely that they are all good people, because judging from the statements of these two people, they are opposites.
2 and 3 have their own reasons and reasons for standing on the side, but relatively speaking, 5 thinks that player 2 is better to talk to, and 3 is slightly inferior.
Therefore, in his opinion, the identity of player No. 3 is not as good as 2, but he also did not beat the 3 standard wolf, after all, the identity is slightly lower, it does not mean that 3 is a wolf, and 2 is a good person.
This is only a preliminary judgment, and we will have to listen to the speeches again and see how logical they are.
Especially looking at the side, who is the prophet in 1 and 9, this is the most important thing.
"Player 3, you're leaning towards side 1, aren't you? 1 and 12 all say that the police may not open the wolf, and 4, 8, and 10 are all good people, but you think that the police will always produce a wolf. ”
"On the question of whether there are wolves under the police, you have such a big disagreement with 1 and 12, not only do you have to fight them as wolves, but you have to fight against logic to side with them, which is a bit wrong."
"Although this is not enough to control you as a wolf, your bandit face is indeed not small."
"According to the No. 12 player, if there is a wolf teammate of 9 under the police, he only needs to hit the first police badge flow to the remaining good person, and the wolf teammate will take the police badge as soon as he rushes the ticket, but 9 does not play the police badge flow like this, doesn't this mean that the police have a high probability of not opening the wolf?"
"I actually quite agree with the idea of player 12, but 3 has to lead the rhythm to open the wolf under the police, which is not good."
After a pause, player 5 spoke again, "Actually, the person who has already spoken in the front position, I recognized player 11 and player 12, no matter who is the prophet of 1 and 9, I don't think they can be wolves." ”
"Now I want to stand on the side of the No. 9 player, 1, 3, 8 may be three wolves, there is still one wolf left to be disced for the time being, wait until you listen to the speech."
"The police will see if the No. 8 player can shoot out the identity, if he can't shoot the identity, he basically has to be pushed out of the game, in this situation, he wants to use his speech to pull the good guy back to resist pushing 9, it's almost impossible."
"But as long as 4 can shoot his identity, I estimate that the Wolves will sell their teammates to the barb, and it is unlikely that they will be tough."
"Because the magic cards of this board can prove their identity, witches are poisonous, hunters have guns, and soothsayers can limit wolf knives and prove their identities through death."
"These three clothes, the wolf can't wear any of them, so if 8 has an identity, the wolf team will probably lose this game."
As a good person, I must hope that player No. 8 can shoot out his identity, as player No. 5 said, the god cards of this board are not afraid of being dressed, but they are afraid of wolves and dare not be tough.
Once 8 can shoot an identity, the perspective of a good person will be correct, and it will become much easier to find a wolf after that.
As for the wolf, it is natural to pray silently in my heart, the No. 8 player must not have an identity, and civilians are the best.
As long as 8 jumpers, no matter whether he is good or bad, he will always be pushed out of the game.
It is impossible for a good guy to directly push Player 9 without being sure who exactly is the Prophet.
This is also one of the purposes of player 9 to give 8 a drop, he wants to bet that his luck will not be so bad and he will not kick the iron plate.
In this kind of unguarded board, as long as the wolf can push a good guy out of the game on the first day, not to mention winning this game, there is a seventy or eighty percent chance of winning.
[Player 6, please speak]
"To be honest, 1 and 9 pairs of jump prophets, both of them have prophet faces, the key is to see what kind of mentality and angle we look at their speeches and behaviors."
"Correct logic, that must be the 9 prophet is bigger, as a wolf, the first position to speak to the police 8 to lose the investigation and kill, the risk is very great."
"On the one hand, player No. 8 is under the police, and his investigation and killing is equivalent to giving the prophet a police badge ticket for nothing, which greatly increases the probability of the prophet getting the police badge."
"Not only that, but he also helped player 8 open up the perspective and let a good person know who is the prophet and who is the wolf in this game, which is not a good thing for wolves."
"On the other hand, the number 8 player could be a god, and once that happens, the situation for Wolves will become very passive."
"The key is that when the No. 9 player jumped in the first position, I don't know if the prophet has detected the kill, and if the prophet has also detected the kill, the situation for the Wolves team will be even worse."
"That's why we say that the No. 9 player is strong, as a fierce wolf, he is indeed taking a great risk to lose the 8 under the police, relatively speaking, it is better to throw a gold water to 8 to canvass for votes."
"But then again, wealth is in danger, maybe player 9 is willing to take this risk."
"I mean that the police will stand on the side of 9 first, and then listen to how player 8 shows his identity, and listen to 1 and 9 and then debate again."
"Especially the No. 9 player, he is the first to speak, in addition to reporting the police badge flow and checking people, there is no logical output, he has no logical output, and it is difficult for us to hear from his speech whether it is good or bad."
"But he'll be able to talk to us about it, and if he's a wolf, I think a good guy should be able to hear it."
Ren Fan thought about it, but still didn't hit the barb, judging from the situation on the field, it is quite possible for 9 to get a police badge, as long as you wash your hair for player 4 and let him go to vote for 9.
And it's not just a matter of whether to take the badge or not, now many good people tend to stand on the side of player 9, and if he brings a rhythm, the prophet side of 9 will become bigger.
As long as the No. 8 player can't shoot his identity, today's anti-push 8 is a sure thing.
Tomorrow I will get up 1 and 9 to continue arguing, player 9 holds the police badge in his hand, and the Wolves team rushes the ticket, in this case, it is not difficult to resist player 1.
Therefore, Ren Fan thought about it and decided to help player 9 fight a wave of incitement, and he would not dismantle the stage for the time being.
If 8 really has an identity, a good guy may not be able to hit him after turning around and standing on the side 1, after all, he is also a good person's perspective, and standing on the wrong side may not be a wolf, who makes 9's prophet face bigger.
"The prophetic side of player 1 is that he throws gold water to 12, just like 3 said, there is no reciprocal loss and killing, this is not a mentality that desperately wants to catch wolf teammates."
"Normally, he throws a kill to a good person, which can not only allow the wolf teammates to resist the push, but also pick up the identity of a good person, which can be described as killing two birds with one stone."
"But he didn't do that, and from the perspective of the Wolves' benefits, he really doesn't look like a Jumping Wolf."
"And his attitude towards the police 4 and 10 is also quite good, it stands to reason that after recognizing the No. 8 player, he should open a wolf in the 4 and 10, but he said that he agrees with the idea of 12 a little, which makes me feel like a prophet."
"But compared with the No. 9 player, it's still a little bit worse, so I'll stand on the side of 9 first, and whether the police will turn back depends on the situation."
Ren Fan said this from the heart, whether he wants to turn back or not depends on the situation.
If player number 8 comes out with an identity card,
"Player No. 12 said that 9 to 8 has the strength to lose and kill, but he feels that 9 is a fierce wolf with strength, this idea is no problem, but the motives and intentions of 9 are obviously a bit of malicious speculation."
"I don't say this because I want to hit the 12th player is a wolf, I mean 12 is not a psychological shadow, seeing someone jumping the prophet and throwing it to the police, I subconsciously want to think that this is a wolf fighting."
"Anyway, I feel that 12's mentality is like this, he suspects that 9 is a fierce wolf and maybe there is no malice, it is purely that he has encountered a similar situation before, which makes him inexplicably hostile to 9."
"Player 12, do you think I have a point?"
Not to mention, let Ren Fan guess correctly, player No. 12 just has a psychological shadow or experience.
He likes to dare this kind of operation when he takes the wolf and jumps, and throws the strength of the good people under the police to check and kill, as long as the speech is not too bad, as long as he is not on the iron plate, there is a high probability that the good people can be pushed out of the game on the first day.
This trick is not to say that it can achieve the desired effect every time, but it is indeed a bit tried and tested, and it can succeed nine times out of ten.
Therefore, when he saw player 9 giving 8 a kill, he felt that he saw himself who was jumping.
This is the reason why he intuitively does not believe that 9 is a prophet, to put it simply, he plays too many routines, and when he sees a similar situation, he mutters in his heart.
"Pan 9 is a prophet, 1, 8 is two fixed wolves, player 3 is relatively large, to occupy a wolf pit, if 3 is not a wolf, it may be the 7th player in the back."
"As for 2, 11, and 12, I think there is a high probability that the three of them are not on the Wolves team, and although the No. 12 player has an inexplicable hostility towards 9, it is still the same sentence, I don't think he is a wolf."
"In the case that player No. 8 has been killed, he still has to charge, which obviously does not conform to the logic of the wolf's behavior, and even if he wants to charge, it is impossible to use intuition to hit 9 is not a prophet, right?"
"How can a wolf charge speak like this, if he hadn't taken the gold water from player No. 1, I would have suspected that he was flying on the mat."
"1, 3, and 8 are three wolves, and one wolf should be in 5 and 7."
"Player 5 also tends to stand on the side of 9, and is quite hostile to player 3, relatively speaking, the bandit face is not particularly large."
"But I definitely can't directly recognize him as a good person, if I recognize him as a good person, I have to plate 1, 3, 7, and 8 are four wolves, but I haven't even heard the speech of player 7, why should people be wolves."
"Now I can only say that there is a wolf in 5 and 7, and player 4 and player 10 under the police can only be put on hold."
"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, the hole cards are good, stand on the side of the No. 9 player first, that's it, it's over."
[Player 7, please speak]
"Player 6, you had a good chat earlier, and you figured out why player 9 gave 8 a lot of killing, this is something that no one talked about before, and the one in front only knew that the 8 lost and killed strongly, and didn't tell the reason."
"This is where I am satisfied with the speech of player 6, and this is also where he did a good job, but I am very uncomfortable when I listen to the wolf pit he ordered."
"What is a wolf in 5 and 7, what is the bandit face of player 5, don't you want to talk about it?"
"I haven't even spoken after the police, and you have been pointed into the wolf pit, is it appropriate?"
"Player 6, if you hadn't had a good conversation earlier, I would definitely have ordered you into the wolf pit."
"Fortunately, I have the previous speech for you to support, so I won't order you yet."
Player 7 was hostile to Ren Fan, because he was a little dissatisfied that Ren Fan didn't listen to him, so he ordered him to go into the wolf pit.
But Ren Fan's previous analysis of why player 9 has the logic of strength is quite in line with his mind, which shows that Ren Fan is not following the trend and standing on the side of 9, he knows where the strength of 9 is, and why it is more worthy of good people's trust.
To put it simply, if 9 is really a prophet, I am afraid that the barb will not be on Ren Fan, and he does not look like a barb.
If Ren Fan hadn't ordered him into the wolf pit, maybe he would have recognized Ren Fan, but unfortunately there was no if, since Ren Fan thought that he might be a wolf, then he would have to suspect Ren Fan.
"Most of the players in the front position are players on the side of the number nine, and I am no exception."
"Although 1 also has a lot of prophetic aspects, it is still slightly inferior to player 9."
"In fact, it is possible that the No. 9 player is fighting for the 8 loss and killing, but the risk of him doing so is very large, and the No. 6 player has already talked very clearly just now."
"As a good person with closed eyes, I won't think that player 9 is a prophet just because he is strong, and I have to see how well I talk to the prophet who jumps to him."
"It's a pity, although 1's speech is not explosive, but it is not enough for me to go to plate 9 is wolf fighting strength, in this case, I can only stand on the side of the No. 9 player first, I believe this is also the idea of the vast majority of good people."
"As for the points that player 3 has 1 like a prophet, it is indeed quite reasonable not to deny it, but he ignores a problem, that is, 9 to 1 is more prophetic."
"3 only thinks about where player 1 looks like a prophet and where he doesn't look like a wolf, and he didn't think that plate 9 is a prophet in the whole process, which is not a good person mentality."
"I think 1 and 3 are very likely to be double wolves, and 3 is charging the wolf teammates crazy rhythm, but he is a little too preoccupied, and it doesn't feel like a good person when he listens."
"To some extent, Player 3 spoke like a wolf and lowered the prophet side of 1, and I guess I should be the only one on the field who thinks so."
"Player 3 is bent on opening a wolf in 4 and 10, what does this mean? It shows that he is not on the same side as 4 and 10. ”
"Originally, I was still thinking about whether this game could be an extreme situation of two wolves under the police, although this possibility is very small, but it cannot be completely ruled out."
"But after listening to Player 3's speech, I feel like I'm thinking too much, as long as 9 is a prophet, 3 is a wolf, and 4 and 10 under the police have to be good people."
Player 7 thinks that 3 is likely to be a wolf, 1 and 3 are double wolves, and according to the attitude of player 3 towards 4 and 10 under the police, he thinks that 4 and 10 will not meet with 3, otherwise, 3 has no reason to lead the rhythm to let the good people go to the police to find their wolf teammates.
The effect that player 3 wants has already come out, and once his identity is revealed, the 10 under the police will be recognized.
And he didn't expect that he was standing on the side of the No. 1 player, and he could actually have the effect of flying on the side, but he was serious about standing on the side of the 1.
Unexpectedly, the positive logic he thought was not the same in the eyes of good people, especially when he only looked like a prophet and didn't consider 9 to be the prophet's behavior, making good people think that he was charging.
This unexpectedly lowered the prophet side of 1, so it's okay to think about it.
His identity is exposed, at least he can make the identity of his wolf teammate, and he can also lower the face of 1's prophet, not a loss.
"Player 5 I think his identity preference is because he talked about a point, that is, there is an obvious difference between the definition of 3 and 1 and 12 on the police pattern, and as a result, he not only doubted the identity of 1 because of this, but also rushed to stand on the side 1, which is a big problem."
"Being able to point out such a detail, I feel that 3 and 5 are not on the same side, and 5 is likely to be a good person, unless I make a mistake 3, that's another matter."
"In this way, the last wolf will be opened in the middle of 6 and 11, and both of them have good speeches, but they also have a little wolf smell, let's test one at 9 in the evening."
"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, temporarily stand on the side of the No. 9 player, if 8 can't shoot the identity, I'll get the 8 out today, that's it, it's over."
(End of chapter)